Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

Prediction: CIN 27, JAC 17 (Line:CIN by 1)

Players to Watch: Andrew Hawkins

Player Updated: Laurent Robinson

The 2-1 Bengals are on a roll with 34+ points in these last two weeks and travel to face the 1-2 Jaguars who come off their first win thanks to the Colts. Problem this week is that the Bengals can post points and the Jaguars have to rely on Maurice Jones-Drew to just about do everything for the offense.

The Bengals won 30-20 at Jacksonville last year.

Cincinnati Bengals
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @BAL 13-44 10 NYG -----
2 CLE 34-27 11 @KC -----
3 @WAS 38-31 12 OAK -----
4 @JAC ----- 13 @SD -----
5 MIA ----- 14 DAL -----
6 @CLE ----- 15 @PHI -----
7 PIT ----- 16 @PIT -----
8 BYE ----- 17 BAL -----
9 DEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CIN @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Andy Dalton 280,2
WR A.J. Green 6-100,1
WR Greg Little 3-30
PK Mike Nugent 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bengals hit a softer spot in their schedule with upcoming games against the Jaguars, Dolphins and Browns. Andy Dalton had a predictably started the year with a bad game in Baltimore but now has two straight 310+ yard, three touchdown efforts. He still throws one interception each week but never more. The season started with only A.J. Green as a known weapon but Dalton is creating new and effective other receivers.

Andrew Hawkins is becoming a deadly slot receiver who is incredible in open field. The diminutive wideout has scored in each of the last two games and while he only had two catches in each game, he averaged about 30 yards per catch. Hawkins is a very nice find already on the roster who is making a difference. Armon Binns has been improved these last two weeks as well. The common bond here is Dalton who is stepping up in his second season and already improved from his rookie season that ended up in the playoffs.

Jermaine Gresham scored last week and has been solid enough around 40 yards per week but is not becoming an elite tight end thanks to Dalton using the previously unknown wide receivers so well. Granted - just two games against the Browns and Redskins but the offense has looked as good as could be hoped. And that should continue here for the next three games at the least.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis has two scores on the season but the yardage has been decreasing weekly and he was held to just 38 yards on 17 carries last week. That should change this week against a Jaguars defense weak against the run. This is a good test for Dalton since the Jaguars rank well against quarterbacks but Dalton is playing at a high level and just last week the Colts posted 313 pass yards on them with two touchdowns.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 8 27 1 17 17 15
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 10 30 9 12 23 5

QB Andy Dalton, CIN SEA 10000027021 ***
Day is night, black is white, a 321 & 1 game from Andy Dalton is a bit of a disappointment and the Seahawks have served up quality fantasy starts in both road games this year. How to make sense of it all? Kam Chancellor's return should help Seattle right the defensive ship, and it's tough to ask Dalton to best Aaron Rodger's 249 & 2 against a visiting Seahawks D from a couple weeks back. Dial Dalton's expectations back to pre-2015 levels and you'll be just fine.
RB Jeremy Hill, CIN SEA 401000000 ***
Seattle allowed 100 combo yards to an opposing back each of their first two road trips, but with Hill and Giovani Bernard sharing the workload it's tough to bank on that happening here. Hill's fantasy value then boils down to touchdowns, and Seattle has yet to allow a running back in the end zone so he's a tough sell this week.
RB Giovani Bernard, CIN SEA 5003200000 ***
Gio's had more rushing yards than Jeremy Hill in each of Cincy's home games, and he's a bigger factor in the passing game; that combo makes him the more likely of the Bengals' backfield committee to find fantasy success against Seattle--but it's still a long shot.
WR A.J. Green, CIN SEA 004501000 ***
Green's gotten it done against all kinds of cornerbacks, good and bad, so a date with Richard Sherman shouldn't scare him--or his fantasy owners.
WR Marvin Jones, CIN SEA 004600000 ***
Not only is Jones battling a tough Seattle secondary he's sparring with Mohamed Sanu for targets. That's not a fantasy-friendly combination.
WR Mohamed Sanu, CIN SEA 002200000 ***
The good news is that the four biggest WR fantasy games the Seahawks have allowed this year all came on the road. The bad news is that only one of them crossed into double-digit fantasy points. Keep your secondary Bengals wideouts on the sidelines this week.
TE Tyler Eifert, CIN SEA 005701000 ***
Eifert has cooled since his monster Week 1, but he's still a solid fantasy option against a Seattle defense that's allowed TE TDs in both of its road games this season.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mike Nugent, CIN SEA 1133 ***
The Seahawks have served up 10 and 13 kicker points on their two previous road trips, while The Nuge has been counting by ones (and missing two of three field goal attempts) at home. He should be fine this week but no reason to go out of your way to add him to your lineup.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @MIN 23-26 ot 10 IND -----
2 HOU 7-27 11 @HOU -----
3 @IND 22-17 12 TEN -----
4 CIN ----- 13 @BUF -----
5 CHI ----- 14 NYJ -----
6 BYE ----- 15 @MIA -----
7 @OAK ----- 16 NE -----
8 @GB ----- 17 @TEN -----
9 DET ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Toby Gerhart 20
WR Justin Blackmon 3-40
TE Marcedes Lewis 4-40

