Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: DAL 24, SEA 20 (Line: DAL by 3)

Players to watch: Kevin Ogletree, Russell Wilson, Braylon Edwards

Players Updated: Marshawn Lynch, Jason Witten

The Cowboys come off their surprise handling of the reigning Super Bowl Champs which not only pleased the Dallas fans but left them asking "Where the hell was that last January?" The Cowboys won 23-13 in Seattle in week 9 of last year where the Seahawks return after then were handled by the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday. Both teams are now sporting good defenses but so far the Cowboys are the only one with an offense to use as well. Another plus - Dallas has been off for the last 11 days by the time they play in this game.

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI -----
2 @SEA ----- 11 CLE -----
3 TB ----- 12 WAS -----
4 CHI ----- 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL ----- 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR ----- 16 NO -----
8 NYG ----- 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel 200,1
QB Tony Romo 10 260,2
RB Darren McFadden 50 6-60
WR Dez Bryant 5-80,1
TE Jason Witten 4-50,1
PK Dan Bailey 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Big win over a long-time nemesis of the Giants. What was most notable about the game was that the Dallas defense looked very good. Like the additions of LCB Brandon Carr and the rookie RCB Morris Claiborne were exactly what the defense had been lacking for maybe the last 20 years or so. Eli Manning tried to pick on the rookie with minimal success.

It was a game where it all worked for the Cowboys. Tony Romo looked in top form completing 22 of 29 for 307 yards and three scores with no bonehead interception at the end. He used all his receivers and showed nice mobility when he only gave up two sacks. According to my wife, this is because he got married and now has a kid. In fairness, that is what made me grow up, get serious and want to spend my Sundays away from home as well.

Another big plus was DeMarco Murray who started out slowly but then popped a 48 yard run and ended with 131 yards on 20 carries - his first ever 100 yard game away from Dallas. Murray had all the running back carries while Felix Jones spend most time on special teams as a returner.

Dez Bryant (4-85) and Miles Austin (4-73, TD) both had decent games thanks to at least one long catch from each. But the story to tell was all about Kevin Ogletree who ended with eight catches for 114 yards and two scores. His very first touchdowns after spending three years in the league. His was an aberration of immense proportions. He had never caught more than three passes or gained more than 50 yards in any game as well. But he replaces Laurent Robinson who also feasted on touchdowns last year in Dallas. There is always a chance that the undrafted, fourth-year player is just now breaking out. But mostly it's just a great game that happened to be on week one in front of the entire country.

Jason Witten was able to return from his lacerated spleen and play though he was only thrown three passes and caught just two for ten yards. He was much more of a decoy than a threat. WIth 11 days passing until this game, Witten should be a bigger factor this week.

Facing the Seahawks in Seattle means going against a very good defense that stuffed the Cardinals nearly enough to win. The Cowboys defense will come into play here by keeping the need for a big score down. It will be a good test for the offense in another road game but not against a well-known divisional opponent and all that carries with it.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 3 22 1 25 23 20
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 7 7 17 12 16 19

