Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

Prediction: MIA 13, ARI 27 (Line: ARI by 6)

Players to Watch: Ryan Williams

Player Updated: Reggie Bush, Beanie Wells, Ryan Williams

The 1-2 Dolphins are still struggling with their rookie quarterback still learning the ropes and the defense not quite good enough make up the difference. The 3-0 Cardinals are already one of the biggest surprises of the season having beaten the Seahawks, Patriots and Eagles. And doing it with a vastly underrated defense. Each week brings big upsets but this one seems far too unlikely to give the Fins a chance.

Miami Dolphins
Homefield: Dolphins Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @HOU 10-30 10 TEN -----
2 OAK 35-13 11 @BUF -----
3 NYJ 20-23 12 SEA -----
4 @ARI ----- 13 NE -----
5 @CIN ----- 14 @SF -----
6 STL ----- 15 JAC -----
7 BYE ----- 16 BUF -----
8 @NYJ ----- 17 @NE -----
9 @IND ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIA @ ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Tannehill 10 190,1
RB Lamar Miller 10 2-10
WR Greg Jennings 5-60,1
TE Jordan Cameron 3-30

Pregame Notes: The offense is still trying to come together with Ryan Tannehill at the helm but he only has one passing touchdown on the season while hanging around 200 pass yards every week. To his credit, he has only thrown one interception in the last two games and been sacked just once as well. But the problem is that this offense requires a very capable quarterback that can use a multitude of average receivers. The Fins just are not there yet.

Reggie Bush has been the star of the offense but suffered a knee sprain last week. He has no structural damage and is even expected to practice this week and play. If Bush cannot go, the Fins rely on both Daniel Thomas and Lamar Miller. Practice reports will clear up the status for Bush but it appears that he dodged a bullet and will return this week. Bush is averaging just over six yards per carry and his absence was one reason why the Jets beat them last week.

The receivers here about as productive as the ones in Jacksonville but without all that talent and potential. Brian Hartline has the sole decent game with 111 yards against the Raiders but there has only been one passing touchdown all year and that went to Anthony Fasano. Davone Bess offers moderate yardage at best and there are no other receivers of any consequence on the roster. The entirety of the passing game is throwing to Hartline, Bess and Reggie Bush with maybe one or two completions to Fasano.

The only fantasy value here is Reggie Bush. The only real weapon is Bush. He is probably already planning on his holdout next summer (pssst - Reggie. Talk to MJD first).

This week heading into Arizona is not going to be pretty. The Cardinals defense is playing at a high level and now are at home against the worst passing attack in the league. We can only hope that Bush survives the game.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIA 32 3 31 27 29 22
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 7 4 10 7 21 9

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL -----
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL -----
4 MIA ----- 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL ----- 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF ----- 15 DET -----
7 @MIN ----- 16 CHI -----
8 SF ----- 17 @SF -----
9 @GB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI vs MIA Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 270,2
RB Chris Johnson 20 5-30
WR Larry Fitzgerald 8-100,2
WR Michael Floyd 2-30
TE Jermaine Gresham 5-50

Pregame Notes: The offense may not be explosive quite yet but at 3-0 it does not need to be. The Cardinals defense has been dominating and Patrick Peterson is becoming the new Darrelle Revis (the one with intact ligaments before last week). This has become a dominating defense and that was against the Patriots in their stadium. The Eagles came down last week and was outscored by the Cardinals defense on one play.

Kevin Kolb is now 3-0 and John Skelton is going to have to wait because there is no chance the Cardinals upset an offense that is already working. Kolb has thrown a score in every game but only posts game manager sort of yardage. Then again - he still has not thrown an interception. He's not the fantasy darling we all want but he is a winning quarterback running the Cards well enough to be undefeated.

Beanie Wells left with a toe injury last week that is now thought to be a turf toe. That can can him out of games and linger for many weeks. The big news here though is that Ryan Williams had been marginal in sharing with Wells and alluded to his old patella injury as being on his mind and making him a little tentative. But once Wells last the Eagles game, Williams ripped off several nice runs and ended with 83 yards on 13 carries. In Arizona, that is equivalent to Jamaal Charles gaining 233 yards. Should Wells miss games or just play them even worse than he would anyway, the door may be opening for Williams to take charge. It won't take much to dislodge oft-injury Wells and Williams had the talent coming into the league.

Larry Fitzgerald finally showed up for 2012 when he gained 114 yards and a score on nine receptions against the Eagles. He is still the only real receiver for the Cards though Michael Floyd has his first NFL catch go for a touchdown last Sunday. It was his only catch this year.

A dominating defense, the promise of better rushing with Williams means Fitzgerald won't be all alone trying to win games. It also means defenses won't load up on him and only him. The Dolphins are bringing in a weaker offense that should be chewed up by the defensive effort. That means the Cardinals offense should remain in the drivers seat this week. I like a defensive score in this game.

Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 23 31 20 23 16 4
Preventing Fantasy Points MIA 14 20 14 15 27 21

QB Carson Palmer, ARI @DET 0000029021 ***
Palmer's been on the plus side of 20 fantasy points in every game this season, with three 300-yard efforts and just as many multiple TD efforts. Detroit has checked Teddy Bridgewater and--surprisingly--Russell Wilson but been gutted by Philip Rivers and Peyton Manning. Let's give the edge to wily veterans and Palmer's recent track record and pencil him in for another fantasy helper.
RB David Johnson, ARI @DET 2002201000 *
Johnson saw 10 targets last week and has two receiving TDs on the season. Detroit hasn't given up a ton to pass-catching backs thus far, but expect Arizona--and the talented Johnson--to force the issue this week, enough to make him a viable fantasy helper in PPR and performance leagues.
RB Chris Johnson, ARI @DET 5002200000 ***
The Lions' run D hasn't fallen off a cliff as anticipated with the departures of Ndamukong Suh and Nick Fairley; they've held all backs not named Adrian Peterson to 51 yards or less, though they have allowed four TDs. Andre Ellington's expected return and David Johnson's increased snap count also cut into CJ's prospects.
RB Andre Ellington, ARI @DET 00000000 *
What is Ellington returning to? The non-Brothers Johnson have done just fine in his absence, so best case he'll get a splinter of his former touches against a defense that's been mostly stout against the run thus far. Best look for fantasy help elsewhere.
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @DET 0081001000 ***
While a multitude of wideouts have had success against Detroit, right-side guys in particular have thrived with 80-plus yards in three of four games. Guess where Fitz plays when he's not in the slot? 'Zactly. The resurgence continues this week.
WR Michael Floyd, ARI @DET 006800000 ***
Floyd's productivity jumped with a season-high seven targets, but he's still limited by Fitzgerald's resurgence and John Brown's emergence. He's a viable start with four teams on the bye, but ideally he'll make it all the way back to his former role in the Arizona receiver rotation before you bank on him for fantasy help.
WR John Brown, ARI @DET 005600000 ***
Brown actually saw more targets last week than Larry Fitzgerald, and he responded with his most productive yardage game of the season. No reason to fear him in this matchup.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chandler Catanzaro, ARI @DET 1133 ***
Catanzaro's lowest output thus far is six points, which coincidentally is also the lowest number Detroit has allowed to opposing kickers. That's a decent floor, with plenty of upside for a guy fresh off kicking five treys last week.

CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

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