FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

Prediction: NYJ 13, MIA 20 (Line:

Players Updated: Dustin Keller

The Jets and Dolphins are in a division that is knotted at 1-1 between all four teams and so far that is all teams winning at home and losing on the road - except for the mind-warping Patriots who lost to the Cardinals at home. The difference this week is that the Jets are on the road where they were smoked by the Steelers and the Fins are at home where they just smacked the Raiders. The Jets swept the Dolphins last year, winning 28-24 at home and 27-11 in Miami. So far the Fins are looking like the better team.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 48-28 10 @SEA -----
2 @PIT 10-27 11 @STL -----
3 @MIA ----- 12 NE -----
4 SF ----- 13 ARI -----
5 HOU ----- 14 @JAC -----
6 IND ----- 15 @TEN -----
7 @NE ----- 16 SD -----
8 MIA ----- 17 @BUF -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ @ MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Michael Vick 60,1 270,1
RB Chris Johnson 60 4-20
WR Eric Decker 4-50,1
WR T.J. Graham 1-10
WR Percy Harvin 20 7-100,1
WR Jeremy Kerley 3-50
PK Nick Folk 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: That euphoria from slapping the Bills in week one was short-lived. Everything that was wrong this summer (and last year) came rushing back and CB Darrelle Revis still has a concussion that may not let him play this week either. The problem is not the defense so much. It is the offense, or rather the lack of one.

Mark Sanchez played in Pittsburgh and only completed 10 of 27 for 138 yards and one score. He was not only ineffective, but the Jets still have not allowed Tim Tebow to throw one pass for fear that any completion will incite a riot among fans. They cannot all be the Bills at home. Sanchez never passed for more than 207 yards against the Dolphins last year.

Shonn Greene went from nearly looking serviceable against the Bills (27-94, TD) to being himself when he only managed 23 yards on 11 carries and missed part of the game after getting hit in the head. Unfortunately, Bilal Powell did not do that much either with just 33 yards on nine runs. This offense almost never throws the ball to a back and short of facing a horrible rush defense visiting New York, it is hard to consider these backs having any real fantasy value.

The passing game was a disaster and Stephen Hill went from week one star (5-89, 2 TD) to having zero catches on two passes against the Steelers. Santonio Holmes somehow scored once but only ended with 28 yards on three catches. There is nothing here that suggest it is going to improve soon. Jeremy Kerley waits until the end of the game and then gets a little slop when he had a team high 67 yards on two receptions last Sunday. Short of a desperation play, Holmes is the only receiver here with any fantasy value and that needs to be a 16 team league starting four wideouts to matter.

Dustin Keller remains out with a hamstring injury but had just the one catch in the season opener.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 19 28 13 26 16 5
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 16 25 13 23 23 17

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Geno Smith, NYJ NE 30000020011 ***
Geno hasn't been a fantasy helper all year, and with something similar to the 226 and 1 he posted on the Patriots earlier this season he's unlikely to start now.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Ivory, NYJ NE 801000000 ***
The Jets are still solid against opposing running backs; they haven't allowed an RB TD since Week 9. But big backs who get carries--like Ivory himself, who put up 21-107-1 in the earlier meeting with the Jets--have tended to have success against the Jets. So we're sayin' there's a chance.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Johnson, NYJ NE 5002100000 ***
CJ?K has essentially split carries with Chris Ivory over the past two weeks. New England's not a defense prone to give up much more than the minimum, but there's some opportunities for a fresh CJ?K, especially against some pretty tired-looking defenders.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Eric Decker, NYJ NE 006701000 ***
Decker is housing all the targets, what with a hurt Harvin and really no alternative. It's a nice gig if you can get it, one that certainly helps pad a college resume.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Percy Harvin, NYJ NE 2002200000 ***
No writeup available
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jeremy Kerley, NYJ NE 004300000 ***
Bottom line, with so little going on in the Jets' passing game there's no reason to look behind Decker and (when healthy) Amaro for fantasy contributions.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jace Amaro, NYJ NE 003200000 ***
Amaro is a big target with a ton of potential, a word that means "talented but hasn't actually done anything yet." You should have better options at your disposal.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Nick Folk, NYJ NE 1122 ***
Only occasionally does Folk kick in a fantasy contribution, though the fact he did so with 13 against the Patriots earlier this year warrants mention. As does the fact that AFC East kickers have multiple treys in three of four against the Patriots, as opposed to just half (five of 10) of non-divisional kickers.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 10-30 10 TEN -----
2 OAK 35-13 11 @BUF -----
3 NYJ ----- 12 SEA -----
4 @ARI ----- 13 NE -----
5 @CIN ----- 14 @SF -----
6 STL ----- 15 JAC -----
7 BYE ----- 16 BUF -----
8 @NYJ ----- 17 @NE -----
9 @IND ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA vs NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 10 210,1
RB Knowshon Moreno 10 2-10
WR Brandon Gibson 3-40
WR Brian Hartline 5-70
WR Mike Wallace 5-80