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars mounted a nice comeback to take down the Colts last week but this team still looks far too similar to 2011 when Maurice Jones-Drew had to provide all the offensive punch and Blaine Gabbert ended as the worst ranked starting quarterback. The win in Indy happened thanks in no small part to Jones-Drew running for 177 yards and one score on 27 carries. He was held to fewer than 20 carries in the two previous losses and that alone is the key here. Either stop Jones-Drew and you stop the Jaguars or you force the Jaguars to throw and limit the damage that the run game can do. There is really no reason not to load up the defense against one running back when facing the Jaguars.

Gabbert passes for a respectable - if not shocking - 260 yards and two scores in Minnesota. But these last two weeks were vintage Gabbert - one score and only 208 pass yards from both weeks combined. Gabbert has only completed 40 of 79 passes. Last week would have been another 80 yard debacle were it not for the 80-yard fluke touchdown by Cecil Shorts.

Second year and the passing game is still in shambles. It is not the receivers fault. Laurent Robinson had no catches last week and only eight on the season. Justin Blackmon has gone from being the best college wideout in the NFL draft to producing just one catch for seven yards over the last two weeks. The entire passing game here is absent any fantasy value for the second season in a row. They changed the receivers out for proven players. No different results mean they need to change the quarterback.

The good news is that the Bengals defense has been weak against the run so Jones-Drew gets the green flag this week. And even Gabbert may look nearly adequate against a defense that has been giving up a could scores to every opposing quarterback. In the end, that won't be enough again.

Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 29 13 32 31 24 32
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 30 29 16 26 28 29

QB Blake Bortles, JAC @TB 0000025021 ***
Each quarterback to visit Tampa this season has left with multiple touchdowns, and Bortles has amassed 540 yards and three TDs on road trips to the two AFC finalists from a year ago so he should be up to the challenge.
RB T.J. Yeldon, JAC @TB 7002100000 ***
Weldon should put his volume to good use against a defense that let Bishop Sankey (12-74-1), Mark Ingram (16-53-1) and Alfred Blue (31-139-1) put up fantasy digits against them and is fresh off letting Jonathan Stewart average five yards per carry.
WR Allen Robinson, JAC @TB 005901000 ***
If Hurns is the tortoise Robinson must be the hare: he had a monster Week 2 with 155 yards and two TDs but didn't score in the other three outings, with yardage ranging from 27 to 80. It's a plus matchup, though, so if there's a week for Robinson to hit big it's against a Tampa secondary that's consistently served up fantasy help at WR.
WR Allen Hurns, JAC @TB 007701000 ***
Hurns is the slow and steady tortoise, contributing at least 60 yards every week and touchdowns each of the past two games. That reliability makes him the safest fantasy bet to take advantage of a Bucs' secondary that's allowed at least one WR TD every game thus far.
TE Clay Harbor, JAC @TB 004300000 ***
Harbor and Marcedes Lewis are keeping the position warm until Julius Thomas returns. None of the above are a viable fantasy option against a Bucs D that hasn't allowed a TE TD since Week 1 and last week held Greg Olsen to a mere 28 yards.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Myers, JAC @TB 2122 ***
The Bucs have allowed three field goal attempts in back-to-back outings, but after watching Myers miss last week even that might be enough opportunity to make him fantasy-relevant.

CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

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