FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 4
2012
CLE at BAL (THU) *MIN at DET *OAK at DEN *TEN at HOU
CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

Prediction: CLE 13, BAL 27 (Line: BAL by 13)

Player to Watch: Jordan Cameron

The 0-3 Browns are hitting an even tougher spot in their schedule with road games to Baltimore and New York while the 2-1 Ravens come off their big win over the Patriots. Ravens swept the Browns in 2001, winning 24-10 at Cleveland and 20-14 at home. Hard to imagine that the Ravens could be so emotionally spent from beating the Pats that they could not rise up and take this win. The Browns have not won this matchup in the last eight meetings.

Cleveland Browns
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 16-17 10 BYE -----
2 @CIN 27-34 11 @DAL -----
3 BUF 14-24 12 PIT -----
4 @BAL ----- 13 @OAK -----
5 @NYG ----- 14 KC -----
6 CIN ----- 15 WAS -----
7 @IND ----- 16 @DEN -----
8 SD ----- 17 @PIT -----
9 BAL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Kenny Britt 3-40
WR Josh Gordon 3-40

Pregame Notes: Sure, the Browns are winless yet again but there are hints of some progress being made at least on offense. Pat Haden remains out for three more games so the defense is not at full strength. But the rookie Brandon Weeden has thrown a score or two in each of his last two games and passes for 322 yards in Cincinnati and then 237 yards against the visiting Bills. Recalling last year, those are huge numbers. Weeden is trying to make so with a less than stellar set of receivers.

That is even more evident when HC Pat Shurmur comes out and says he is considering sending Greg Little to the bench for dropping passes. Little is clearly the best receiver on the team, dropping passes aside. Josh Gordon is providing nearly nothing to the offense and belongs on the league waiver wire. But at least Jordan Cameron had 45 yards on five catches last week and the second-year tight end may be developing something with Weeden.

Mohamed Massaquoi has been the best receiver through the first two games but suffered a hamstring injury and may not play. Travis Benjamin caught a score last week but only has three catches on the season. The problem in Cleveland is no longer the quarterback, it remains with the receivers.

Trent Richardson scored a touchdown in each of the last two games though he only gained 27 yards on 12 runs against the Bills. But he added six catches for 24 yards to preserve his fantasy value. Richardson is not the problem either, he just too rarely reaches the line of scrimmage without finding multiple defenders in his way.

Playing in Baltimore is about as bad as it is going to get for the Browns though Richardson remains a moderate start thanks to his scoring and receiving ability.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 28 10 26 22 21 8
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 18 16 29 20 17 7

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB DeShone Kizer, CLE TEN 40100018012 *
The Browns will go with Kizer one week after benching him for Kevin Hogan, but there isn't enough upside to chance it, even against a weak pass defense. This is the eighth-best matchup in Week 7.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kevin Hogan, CLE TEN 0000022021 *
No writeup available
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Isaiah Crowell, CLE TEN 500000000 ***
Tennessee has been easy to pass against and not so friendly to running backs. This defense rates in the bottom half of football and has given up a rushing score once every 58 totes. Crowell is highly risky in fantasy and shouldn't be played if better options are present.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Duke Johnson Jr., CLE TEN 1003400000 *
The Titans have been mildly kind to pass-receiving backs, giving up 4.6 catches for 52.2 yards per appearance, with one in 11.5 catches scoring. Johnson scored 13.4 PPR points last year vs. this defense.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Ricardo Louis, CLE TEN 005600000 **
Receivers have scored seven times in the last five games when facing the Titans. Louis is a flier, sure, but there is plenty of upside with how poorly Tennessee has defended wideouts. This is the ninth-best matchup in PPR.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kenny Britt, CLE TEN 003400000 *
Even if Britt is healthy enough to play, keep away in fantasy ... he's in the doghouse and doesn't have a defined role.

