Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

Prediction: TB 17, NYG 24 (Line: NYG by 8)

Players to watch: Doug Martin, Martellus Bennett

Players Updated: Hakeem Nicks

The Buccaneers squeaked out a win over the visiting Panthers using a shockingly good defensive effort from a unit that was among the worst in 2011. The Giants remain at home after being handed a big loss to the Cowboys in the league opener last Wednesday. The Giants had 11 days to prepare for this but after facing a surprisingly good Dallas defense, the Buccaneers show up after limiting the #1 rushing team to only ten yards on 13 carries. Be an interesting game between two teams that need more definition.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR 16-10 10 SD -----
2 @NYG ----- 11 @CAR -----
3 @DAL ----- 12 ATL -----
4 WAS ----- 13 @DEN -----
5 BYE ----- 14 PHI -----
6 KC ----- 15 @NO -----
7 NO ----- 16 STL -----
8 @MIN ----- 17 @ATL -----
9 @OAK ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Doug Martin 90,1 4-30
RB Jacquizz Rodgers 30 3-20
WR Vincent Jackson 6-90,1
WR Louis Murphy 2-30
WR Cecil Shorts 2-20
TE Brandon Myers 2-20

Pregame Notes: Really? In 2011, the Panthers showed up in Tampa Bay during week 13 and then rushed for a collective 163 yards on 39 carries with four touchdowns. This year? No player gained more than five rushing yards IN TOTAL. And the best runner was the wideout Kealoha Pilares (1-5). Interdivisional games can always be odd and unlike the rest but it was a great start to the season for the Buccaneers defense.

Josh Freeman only passed for 138 yards and one score but had no turnovers and merely managed the game. The rookie Doug Martin was the difference maker with 95 yards on 24 carries and four receptions for 23 more yards. He was a stick mover and kept the drives alive. This will be a big test for him going to New York though they coughed up 131 yards to DeMarco Murray last week. The Buccaneers do not have the same passing game as the Cowboys so that's unlikely to happen but Martin looked good in his debut, unlike say Trent Richardson.

Vincent Jackson is the new toy for Freeman and he was thrown ten passes - the next best only had four. Jackson ended with just 47 yards on four catches but should improve as he and Freeman get more chemistry. The entire passing game grades out as incomplete so far since Freeman did not throw much last week. That will have to change against the Giants. Mike Williams only caught two short passes against the Panthers but one was the lone touchdown. If Jackson and Williams could meet their potential, the wideouts here could be above average.

Somewhat encouraging was that the lone pass to Dallas Clark went for a 33 yard gain. Clark has been back to health after two seasons getting injured and could really add a much needed dimension to the offense in the coming weeks. He's worth keeping an eye on since the Bucs have a pretty kind schedule this year.

The difference in this game will be how much of the defense was real last week and if Freeman can pass more and keep the opponent from stacking the line against Martin.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 29 12 31 31 12 14
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 30 11 32 8 9 14

QB Jameis Winston, TB @SF 10000026020 ***
Sometimes it is easy to forget that Winston is only 22 years old. That means there will be growing pains, as we have seen with his 2016 peaks and valleys. The matchup is technically neutral, but the Niners have allowed 12 scoring strikes in six games. Play Famous Jameis only if you must.
RB Jacquizz Rodgers, TB @SF 9012100000 ***
Martin will miss at least this week with a setback in is return from a hamstring strain. Rodgers takes the start with a tremendous chance against one of the worst rush defenses in the league. Three different backs have already logged 100 yards on the 49ers so Rodgers is an excellent start.
WR Mike Evans, TB @SF 0071002000 ***
It should be the Mike Evans Show in Week 7. San Francisco has allowed 10 TDs on only 62 catches, which is the worst ratio in the NFL. He is having a fine year and will give this D fits.
WR Adam Humphries, TB @SF 003400000 ***
Humphries will pick up the scraps in this one. San Fran offers a great matchup, so there's mild upside, but most of the damage has been done via the TD ball (one per 6.2 catches).
WR Cecil Shorts, TB @SF 004400000 **
Shorts is both listed as questionable to play and that he will start in place of Vincent Jackson this week. That makes him slightly more interesting than Donteea Dye or Louis Murphy.
TE Cameron Brate, TB @SF 003400000 ***
Averaging seven targets over his last three games, Brate has mild upside with decent matchups. This is trending neutral, and Brate is a sketchy fantasy play even without Vincent Jackson on the field.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Roberto Aguayo, TB @SF 5233 ***
The Niners have allowed a league-high 22 extra point kicks (21 made) and a decent amount of field goals (10-for-11). The rookie should be plenty busy, but trusting his accuracy is a shaky situation.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN -----
2 TB ----- 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR ----- 12 GB -----
4 @PHI ----- 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE ----- 14 NO -----
6 @SF ----- 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS ----- 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL ----- 17 PHI -----
9 PIT ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG vs TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 280,2
RB Rashad Jennings
WR Victor Cruz 6-90,1
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: It wasn't that the Giants had a horrible game when they lost to the Cowboys. It was that all those big plays and Cowboy mistakes and good mojo just never happened. Eli Manning has historically owned the Cowboys but only managed 213 yards and one score. The wideouts were limited by the corner play of the Cowboys and so this week we need to see how much of the loss was just an improved Cowboys and how much was the natural malaise of winning yet another Super Bowl.

