Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: OAK 20, MIA 17 (Line: OAK by 2)

Players to watch: Brandon Meyers, Denarius Moore

Players Updated: Denarius Moore. (Notable - Jacoby Ford is out and appears likely to land on IR)

The Raiders come off a very painful loss to the Chargers in a game where the offense struggled and the long snapping became a study in the randomness of nature. WIth a chance to get back a few receivers and knowing that the Raiders were actually much better in road games last year (5-3), this could be a better game than last Monday suggested. The Dolphins return home after their spanking in Houston but not only did their offense struggle, but the defense was sliced up as well. This is a coin flip game but amazingly could be won by the Raiders. The Fins with Tannehill at the helm just look like they need a lot more time.

The Raiders lost 14-34 in Miami last year.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD 14-22 10 @BAL -----
2 @MIA ----- 11 NO -----
3 PIT ----- 12 @CIN -----
4 @DEN ----- 13 CLE -----
5 BYE ----- 14 DEN -----
6 @ATL ----- 15 KC -----
7 JAC ----- 16 @CAR -----
8 @KC ----- 17 @SD -----
9 TB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Roy Helu 10 4-20
WR Michael Crabtree 5-70
WR Rod Streater 2-30
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders struggled last week with a rushing game that was shut down by the Chargers and passing that became almost entirely dump offs to Darren McFadden or the tight end Brandon Meyer. With Jacoby Ford and Denarius Moore out, the secondary widely attached themselves to Darrius Heyward-Bey who only managed three receptions for 43 yards.

Rod Streater got the start thanks to the other injuries and ended with ten targets for for catches and 27 yards including the one touchdown pass at the end of the game. With Heyward-Bey covered, Carson Palmer tried to find Streater but usually ended up settling for Brandon Meyer who had five receptions for 65 yards. The passing game really became Palmer looking downfield, seeing nothing before the rush was about to consume him and then throwing 18 times to Darren McFadden who ended with 13 catches for 86 yards and a nice showing for those owners in reception point leagues.

Bottom line was the Raiders offense could not run and the passing sorely missed Ford the field stretcher and Moore the most feared among the bunch. Moore has been out with a hamstring strain but returned to some practice last week. He is expected to play this week though Ford may not play yet again. A better passing game will help the rushing effort.

The Dolphins defense is decent against the run and held Arian Foster to only 79 yards on 26 carries though he scored twice. This is not likely to be a very high scoring game and in the end probably comes down to mistakes. That should affect the rookie Tannehill more than the Raiders. This week the offense needs to look in more synch and get Moore back into the lineup.

Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 17 5 24 15 21 32
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 11 26 11 16 27 25

QB Derek Carr, OAK @TEN 0000026021 ***
Let's consider Carr's 169 and zero last week in Detroit an aberration; prior to that he'd posted three straight 300-yard games and four straight multiple touchdown outings. Tennessee isn't an overly favorable matchup but they shouldn't prevent Carr from getting back in the fantasy saddle this week.
RB Latavius Murray, OAK @TEN 6002100000 ***
RB TDs have been hard to come by against the Titans, but Murray should still get his yardage against a defense that's allowed five of the last six feature backs they've faced to amass at least 80 yards from scrimmage.
WR Michael Crabtree, OAK @TEN 006601000 ***
Maybe Crabtree is Oakland's WR1; maybe he's Amari Cooper's wingman. Either way he should get his against a Titans secondary that's allowed most WR1s to get theirs but quality WR2s--Donte Moncrief, Nate Washington, Willie Snead--to score or top 90 yards.
WR Amari Cooper, OAK @TEN 005700000 ***
For all intents and purposes consider Cooper the Raiders' WR1--in which case he'll follow in the footsteps of Allen Robinson (5-113), Brandin Cooks (4-73-1), DeAndre Hopkins (8-94-1), Julio Jones (9-92-1)... you get the picture. WR1s get it done against Tennessee, and Cooper is next man up.
WR Seth Roberts, OAK @TEN 003500000 ***
Roberts flashes from time to time, but the Titans haven't allowed three WRs to score in a game this year and only once have three topped 50 yards so his upside is limited.
TE Clive Walford, OAK @TEN 002301000 **
The Titans have allowed four TE TDs in the past three games; Walford has scored in two of the past three. Wouldn't be a stretch to see the rookie get into the end zone again this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Sebastian Janikowski, OAK @TEN 1122 ***
Should be business as usual for Seabass; unfortunately for Seabass and his fantasy owners, business as usual tops out in the high single digits.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 10-30 10 TEN -----
2 OAK ----- 11 @BUF -----
3 NYJ ----- 12 SEA -----
4 @ARI ----- 13 NE -----
5 @CIN ----- 14 @SF -----
6 STL ----- 15 JAC -----
7 BYE ----- 16 BUF -----
8 @NYJ ----- 17 @NE -----
9 @IND ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 220,1
WR Greg Jennings

