FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

Prediction: KC 20, NO 34 (Line: NO by 9)

Player Update: Marques Colston

Apparently they need coaches and they really, really need a better defense. Giving up 75 points in two weeks is hard for anyone to keep up with but it makes for wonderful fantasy stats. The Chiefs are also 0-2 but on the road is no place to expect a turnaround since - and here is the phenomenal part - they too have allowed 75 points in two weeks. Thank you Schedule Gods for this game. By the time it is over who cares who wins? We'll need a calculator for the fantasy points.

Kansas City Chiefs
Homefield: Arrowhead Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 ATL 24-40 10 @PIT -----
2 @BUF 17-35 11 CIN -----
3 @NO ----- 12 DEN -----
4 SD ----- 13 CAR -----
5 BAL ----- 14 @CLE -----
6 @TB ----- 15 @OAK -----
7 BYE ----- 16 IND -----
8 OAK ----- 17 @DEN -----
9 @SD ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
KC @ NO Rush Catch Pass
QB Alex Smith 250,2

Pregame Notes: The Chiefs defense has been their downfall so far and that is unlikely to change soon with a stretch of games that is looking harder each week. The Chiefs may well be 0-6 at their bye week before a chance to beat the Raiders can remove their goose egg from the standings.

Matt Cassel has been decent enough playing from behind each week and scoring twice while tossing at least 250 yards worth of passes. He's a bit of a turnover machine though with three interceptions and two lost fumbles and he has already been sacked eight times. This may be the one week to start the Saints defense.

Jamal Charles has been bothered by soreness in his surgically repaired knee and apparently did not get the memo from Adrian Peterson about acting like nothing happened. Charles was yanked last week after only three yards on six carries and is no lock to play in this game. Peyton Hillis gets the benefit of Charles not being 100% which is why they brought him in. But Hillis only gained 66 yards on 11 runs because the Chiefs cannot afford to just run the ball when they fall quickly and significantly behind each week.

Dexter McCluster would intuitively matter more with Charles out but last week he only totaled 32 yards on four catches after posting six receptions for 82 yards versus the Falcons. This week will be interesting to see how they use him and how often. He offers a different element to the offense that needs all the weapons it can find. Jonathan Baldwin returned last week and ended with three catches for 62 yards while Dwayne Bowe had one of his big games with 102 yards and two scores on eight catches. The Chiefs are giving up points like they were beads at Mardi Gras when the parade float from Hooters passes by. This means Dwayne Bowe should have many more big games if only in the fourth quarter just like last week when he scored both touchdowns.

Look, sadly at some point the Chiefs will find a defense and games will become "normal." But we can only hope it takes all season because this is fantasy nirvana for both the KC passing game and everyone who gets to play the Chiefs.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points KC 6 4 25 19 25 32
Preventing Fantasy Points NO 32 27 26 2 28 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Alex Smith, KC @LAC 10000026010 ***
Smith was great in the opener last year and the Week 17 meeting against the Bolts. LA has allowed only three passing touchdowns but also a rushing score to become the seventh-worst defense of QBs in 2017.

Update: Starting center Mitch Morse has been ruled out.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Kareem Hunt, KC @LAC 8015500000 ***
The Bolts have struck down running backs in 2017, ceding only three catches for 11 yards and 240 scoreless yards on the ground, resulting in 14.1 fantasy points surrendered.

Update: Update: Starting center Mitch Morse, more known for his pass blocking, has been ruled out.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tyreek Hill, KC @LAC 1006800000 ***
LA gave up 30 catches for 314 yards and three TDs in its first two games to wide receivers. The Chiefs utilized Hill one time for nine yards in last year's opener vs. the Bolts. In Week 17, he saw seven targets, which were good for a 5-46-0 line, and another three rushes for 15 yards. The Chargers could be without their top cover guy, Jason Verrett, in this meeting.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chris Conley, KC @LAC 004400000 ***
Denver did a number on this secondary last week, and injuries are also at play. Conley doesn't see the requisite volume a gamer would need to desire chancing a starting spot on him.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Albert Wilson, KC @LAC 002300000 ***
Wilson belongs nowhere near a fantasy lineup, or roster, for that matter.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Travis Kelce, KC @LAC 006601000 ***
The Chargers have provided 10.2 PPR points per game to the position in two games, which stems from a line of 8-124-0. The Dolphins and Broncos don't have much in the way of a presence at the position.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cairo Santos, KC @LAC 2233 ***
Three teams have allowed more attempted field goals than the Chargers, a team permitting 9.5 fantasy points, on average, in 2017.