Update: Britt is questionable after three days of limited participation. He's a game-time call.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE David Njoku, CLE TEN 003301000 ***
TEs have averaged 4.4 catches for 46.2 yards and a TD every 11 grabs against. This is a negative matchup in every category but the TDs against, which rates as neutrally.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Zane Gonzalez, CLE TEN 1122 ***
Opposing kickers have missed three extra points against the Titans, which is preventing this from being a midrange matchup. Statistically, it leans negative by a touch. The position has converted eight field goals.

Baltimore Ravens
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN 44-13 10 OAK -----
2 @PHI 23-24 11 @PIT -----
3 NE 31-30 12 @SD -----
4 CLE ----- 13 PIT -----
5 @KC ----- 14 @WAS -----
6 DAL ----- 15 DEN -----
7 @HOU ----- 16 NYG -----
8 BYE ----- 17 @CIN -----
9 @CLE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
BAL vs CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco 300,2
RB Danny Woodhead 20 2-20
WR Jeremy Maclin 4-60,1
PK Justin Tucker 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Ravens came within a point of being 3-0 and now play their third home game in the first four weeks. The only real concern in this game is that the Ravens get complacent and allow a trap game to happen. This will be the easiest game the Ravens play this year.

Joe Flacco gets a chance to light up the scoreboard this week against a secondary that will be without CB Pat Haden and that has allowed eight passing scores over just the first three weeks. Flacco has been passing better this season with six scores already against only two interceptions. This is a great time to face the Browns.

Ray Rice has been the most productive running back this year and he has been golden every week. As if he needed any advantage, Rice rushed for at least 130 yards in both meetings with the Browns last season. He's a lock for a big game this week.

Torrey Smith was the big story last Sunday when he lost his brother on Saturday night and elected to play in the late game on Sunday. Smith had been relatively quiet this year with only two catches in each of the first two games but then posted six receptions for 127 yards and two touchdowns in honor of his brother. Anquan Boldin still has not had more than 63 yards in a game and is hard to give a fantasy start with such low stats. The player deserving the attention is Dennis Pitta who no longer splits work with Ed Dickson. Pitta scored twice already this year and so far has never failed to make at least five catches per game. Between Pitta and Rice, there has not been much left over for the wideouts.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 5 6 14 3 4 11
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 28 18 30 10 12 25

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Joe Flacco, BAL @MIN 0000017002 ***
Flacco belongs nowhere near a fantasy roster at this time.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Javorius Allen, BAL @MIN 3006400000 ***
Runners against the Vikings have hit a brick wall. This is a dominant defense, allowing a touchdown in the last 112 rushing attempts, which is the top figure in football. The position has caught only three balls per game (32nd) and produced the second-fewest points per outing.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alex Collins, BAL @MIN 500000000 ***
There is one defense that rates stronger against running backs. Collins has a punishing matchup and shouldn't be trusted in fantasy.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Mike Wallace, BAL @MIN 002200000 ***
The Vikings have approached receivers with a "don't break" mentality, giving up 13 catches (6th most) and 161.4 yards (7th) but one TD per every 16.3 receptions.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jeremy Maclin, BAL @MIN 002200000 **
Minnesota has done a good job at keeping receivers from posting big games. This defense will allow catches (6th most) and yardage (7th) but only a TD every 16.3 snags. Maclin missed last week with shoulder injury but should be on track after being close vs. the Bears.

Update: Maclin was limited all week and is a game-time decision.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Benjamin Watson, BAL @MIN 005400000 ***
Watson has a mediocre matchup and is barely worth considering in deep PPR formats. Leave him for DFS or the wire.

Update: The veteran tight end is questionable after progressing from consecutive listings of DNP to limited in practice Friday.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Justin Tucker, BAL @MIN 3300 ***
Tucker's only misses have come from a country mile away. Unfortunately, the chances just haven't been there from reasonable ranges. The Vikes have given up only six fantasy points per outing, which rates tied as the fourth fewest.

WEEK 4
2012
CLE at BAL (THU) *MIN at DET *OAK at DEN *TEN at HOU
CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

a d v e r t i s e m e n t