FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

Prediction: KC 20, NO 34 (Line: NO by 9)

Player Update: Marques Colston

Apparently they need coaches and they really, really need a better defense. Giving up 75 points in two weeks is hard for anyone to keep up with but it makes for wonderful fantasy stats. The Chiefs are also 0-2 but on the road is no place to expect a turnaround since - and here is the phenomenal part - they too have allowed 75 points in two weeks. Thank you Schedule Gods for this game. By the time it is over who cares who wins? We'll need a calculator for the fantasy points.

Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 24-40 10 @PIT -----
2 @BUF 17-35 11 CIN -----
3 @NO ----- 12 DEN -----
4 SD ----- 13 CAR -----
5 BAL ----- 14 @CLE -----
6 @TB ----- 15 @OAK -----
7 BYE ----- 16 IND -----
8 OAK ----- 17 @DEN -----
9 @SD ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC @ NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 250,2
RB Jamaal Charles 50 4-30
WR Donnie Avery 3-40
WR Dwayne Bowe 5-100,1
TE Anthony Fasano 3-20,1

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs defense has been their downfall so far and that is unlikely to change soon with a stretch of games that is looking harder each week. The Chiefs may well be 0-6 at their bye week before a chance to beat the Raiders can remove their goose egg from the standings.

Matt Cassel has been decent enough playing from behind each week and scoring twice while tossing at least 250 yards worth of passes. He's a bit of a turnover machine though with three interceptions and two lost fumbles and he has already been sacked eight times. This may be the one week to start the Saints defense.

Jamal Charles has been bothered by soreness in his surgically repaired knee and apparently did not get the memo from Adrian Peterson about acting like nothing happened. Charles was yanked last week after only three yards on six carries and is no lock to play in this game. Peyton Hillis gets the benefit of Charles not being 100% which is why they brought him in. But Hillis only gained 66 yards on 11 runs because the Chiefs cannot afford to just run the ball when they fall quickly and significantly behind each week.

Dexter McCluster would intuitively matter more with Charles out but last week he only totaled 32 yards on four catches after posting six receptions for 82 yards versus the Falcons. This week will be interesting to see how they use him and how often. He offers a different element to the offense that needs all the weapons it can find. Jonathan Baldwin returned last week and ended with three catches for 62 yards while Dwayne Bowe had one of his big games with 102 yards and two scores on eight catches. The Chiefs are giving up points like they were beads at Mardi Gras when the parade float from Hooters passes by. This means Dwayne Bowe should have many more big games if only in the fourth quarter just like last week when he scored both touchdowns.

Look, sadly at some point the Chiefs will find a defense and games will become "normal." But we can only hope it takes all season because this is fantasy nirvana for both the KC passing game and everyone who gets to play the Chiefs.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 6 4 25 19 25 32
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 32 27 26 2 28 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Alex Smith, KC @DEN 20000024022 ***
Smith had two of his better fantasy games playing catch-up to Peyton Manning last season. On the heels of a putrid performance against the Titans it would be tough to bank on him for a reprise; then again, garbage time stats count the same.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jamaal Charles, KC @DEN 6015300000 ***
With a paltry workload the likes of which he hadn't seen since Week 8 of 2012, Charles was a non-fantasy factor in Week 1. Expect Andy Reid to correct that error, with expectations set somewhere between the 72 and 120 yards from scrimmage he generated in last season's home-and-home. Hey, it's better than last week's crapola, that's for sure.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dwayne Bowe, KC @DEN 005500000 ***
After sitting out a one-game suspension Bowe is primed to make his 2014 debut. He posted similar stat lines against the Broncos last season, 4-57-1 and 3-56. There's no question he's the go-to guy in this passing game, but that didn't prove to be enough last year and you'll have to cross your fingers and bank on the touchdown for him to have significant fantasy value here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Junior Hemingway, KC @DEN 002400000 ***
In theory the Chiefs will have to throw to keep pace with Peyton Manning & Co. and secondary targets such as Hemingway should have value. However, in last season's series with Denver--under those exact circumstances--only Dwayne Bowe scored or topped 50 yards. So, theory disproved.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Travis Kelce, KC @DEN 004501000 **
Despite one less target than Anthony Fasano last week, Kelce produced more yardage; he just didn't get the touchdown. It's a coin flip between the two tight ends, but Kelce is the young up-and-comer so he calls "tails" this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Anthony Fasano, KC @DEN 003300000 **
Fasano scored in both ends of the season series with Denver last year, plus he scored last week. And the Broncos gave up a TE TD while facing the talented Indy tandem of Dwayne Allen and Coby Fleener last week. So we're sayin' there's a chance; we're just sayin' we prefer Kelce's chances this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cairo Santos, KC @DEN 0022 ***
The Brazilian went 50/50 on last week's attempts, and given that you don't keep pace with Peyton Manning by settling for field goals he's unlikely to see a dramatic enough uptick in chances or productivity to warrant fantasy consideration here.

