FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 2
2012
* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: CHI 20, GB 31 (Line: GB by 6)

Players to watch: Michael Bush, Randall Cobb, Cedric Benson

Updated Players: Greg Jennings, James Jones

The Bears come off a major thumping of the Colts but that was to be expected. The Packers remain at home after allowing the 49ers to visit with a defense that was actually bigger than the Packers offense. The Packers swept the Bears last season, winning 27-17 in Chicago and later 35-21 in Green Bay. The Packers need this win to get back on track but the Bears won't make it easy with an offense that looks improved.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU -----
2 @GB ----- 11 @SF -----
3 STL ----- 12 MIN -----
4 @DAL ----- 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC ----- 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET ----- 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR ----- 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: Opening up the season against the worst team from the previous year can give an unrealistic view of how good you are. But the Bears were hitting on all cylinders and losing the Mike Martz scheme seemed to really do the trick. Where once Jay Cutler was running around throwing to a never-ending cast of receivers, the offense was much more traditional. In fantasy terms, instead of having five or six guys with very mediocre to no fantasy value now there are only a couple but they are really producing.

Cutler ended with 333 yards and two scores against the Colts that was split between Brandon Marshall and everyone else. Marshall had 15 targets and nine receptions for 119 yards and one score. It was a throwback to the pitch and catch days back in Denver. No other receiver or tight end mattered other than the rookie Alshon Jeffrey who took five passes and caught three with 80 yards and a score. Only having to worry about two receivers for fantasy purposes? Nirvana.

The rest of the receivers were even worse than when Martz was still calling plays. Granted - one week at home against the worst team from the previous year hardly proves a major turnaround but then again - it looked every bit as good as you could hope.

Cutler passed for 302 yards and two scores at home against the Packers and later settled for 242 yards and one touchdown in Green Bay.

Matt Forte looked like he was in mid-season form with 16 runs for 80 yards (5.0 YPC) and one touchdown with three receptions gaining 40 more yards. What is troubling - especially for future games where the Bears may not have 28 carries to split up - is that Michael Bush has a significant role. He was given 12 runs and he gained 42 yards with two touchdowns. Both scores were in the first half from the one-yard line. Forte's score game from six yards out. Bush had no role as a receiver which may be a saving grace for Forte. But he was there for the short yardage gimmee touchdowns.

Forte only gained two yards on nine runs in the last game at Green Bay though he added 80 yards on seven receptions. The Packers were softer against the run last week but that was a product of the 49ers defense giving them field position and plenty of reasons to run the ball and chew up the clock - probably not a luxury for the Bears. Bush holds much less attraction here with the Packers likely to not give up many one-yard opportunities. But the passing game should shine once again against a secondary that just allowed two scores and 211 yards to Alex Smith.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 8 2 2 32 10 4
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 21 20 20 17 26 13

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI @MIN 20000018011 **
Minnesota has been one of the worst opponents to face for fantasy success in 2018, and one of Trubisky's least productive games came against the Vikes in Week 11. He threw two interceptions to only one touchdown and, in fact, hasn't been much of a fantasy factor since returning in Week 14 from a shoulder injury.

Update: Allen Robinson is doubtful to play in Week 17.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Tarik Cohen, CHI @MIN 3004300000 **
Chicago is in a position where they could rest guys late in the game. The matchup isn't ideal, and Minnesota kept Cohen in check in the Week 11 game (8 PPR). Five of the seven touchdowns allowed this year on the ground have come in the last five weeks, but none of the last 27 receptions have scored. Alvin Kamara in Week 8 was the last back to score through the air.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Mike Davis, CHI @MIN 200000000 ***
Davis will see a larger role if the game gets out of hand and Chris Carson is rested. Rashaad Penny is expected to return this week, so it comes down to how Seattle chooses to deploy the rookie in his first game since Week 14. With Carson out in the Week 4 trip to Arizona, Davis ran roughshod over the Cardinals. He finished with 101 yards and two touchdowns, adding four points in PPR to this total.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Anthony Miller, CHI @MIN 003301000 **
Miller could be a sneaky play in this one if Allen Robinson doesn't go, but there is far more risky than potential for reward. Look for safer options in most scenarios, but he is playable if you want to take a big chance in DFS.

Update: Robinson is doubtful to play in Week 17.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Cordarrelle Patterson, CHI @MIN 1002300000 ***
Patterson wasn't a factor in the Week 12 meeting, but his role should expand as the Patriots continue to find their way without Josh Gordon. Nevertheless, he isn't playable in Week 17. The matchup is great, but he's just too inconsistent, and New England could attack heavily on the ground.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taylor Gabriel, CHI @MIN 003400000 ***
With exactly three catches in each of his last four games, Gabriel is at least consistent. He hasn't gone over 33 yards in that time, and the speedy wideout has yet to score since posting two TDs in Week 4. He finished with 52 yards on seven catches vs. Minnesota in Week 11. Look for more viable options.