QB Tony Romo, DAL CAR 0000025012 ***
Romo is reasonably matchup proof, but you do need to dial back expectations against a Carolina defense that's allowed an average of 227 passing yards and one TD in four road games.
RB Darren McFadden, DAL CAR 6017600000 ***
Since displacing Joseph Randle McFadden has three 100-yard games but only one TD. The Panthers have allowed only one 100-yard rusher all season, but it came on the road--plus they've allowed RB rushing scores in three straight road games. If the Cowboys are going to keep giving McFadden 20-plus carries behind that line, and so long as he stays healthy, he's a weekly must-start regardless of matchup.
WR Terrance Williams, DAL CAR 005701000 ***
Tony Romo's return floats all boats, but Carolina has allowed only one team to have multiple wideouts top 55 yards in the same game so you likely can find better fantasy options than Cowboys secondary receivers.
WR Dez Bryant, DAL CAR 005500000 **
Carolina's secondary has been stout--only six WR TDs all year--but they're not infallible. And Dez is... well, Dez. He's matchup-proof, though temper your expectations accordingly.
WR Cole Beasley, DAL CAR 003200000 ***
Beasley has seen just four targets since Tony Romo's return, and this matchup is far too stiff for lightly targeted tertiary receivers to warrant fantasy attention.
TE Jason Witten, DAL CAR 005500000 ***
Cowboys tight ends have done virtually nothing of fantasy note since the season opener, and in recent weeks the Panthers have kept the likes of Jordan Reed and Delanie Walker in check. You should be able to find a more palatable option this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL CAR 2222 ***
Bailey's been ordinary this season, with or without Tony Romo at the helm. A stout Carolina defense won't make things any easier.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ -----
2 DAL ----- 11 BYE -----
3 GB ----- 12 @MIA -----
4 @STL ----- 13 @CHI -----
5 @CAR ----- 14 ARI -----
6 NE ----- 15 @BUF -----
7 @SF ----- 16 SF -----
8 @DET ----- 17 STL -----
9 MIN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 30 190,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 100,1 2-10
WR Doug Baldwin 2-20
TE Jimmy Graham 7-80,1
PK Steven Hauschka 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks found a strong rushing attack last year when Marshawn Lynch exploded after the first couple of weeks of the season. Already owning a very good defense, the only remaining piece of the puzzle seemed to be quarterback since it ended up that Tarvaris Jackson actually was not NFL starting quality. So they brought in Matt Flynn at great expense only to see him outplayed by the rookie Russell Wilson.

But going against nothing but first team starters in Arizona, he only completed 18 of 34 for 153 yards and one touchdown with an interception and a lost fumble. It is expected that he would start slowly and that is sure to play into this game. If he continues to struggle they may end up back with Flynn but the coaches all continue to support Wilson.

Marshawn Lynch was not bothered by back spasms much like last year and ended with 85 yards on 21 carries against the Cardinals. Robert Turbin was limited to only two runs for five yards and you can continue to expect that Lynch handles the heavy load. He remains the focal point of the offense.

To the credit of Wilson, he tried to connect with his starting wideouts. He threw nine passes to both Sidney Rice (4-36, TD) and Braylon Edwards (5-43) and six went to Doug Baldwin. He's not relying on tight ends and running backs - he's getting the ball downfield and had a few drops work against him.

Unfortunately, this will be a challenging week since the Cowboys defense appears to be much improved and their offense will be able to post points better than the Cardinals if last week holds true. It is always an advantage to play in Seattle but this may be as hard a matchup as visits outside of the 49ers.

Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 28 25 26 26 11 19
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 13 8 21 8 12

QB Russell Wilson, SEA PIT 30000024011 ***
DangerRuss destroyed a hapless Niners defense with his first multi-TD game in two months. The Steelers will be a tougher nut to crack, as they've held four of the last five (and six of eight) QBs they've faced to one TD or less. No reason to think lightning strikes twice for Wilson.
RB Thomas Rawls, SEA PIT 8013200000 ***
Rawls replaces the injured Marshawn Lynch in an extremely tough matchup with a Steelers defense that's allowed only two RB TDs on the season. That said, they let replacement back Charcandrick West rush for 110 and a touch against them the last time they hit the road. Rawls has 100-plus yards in three of the four games in which he's seen double-digit touches, so he's at least worth a shot even with the difficult matchup.
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA PIT 005600000 ***
Baldwin is the closest thing the Seahawks have to a reliable receiver, which makes him most likely to take advantage of a Pittsburgh secondary that's allowed six WR TDs and four 100-yard receivers in the past five games.
WR Tyler Lockett, SEA PIT 003500000 ***
Lockett scored twice last week and is Seattle's closest approximation to a WR2. That puts him in position to capitalize on the opportunities presented by a Steelers defense that's allowed three wideouts to score or top 65 yards in each of the last two games, and a total of 12 wide receivers to hit those marks in the past five games.
TE Jimmy Graham, SEA PIT 006701000 **
At this juncture Graham has been reduced to a matchup tight end, but at least this week he has a favorable matchup with a Steelers defense that's allowed eight TE TDs on the year and gave up 65 and 1 to Gary Barnidge the last time they took the field.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Steven Hauschka, SEA PIT 4322 ***
Hauschka's been consistent, just not particularly productive. Maybe Pittsburgh lends a helping hand; they've allowed multiple field goals in three straight on the road.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t