FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

Prediction: TB 16, DAL 34 (Line: DAL by 7)

Players to Watch: Dallas Clark

Both teams come off losses - the Cowboys in Seattle reversed all progress while the Buccaneers barely lost in New York after leading most of the game. We know the Buccaneers are better than 2011 but the Cowboys are no worse and usually plays much better at home against average teams. Plus this is the home opener.

The Cowboys won 31-15 at Tampa Bay last year in week 15.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR 16-10 10 SD -----
2 @NYG 34-41 11 @CAR -----
3 @DAL ----- 12 ATL -----
4 WAS ----- 13 @DEN -----
5 BYE ----- 14 PHI -----
6 KC ----- 15 @NO -----
7 NO ----- 16 STL -----
8 @MIN ----- 17 @ATL -----
9 @OAK ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Doug Martin 60 2-10
WR Vincent Jackson 5-70
TE Brandon Myers 6-60

Pregame Notes: Only two weeks in and with just a 1-1 record but the Buccaneers have to be pretty happy about where they are at. The defense intercepted Eli Manning three times and scored on one return last Sunday. They lost CB Eric Wright which hurt at the end but overall there are plenty of reasons to expect a far better season than 2011.

Josh Freeman was just a game manager in the opener but passed for 243 yards and two scores in New York and finally made good use of Vincent Jackson who ended with four catches of 19+ yards and a total of 128 yards and one score on five receptions. That makes two straight weeks that Jackson was thrown ten targets and both were double any other receiver. Freeman continues to work on his chemistry with Jackson and already has encouraging results.

Mike Williams has scored in both games though he has yet to catch more than three passes in either game. No other receivers here have any fantasy value much less NFL value. Dallas Clark got a little hype in camp but has 33 yards in each of the first two games. Williams and Jackson both have plenty of room to grow and Williams still needs a breakout game this year. That will be easier if Jackson gets more defensive scrutiny from turning in big games.

Doug Martin was less effective against the Giants but recorded his first rushing touchdown and his 20 carries for 66 yards helped control the ball. Bothersome was that he did not get any receptions in the game despite the passing at the end.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 27 17 18 32 12 9
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 4 19 6 25 11 12

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Josh McCown, TB STL 20000022021 ***
McCown's Week 1 stat line looked a whole lot like what the Rams gave up to Matt Cassel--and neither was much fantasy help. While he did take this defense for 352 and 2 as a Bear last year, those numbers are too optimistic for his current offense.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Doug Martin, TB STL 5002100000 ***
Martin's Week 1 injury was deemed "minor", meaning he should be available for this tilt. He'll face a defense that held Adrian Peterson in check last week and limited the Martin-less Bucs to 37 RB rushing yards in a meeting late last season. In other words, there's little reason to be optimistic.
Update: All systems go for Martin, who returned to practice and is expected to resume his role as the lead dog in Tampa Bay's backfield committee.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Vincent Jackson, TB STL 005701000 ***
VJax went 5-98 against this defense with little help last year. Now he has to hope his improved supporting cast doesn't usurp his looks to the point of sapping his fantasy value.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Mike Evans, TB STL 004500000 ***
Evans saw as many targets as erstwhile WR1 Vincent Jackson last week, but this is still VJax's show and the matchup doesn't suggest enough in the way of passing game numbers to feed multiple mouths.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chris Owusu, TB STL 002300000 ***
Owusu swiped a TD out from under Vincent Jackson and Mike Evans last week, but he can't be relied upon for anything resembling consistent fantasy help.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Brandon Myers, TB STL 003301000 ***
No writeup available
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TB STL 00000000 *
Brandon Myers saw the vast majority of Tampa Bay's tight end targets last week, but ASJ's athleticism is not to be denied. Against a defense that let Kyle Rudolph find the end zone last week, he at least has a shot at a score.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Patrick Murray, TB STL 2222 ***
Murray wasn't given much in the way of opportunity last week; until that changes, you can find a more palatable fantasy kicking option.

