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Player Rankings (Player Projections) » Game Predictions Summary » Projections by Team »
Prediction: MIA 10, HOU 27 (Line: HOU by 11)
Player Updates: Arian Foster, Owen Daniels, Ben Tate
Players to Watch: Ryan Tannehill, Reggie Bush
The Dolphins ended with a 6-10 record last season and were only 2-6 in road games. The Texans posted a 10-6 standing that won them the division and got them into the playoffs where they beat the Bengals before later falling to the Ravens. The Houston defense was the main success factor in their first playoff run and now eight months later it will be why they win this game.
The Texans won 23-13 in Miami last year.
Miami Dolphins |
| Homefield: Dolphins Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@HOU |
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10 |
TEN |
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| 2 |
OAK |
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11 |
@BUF |
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| 3 |
NYJ |
----- |
12 |
SEA |
----- |
| 4 |
@ARI |
----- |
13 |
NE |
----- |
| 5 |
@CIN |
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14 |
@SF |
----- |
| 6 |
STL |
----- |
15 |
JAC |
----- |
| 7 |
BYE |
----- |
16 |
BUF |
----- |
| 8 |
@NYJ |
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17 |
@NE |
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| 9 |
@IND |
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| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Dolphins have undergone another change at the top with Joe Philbin comes over as head coach after spending nine years in Green Bay and the last five as the offensive coordinator - that bodes well for fantasy purposes. Mike Sherman left Texas A&M to become the offensive coordinator and reunites with Philbin to produce the West Coast offensive scheme. Since quarterback has long been a problem spot, the Fins drafted Ryan Tannehill who was Sherman's quarterback last year. That will give him an advantage over most rookie quarterbacks since he is familiar with the system already.
Reggie Bush is one to watch because this offense will use him extensively at least while the passing attack is still coming together. Bush is in a situation where he could end up with plenty of rushing and receiving yardage. How durable Bush will prove is key to what success there will be in this first year of the rebuild. He lasted for all but one in 2011 and that included 216 carries for 1086 yards and 43 receptions for 296 yards. This offense will revolve around Bush so his role and workload will dictate much for the team and his fantasy value.
Sadly for fantasy fans, the new offense was described as not needing a true #1 wide receiver. Brandon Marshall left for Chicago and in his place is little more than Davone Bess and Legedu Naanee which is every bit as bad as it sounds. The Dolphins continue to look for more help here and the lack of talent is not going to be of any help in Tannehill's development. At current rate, there is a decent chance that the leading receiver will end up as Reggie Bush.
Anthony Fasano remains the starting tight end but he's little more than a blocker. Even if the Fins want to make more use of him, there is no guarantee he is up to the task. This entire passing offense has perhaps the least amount of fantasy value in the entire NFL. Even Blaine Gabbert was given tools to work with this year. Not so Tannehill.
On the road with a new offense and a rookie quarterback to face the Texans... not ideal. If there was any shut out in week one, this would be it.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
MIA |
20 |
9 |
24 |
27 |
8 |
30 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
HOU |
5 |
2 |
8 |
4 |
12 |
3 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA |
@NE |
30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 1 | 1 |    |
| Tannehill only passed for 186 yards and no scores in the last meeting. On the road, no reason to expect more especially with Bess probably still out. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Brian Hartline, MIA |
@NE |
0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Hartline turned in 5-84 last time vs. the Pats and now Bess is out. That leaves the entire Pats secondary with no one else to worry about. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Dan Carpenter, MIA |
@NE |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |   |
| On the road to NE? No thanks. |
Houston Texans |
| Homefield: Reliant Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
MIA |
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10 |
@CHI |
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| 2 |
@JAC |
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11 |
JAC |
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| 3 |
@DEN |
----- |
12 |
@DET |
----- |
| 4 |
TEN |
----- |
13 |
@TEN |
----- |
| 5 |
@NYJ |
----- |
14 |
@NE |
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| 6 |
GB |
----- |
15 |
IND |
----- |
| 7 |
BAL |
----- |
16 |
MIN |
----- |
| 8 |
BYE |
----- |
17 |
@IND |
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| 9 |
BUF |
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| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The demise of the Colts left the door open for the Texans to take the AFC South for the first time and win their first playoff game. Arian Foster started the year slowly for a few weeks because of a hamstring strain but he was unstoppable the rest of the way and ended with 1841 total yards and 12 touchdowns. He made the offense hardly notice when Andre Johnson was lost for nine games and Matt Schaub missed six. Between the defense and the rushing offense, passing became a novelty.