Pregame Notes: The Dolphins got waxed in Houston which was not surprising since Ryan Tannehill was starting his first NFL game against a very tough defense on the road. But last week he looked far better against the visiting Raiders with far fewer mistakes. Tannehill not only passed for 200 yards and his first NFL touchdown, he also ran in a score as well. He faces a defense that has been kinder to opponents this year with a total of five passing scores allowed already but don't expect Tannehill to provide much more than game manager stats as he learns the ropes.

Last week Reggie Bush was unstoppable and led the NFL with 172 rushing yards on 26 carries (6.6 YPC) and scored twice while adding 25 more yards on three catches. He already gained 69 yards on just 14 carries in Houston and exploded last week. Bush gained 71 yards on just ten runs in the last meeting with the Jets though he did not play in the season finale when the Jets visited in 2011.

With around 200 passing yards per game, there is naturally rather limited fantasy value for any receivers though Brian Hartline has clearly became the preferred target for Tannehill with nine catches for 211 yards versus the Raiders. He had 12 targets which were double any other receiver. Davone Bess has provided around 45 yards per game so far but there is no merit to this passing attack that was described as "needing no #1 receiver" which is true when they are all equally as bad.

Anthony Fasano caught the lone passing touchdown of the year last Sunday but has yet to gain more than 19 yards in a game so far.

The Jets on the road should be weaker this year and the Fins are playing better on both sides of the ball. Neither team is passing that well but at least the Dolphins have been rushing well with Bush.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 29 2 29 28 30 21
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 19 22 25 17 6 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA MIN 0000022010 ***
Tannehill has just two passing scores in his last three games, and the Vikings are no pushovers themselves having held Matthew Stafford and Cam Newton to one TD apiece. Moreover, after running more earlier in the season Tannehill hasn't topped 21 rushing yards since Week 10 so he's not augmenting his passing numbers. It adds up to what looks like a pedestrian outing for Tannehill; no fantasy help here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Lamar Miller, MIA MIN 7011100000 ***
Miller continues to clock in with a steady dose of 12-15 carries per game, but he's regularly churning out just 50-60 yards with those carries--and he has just one TD in his last six games. The Vikings have held running backs out of the end zone in three straight, though they've allowed four backs to top 50 yards in that span. If you've enjoyed what you've been getting from Miller, this should be no different; odds are you want a little more in championship week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Mike Wallace, MIA MIN 005501000 ***
Both Miami receivers have speed, which the Vikings have struggled to defend this season. Both warrant fantasy starts based on performance, targets, and matchups. But Minnesota is far from a walkover, so don't look for big numbers; more like, just enough.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jarvis Landry, MIA MIN 004700000 ***
If you consider Landry the WR2 to Mike Wallace he may actually be in a better position to score here: over the past three games it's been the WR1s with the yardage, but in two of the three games the touchdowns have gone to secondary targets like Philly Brown and Golden Tate. Does that make Landry a more likely touchdown candidate? Perhaps. Either way he's a decent fantasy start, but Ryan Tannehill's totals limit the upside of any member of the Miami passing game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Charles Clay, MIA MIN 005500000 ***
Used to be the Vikings were suckers for tight ends; under Mike Zimmer they've given up just three TDs all season. They have allowed some yardage of late, however, so the frequently targeted Clay at least remains on the fantasy radar.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Caleb Sturgis, MIA MIN 2222 ***
Sturgis has multiple treys in three straight and eight of the last nine; if his offense would get him some PAT opportunities as well he'd have more double-digit points outings to show for it. He should stay hot in the field goal department against a Vikings defense that's given up 10 treys in the past three games, but expect the lack of PATs to continue against Minnesota, as they've allowed only three TDs in the past three games.

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t