Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: DET 17, SF 27 (Line: SF by 6.5)

Players to watch: Brandon Pettigrew

Players Updated: Calvin Johnson

The Lions outlasted the Rams but that should have never been such a close game. The 49ers return home after their upset of the Packers in Green Bay and now that the offense is looking as good as the defense, this team might be scary "let meet in New Orleans on February 3rd" kind of good.

The 49ers won 25-19 in Detroit last year.

Detroit Lions
Homefield: Ford Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 STL 27-23 10 @MIN -----
2 @SF ----- 11 GB -----
3 @TEN ----- 12 HOU -----
4 MIN ----- 13 IND -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @GB -----
6 @PHI ----- 15 @ARI -----
7 @CHI ----- 16 ATL -----
8 SEA ----- 17 CHI -----
9 @JAC ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 10 300,2
WR Anquan Boldin 4-70,1
WR Andre Roberts 5-70,1
TE Brandon Pettigrew 5-50,1
PK Matt Prater 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Facing the Rams should have been a freebie complete with party favors and time to beat the crowd home. Instead it became throwing the winning touchdown with only ten seconds left to play to secure the win. Like the Eagles, this team struggled with turnovers and almost let the unthinkable happen against a weaker opponent. Matthew Stafford passed for 355 yards but just the one score with ten seconds left to play. He also threw three interceptions including one returned for a touchdown.

Stafford passed for 293 yards and two scores when the 49ers visited last year.

Kevin Smith provided more than adequate rushing with 62 yards and one score on 13 carries and four catches for 29 yards with the game winning score. No other back had more than one carry though Joique Bell made his a touchdown from one-yard out. So far, Smith is playing well enough to be the starter and has yet to be injured.

It turned into a pass-heavy game and that meant big numbers from Calvin Johnson (6-111) and Nate Burleson (6-69) while the littlest sleeper in the league only posted once catch for 14 yards. Titus Young added a run for 11 yards but only had the two touches in the game. In the meeting with the 49ers last season, Johnson produced 113 yards on seven catches while Burleson scored on his four grabs for 34 yards. Titus Young - still just one catch.

What may be a sign of better things is that Brandon Pettigrew was the primary receiver with ten targets and five catches for 77 yards. Pettigrew scored once and collected eight receptions for 42 yards in the last meeting with the 49ers.

Playing in San Francisco is not going to be any easier and the 49ers just dropped the hammer on the Packers in Green Bay. The rushing effort is about to get a major slow down but Matthew Stafford will get his passing yards if only later in the game when it no longer matters.

Gaining Fantasy Points DET 18 3 18 2 15 26
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 26 1 30 27 1 23

QB Matthew Stafford, DET WAS 0000024021 ***
Quarterbacks have averaged only one passing touchdown per game versus Washington. This D has four interceptions in six contests and checks in among the 10 toughest matchups. Stafford is the offense of the Lions, so benching him is ill-advised, but lowering expectations is appropriate.
RB Dwayne Washington, DET WAS 3002100000 *
Washington was limited Wednesday and has a shot at playing this week as part of a committee approach. Return for a Friday update.
RB Justin Forsett, DET WAS 2001100000 ***
Forsett has no fantasy value and, frankly, looks washed up. Avoid him regardless of what happens with Theo Riddick.
RB Zach Zenner, DET WAS 300000000 *
Washington has allowed a rushing score every 20 carries, and backs have averaged 122.3 yards on the ground -- the third most in the NFL. Zenner is limited because of a committee in Detroit and his overall lack of talent.
WR Marvin Jones Jr., DET WAS 006701000 **
It's unclear if Jones will draw Josh Norman, but one can assume so with relative safety assured. Play him, but keep your expectations at a moderate level.
WR Anquan Boldin, DET WAS 006401000 ***
The Redskins pose a tough matchup, ranking as the seventh worst for wideouts. The position has averaged 12.2 receptions, 169.8 yards and a score every 14.6 catches.
WR Golden Tate, DET WAS 004400000 ***
Tate exploded last week after a miserable start to the season. Will it continue? Probably not this week, unless Washington makes errors in coverage and affords him a huge play. Tate is a PPR flex against the seventh hardest WR matchup.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Matt Prater, DET WAS 2222 ***
Kickers have been perfect -- 10-for-10 on FGAs and 16-for-16 on XPAs -- against the Redskins. Prater should be a sound fantasy play, particularly if Detroit continues to struggle on the ground.

