Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: ARI 13, NE 37 (Line: NE by 14)

Players to watch: Andre Roberts, Wes Welker, Brandon Lloyd

The Cardinals come off their close win over the visiting Seahawks and hit the road where they were only 2-6 last season. The Patriots drummed the Titans in Tennessee last week and back at home they almost never lose. The only question here is how big the win will be and how many points they allow the Cardinals.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE ----- 11 @ATL -----
3 PHI ----- 12 STL -----
4 MIA ----- 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL ----- 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF ----- 15 DET -----
7 @MIN ----- 16 CHI -----
8 SF ----- 17 @SF -----
9 @GB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI @ NE Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 270,2
RB Chris Johnson 40 7-50
WR Larry Fitzgerald 6-90,1
TE Jermaine Gresham 6-60,1

Pregame Notes: Nothing like having a quarterback competition and after deciding the winner between two quarterbacks that you already knew, that one gets hurt in the first game. John Skelton has an ankle sprain that is not believed to be of the "high" variety. He's hoped to only need a few weeks but regardless the start goes over to Kevin Kolb for this game. There is a decent chance that the Cardinals play musical quarterbacks for the rest of the season anyway.

Facing the Seahawks great rushing defense really put the clamps on the running backs so we don't really know what to expect this year. Beanie Wells ran seven times for only 14 yards and Ryan Williams first playing time only produced nine yards on eight carries. There was an even split between the two main backs and then LaRod Stephens-Howling actually ran in the touchdown just to make it all even worse. Ongoing this will remain the Wells and Williams show, with their split determined by game time success. The problem this week is that they face another great rushing defense what equally shut down Chris Johnson only this week the game is played in New England. Not a good thing and hold judgment about the backfield at least until home games against the Eagles and Dolphins. It is a tough schedule for the Cardinals and the impact is not something you can ignore.

Larry Fitzgerald was targeted a team high 11 times with four receptions for 63 yards but Andre Roberts is one to watch since he had nine passes directed towards him and ended with 54 yards and one score on five receptions. Early Doucet (3-37) played the #3 with the rookie Michael Floyd only thrown one pass that he failed to catch.

As with most every year, the use of the tight end is always suggested and yet rarely happens. Todd Heap only accounted for three catches and 32 yards which may be a high side for him.

The Cards face the Patriots defense that is going to shut down the run - make no mistake. How well they can defend the pass is the question and last season they were always among the worse. In Tennessee, they held the Titans to a combined 272 passing yards and one score. That bodes a bit better for the receivers..

Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 26 26 16 21 17 15
Preventing Fantasy Points NE 14 12 13 14 15 3

QB Carson Palmer, ARI @CAR 0000028010 ***
Palmer has just two touchdowns and five interceptions over the past five weeks. This is David Johnson's team, through and through. Despite a wonderful matchup, Palmer is only playable because of the high number of teams on bye.
RB David Johnson, ARI @CAR 8016400000 ***
Johnson is such a monster that there is no way anyone could bench him, even with a difficult matchup. Temper expectations a tad, but he's still a fine play.
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @CAR 007801000 ***
This could be a huge target day for Fitz if John Brown cannot play. The Cardinals offer the fourth easiest PPR matchup since Week 2.
WR John Brown, ARI @CAR 004700000 ***
Brown (hamstring) is uncertain for Week 8. Check back Friday.
WR Michael Floyd, ARI @CAR 004600000 ***
Floyd will be asked to step up his game with Jaron Brown on IR and John Brown ailing. Carolina is coming off a bye but has been pushed around by wideouts. This is the fourth easiest matchup from the last five weeks of data.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chandler Catanzaro, ARI @CAR 3322 ***
This matchup should get Catanzaro back on track. Carolina has allowed the fourth most fantasy points to kickers in the past five weeks.

