FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 2
2012
* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: CHI 20, GB 31 (Line: GB by 6)

Players to watch: Michael Bush, Randall Cobb, Cedric Benson

Updated Players: Greg Jennings, James Jones

The Bears come off a major thumping of the Colts but that was to be expected. The Packers remain at home after allowing the 49ers to visit with a defense that was actually bigger than the Packers offense. The Packers swept the Bears last season, winning 27-17 in Chicago and later 35-21 in Green Bay. The Packers need this win to get back on track but the Bears won't make it easy with an offense that looks improved.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU -----
2 @GB ----- 11 @SF -----
3 STL ----- 12 MIN -----
4 @DAL ----- 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC ----- 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET ----- 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR ----- 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: Opening up the season against the worst team from the previous year can give an unrealistic view of how good you are. But the Bears were hitting on all cylinders and losing the Mike Martz scheme seemed to really do the trick. Where once Jay Cutler was running around throwing to a never-ending cast of receivers, the offense was much more traditional. In fantasy terms, instead of having five or six guys with very mediocre to no fantasy value now there are only a couple but they are really producing.

Cutler ended with 333 yards and two scores against the Colts that was split between Brandon Marshall and everyone else. Marshall had 15 targets and nine receptions for 119 yards and one score. It was a throwback to the pitch and catch days back in Denver. No other receiver or tight end mattered other than the rookie Alshon Jeffrey who took five passes and caught three with 80 yards and a score. Only having to worry about two receivers for fantasy purposes? Nirvana.

The rest of the receivers were even worse than when Martz was still calling plays. Granted - one week at home against the worst team from the previous year hardly proves a major turnaround but then again - it looked every bit as good as you could hope.

Cutler passed for 302 yards and two scores at home against the Packers and later settled for 242 yards and one touchdown in Green Bay.

Matt Forte looked like he was in mid-season form with 16 runs for 80 yards (5.0 YPC) and one touchdown with three receptions gaining 40 more yards. What is troubling - especially for future games where the Bears may not have 28 carries to split up - is that Michael Bush has a significant role. He was given 12 runs and he gained 42 yards with two touchdowns. Both scores were in the first half from the one-yard line. Forte's score game from six yards out. Bush had no role as a receiver which may be a saving grace for Forte. But he was there for the short yardage gimmee touchdowns.

Forte only gained two yards on nine runs in the last game at Green Bay though he added 80 yards on seven receptions. The Packers were softer against the run last week but that was a product of the 49ers defense giving them field position and plenty of reasons to run the ball and chew up the clock - probably not a luxury for the Bears. Bush holds much less attraction here with the Packers likely to not give up many one-yard opportunities. But the passing game should shine once again against a secondary that just allowed two scores and 211 yards to Alex Smith.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 8 2 2 32 10 4
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 21 20 20 17 26 13

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI @MIA 30100026012 ***
Trubisky three six TD passes in his Week 4 game before the bye. He had two in his prior three games, both coming in Week 2. He's a no better lineup option than for superflex or two-QB formats against a Miami defense that has allowed 284.2 yards (13th most) but only the fifth-fewest fantasy points per contest.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jordan Howard, CHI @MIA 5012200000 ***
The matchup for Howard is ideal. This is the sixth-best opponent for offensive yardage gained (7th in rushing and receiving individually). Howard returns from his bye week and should be more involved after a questionable workload leading up to the week off. RBs have scored once in every 23.4 touches, ranking as the ninth-easiest defense against which to score.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Tarik Cohen, CHI @MIA 3004300000 ***
Miami has allowed four rushing and three receiving touchdowns in the first five games, providing the seventh-most rushing yards along the way. Cohen's best utility is in PPR as a flex gamble. This matchup ranks sixth in receptions, seventh in aerial yardage and seventh in ease of receiving TDs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taylor Gabriel, CHI @MIA 005601000 ***
Miami has given up a fair amount of yardage (171.6/game) but has been strong otherwise vs. the position. Gabriel has 27 targets in his last three games and no fewer than four catches. He enjoyed a 30.4-point game in PPR in the Week 4 game before Chicago went on its bye. A lack of yardage has depressed his fantasy stock, but as long as he is involved, cautiously utilize him as a low-end WR3 or decent flex.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Allen Robinson II, CHI @MIA 003500000 ***
He scored his first touchdown as a Bear before the Week 5 bye but hasn't topped seven targets in all but one game. The veteran is still rounding into form after missing practically all of 2017 with an ACL tear. Fresh off that week-long vacation, Robinson has moderate appeal and a tough matchup. Only three times a receiver has scored against the Dolphins in five games this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Anthony Miller, CHI @MIA 003400000 *
The rookie is close to returning from a dislocated shoulder and could play this week. Check back for an update. The matchup is poor, though, suggesting he's best left in reserve if he indeed plays.