New Orleans Saints
Homefield: Superdome
Sportexe Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 WAS 32-40 10 ATL -----
2 @CAR 27-35 11 @OAK -----
3 KC ----- 12 SF -----
4 @GB ----- 13 @ATL -----
5 SD ----- 14 @NYG -----
6 BYE ----- 15 TB -----
7 @TB ----- 16 @DAL -----
8 @DEN ----- 17 CAR -----
9 PHI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NO vs KC Rush Catch Pass
QB Drew Brees 300,3
RB Mark Ingram 40,1
RB Adrian Peterson 80,1 2-20
TE Coby Fleener 5-40,1

Pregame Notes: Unlike the Chiefs, it is not so much that the Saints offense has been bad, it is just that they cannot quite keep up with all the points that their defense hands out. When each game has 60+ total points, it is truly a thing of fantasy beauty and has no real end in sight.

The only downside to Drew Brees is that he has two interceptions in both games. Otherwise, he is still chunking 320+ yards per week and scoring two or three times. Granted he cannot quite keep up with the opponent so far but having a bad defense means good things at least for his fantasy prospects.

The rushing effort is very productive and yet cut up into three parts to water down what could be. Darren Sproles does not even bother with rushing attempts any more. He has 18 catches on the season and not one carry. Mark Ingram has 22 runs for 68 yards and a score and not one reception. Pierre Thomas varies wildly from 29 total yards to 143 yards and that was in consecutive weeks. Bottom line here - Sproles is a receiver, Ingram is just a runner and flip a coin to see what Thomas might be this week.

Jimmy Graham still has a stranglehold on being the primary receiver with 23 passes that became 13 catches. He has no less than 71 yards each week and so far scores in every game just like you assumed when you drafted him way too early.

The wideouts remain spotty. Last week they did little and none had more than 49 yards and no score. But in week one at home, Marques Colston had a touchdown as did Lance Moore who had 120 yards on six catches. But they have not been consistent and with that risk in relying on them.

That all said - this is the week to start your Saints. With the Chiefs showing up, it should be a nice free-for-all in scoring that hopefully does not end up with the running back committee where it is too split out to net a monster game for anyone.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NO 4 3 23 3 20 29
Preventing Fantasy Points KC 31 21 17 20 26 31

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Drew Brees, NO @CAR 0000027021 ***
Carolina is one of two teams to prevent a TD pass so far, albeit versus Buffalo and San Fran's passing games. The Saints' star went for 39.3 and 22.3 points in his two matchups with Carolina last year.

Update: Once again, Brees will be without both of his starting offensive tackles. This was the case last week, and he was sacked just once.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Mark Ingram, NO @CAR 3005400000 **
Ingram is the only safe play in this backfield on a week-to-week basis, yet this isn't exactly one of them. Carolina has yet to allow a score to RBs on 44 touches in 2017. He managed only 18.5 fantasy points spread over two contests last year vs. the Panthers.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alvin Kamara, NO @CAR 1004200000 ***
Kamara is a total flier in PPR DFS for the time being. The Panthers are a poor matchup and haven't permitted a TD to running backs thus far.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Adrian Peterson, NO @CAR 200000000 ***
Peterson is edging closer to being a waiver candidate. Keep him away from starting lineups.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Thomas, NO @CAR 006900000 ***
Lines of 5-78-1 and 5-68-0 summarize Thomas' two meetings with Carolina in his rookie year. This season, with added pressure and defensive scrutiny, Thomas hasn't enjoyed a strong showing.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Ted Ginn, NO @CAR 004400000 ***
Always a possible TD grab away, Ginn isn't worth much without scoring. The Panthers haven't allowed a WR TD yet, albeit against inferior competition. Ginn is as risky as they come.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Brandon Coleman, NO @CAR 003300000 ***
Carolina has clamped down on wideouts so far, allowing only 183 yards on 18 grabs. The Saints spread the rock well, so maybe Coleman gets lucky for a brazen DFSer.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Coby Fleener, NO @CAR 005401000 ***
Fleener has produced adequately in each of the first two weeks, catching two TDs on his 10 targets. The Panthers present a tough TE matchup, so beware this could go south. Fleener scored in both of the meetings last year.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Wil Lutz, NO @CAR 1122 ***
Lutz was good for 19 fantasy points in two games last year against Carolina, a team that has given up two field goals and no extra points in two weeks.

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t