FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 4
2012
CLE at BAL (THU) *MIN at DET *OAK at DEN *TEN at HOU
CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

Prediction: MIA 13, ARI 27 (Line: ARI by 6)

Players to Watch: Ryan Williams

Player Updated: Reggie Bush, Beanie Wells, Ryan Williams

The 1-2 Dolphins are still struggling with their rookie quarterback still learning the ropes and the defense not quite good enough make up the difference. The 3-0 Cardinals are already one of the biggest surprises of the season having beaten the Seahawks, Patriots and Eagles. And doing it with a vastly underrated defense. Each week brings big upsets but this one seems far too unlikely to give the Fins a chance.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 10-30 10 TEN -----
2 OAK 35-13 11 @BUF -----
3 NYJ 20-23 12 SEA -----
4 @ARI ----- 13 NE -----
5 @CIN ----- 14 @SF -----
6 STL ----- 15 JAC -----
7 BYE ----- 16 BUF -----
8 @NYJ ----- 17 @NE -----
9 @IND ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA @ ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 10 190,1
RB Frank Gore 90,1 2-10
WR Danny Amendola 6-80

Pregame Notes: The offense is still trying to come together with Ryan Tannehill at the helm but he only has one passing touchdown on the season while hanging around 200 pass yards every week. To his credit, he has only thrown one interception in the last two games and been sacked just once as well. But the problem is that this offense requires a very capable quarterback that can use a multitude of average receivers. The Fins just are not there yet.

Reggie Bush has been the star of the offense but suffered a knee sprain last week. He has no structural damage and is even expected to practice this week and play. If Bush cannot go, the Fins rely on both Daniel Thomas and Lamar Miller. Practice reports will clear up the status for Bush but it appears that he dodged a bullet and will return this week. Bush is averaging just over six yards per carry and his absence was one reason why the Jets beat them last week.

The receivers here about as productive as the ones in Jacksonville but without all that talent and potential. Brian Hartline has the sole decent game with 111 yards against the Raiders but there has only been one passing touchdown all year and that went to Anthony Fasano. Davone Bess offers moderate yardage at best and there are no other receivers of any consequence on the roster. The entirety of the passing game is throwing to Hartline, Bess and Reggie Bush with maybe one or two completions to Fasano.

The only fantasy value here is Reggie Bush. The only real weapon is Bush. He is probably already planning on his holdout next summer (pssst - Reggie. Talk to MJD first).

This week heading into Arizona is not going to be pretty. The Cardinals defense is playing at a high level and now are at home against the worst passing attack in the league. We can only hope that Bush survives the game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 32 3 31 27 29 22
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 7 4 10 7 21 9

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA @NYJ 0000024021 ***
The Jets looked like the Jags in Week 1 against Detroit. While that isn't exactly reflective of their true outlook, half of it is good enough to keep Tannehill in the doldrums section of fantasy passers.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Kenyan Drake, MIA @NYJ 5004300000 ***
New York was a top-10 matchup for exploitation in both PPR and non- scoring systems in 2017. This defense held Detroit's sad excuse for a running game to 13-34-0 and 8-35-0 in Week 1. Drake should be a low-end RB2 or quality flex option.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Frank Gore, MIA @NYJ 4001100000 ***
It is tough to gauge how capable New York is at limiting running backs. Detroit isn't exactly a fair litmus test. The Lions ran it only 13 times but connected on eight passes for 35 yards to RBs. Gore is a peripheral consideration.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Danny Amendola, MIA @NYJ 007601000 ***
The Jets have done wonders to upgrade its defense, but the play of Matthew Stafford was the bigger factor in New York's success last week from a turnover perspective. This unit still allowed 19 catches for 253 yards and a touchdown to Lions receivers, good for the fifth-most points in PPR from Week 1. Amendola could be a sly fantasy start for gamers looking to fill a flex slot.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kenny Stills, MIA @NYJ 004601000 ***
Miami faces a New York defense that surrendered 253 yards (4th most) and a score to Lions wideouts last week on 19 catches (3rd most). Stills' big-play nature could serve him well in this matchup. He's a WR3 with potential for more.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeVante Parker, MIA @NYJ 003400000 *
Parker (finger) remains uncertain for Week 2.