Pregame Notes: It is a rebuilding year in Miami and week one made that painfully obvious with little more than Reggie Bush to drive the offense down the field. The debut of Ryan Tannehill produced 219 passing yards and three interceptions. He was also sacked three times and was unable to have any receiver gain more than 50 yards in the game. The passing game is going to be a work in process for a while.

Reggie Bush did turn in a very respectable 69 yards on 14 carries and added 46 more yards on six receptions. That dwarfed all other offensive players and Bush only saw three carries go to another back. He's destined to be a fulltime back with minimal interference at least unless he is injured. He's the best weapon that they have and the only one that carries any fantasy value so far.

The receivers who operate in a scheme described as "needing no true #1" lived up to that billing. Brian Hartline (3-50) and Davone Bess (5-45) were the starters and yet neither played like a "#1". This is a passing offense that will be sluggish while Tannehill assumedly improves. Tannehill does know the offense which is a plus but there is no SMU, Idaho or Iowa State on the schedule this time.

The positive sign here - and like the only one - is that Tannehill is using Bush as a receiver and thereby giving the world at least one player with fantasy significance. Playing at home should help and the Raiders are bringing in their own little slice of dysfunction themselves, but this looks like another long year for the Fins.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 31 11 28 29 28 13
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 10 18 6 10 32 16

QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA @NYJ 20000024011 ***
After a blip that saw them gutted by three straight quarterbacks the Jets have regained their form in giving up 387 yards and three TDs over the past two games. That's right in the wheelhouse of what they gave up to Tannehill in the earlier meeting this year, 198 and 2. And it's right around what Tannehill has done the past couple weeks. In either case, it's not really enough to warrant serious fantasy attention, and there isn't much upside here either.
RB Lamar Miller, MIA @NYJ 4006500000 ***
Miller only saw eight touches in the previous meeting, a season low he hadn't approached until... well, last week when he only saw nine touches against the Cowboys. Miller's biggest contributions of late have come as a receiver, which is good for his fantasy status as the Jets have given up only one RB rushing score all season. There's PPR upside to Miller, but otherwise he's only a borderline fantasy play this week.
RB Jay Ajayi, MIA @NYJ 2003100000 **
Ajayi is getting a handful of touches in relief of Miller. In more favorable matchups there might be fantasy value here, but this is not one of those matchups.
WR Kenny Stills, MIA @NYJ 003401000 ***
Stills scored in the earlier matchup with the Jets, as secondary targets are wont to do against Gang Green. And he scored last week as well. He's wildly inconsistent but both recency and history at least put him on the fantasy radar this week.
WR Rishard Matthews, MIA @NYJ 004401000 **
Matthews hasn't scored in a month and is losing ground to Kenny Stills in the wingman sweepstakes. If the previous matchup with New York is any indication Matthews is a third wheel in a two-receiver matchup.
WR Jarvis Landry, MIA @NYJ 005600000 *
Landry has lifted his floor to 60-plus yards over the past month-plus, and there's always the possibility of a jet sweep or return TD to boost his upside. His 4-40 on a dozen targets in the earlier meeting with the Jets also puts a damper on his fantasy value this week.

Update: Landry is listed as questionable and practiced only one day this week and that was on a limited basis. The Dolphins seem confident he'll play, but you'll want to keep an eye on the pregame active list to make sure.
WR Greg Jennings, MIA @NYJ 002200000 ***
Jennings is on the bottom of Miami's receiver rotation; tough to see him carving out fantasy value this week given his usual allotment of limited targets.
TE Jordan Cameron, MIA @NYJ 002200000 ***
Jake Stoneburner vultured a TD from Cameron the last time Miami faced the Jets; since then Gang Green has allowed only one TE TD (to Gronk). Cameron has staked a firmer claim to the Dolphins' TE targets and he scored last week, but he's still too lightly targeted to be banked on for fantasy help--especially in a tough matchup like this.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Andrew Franks, MIA @NYJ 2211 ***
There will be no Franksgiving celebration this week as Franks has multiple field goals in just one of his last eight games and tallied a paltry two the last time he tangled with Gang Green.

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

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