Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: KC 24, BUF 20 (Line: BUF by 3)

Players to watch: Dexter McCluster, T.J. Graham

The Chiefs leave home after being pummeled by the Falcons who just made it look easy while the Bills return home after being waxed by the Jets that no one suspected of having an offense. This is a coin flip game but you have to like that the Bills just lost Fred Jackson again. And David Nelson. And the Bills embarrassed the Chiefs in week one last year way before everyone figured out the Buffalo offense.

The Bills won their 2011 season opener when they beat the Chiefs 41-7 in Kansas City.

Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 24-40 10 @PIT -----
2 @BUF ----- 11 CIN -----
3 @NO ----- 12 DEN -----
4 SD ----- 13 CAR -----
5 BAL ----- 14 @CLE -----
6 @TB ----- 15 @OAK -----
7 BYE ----- 16 IND -----
8 OAK ----- 17 @DEN -----
9 @SD ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC @ BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 10 200,1

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs were soundly beaten by the Falcons but that was more about how good Atlanta is this year and not as much about the Chiefs who did post 24 points. Matt Cassel passed for a credible 258 yards and one score but lost a fumble and tossed two interceptions. He also rushed in one score. It wasn't a winning effort but it was not a bad game. The Chiefs have a tough schedule with the AFC East showing up but Cassel looks like he'll make a game of it every time.

To his credit, he did spread the ball around. Dwayne Bowe (3-53) did not get much help other than what the Chiefs finally did with Dexter McCluster. He has been a round peg in a square hole so far, talented and dangerous and yet no one knew how to use him. Last year he flopped as a running back. This year he looks great as a wide receiver.

He led the Chiefs with six catches for 82 yards and his ten targets were four more than any other player. He was effective as a wideout split left where he could get the open space that makes him dangerous. He's the one to watch this week to see how much Cassel relies on him. The Chiefs have tried to find a suitable #2 across from Dwayne Bowe and Jon Baldwin was held without a reception this week. Steve Breaston caught just two passes. McCluster? Maybe his time has come. He looked the part.

The season opener also welcomed back Jamaal Charles who looked none the worse for the year off rehabbing his knee. Charles gained 87 yards on 16 carries which was far more productive than Peyton Hillis who settled for only 16 yards on his seven runs. Once the game was out of hand, they allowed Shaun Draughn to play but he's never supposed to be a factor. Charles looked fresh and ran hard. So much for career ending injuries anymore. Important too was that Hillis was not that effective as a runner but still had seven runs.

The Bills came in and just throttled the Chiefs last year but the tables are turned. Now the Bills have lost important players and are using an offensive scheme described as "the most predictable" in the NFL. The Chiefs just got every one back from injury and will make some amends on last year when the season was lost before it even started.

Gaining Fantasy Points KC 10 1 32 8 22 30
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 28 15 29 9 25 32

QB Alex Smith, KC PHI 20100020000 ***
Coming off of a monster Week 1 showing, the real Alex Smith will shine through the fog. Last season, he exploded in Week 1 and failed to come close to that performance the rest of the way. Philly is a stout pass defense and should keep him in check.
RB Kareem Hunt, KC PHI 10014200000 ***
The do-all back will come back down to this planet after enjoying a history season opener. Philly is going to be a much better challenge for the Chiefs up front than the Pats were last week, but Andy Reid is creative enough to find ways to get the ball to Hunt in space.
WR Tyreek Hill, KC PHI 2006800000 ***
The matchup is mediocre. Hill can score from anywhere on the planet, but the volume isn't ideal. Downgrade him a tick as a starting WR2 or No. 3.
WR Chris Conley, KC PHI 002300000 ***
Philly allowed 14 catches for 152 yards against Washington in Week 1. A dropped TD should have been in that stat line, for whatever it matters. Conley isn't a logical play.
WR Albert Wilson, KC PHI 002200000 ***
Wilson doesn't warrant a roster spot, much less starting consideration.
TE Travis Kelce, KC PHI 005600000 ***
Kelce is a must-play asset each week. New England focused on removing him from the game plan last week, apparently forgetting about everyone else along the way. Philly was awesome in 2016 against TEs, and last week it held its own.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cairo Santos, KC PHI 3333 ***
The Eagles gave up only five kicking points last week against a much worse offense than KC's. Try to get your mitts on any piece of this offense, including Santos, for the time being.