Update: Miller has been removed from the injury report.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Trey Burton, CHI @MIA 003300000 ***
Returning from the bye week, Burton is on a three-game roll. Miami, however, has been awfully strong vs. tight ends in 2018. Despite giving up 53.8 yards per game (13th most), none of the 22 catches have made it into the end zone (9th-lowest frequency), making this the eighth-hardest matchup to exploit. That includes matchups with Gronk, Delanie Walker and Jared Cook, all of whom were held to fewer than 53 yards.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, CHI @MIA 2222 ***
No writeup available

Green Bay Packers
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF 22-30 10 BYE -----
2 CHI ----- 11 @DET -----
3 @SEA ----- 12 @NYG -----
4 NO ----- 13 MIN -----
5 @IND ----- 14 DET -----
6 @HOU ----- 15 @CHI -----
7 @STL ----- 16 TEN -----
8 JAC ----- 17 @MIN -----
9 ARI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 20,1 320,3
WR Randall Cobb 5-70
TE Jimmy Graham 7-80,1
TE Lance Kendricks 3-30
TE Marcedes Lewis 4-50,1
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Packers seemed unbeatable in 2011 other than one trap game in Kansas City. Opening at home would surely mean a win regardless of opponent but that's not going to be true. The 49ers came in with a predictably bad-ass defense but their offense fared far better than expected. It wasn't even a lock that they had an offense coming in. But they outscored the Pack in Green Bay and then thwarted the comeback attempt.

Several interesting aspects to that game were seen. Cedric Benson's race up the rankings may have been premature since he only gained 18 yards on nine carries and had no receptions which was expected. Aaron Rodgers was still the leading rusher (5-27). The Packers do not want a ground game beyond the ability to punch in a short score (provided Rodgers does not take it like normal) and to get a few first downs along the way. The opportunity should be akin to Stevan Ridley who gets to play defenses on their heels from the Patriots passing attack. At least last week, no such benefit existed against the 49ers still very potent defense.

The Packers had some success running the ball on the Bears last year but it is too early to rely on Benson for anything beyond some marginal rushing yardage. The Bears defense should be good enough to keep him at bay this week as well unless the Packers get a really big lead. On passing downs, the Packers took to using Randall Cobb in the backfield and that resulted in him leading the team with nine receptions for 77 yards. That's bad for Benson but great for Cobb. It seems a genius move really - the speedy and elusive Cobb barely has room on either side. Why not put him in the backfield? If it works it could start something new in the NFL. This is really something to watch.

The 49ers were able to largely take Greg Jennings (5-34) and Jordy Nelson (5-64) out of the game plan but Cobb and James Jones (4-81, TD) both stepped up along with Jermichael Finley (7-47, TD).

Jennings is listed as doubtful to play because of a groin strain and will be a game time decision. That makes James Jones more interesting and Jennings a huge risk to rely on.

This still remains a potent offense with a lot of weapons. The Packers had a rough opening that they lost at the end. This week is a restart at home against a familiar opponent. That should get them back on track.

 

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 7 32 3 6 32 10
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 12 6 24 23 2 22

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Aaron Rodgers, GB SF 10000032030 ***
The 265 yards a game against the 49ers ranks only 19th, but this defense has broken at the second-highest rate with a TD surrendered every 9.4 receptions. Rodgers, after toiling away in mediocrity following Week 1, rebounded with a monster game in a comeback bid vs. Detroit last week. Even with damaged goods at receiver, No. 12 is a fine No. 1 in fantasy this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Aaron Jones, GB SF 6012100000 **
Jones has been productive with limited work the last three games since returning from suspension. It remains to be seen if the Packers will utilize him more, and if they do, if it will hamper his efficacy. San Francisco comes to Lambeau with a fine matchup to exploit. This is the No. 7 PPR matchup and 10th in standard scoring. It is better for pass-catching backs, of which Jones isn't exactly a prime example, though he is capable.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jamaal Williams, GB SF 5002200000 ***
Running backs have scored six times total against San Fran this year, or once every 23.5 offensive touches, which rates as the 10th-easiest efficiency factor. Williams is pretty well useless in fantasy without finding the end zone. Play him only if you must.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Davante Adams, GB SF 0081001000 ***
Adams has a chance at becoming the third receiver to top 100 yards vs. the 49ers in 2018 (Adam Thielen, Golden Tate) and first since Week 2. Six different wideouts have scored vs. this group on 57 catches, ranking as the ninth-easiest team to score against.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marquez Valdes-Scantling, GB SF 004601000 ***
A good matchup offers some hope if the rookie is indeed involved with injuries possibly keeping Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison out of action for this Monday Night Football tilt. San Francisco has permitted receiver scores at the ninth-easiest rate.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Equanimeous St. Brown, GB SF 002400000 *
The rookie could see some work if Randall Cobb and Geronimo Allison remain out. Even still, he has no fantasy value at this time.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jimmy Graham, GB SF 006601000 ***
Graham saw a season-high 11 targets this past week with Green Bay facing multiple receiver injuries. He converted six of them for 76 yards and still has the lone score on the year from Week 4. San Francisco has allowed a league-high four TDs on just 19 catches, but the matchup is negative for reception volume and yardage.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mason Crosby, GB SF 1144 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 2
2012
* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t