Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: DAL 24, SEA 20 (Line: DAL by 3)

Players to watch: Kevin Ogletree, Russell Wilson, Braylon Edwards

Players Updated: Marshawn Lynch, Jason Witten

The Cowboys come off their surprise handling of the reigning Super Bowl Champs which not only pleased the Dallas fans but left them asking "Where the hell was that last January?" The Cowboys won 23-13 in Seattle in week 9 of last year where the Seahawks return after then were handled by the Arizona Cardinals last Sunday. Both teams are now sporting good defenses but so far the Cowboys are the only one with an offense to use as well. Another plus - Dallas has been off for the last 11 days by the time they play in this game.

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI -----
2 @SEA ----- 11 CLE -----
3 TB ----- 12 WAS -----
4 CHI ----- 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL ----- 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR ----- 16 NO -----
8 NYG ----- 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Cassel 200,1
QB Tony Romo 10 260,2
QB Brandon Weeden 20 150
RB Darren McFadden 50 6-60
WR Dez Bryant 5-80,1
TE Jason Witten 4-50,1
PK Dan Bailey 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Big win over a long-time nemesis of the Giants. What was most notable about the game was that the Dallas defense looked very good. Like the additions of LCB Brandon Carr and the rookie RCB Morris Claiborne were exactly what the defense had been lacking for maybe the last 20 years or so. Eli Manning tried to pick on the rookie with minimal success.

It was a game where it all worked for the Cowboys. Tony Romo looked in top form completing 22 of 29 for 307 yards and three scores with no bonehead interception at the end. He used all his receivers and showed nice mobility when he only gave up two sacks. According to my wife, this is because he got married and now has a kid. In fairness, that is what made me grow up, get serious and want to spend my Sundays away from home as well.

Another big plus was DeMarco Murray who started out slowly but then popped a 48 yard run and ended with 131 yards on 20 carries - his first ever 100 yard game away from Dallas. Murray had all the running back carries while Felix Jones spend most time on special teams as a returner.

Dez Bryant (4-85) and Miles Austin (4-73, TD) both had decent games thanks to at least one long catch from each. But the story to tell was all about Kevin Ogletree who ended with eight catches for 114 yards and two scores. His very first touchdowns after spending three years in the league. His was an aberration of immense proportions. He had never caught more than three passes or gained more than 50 yards in any game as well. But he replaces Laurent Robinson who also feasted on touchdowns last year in Dallas. There is always a chance that the undrafted, fourth-year player is just now breaking out. But mostly it's just a great game that happened to be on week one in front of the entire country.

Jason Witten was able to return from his lacerated spleen and play though he was only thrown three passes and caught just two for ten yards. He was much more of a decoy than a threat. WIth 11 days passing until this game, Witten should be a bigger factor this week.

Facing the Seahawks in Seattle means going against a very good defense that stuffed the Cardinals nearly enough to win. The Cowboys defense will come into play here by keeping the need for a big score down. It will be a good test for the offense in another road game but not against a well-known divisional opponent and all that carries with it.

Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 3 22 1 25 23 20
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 7 7 17 12 16 19

QB Brandon Weeden, DAL NE 0000025011 ***
Weeden has flirted with the fringe of fantasy relevancy but has been limited by just 26 attempts in each of his first two starts. Every QB to face New England this season has had to throw at least 30 times to keep up, even the run-first Bills, and the increase in volume should push Weeden onto the fantasy radar this week.
RB Joseph Randle, DAL NE 7011100000 ***
Randle remains the lead dog in the Cowboys' backfield committee, but unless Dallas compensates for the loss of Lance Dunbar by increasing Randle's role he's looking at a mid-tier fantasy effort at best.
RB Darren McFadden, DAL NE 3005400000 ***
McFadden continues to lurk, shaving touches off other backs without garnering fantasy value of his own. If he steps into Lance Dunbar's pass catching role that could change, but he hasn't been targeted for two games so that's a wish at best. Keep him on your fantasy bench until his role evolves into something with some fantasy reliability to it.
WR Cole Beasley, DAL NE 006700000 ***
Beasley should see an uptick as he kind of fills the void left by the injury to pass-catching back Lance Dunbar. His 6-62 last week falls right in the Patriots wheelhouse, as they've allowed seven different receivers to top 55 yards this season but only one went beyond 70. There's PPR help here, but the ceiling is low.
WR Terrance Williams, DAL NE 006500000 ***
The Patriots have allowed seven different wideouts to top 55 yards this season but only Antonio Brown to top 70. Williams isn't in that class, nor will he be that heavily targeted, so you have an idea of where his fantasy upside falls.
TE Jason Witten, DAL NE 006601000 ***
The Patriots have allowed TE TDs in each of the past two games, and Heath Miller posted a solid 8-84 in the season opener. It all adds up to yet another rock-solid outing for Witten this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL NE 2222 ***
Not an overwhelmingly favorable matchup for Bailey, as you don't match the Patriots' prolific offense by settling for field goals. But he should still get you enough to remain in typical fantasy lineups.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ -----
2 DAL ----- 11 BYE -----
3 GB ----- 12 @MIA -----
4 @STL ----- 13 @CHI -----
5 @CAR ----- 14 ARI -----
6 NE ----- 15 @BUF -----
7 @SF ----- 16 SF -----
8 @DET ----- 17 STL -----
9 MIN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 30 190,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 100,1 2-10
WR Doug Baldwin 2-20
TE Jimmy Graham 7-80,1
PK Steven Hauschka 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks found a strong rushing attack last year when Marshawn Lynch exploded after the first couple of weeks of the season. Already owning a very good defense, the only remaining piece of the puzzle seemed to be quarterback since it ended up that Tarvaris Jackson actually was not NFL starting quality. So they brought in Matt Flynn at great expense only to see him outplayed by the rookie Russell Wilson.

