Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: NYJ 13, PIT 23 (Line: PIT by 6)

Players to watch: Stephen Hill, Jeremy Kerley

Players Updated: Jeremy Kerley, Dustin Keller, Jonathan Dwyer, Stephen Hill, Ben Roethlisberger, Antonio Brown, Mike Wallace

We need this week. Right now, there is no way of knowing who the Jets really are. After a preseason where they could not score a touchdown against players who are currently mowing your lawn, The Jets laid a smackdown on the Bills with the highest score in the league. That is the sort of turnaround that makes you dizzy. The Steelers come off a loss to the PMannings in Denver and need a home game this week to collect their thoughts and get back on track. It all seems like week one where the Jets faced a bad team and the Steelers went against a good one.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 48-28 10 @SEA -----
2 @PIT ----- 11 @STL -----
3 @MIA ----- 12 NE -----
4 SF ----- 13 ARI -----
5 HOU ----- 14 @JAC -----
6 IND ----- 15 @TEN -----
7 @NE ----- 16 SD -----
8 MIA ----- 17 @BUF -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ @ PIT Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 10 260,2
RB Matt Forte 60 6-60
RB Bilal Powell 10 2-10
WR Eric Decker 7-70
WR Brandon Marshall 8-110,1
TE Kellen Davis 1-10
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: It helps to know the Bills intimately from being division mates and playing at home. Apparently a lot. Mark Sanchez went from being the Clown Prince to throwing for 266 yards and three scores on the Bills. Chances are the New York newspapers were late on Monday morning because it took so long to digest what happened and completely change gears about the Jets for one week at least.

Sanchez had success with Santonio Holmes (4-68) but did his damage with their 2,11 draft pick Stephen Hill (5-89, 2 TD) and second year player Jeremy Kerley (4-45, TD). Hill in particular is one to watch since the 6-4, 215 lb player may be the next Plaxico Burress only faster and with fewer firearms. It was only one game and against a familiar foe, but Hill was impressive and showed chemistry with Sanchez. Hill needs to be on fantasy rosters if only to stash and see.

The game went so well that Shonn Greene gained 94 yards and scored a touchdown. He only averaged 3.5 yards per carry but that's like 6.0 to an average NFL back. Even though it was a blowout, the Jets stuck with Greene instead burning up the clock with Bilal Powell or Joe McKnight. Tim Tebow came in on a few wildcat plays but only gained 11 yards on five carries and with that made Mark Sanchez very, very happy. It also meant that there were probably a hundred people in the stands with Tebow signs who just felt silly carrying them back out to their car.

One caveat to this game. Santonio Holmes faces his old team in their stadium and would love to show up for the hometown crowd. Particularly if anyone still has his old jersey. The Steelers may scheme expressly to take him away, but this will be a big motivation kind of game for Holmes. It will be his second trip back. He had 40 yards on six catches back in week 15 of 2010.

It was a great win but now the Jets hit the road to face the Steelers defense, in Pittsburgh, coming off a loss. That means rushing yardage will be low and passing success will be a major challenge. Peyton Manning at home in an offense that had no game film only passed for 253 yards and two scores. We've seen Mark Sanchez. We've followed Mark Sanchez. You, Mr. Sanchez, are no Peyton Manning.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 5 18 4 24 8 1
Preventing Fantasy Points PIT 20 10 23 24 7 28

QB Geno Smith, NYJ BAL 20000021012 *
Smith was named the starter after it appeared Ryan Fitzpatrick would remain in that role. The running game has struggled, and injury after injury has left him with just Brandon Marshall in the aerial game. Baltimore represents a neutral matchup, allowing two touchdowns and 20.3 fantasy points per game.
RB Matt Forte, NYJ BAL 6002100000 ***
Bilal Powell outplayed Forte by nearly a 2 to 1 margin in snaps last week, and the veteran has another tough matchup. Keep him in reserve.
RB Bilal Powell, NYJ BAL 1006400000 ***
Baltimore has allowed exactly zero touchdowns on 33 receptions by RBs this year. The Jets have played catch-up almost all of Week 6, forcing Powell on the field for 72 percent of the snaps. A closer game will lower his snap count.
WR Brandon Marshall, NYJ BAL 005601000 **
Marshall should be played even through a quarterback change, but it might not be pretty. He will be the focus of defensive attention against a group that has allowed 12 TDs on only 78 catches.
WR Quincy Enunwa, NYJ BAL 005600000 **
Baltimore has allowed the third most yards per game and a TD every 10.5 catches. Enunwa struggles to separate coverage and now has to deal with a new quarterback.
WR Charone Peake, NYJ BAL 002300000 ***
Peake, a seventh-round rookie, is seeing time with Eric Decker on IR. He shouldn't be seeing time in your lineup without further proving himself.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Nick Folk, NYJ BAL 3311 ***
No team presents a worse matchup for kickers. The Jets' switch to Geno Smith should give the offense a little life that will translate to more kicking opps for the veteran. Kickers have missed 50 percent of their FGAs, which is not sustainable and skews this matchup.