New Orleans Saints
Homefield: Superdome
Sportexe Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 WAS 32-40 10 ATL -----
2 @CAR 27-35 11 @OAK -----
3 KC ----- 12 SF -----
4 @GB ----- 13 @ATL -----
5 SD ----- 14 @NYG -----
6 BYE ----- 15 TB -----
7 @TB ----- 16 @DAL -----
8 @DEN ----- 17 CAR -----
9 PHI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NO vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 300,3
RB Mark Ingram 40,1
RB Pierre Thomas 80
WR Marques Colston 4-60
WR Robert Meachem 2-20
TE Jimmy Graham 6-80,1
PK Shayne Graham 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: Unlike the Chiefs, it is not so much that the Saints offense has been bad, it is just that they cannot quite keep up with all the points that their defense hands out. When each game has 60+ total points, it is truly a thing of fantasy beauty and has no real end in sight.

The only downside to Drew Brees is that he has two interceptions in both games. Otherwise, he is still chunking 320+ yards per week and scoring two or three times. Granted he cannot quite keep up with the opponent so far but having a bad defense means good things at least for his fantasy prospects.

The rushing effort is very productive and yet cut up into three parts to water down what could be. Darren Sproles does not even bother with rushing attempts any more. He has 18 catches on the season and not one carry. Mark Ingram has 22 runs for 68 yards and a score and not one reception. Pierre Thomas varies wildly from 29 total yards to 143 yards and that was in consecutive weeks. Bottom line here - Sproles is a receiver, Ingram is just a runner and flip a coin to see what Thomas might be this week.

Jimmy Graham still has a stranglehold on being the primary receiver with 23 passes that became 13 catches. He has no less than 71 yards each week and so far scores in every game just like you assumed when you drafted him way too early.

The wideouts remain spotty. Last week they did little and none had more than 49 yards and no score. But in week one at home, Marques Colston had a touchdown as did Lance Moore who had 120 yards on six catches. But they have not been consistent and with that risk in relying on them.

That all said - this is the week to start your Saints. With the Chiefs showing up, it should be a nice free-for-all in scoring that hopefully does not end up with the running back committee where it is too split out to net a monster game for anyone.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NO 4 3 23 3 20 29
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 31 21 17 20 26 31

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Drew Brees, NO @CLE 0000033020 ***
Joe Haden can't be everywhere, as evidenced by Ben Roethlisberger's 365 yards against the Browns last weekend. Brees is familiar with that neighborhood, topping that number five times last year, and he should at least be in the vicinity this week as well.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Mark Ingram, NO @CLE 601000000 ***
The goal line back against a defense that allowed two RB rushing scores--including one to a goal line back--last week; seems like another solid opportunity for Ingram to carve out fantasy value.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Pierre Thomas, NO @CLE 3005400000 ***
The pass-catching back against a Cleveland defense that surrendered the second-most RB receiving yards in Week 1--to a Steelers team not exactly known for throwing to its backs, no less. Yep, Thomas's role in the New Orleans offense should once again yield fantasy help.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Khiry Robinson, NO @CLE 300000000 ***
At this juncture Robinson feels like the most volatile member of the New Orleans backfield triumvirate, with a role less clearly defined than that of either Mark Ingram or Pierre Thomas. As such he's the riskiest fantasy play as well.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Brandin Cooks, NO @CLE 006901000 ***
Plenty to like about Cooks' 7-77-1 NFL debut last week. With Joe Haden likely on Marques Colston or maybe even Jimmy Graham, that leaves Cooks with fellow rookie Justin Gilbert or maybe Buster Skrine. The ROY campaign continues...
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marques Colston, NO @CLE 005700000 ***
Colston is technically the Saints' WR1, but that's no guarantee he'll draw full-time Joe Haden this week--plus, we saw last week via Antonio Brown that Haden isn't necessarily a death sentence for fantasy stats. Brees is slinging, Cleveland has corner concerns everywhere Haden isn't, and Colston has something to prove after fumbling away last week's game; it adds up to a solid fantasy start this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jimmy Graham, NO @CLE 006801000 ***
All that's missing now is the dunks. No reason to think the Browns have a solution other NFL defenses don't.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Shayne Graham, NO @CLE 2233 ****
It's good to be back tacking on points for an offensive juggernaut like the Saints, especially against a Browns' defense that's allowed multiple field goal attempts in three straight games and seven of the last eight.

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t