Update: Allen Robinson is doubtful to play in Week 17.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Trey Burton, CHI @MIN 003200000 ***
A week after his first touchdown in six games, Burton caught five balls -- his highest total since Week 7's nine receptions. However, he continued his streak of failing to top the 40-yard mark that began in Week 8. He has three games all year with more than 40 yards, and when he isn't scoring touchdowns, we're left looking at single-digit days in PPR. Burton caught just one pass vs. the Vikings in Week 11.

Green Bay Packers
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF 22-30 10 BYE -----
2 CHI ----- 11 @DET -----
3 @SEA ----- 12 @NYG -----
4 NO ----- 13 MIN -----
5 @IND ----- 14 DET -----
6 @HOU ----- 15 @CHI -----
7 @STL ----- 16 TEN -----
8 JAC ----- 17 @MIN -----
9 ARI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 20,1 320,3
TE Jimmy Graham 7-80,1
TE Marcedes Lewis 4-50,1
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Packers seemed unbeatable in 2011 other than one trap game in Kansas City. Opening at home would surely mean a win regardless of opponent but that's not going to be true. The 49ers came in with a predictably bad-ass defense but their offense fared far better than expected. It wasn't even a lock that they had an offense coming in. But they outscored the Pack in Green Bay and then thwarted the comeback attempt.

Several interesting aspects to that game were seen. Cedric Benson's race up the rankings may have been premature since he only gained 18 yards on nine carries and had no receptions which was expected. Aaron Rodgers was still the leading rusher (5-27). The Packers do not want a ground game beyond the ability to punch in a short score (provided Rodgers does not take it like normal) and to get a few first downs along the way. The opportunity should be akin to Stevan Ridley who gets to play defenses on their heels from the Patriots passing attack. At least last week, no such benefit existed against the 49ers still very potent defense.

The Packers had some success running the ball on the Bears last year but it is too early to rely on Benson for anything beyond some marginal rushing yardage. The Bears defense should be good enough to keep him at bay this week as well unless the Packers get a really big lead. On passing downs, the Packers took to using Randall Cobb in the backfield and that resulted in him leading the team with nine receptions for 77 yards. That's bad for Benson but great for Cobb. It seems a genius move really - the speedy and elusive Cobb barely has room on either side. Why not put him in the backfield? If it works it could start something new in the NFL. This is really something to watch.

The 49ers were able to largely take Greg Jennings (5-34) and Jordy Nelson (5-64) out of the game plan but Cobb and James Jones (4-81, TD) both stepped up along with Jermichael Finley (7-47, TD).

Jennings is listed as doubtful to play because of a groin strain and will be a game time decision. That makes James Jones more interesting and Jennings a huge risk to rely on.

This still remains a potent offense with a lot of weapons. The Packers had a rough opening that they lost at the end. This week is a restart at home against a familiar opponent. That should get them back on track.

 

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 7 32 3 6 32 10
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 12 6 24 23 2 22

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Aaron Rodgers, GB DET 20000027020 ***
Rodgers erupted in Week 16 just to remind fantasy gamers who had mostly given up on him that he was still Aaron Rodgers. The Lions incidentally permitted the same 442 yards to Rodgers that New York did in Week 16, and he chucked three touchdown passes on his way to a 35.1-point day in fantasy.

Update: Davante Adams is iffy to play this week, which would dampen Rodgers' overall outlook in fantasy.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jamaal Williams, GB DET 10014300000 ***
Williams has been a fantasy powerhouse in the last two games without Aaron Jones. The second-year back has been a dual threat and should be in all lineups this week. Detroit has been solid against RBs but is still exploitable. All but two teams have produced a high scorer with at least 13.8 fantasy points.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jake Kumerow, GB DET 004601000 ***
A preseason darling, Kumerow scored his first NFL TD in Week 16 and has a reasonable shot at doing it again facing a Detroit defense that has surrendered a WR touchdown every 9.1 catches this year. He's nothing more than a shot in the dark, though, so make sure you know how much risk is being assumed.

Update: Davante Adams is iffy to play this week, which would mean more targets to be spread around.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, GB DET 005600000 ***
His first NFL TD came against the Lions in Week 5. Valdes-Scantling went for 68 yards on his seven catches in that game but has scored only once since. He had five catches in his previous three games combined before catching five balls vs. the Jets in Week 16. Consider him absolutely nothing more than a low-tier flier with a good scoring matchup.

Update: Davante Adams is iffy to play this week, which would mean more targets to be spread around.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jimmy Graham, GB DET 004501000 **
Graham continues to be mostly irrelevant in fantasy, posting one game with 50 or more yards since Week 6. he has one TD since Week 4 and has seen double-digit targets just twice this year. The Lions were the first team in which Graham saw 11 looks, securing six for 76 yards. Detroit has been mostly neutral against the position but has fared better in PPR at slowing them down. Kyle Rudolph exploded last week, but one of his two scores was on a Hail Mary, so it's tough to get overly excited about it. He still managed eight other catches for nearly 80 yards and a score.

Update: Davante Adams is iffy to play this week, which would mean more targets to be spread around.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mason Crosby, GB DET 3333 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 2
2012
* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t