Ahmad Bradshaw ran for 78 yards on 17 carries and scored once. He looked vintage good, particularly once David Wilson lost a fumble on his second carry and was yanked from the gameplan. Yes, Wilson appeared to be crying on the sideline but he deeply cares about his job and knows just how much of his contract was incentive based. You fumble? You sit. Fortunately Tiki Barber was a fumbler until HC Tom Coughlin cured him with the "high and tight" method. Wilson has to learn since he was a fumbler in college and once you cough it up, everyone just tackles the ball instead of the player.

How well Bradshaw does will be interesting because the incredible job the Bucs did shutting down the Panthers run game last week. Chances are good that was more about being at home in the opener against a familiar opponent who had been a problem all last year. Bradshaw remains a must start.

This game should be an improvement for both Hakeem Nicks and Victor Cruz who were swallowed up by the Cowboys new cornerbacks. Cruz was held to six catches for 58 yards while Nicks only produced 38 yards on four receptions. That has to change and should with the Buccaneers allowing Steve Smith to gain 106 yards on seven catches. Bradshaw may be slightly risky facing the Bucs but the wideouts should turn it on and win the game.

Martellus Bennett was also a bigger part of the game plan with six targets for four catches and one touchdown against his old employer. It's worth keeping an eye to see if Bennett remains a target equal with the two main wide receivers this week as well.

Giants win this game because they must. A loss here slants the entire season in a bad direction.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 24 20 25 12 25 24
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 13 2 25 15 4 5

QB Eli Manning, NYG @LA 0000025021 ***
Manning takes on the Rams' 12th-ranked defense of quarterbacks -- from the good end of the spectrum. The positions has averaged 22.1 points per game. In six games, passers have allowed 11 touchdown passes, picking off four balls along the way.
RB Bobby Rainey, NYG @LA 2006500000 ***
PPR only, and only if you're willing to take a risk. The Rams will have their hands full with OBJ, so Rainey could see checkdowns. RBs have gone for 213 yards on 26 catches (no scores) in six games. Two teams have allowed twice as many catches.
RB Rashad Jennings, NYG @LA 4004200000 ***
The Switzerland of fantasy matchups for running backs, LA has allowed 22.5 fantasy points per game. This has been largely produced by the ground, where backs have scored five times in six games.
WR Odell Beckham Jr, NYG @LA 007801000 ***
Coming off a monster game, with three TDs in his last two games, Beckham faces the best receiving matchup for a wideout. Cheers!
WR Victor Cruz, NYG @LA 004401000 **
LA has yielded the sixth most yards per game to receivers, allowing a TD per every 11.8 catches. Cruz should be involved quite often against a team allowing the most catches per game in the entire league.
WR Sterling Shepard, NYG @LA 003300000 ***
It's hard to not like this line: 94-1,138-8 in six games. Will there be enough targets to go around, though? Shepard is a risky flex play.
TE Larry Donnell, NYG @LA 003300000 ***
Los Angeles technically ranks as a bottom-10 matchup, but this group has given up three touchdowns on only 21 receptions. Donnell is nothing more than a wild gamble in DFS.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Robbie Gould, NYG @LA 2222 ***
No writeup available

* CHI at GB (THU) * DAL at SEA * MIN at IND * TB at NYG
ARI at NE * DET at SF * NO at CAR * TEN at SD
* BAL at PHI * HOU at JAC * NYJ at PIT * WAS at STL
* Updated CLE at CIN KC at BUF * OAK at MIA DEN at ATL (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t