Update: After missing Week 1, Parker was a full participant Thursday and Friday. He's expected to dress but should be kept in reserve until we see more of his ability to catch with a broken digit.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Mike Gesicki, MIA @NYJ 002200000 ***
The promising rookie belongs no where near fantasy lineups at this time. There are too many other safer, more productive choices to be started.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Sanders, MIA @NYJ 1122 ***
Despite Sanders being the No. 12 kicker last week, there isn't a viable reason to trade in your current option just yet. The matchup is less than ideal, as well, with the Jets being the ninth-strongest unit last year against kickers and rock-solid vs. Detroit in Week 1.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL -----
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL -----
4 MIA ----- 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL ----- 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF ----- 15 DET -----
7 @MIN ----- 16 CHI -----
8 SF ----- 17 @SF -----
9 @GB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford 190
WR Larry Fitzgerald 8-100,2
TE Jermaine Gresham 5-50
PK Phil Dawson 2 FG 1 XP

Pregame Notes: The offense may not be explosive quite yet but at 3-0 it does not need to be. The Cardinals defense has been dominating and Patrick Peterson is becoming the new Darrelle Revis (the one with intact ligaments before last week). This has become a dominating defense and that was against the Patriots in their stadium. The Eagles came down last week and was outscored by the Cardinals defense on one play.

Kevin Kolb is now 3-0 and John Skelton is going to have to wait because there is no chance the Cardinals upset an offense that is already working. Kolb has thrown a score in every game but only posts game manager sort of yardage. Then again - he still has not thrown an interception. He's not the fantasy darling we all want but he is a winning quarterback running the Cards well enough to be undefeated.

Beanie Wells left with a toe injury last week that is now thought to be a turf toe. That can can him out of games and linger for many weeks. The big news here though is that Ryan Williams had been marginal in sharing with Wells and alluded to his old patella injury as being on his mind and making him a little tentative. But once Wells last the Eagles game, Williams ripped off several nice runs and ended with 83 yards on 13 carries. In Arizona, that is equivalent to Jamaal Charles gaining 233 yards. Should Wells miss games or just play them even worse than he would anyway, the door may be opening for Williams to take charge. It won't take much to dislodge oft-injury Wells and Williams had the talent coming into the league.

Larry Fitzgerald finally showed up for 2012 when he gained 114 yards and a score on nine receptions against the Eagles. He is still the only real receiver for the Cards though Michael Floyd has his first NFL catch go for a touchdown last Sunday. It was his only catch this year.

A dominating defense, the promise of better rushing with Williams means Fitzgerald won't be all alone trying to win games. It also means defenses won't load up on him and only him. The Dolphins are bringing in a weaker offense that should be chewed up by the defensive effort. That means the Cardinals offense should remain in the drivers seat this week. I like a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 23 31 20 23 16 4
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 14 20 14 15 27 21

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Sam Bradford, ARI @LAR 0000020001 ***
There is no reason to put Bradford in a fantasy lineup against such a dominant defense.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB David Johnson, ARI @LAR 5007500000 ***
In what feels like 100 years ago, the 2016 version of the Rams allowed Johnson 16.4 PPR points in Week 4. The star back played sparingly in the Week 17 blowout win. Much has changed for both teams since DJ's breakout season, and the improvements heavily favor the Rams. Start him and hope his PPR skills save the day.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @LAR 003400000 ***
The matchup is brutal in the secondary, and there's a great deal of question as to whether Sam Bradford can remain upright against this ferocious pass rush. Play him if you have no choice, but Fitz is bound to disappoint in this one.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Christian Kirk, ARI @LAR 002300000 ***
A one-catch, four-yard debut isn't what gamers had in mind, and the schedule doesn't get any easier for the rookie. Keep Kirk firmly planted on your bench.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Ricky Seals-Jones, ARI @LAR 005800000 ***
Seal-Jones was targeted six times in Week 1, which is encouraging. Also a bright spot is how Jared Cook did a number on the Rams in the opener. LA is so strong on the outside that tight ends can be neglected in coverage.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Phil Dawson, ARI @LAR 0000 *****
Dawson didn't get a chance to kick anything worth points in the opener. The 20-year veteran should see a fair amount of work against Detroit this week.

WEEK 4
2012
CLE at BAL (THU) *MIN at DET *OAK at DEN *TEN at HOU
CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

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