Foster returns along with Ben Tate who himself nearly topped 1000 rushing yards and is likely gone next year. With a tremendous offensive line, the Texans rushing attack will be at least good no matter who lines up and remains elite with Foster back there.
Andre Johnson is healthy again, for the moment, and claims he is not injury prone or losing a step. At 31 years of age, he should still be in his prime though he has missed 12 games over the last two years, needed a knee scope as recently as May and then pulled his groin in camp. Johnson is really the only wideout of any note that has ever played for the Texans. Kevin Walter has never been more than a mediocre complement. Rookies Jean Lestar, Keshawn Martin and DeVier Posey may develop into something in the future but none of them could win the #2 spot in training camp. Besides, with a good defense and dominating ground game, the Texans are never going to throw that much anyway. And when they do, they want Andre Johnson to catch it.
Owen Daniels has been a tight end that always seemed about to breakout and yet never quite did. He is 30 years old now and has missed 14 games over the last three seasons and been locked in around 600 yards per season lately. He remains a factor, just not a very big one.
First week out the Texans should look in midseason form with the Dolphins visiting along with their rookie quarterback. Nice chance for a defensive score in this game.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
HOU |
24 |
2 |
31 |
8 |
6 |
13 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
MIA |
20 |
5 |
23 |
23 |
10 |
20 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Matt Schaub, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 2 | 1 |    |
| Two weeks ago Schaub threw for 261 and 1 against the Colts. He may be asked to do a bit more of the heavy lifting with Arian Foster coming back from an irregular heartbeat. And Houston still has something to play for, as a win would salt away the top seed and home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Arian Foster, HOU |
@IND |
80 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Foster rolled the Colts for 165 yards on 27 carries a couple weeks back, and he's been cleared by doctors following last week's irregular heartbeat incident. But with the playoffs looming and Ben Tate healthy, not to mention the whole heartbeat thing, that seems like an aggressive workload against Indy. Settle for "good", but he'll likely share too much with Tate to hit "great". |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Ben Tate, HOU |
@IND |
40 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Indy has allowed 100-plus rushing yards in five of the last six games, including 178 to the Texans in Week 15. Arian Foster accounted for most of that, but Tate's healthier now and after Foster left last week's game with an irregular heartbeat it wouldn't be a shock to see Tate handle a bigger share of the work this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Andre Johnson, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 7 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Johnson took the Colts for 11-151-1 a couple weeks back, so he should have no trouble collecting the 43 yards he needs to reach the 1,500-yard mark. And with double-digit targets in four straight (and five of six, and eight of the last 10) he'll be the guy Matt Schaub leans on if the ground game can't get going--or if the Texans find themselves playing catch-up to Andrew Luck. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR DeVier Posey, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Is Posey taking over the wingman job from Kevin Walter? Maybe, but he hasn't done enough to turn that gig into something warranting fantasy attention just yet. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Owen Daniels, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Daniels didn't do much against Indy a couple weeks back, and with James Casey and Garrett Graham stealing the occasional touchdown he's a tough start in TD-heavy scoring systems. He's still the lead dog in the Texans' tight end rotation, but that doesn't carry as much weight as it used to. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Garrett Graham, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Graham's biggest fantasy impact is stealing just enough from Owen Daniels' plate to render him a lesser fantasy entity. He's not doing enough on his own on a consistent basis to warrant a fantasy start. |
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