Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

Prediction: MIA 13, ARI 27 (Line: ARI by 6)

Players to Watch: Ryan Williams

Player Updated: Reggie Bush, Beanie Wells, Ryan Williams

The 1-2 Dolphins are still struggling with their rookie quarterback still learning the ropes and the defense not quite good enough make up the difference. The 3-0 Cardinals are already one of the biggest surprises of the season having beaten the Seahawks, Patriots and Eagles. And doing it with a vastly underrated defense. Each week brings big upsets but this one seems far too unlikely to give the Fins a chance.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 10-30 10 TEN -----
2 OAK 35-13 11 @BUF -----
3 NYJ 20-23 12 SEA -----
4 @ARI ----- 13 NE -----
5 @CIN ----- 14 @SF -----
6 STL ----- 15 JAC -----
7 BYE ----- 16 BUF -----
8 @NYJ ----- 17 @NE -----
9 @IND ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA @ ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 10 190,1
RB Lamar Miller 10 2-10
WR Greg Jennings 5-60,1
TE Jordan Cameron 3-30

Pregame Notes: The offense is still trying to come together with Ryan Tannehill at the helm but he only has one passing touchdown on the season while hanging around 200 pass yards every week. To his credit, he has only thrown one interception in the last two games and been sacked just once as well. But the problem is that this offense requires a very capable quarterback that can use a multitude of average receivers. The Fins just are not there yet.

Reggie Bush has been the star of the offense but suffered a knee sprain last week. He has no structural damage and is even expected to practice this week and play. If Bush cannot go, the Fins rely on both Daniel Thomas and Lamar Miller. Practice reports will clear up the status for Bush but it appears that he dodged a bullet and will return this week. Bush is averaging just over six yards per carry and his absence was one reason why the Jets beat them last week.

The receivers here about as productive as the ones in Jacksonville but without all that talent and potential. Brian Hartline has the sole decent game with 111 yards against the Raiders but there has only been one passing touchdown all year and that went to Anthony Fasano. Davone Bess offers moderate yardage at best and there are no other receivers of any consequence on the roster. The entirety of the passing game is throwing to Hartline, Bess and Reggie Bush with maybe one or two completions to Fasano.

The only fantasy value here is Reggie Bush. The only real weapon is Bush. He is probably already planning on his holdout next summer (pssst - Reggie. Talk to MJD first).

This week heading into Arizona is not going to be pretty. The Cardinals defense is playing at a high level and now are at home against the worst passing attack in the league. We can only hope that Bush survives the game.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 32 3 31 27 29 22
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 7 4 10 7 21 9

QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA @NYJ 20000024011 ***
After a blip that saw them gutted by three straight quarterbacks the Jets have regained their form in giving up 387 yards and three TDs over the past two games. That's right in the wheelhouse of what they gave up to Tannehill in the earlier meeting this year, 198 and 2. And it's right around what Tannehill has done the past couple weeks. In either case, it's not really enough to warrant serious fantasy attention, and there isn't much upside here either.
RB Lamar Miller, MIA @NYJ 4006500000 ***
Miller only saw eight touches in the previous meeting, a season low he hadn't approached until... well, last week when he only saw nine touches against the Cowboys. Miller's biggest contributions of late have come as a receiver, which is good for his fantasy status as the Jets have given up only one RB rushing score all season. There's PPR upside to Miller, but otherwise he's only a borderline fantasy play this week.
RB Jay Ajayi, MIA @NYJ 2003100000 **
Ajayi is getting a handful of touches in relief of Miller. In more favorable matchups there might be fantasy value here, but this is not one of those matchups.
WR Kenny Stills, MIA @NYJ 003401000 ***
Stills scored in the earlier matchup with the Jets, as secondary targets are wont to do against Gang Green. And he scored last week as well. He's wildly inconsistent but both recency and history at least put him on the fantasy radar this week.
WR Rishard Matthews, MIA @NYJ 004401000 **
Matthews hasn't scored in a month and is losing ground to Kenny Stills in the wingman sweepstakes. If the previous matchup with New York is any indication Matthews is a third wheel in a two-receiver matchup.
WR Jarvis Landry, MIA @NYJ 005600000 *
Landry has lifted his floor to 60-plus yards over the past month-plus, and there's always the possibility of a jet sweep or return TD to boost his upside. His 4-40 on a dozen targets in the earlier meeting with the Jets also puts a damper on his fantasy value this week.