But going against nothing but first team starters in Arizona, he only completed 18 of 34 for 153 yards and one touchdown with an interception and a lost fumble. It is expected that he would start slowly and that is sure to play into this game. If he continues to struggle they may end up back with Flynn but the coaches all continue to support Wilson.

Marshawn Lynch was not bothered by back spasms much like last year and ended with 85 yards on 21 carries against the Cardinals. Robert Turbin was limited to only two runs for five yards and you can continue to expect that Lynch handles the heavy load. He remains the focal point of the offense.

To the credit of Wilson, he tried to connect with his starting wideouts. He threw nine passes to both Sidney Rice (4-36, TD) and Braylon Edwards (5-43) and six went to Doug Baldwin. He's not relying on tight ends and running backs - he's getting the ball downfield and had a few drops work against him.

Unfortunately, this will be a challenging week since the Cowboys defense appears to be much improved and their offense will be able to post points better than the Cardinals if last week holds true. It is always an advantage to play in Seattle but this may be as hard a matchup as visits outside of the 49ers.

Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 28 25 26 26 11 19
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 13 8 21 8 12

QB Russell Wilson, SEA @CIN 40000025021 ***
After failing to do much against NFC North foes the past fortnight Wilson switches to the AFC and a much tougher defense. The upside to his passing line is two TDs and mediocre yardage, but he's rushed at least six times in every game--and all five quarterbacks with six or more carries against the Bengals since the start of the 2012 season have added 50-plus rushing yards to their bottom line, with four of them scoring a rushing TD as well.
RB Thomas Rawls, SEA @CIN 5005300000 ***
If Rawls has the full workload--no Marshawn Lynch, no Fred Jackson--he's maybe a fringe fantasy option at best against a defense that has yet to allow a RB rushing score. And if he's job-sharing, he's flat-out bench fodder.

Update: Lynch has officially been ruled out, leaving Rawls to face a tough matchup. He's a low-end bye-week plug-in play at best.
WR Jermaine Kearse, SEA @CIN 006701000 ***
Kearse has 75-plus yards all three times he's made it to the field, but banking on the Seahawks for passing game consistency feels hinky--especially when you note his targets have decreased each game. Reward isn't high enough to offset the risk.
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA @CIN 006501000 ***
Baldwin's been reasonably consistent out of the Seattle slot, but the upside is limited so it's barely worth the risk to plug him in against a quality secondary that's allowed just two receivers to top 55 yards this season.
WR Tyler Lockett, SEA @CIN 004500000 ***
Lockett lines up on the right side, and the past two games right-side wideouts have gutted the Bengals for 13-186-2 (Steve Smith) and 11-148 (Jeremy Maclin). Sadly, Lockett won't see anywhere near the 17 and 13 targets that duo received, so his upside remains limited--and a return score your best bet for fantasy help.
TE Jimmy Graham, SEA @CIN 005400000 ***
Remember when Jimmy Graham used to be a fantasy deity? Now he's just like everybody else: occasional big game, mostly a lot of heartbreak. He's topped out at eight targets, a number he bested eight times last season. Making matters worse, he's facing a Bengals D that has yet to allow a TE TD and has held every TE they've faced under 50 yards.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Steven Hauschka, SEA @CIN 1122 ***
Seattle's settling for field goals, and the Bengals are holding opposing teams to treys instead of TDs--like Cairo Santos' seven three-pointers last week. Sets up nicely for Steven.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t