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI -----
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE -----
3 TB ----- 12 WAS -----
4 CHI ----- 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL ----- 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR ----- 16 NO -----
8 NYG ----- 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL vs TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 320,3
QB Brandon Weeden 10 260,1
RB DeMarco Murray 110,1 2-20
RB Ryan Williams 30 3-20
WR Dez Bryant 5-90,1
TE Jason Witten 6-70,1
PK Dan Bailey 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: As it so often is, the Cowboys are a tale of two teams. The first one looked like a contender as they crushed the Superbowl champs in their stadium. Then they played in Seattle where it appeared the 11 days off from the opener were spent at a Gentlemen's Club wondering when Dez Bryant was going to show up. And they are still waiting for him to show up.

Tony Romo went from deadly to just average when he only ended with 251 yards and one score in Seattle. He was out of synch and plagued to receiver drops including Jason Witten who normally never drops a pass. The Cowboys rushing attack was great in New York but then only produced 44 yards on 12 runs against a very good Seattle defense. Game situation meant DeMarco Murray just never had enough carries to get into any groove.

Oddly enough, Miles Austin has been the only receiver with fantasy reward in both weeks and he has been good for 60+ yards and a score both times. Dez Bryant has disappeared again and almost always when the Cowboys need him the most. Kevin Ogletree went from week one start to only having one catch for 26 yards. Guess which week is going to be more like the others?

Back at Dallas for the home opener should go well against a Buccaneers team that may have improved to average but on the road will struggle more. In the up and down nature of the Cowboys, all signs point to this week being a good one.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 8 23 4 22 32 27
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 28 3 32 21 22 7

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Tony Romo, DAL @TEN 0000026012 ****
Will it be an issue that both the Cowboys and Titans wear blue? Because, you know, Tony likes to throw to a different color jersey. Life post-Verner hasn't been as bad as expected for the Tennessee secondary; they locked down Alex Smith, picking him thrice, and catch Romo coming off an INT hat trick of his own. Can't get giddy about Romo's fantasy prospects until he sheds the Vinny Testaverde designer sunglasses.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB DeMarco Murray, DAL @TEN 7014300000 ***
When's the last time the Cowboys ran twice as much as... well, anybody? Probably back when Nate Newton was running dope and Emmitt Smith was darting behind Larry Allen. In any event, Tennessee's run D numbers are inflated because Andy Reid, in his infinite wisdom, opted to run the ball just 11 times in Week 1. Murray carried 22 times all by himself--without injury, mind you--and produced 118 yards and a score. Toss in his increasing roll in the passing game and there are plenty of reasons to like Murray's prospects here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dez Bryant, DAL @TEN 006800000 ***
Donnie Avery racked up 84 yards against the Titans last week. Donnie Avery. Puh-leeze. Dez is twice the receiver Avery is, minimum. Downgrade a bit for the quarterback issues and Bryant is still a must-play this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrance Williams, DAL @TEN 004600000 ***
The Tennessee secondary is a different animal without Alterraun Verner, but it's worth noting that only once in the final 14 games of last year did a secondary receiver score or top 50 yards against the Titans--and that was the Broncos' juggernaut. That, coupled with Tony Romo's struggles, makes it tough to trust Williams as a viable fantasy play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jason Witten, DAL @TEN 004401000 ****
Witten was nearly non-existent in the season opener; he'll have a significantly larger role against a defense that allowed KC tight ends to rack up 6-78-1 last week--not to mention 13 tight ends to score or top 50 yards (or both) last year
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL @TEN 2222 ***
The Cowboys didn't give Bailey much opportunity to swing the leg in Week 1; expect an uptick in Week 2 from a defense that allowed multiple field goal attempts in six of eight home games last season.

WEEK 3
2012
*NYG at CAR (THU) *DET at TEN *NE at BAL SF at MIN
*ATL at SD HOU at DEN *NYJ at MIA *STL at CHI
*BUF at CLE *JAC at IND *PHI at ARI TB at DAL
*Updated *CIN at WAS *KC at NO *PIT at OAK *GB at SEA (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t