San Francisco 49ers
Homefield: Monster Park
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @GB 30-22 10 STL -----
2 DET ----- 11 CHI -----
3 @MIN ----- 12 @NO -----
4 @NYJ ----- 13 @STL -----
5 BUF ----- 14 MIA -----
6 NYG ----- 15 @NE -----
7 SEA ----- 16 @SEA -----
8 @ARI ----- 17 ARI -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Blaine Gabbert 10 200,1
QB Christian Ponder 200,1
WR Jeremy Kerley 2-20
WR Torrey Smith 3-60
WR Rod Streater 2-30
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: If ever one game said this is the year, this is the year. The 49ers went to Green Bay where they held the Packers to two offensive touchdowns and one returned punt. Cedric Benson went from glowing reports to only gaining 18 yards on nine carries. They held the three main receivers to less than 65 yards each. But it was not only a defensive victory.

The 49ers offense - on the road - scored three times and kicked three field goals. Alex Smith completed 20 of 26 for 211 yard and two touchdowns with no turnovers. He relied mostly on Michael Crabtree (7-76) but threw touchdowns to Randy Moss (4-47) and Vernon Davis (3-43). The passing stats may have gone bigger but the rushing attack was holding it own.

Frank Gore gained 112 yards and one score on just 16 carries like it was the first half of 2011 again. He looked fresh and fast. Kendall Hunter was given nine runs and gained 41 yards but was not thrown any passes.

It was an offense that just all worked and took down the same team that went 15-1 last season. At their house.

This week is a rematch of sorts with the Lions and last year Gore rumbled for 141 yards and a score on just 15 carries. Crabtree ended with 77 yards and nine receptions but that may change with the new receivers. This offense has regained the rushing form of last season and is not only passing more, but passing better and more efficiently. Attach that to perhaps the best defense in the league and yeah, maybe this is the year.

I like the chance of a defensive score this week.

Gaining Fantasy Points SF 12 13 13 16 7 18
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 8 9 10 5 24 29

QB Colin Kaepernick, SF TB 50000020011 ***
The cobwebs have been swept away with his Week 6 start, so now we should start to see more of the old Kaepernick. Tampa Bay had an extra week, but traveling to San Francisco may mitigate some of that advantage. This is a statistically even matchup.
RB Mike Davis, SF TB 401000000 **
Davis saw the No. 2 work when Carlos Hyde went down last week. He didn't fare so well and will share touches with Shaun Draughn in Week 7. The matchup is the 10th easiest for RBs, but there is a lot of risk to assume for potentially low rewards.
RB Shaun Draughn, SF TB 3004200000 **
Draughn should split with Mike Davis if Carlos Hyde cannot play. The matchup is on the lower end of being positive, but there is more risk than potential reward here.
WR Quinton Patton, SF TB 005501000 **
In Week 6, Patton had his best game since Week 1 with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. It was still 4-52-0, but that's a step in the right direction. Tampa offers a great matchup. Only San Fran, incidentally, has given up more TDs on fewer catches.

Update: Patton could see more work if Torrey Smith (back) doesn't go.
WR Jeremy Kerley, SF TB 005500000 **
The jury remains out on whether Kerley can get it done without Blaine Gabbert's short-passing game. He's a flex play versus this defense, the 12th easiest matchup overall.

Update: Kerley could see more targets if Torrey Smith (back) sits out.
WR Torrey Smith, SF TB 002400000 **
Smith is better overall with Colin Kaepernick because of his arm strength. Receivers have allowed nine TDs on 58 catches. He's still a very risky play and closer to bench territory.

Update: Smith showed up Thursday with a sore back and was listed as limited again on Friday. He's a game-time decision.
TE Vance McDonald, SF TB 002200000 **
Tampa didn't give up many points to tight ends until facing Greg Olsen. That's largely because this D did see a legit player at the position. Don't get excited about McDonald, and consider him easily suppressed.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Phil Dawson, SF TB 2222 ***
Dawson has not delivered for fantasy owners this year, which isn't exactly his fault. He'll see more week than usual this week if you're in need of a fantasy foot.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t