Pittsburgh Steelers
Homefield: Heinz Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @DEN 19-31 10 KC -----
2 NYJ ----- 11 BAL -----
3 @OAK ----- 12 @CLE -----
4 BYE ----- 13 @BAL -----
5 PHI ----- 14 SD -----
6 @TEN ----- 15 @DAL -----
7 @CIN ----- 16 CIN -----
8 WAS ----- 17 CLE -----
9 @NYG ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PIT vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Ben Roethlisberger 10 270,1
RB DeAngelo Williams 40 2-20
WR Antonio Brown 5-70
WR Darrius Heyward-Bey 5-60,1

Pregame Notes: Close loss to the Broncos in a game that was lost when Ben Roethlisberger threw an interception with 1:58 left that was returned for a 43-yard touchdown. That and allowing that Demaryius Thomas guy to yet again score a 70+ yard touchdown.

Big Ben threw for 245 yards and two scores with only the one interception but was sacked five times. He only completed 22 of 40 passes but was able to spread the ball around to his receivers. Antonio Brown (4-74) and Emmanuel Sanders (4-55) both led the team with eight targets while Mike Wallace was kept to shorter routes and still scored once on his 37 yards on four receptions. Even Heath Miller scored once on his four catches for 50 yards. It was not a huge passing effort but it was almost enough.

What was a disappointment was the rushing effort that saw Isaac Redman only gain 20 yards on his 11 carries, Jonathan Dwyer a bit better with nine runs for 43 yards and even Chris Rainey came in for two carries. All combined there was mediocre results and split up there was no fantasy value. No reason to expect anything different even when Rashard Mendenhall returns. The new passing scheme is still a work in progress but Big Ben is getting it down.

What is a positive is that the Jets just gave up a league worst 169 rushing yards to C.J. Spiller last week so expect at least some improvement in the rushing stats. Splitting up the carries won't make any one player a less than risky start though. There is also a chance that Darrell Revis is out with a concussion which would be a huge benefit for Antonio Brown. But the Steelers have enough receivers to get the job done regardless of one cornerback.

The Steelers need this win. They should play more up to their potential while the Jets return to earth.

Gaining Fantasy Points PIT 15 28 15 14 18 21
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 17 27 19 20 5 6

QB Landry Jones, PIT NE 10000019011 *
Quarterbacks have averaged 266.7 passing yards and 1.5 touchdowns through the air, adding one on the ground, against New England. Jones has the best receiver in football on his side, but the running game will be emphasized to take off some pressure.
RB Le'Veon Bell, PIT NE 8004300000 ***
No Ben Roethlisberger makes this offense sputter, and Bell can only do so much by himself. Play him as a flex and hope for the best. New England has allowed 36 grabs by RBs, so there is a small silver lining.
WR Antonio Brown, PIT NE 006601000 *
AB is the best receiver in football, and while Bill Belichick will throw the house at Landry Jones, eventually Brown will break through.
WR Sammie Coates, PIT NE 003400000 *
On average, receivers have scored once every 15.6 catches against the Patriots. Coates is barely playable with Big Ben, let alone a shell of him in Landry Jones.
WR Eli Rogers, PIT NE 004300000 ***
Rogers could see extra looks underneath as Landry Jones unloads the ball and New England focuses on AB and Le'Veon Bell. That said, keep him on the bench.
TE Jesse James, PIT NE 003200000 ***
The Patriots have allowed the fifth most receptions (34) on the year, but only two have gone for scores. Big Ben is out, and James could be a checkdown for Landry Jones. Either way, playing him is not an option.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chris Boswell, PIT NE 3311 ***
No Big Ben will go one of two ways this week: Either Pittsburgh is just good enough to kick a bunch of field goals, or New England smothers the offense. We'll lean the former.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t