Buffalo Bills
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ 28-48 10 @NE -----
2 KC ----- 11 MIA -----
3 @CLE ----- 12 @IND -----
4 NE ----- 13 JAC -----
5 @SF ----- 14 STL -----
6 @ARI ----- 15 SEA -----
7 TEN ----- 16 @MIA -----
8 BYE ----- 17 NYJ -----
9 @HOU ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB LeSean McCoy 80,1 4-20
PK Stephen Hauschka 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Bad enough that the Bills were dismantled by division rivals of the Jets but losing two starters from the offense could be hard to compensate. Fred Jackson is believed to have injured his LCL but has to wait until the swelling subsides before an accurate MRI can be taken. He's out for at least one month, maybe more. David Nelson suffered a torn ACL and has been lost for the season.

T.J. Graham gets called up to take Nelson's place but he's an untested third round rookie who has more raw talent than refined skills. Graham was able to climb the depth chart in training camp. He's worth a watch just in case he catches fire and exceeds expectations.

C.J. Spiller once again waits until Jackson is out of the picture and then suddenly he looks like the second coming of O.J. Simpson. Spiller led the league with 169 rushing yards on 14 carries with one score and added two catches as well. He's undeniably fast and dangerous and for whatever reason needs Jackson out to show it. Tashard Choice moves up to be the primary backup but for now, the offense becomes the Spiller Show.

Steve Johnson (4-55) and Donald Brown (5-41) both scored against the Jets but the stats were all pedestrian last week outside of Spiller. Johnson scored once in the 2011 meeting while both he and David Nelson ended with four receptions for 66 yards.

Seemingly on cue from last year, Scott Chandler opens the year with a touchdown. Now we have to see if he disappears the rest of the year again. Chances are good.

The Bills at home won't be a push over but also should allow those better weapons of the Chiefs to be the difference in the game. A loss here and the Bills are already looking up hill this year.

Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 16 6 14 13 30 27
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 32 3 28 26 30 21

QB Tyrod Taylor, BUF @CAR 30000023011 **
Traveling to Carolina, Taylor is a shaky play in any setup. The Bills simply don't have the weaponry to instill any confidence in fantasy owners to start Taylor.
RB LeSean McCoy, BUF @CAR 8016500000 ***
Shady is the Bills offense at this point. There is no reason to deviate from him in any regular format. His DFS appeal may be a little lower than usual this week, however.
WR Jordan Matthews, BUF @CAR 005601000 **
Trusting Matthews will be the biggest hurdle in this one. He had little time to develop any rapport with Tyrod Taylor, and the matchup isn't friendly. That said, this is an optimistic projection. Treat him as a flier.
WR Zay Jones, BUF @CAR 003400000 **
Volume will carry Jones' fantasy worth in PPR leagues, but there just isn't much of it in this offense. Toss in a tough matchup and Jones is a shaky consideration.
WR Andre Holmes, BUF @CAR 002200000 ***
Holmes' only fantasy value comes when he finds the end zone, which is a fool's bet.
TE Charles Clay, BUF @CAR 005400000 ***
Clay isn't much of a volume target for the Bills, even though this offense sorely lacks weapons. There isn't much going on here without a TD reception, so view Clay as more of the "all or nothing" type in fantasy. Carolina gave up five short receptions to the position last week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Stephen Hauschka, BUF @CAR 0022 ***
Caroline permitted San Fran just a field goal in Week 1. Hauschka is a fair choice in most formats.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

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