New England Patriots
Homefield: Gillette Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TEN 34-13 10 BUF -----
2 ARI ----- 11 IND -----
3 @BAL ----- 12 @NYJ -----
4 @BUF ----- 13 @MIA -----
5 DEN ----- 14 HOU -----
6 @SEA ----- 15 SF -----
7 NYJ ----- 16 @JAC -----
8 @STL ----- 17 MIA -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NE vs ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tom Brady 330,3
WR Danny Amendola 6-70,1
TE Martellus Bennett 4-40
TE Rob Gronkowski 6-80,1
PK Stephen Gostkowski 3 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Patriots come off a big opening win and now return home for what should be another year filled with victories for the home town stands. There's only been one game so but several interesting developments hint this could be a year of same great results only they'll get there in a different manner.

Aaron Hernandez (6-59-1) and Rob Gronkowski (6-60-1) start the year as apparent bookends so no change to the team with the most productive tight ends in the history of the NFL. These weapons are not going anywhere and there is no reason to change. But the addition of Brandon Lloyd (5-69) has made a difference in the sense he was the most targeted player with eight passes thrown his way. Wes Welker only caught three of his five throws and ended with a paltry 14 yards. For a guy who has four seasons of 110+ catches, Welker was suddenly just another receiver and not even one who had many looks. He's in his final year of his contract with the Pats and if week one means much, he's truly in his final season there. It is only one game and yes, it seems reasonable to sound an alarm. It just looked different with Lloyd there.

Another change is Stevan Ridley who gashed the Titans for 125 yards and one score on 21 carries and added two receptions for 27 yards. Brandon Bolden and Danny Woodhead combined for 11 carries but only gained 31 yards. This looked very much like the Ridley show. He'll always carry at least a little risk because of the history of the Pats backfield but he undeniably looks like an answer for them that they need not change. Ridley was effective enough that Tom Brady only passed for 236 yards and two scores.

This week should be fascinating because the Patriots generally rush better at home and Brady has lesser games because they win handily. No defense is going to load up against Ridley with Brady under center. And yet that may actually mean those 5000 yards from 2011 have little chance of repeating. The offseason was a hype machine of the Pats passing and how Brandon Lloyd might become a stud there. So far the reality is that the Pats remain a tight end machine with a really nice rushing attack.

Gaining Fantasy Points NE 14 10 30 1 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 5 8 7 7 21 15

QB Tom Brady, NE @BUF 0000030020 ***
Brady has averaged 28.4 fantasy points per game since returning to the field three games ago. He is a fine play and crushed a different-looking Bills team in Week 3 at Buffalo last year, throwing 466 yards worth and a trio of scores. Buffalo is, on paper, fantasy's third stingiest matchup vs. QBs.
RB LeGarrette Blount, NE @BUF 1001000000 ***
Buffalo has ceded a touchdown every 23.6 carries, and this defense will have its hands full with Tom Brady's heroics. Blount is a strong play in most any format.
RB James White, NE @BUF 1004300000 ***
Buffalo has been pretty good since Week 2 against pass-catching backs, allowing only four catches per game and no scores. The position has hauled in 171 yards worth during this time. White is a shaky play but could be a viable flex with six bye teams.
WR Julian Edelman, NE @BUF 007801000 ***
Edelman shows signs of life last week after an ice-cold start. The matchup is middling, but greatness overcomes. TB12 and Edelman should hook up and even find the end zone.
WR Chris Hogan, NE @BUF 002300000 ***
The Bills have given up 59 catches but only two touchdowns in the last five weeks. Hogan is a fringe play and better in non-PPR.
WR Danny Amendola, NE @BUF 002200000 ***
Buffalo has given up 11.8 receptions and 159.8 yards per game to receivers over the last five weeks. Amendola is not worth owning.
TE Rob Gronkowski, NE @BUF 0061001000 ***
Gronk was a non-factor in his last meeting with the Bills, but he posted a 7-113-1 line in Buffalo last season. The Bills have not allowed a touchdown to tight ends over their last four games.
TE Martellus Bennett, NE @BUF 003300000 ***
Marty B has been really quiet since his three-touchdown outburst in Tom Brady's Week 5 return. Buffalo hasn't allowed a TE TD in its last four games and ranks as the sixth hardest matchup in this time.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Stephen Gostkowski, NE @BUF 2233 ***
Gostkowski hasn't been getting it done for fantasy purposes, missing easy kicks and looking "off" in the process. Buffalo is an even-keeled matchup.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t