Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: OAK 20, MIA 17 (Line: OAK by 2)

Players to watch: Brandon Meyers, Denarius Moore

Players Updated: Denarius Moore. (Notable - Jacoby Ford is out and appears likely to land on IR)

The Raiders come off a very painful loss to the Chargers in a game where the offense struggled and the long snapping became a study in the randomness of nature. WIth a chance to get back a few receivers and knowing that the Raiders were actually much better in road games last year (5-3), this could be a better game than last Monday suggested. The Dolphins return home after their spanking in Houston but not only did their offense struggle, but the defense was sliced up as well. This is a coin flip game but amazingly could be won by the Raiders. The Fins with Tannehill at the helm just look like they need a lot more time.

The Raiders lost 14-34 in Miami last year.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD 14-22 10 @BAL -----
2 @MIA ----- 11 NO -----
3 PIT ----- 12 @CIN -----
4 @DEN ----- 13 CLE -----
5 BYE ----- 14 DEN -----
6 @ATL ----- 15 KC -----
7 JAC ----- 16 @CAR -----
8 @KC ----- 17 @SD -----
9 TB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Michael Crabtree 5-70
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders struggled last week with a rushing game that was shut down by the Chargers and passing that became almost entirely dump offs to Darren McFadden or the tight end Brandon Meyer. With Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore out, the secondary widely attached themselves to Darrius Heyward-Bey who only managed three receptions for 43 yards.

Rod Streater got the start thanks to the other injuries and ended with ten targets for for catches and 27 yards including the one touchdown pass at the end of the game. With Heyward-Bey covered, Carson Palmer tried to find Streater but usually ended up settling for Brandon Meyer who had five receptions for 65 yards. The passing game really became Palmer looking downfield, seeing nothing before the rush was about to consume him and then throwing 18 times to Darren McFadden who ended with 13 catches for 86 yards and a nice showing for those owners in reception point leagues.

Bottom line was the Raiders offense could not run and the passing sorely missed Ford the field stretcher and Moore the most feared among the bunch. Moore has been out with a hamstring strain but returned to some practice last week. He is expected to play this week though Ford may not play yet again. A better passing game will help the rushing effort.

The Dolphins defense is decent against the run and held Arian Foster to only 79 yards on 26 carries though he scored twice. This is not likely to be a very high scoring game and in the end probably comes down to mistakes. That should affect the rookie Tannehill more than the Raiders. This week the offense needs to look in more synch and get Moore back into the lineup.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 17 5 24 15 21 32
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 11 26 11 16 27 25

QB Derek Carr, OAK @JAC 10000025020 ***
Carr should rebound a little after last week's letdown performance, but this isn't exactly an easy matchup. The Jaguars have allowed eight passing TDs in five games and just 233.3 per contest.
RB Latavius Murray, OAK @JAC 4002200000 **
Murray is progressing but remains uncertain to play.

Update: Murray is questionable and was limited Friday, so he's a true game-time decision. Should he start, playing him is a suspect choice. It would be a much easier decision if he had practiced in full on Friday.
RB Jalen Richard, OAK @JAC 2002200000 ***
Richard has value only if Latavius Murray doesn't play. Said value is middling. The Jaguars present a negative matchup for the position.
RB DeAndre Washington, OAK @JAC 200000000 ***
Washington faces a tough matchup and will split touches with Jalen Richard once again if Latavius Murray continues to miss time. Look elsewhere for a flier play.
WR Michael Crabtree, OAK @JAC 007901000 ***
Seven teams have given up a worse ratio of TDs per receptions, and Crabtree has been a TD monster in 2016. Start him with confidence.
WR Seth Roberts, OAK @JAC 002301000 ***
One out of every 10.4 catches by wideouts against the Jags has gone for a touchdown. That sounds right up Roberts' alley.
WR Amari Cooper, OAK @JAC 005700000 ***
Four teams have been bigger pushovers than Jacksonville, and Cooper is on a roll. He must be in all PPR lineups and most of standard setups.
TE Clive Walford, OAK @JAC 002300000 ***
Walford isn't involved enough to warrant a lineup spot this week. Jacksonville has given up only four catches per game and one total touchdown in five appearances by tight ends.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Sebastian Janikowski, OAK @JAC 3222 ***
Kickers have gone a perfect 12-for-12 and 13-for-13 on FGAs and XPAs, respectively, against the Jags. Jano is a good streaming play.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 10-30 10 TEN -----
2 OAK ----- 11 @BUF -----
3 NYJ ----- 12 SEA -----
4 @ARI ----- 13 NE -----
5 @CIN ----- 14 @SF -----
6 STL ----- 15 JAC -----
7 BYE ----- 16 BUF -----
8 @NYJ ----- 17 @NE -----
9 @IND ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 220,1
RB Arian Foster 80,1 4-40

Pregame Notes: It is a rebuilding year in Miami and week one made that painfully obvious with little more than Reggie Bush to drive the offense down the field. The debut of Ryan Tannehill produced 219 passing yards and three interceptions. He was also sacked three times and was unable to have any receiver gain more than 50 yards in the game. The passing game is going to be a work in process for a while.

Reggie Bush did turn in a very respectable 69 yards on 14 carries and added 46 more yards on six receptions. That dwarfed all other offensive players and Bush only saw three carries go to another back. He's destined to be a fulltime back with minimal interference at least unless he is injured. He's the best weapon that they have and the only one that carries any fantasy value so far.

The receivers who operate in a scheme described as "needing no true #1" lived up to that billing. Brian Hartline (3-50) and Davone Bess (5-45) were the starters and yet neither played like a "#1". This is a passing offense that will be sluggish while Tannehill assumedly improves. Tannehill does know the offense which is a plus but there is no SMU, Idaho or Iowa State on the schedule this time.

The positive sign here - and like the only one - is that Tannehill is using Bush as a receiver and thereby giving the world at least one player with fantasy significance. Playing at home should help and the Raiders are bringing in their own little slice of dysfunction themselves, but this looks like another long year for the Fins.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 31 11 28 29 28 13
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 10 18 6 10 32 16

QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA BUF 0000022011 ***
Buffalo has allowed a lone touchdown since Week 2, and no quarterback has thrown for more than 287 over that span. Tannehill has been a disaster for fantasy purposes and doesn't deserve a lineup spot.
RB Jay Ajayi, MIA BUF 8013200000 ***
Fresh off a career game, Ajayi has momentum. He also has a sound matchup ahead: Buffalo has given up only 78.8 rushing yards per game, but allowing a touchdown every 22.8 carries is the seventh worst rate in the NFL.
RB Arian Foster, MIA BUF 2002100000 *
Foster may not have much of a role once again, especially if Jay Ajayi finds his groove. Bench the once-dominant runner.
WR Kenny Stills, MIA BUF 001301000 **
Stills has some deep-ball skills and occasionally gets lost in the shuffle with the attention paid to Jarvis Landry and DeVante Parker. That said, he's not playable for volume reasons.
WR Jarvis Landry, MIA BUF 007700000 ***
Landry draws Buffalo's somewhat neutral matchup. Six teams have given up more yards have allowed yards per game than the Bills, which has come on a modest average of 13 receptions.
WR DeVante Parker, MIA BUF 004600000 ***
Only a handful of teams have done a better job of not giving up touchdowns to receivers, and Parker is borderline useless without scoring.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Andrew Franks, MIA BUF 1122 ***
Franks has hit only seven of 10 FGAs and all 13 of his touchdown-cappers. Only Atlanta has allowed more extra points than Buffalo's 20, but overall, this is a negative matchup for the position.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

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