Update: Landry is listed as questionable and practiced only one day this week and that was on a limited basis. The Dolphins seem confident he'll play, but you'll want to keep an eye on the pregame active list to make sure.
WR Greg Jennings, MIA @NYJ 002200000 ***
Jennings is on the bottom of Miami's receiver rotation; tough to see him carving out fantasy value this week given his usual allotment of limited targets.
TE Jordan Cameron, MIA @NYJ 002200000 ***
Jake Stoneburner vultured a TD from Cameron the last time Miami faced the Jets; since then Gang Green has allowed only one TE TD (to Gronk). Cameron has staked a firmer claim to the Dolphins' TE targets and he scored last week, but he's still too lightly targeted to be banked on for fantasy help--especially in a tough matchup like this.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Andrew Franks, MIA @NYJ 2211 ***
There will be no Franksgiving celebration this week as Franks has multiple field goals in just one of his last eight games and tallied a paltry two the last time he tangled with Gang Green.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL -----
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL -----
4 MIA ----- 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL ----- 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF ----- 15 DET -----
7 @MIN ----- 16 CHI -----
8 SF ----- 17 @SF -----
9 @GB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 270,2
RB Chris Johnson 20 5-30
WR Larry Fitzgerald 8-100,2
WR Michael Floyd 2-30
TE Jermaine Gresham 5-50

Pregame Notes: The offense may not be explosive quite yet but at 3-0 it does not need to be. The Cardinals defense has been dominating and Patrick Peterson is becoming the new Darrelle Revis (the one with intact ligaments before last week). This has become a dominating defense and that was against the Patriots in their stadium. The Eagles came down last week and was outscored by the Cardinals defense on one play.

Kevin Kolb is now 3-0 and John Skelton is going to have to wait because there is no chance the Cardinals upset an offense that is already working. Kolb has thrown a score in every game but only posts game manager sort of yardage. Then again - he still has not thrown an interception. He's not the fantasy darling we all want but he is a winning quarterback running the Cards well enough to be undefeated.

Beanie Wells left with a toe injury last week that is now thought to be a turf toe. That can can him out of games and linger for many weeks. The big news here though is that Ryan Williams had been marginal in sharing with Wells and alluded to his old patella injury as being on his mind and making him a little tentative. But once Wells last the Eagles game, Williams ripped off several nice runs and ended with 83 yards on 13 carries. In Arizona, that is equivalent to Jamaal Charles gaining 233 yards. Should Wells miss games or just play them even worse than he would anyway, the door may be opening for Williams to take charge. It won't take much to dislodge oft-injury Wells and Williams had the talent coming into the league.

Larry Fitzgerald finally showed up for 2012 when he gained 114 yards and a score on nine receptions against the Eagles. He is still the only real receiver for the Cards though Michael Floyd has his first NFL catch go for a touchdown last Sunday. It was his only catch this year.

A dominating defense, the promise of better rushing with Williams means Fitzgerald won't be all alone trying to win games. It also means defenses won't load up on him and only him. The Dolphins are bringing in a weaker offense that should be chewed up by the defensive effort. That means the Cardinals offense should remain in the drivers seat this week. I like a defensive score in this game.

Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 23 31 20 23 16 4
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 14 20 14 15 27 21

QB Carson Palmer, ARI @SF 0000030030 ***
Really, the only thing standing between Palmer and a big game is the possibility that the Cards will get up a ton early and turn to the ground game or the backups. Then again, he threw for 311 and 2 when they beat the Niners by 40 earlier this year, so...
RB David Johnson, ARI @SF 1003201000 *
The designated scorer should come into play in a matchup that saw Arizona put 47 points on the board in the earlier meeting.
RB Chris Johnson, ARI @SF 800000000 ***
The Niners have let four straight feature backs score, three of them topping 120 rushing yards in the process and Thomas Rawls gouging them for 255 combo yards and two scores last week. Oh yeah, and CJ rolled them for 22-110-2 plus 40 receiving yards in the earlier meeting.
RB Andre Ellington, ARI @SF 2003200000 ***
Chris Johnson is still hogging the touches, but this one has all the makings of a blowout and it would be wise for the Cardinals to get Ellington some run--both to ease the burden on CJ and shake the rust off of Andre.
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @SF 0061001000 ***
Fitzgerald's numbers in his last three against San Francisco with Carson Palmer at quarterback: 9-134-2, 6-113, 6-117-1. So... yeah.
WR Michael Floyd, ARI @SF 005701000 **
If Floyd's hamstring issues allow him to play this week there's no matchup-related reason you wouldn't want him in your fantasy lineup.

Update: Floyd practiced on a limited basis all week and is officially listed as questionable for this tilt. Per the Arizona media he's expected to play, but he may wind up as the Cardinals' WR3 this week behind Larry Fitzgerald and John Brown.
WR J.J. Nelson, ARI @SF 003500000 ***
You'd like to think Nelson's 4-142-1 against the Bengals last week warrant more playing time, but if Michael Floyd returns from his hamstring issue he'll be a tough fantasy start as Arizona's WR4.
WR John Brown, ARI @SF 003500000 *
Brown looked healthy enough last week, and considering the Niners have let secondary targets score or top 60 yards in six of the last nine games--including Brown's 3-62 as a wingman in the earlier meeting--he's a safe bet to inflict further damage this week.
TE Jermaine Gresham, ARI @SF 002200000 ***
Gresham still splits time with Darren Fells, and this isn't a particularly favorable matchup for tight ends anyway. Look for fantasy help elsewhere.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chandler Catanzaro, ARI @SF 2233 ***
Every kicker to visit San Francisco has had multiple field goal attempts; Catanzaro has multiple treys in five consecutive games and double-digit points in three straight. He rode six PATs to nine points in the earlier matchup; lots of ways he could improve on that solid total here.

CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

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