Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

Prediction: WAS 24, TB 20 (Line: TB by 3)

Players to Watch: Fred Davis

Players Updated: Pierre Garcon

The 1-2 Redskins have been a boon to the fantasy world with 59+ total points in each of their games. The 1-2 Buccaneers have followed the same pattern as the Skins only without all those points. One of these teams will have lost three games in a row which is just about spinning out of control. With the way both teams have played, this is a coin flip game that may end up with 25 total points or 75 total points.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI -----
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL -----
4 @TB ----- 13 NYG -----
5 ATL ----- 14 BAL -----
6 MIN ----- 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG ----- 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT ----- 17 DAL -----
9 CAR ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS @ TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 30,1 270,2
RB Alfred Morris 70
WR Pierre Garcon
WR DeSean Jackson 4-70
WR Andre Roberts 4-50

Pregame Notes: That win in week one is a little less impressive now that the Saints are 0-3 but losing to the Rams and the Bengals are troublesome since no one knew the Rams had an offense. You cannot fault the Skins offense that has posted 28 points or more in every game. But the Redskins have allowed 101 points and cannot stop the bleeding. The Rams and the Bengals?

Robert Griffin III had been more effective as a runner than a passer in recent games though he has always thrown for at least one touchdown per game and never gained fewer than 206 passing yards. Griffin has three rushing touchdowns on the season and ran for over 80 yards in the last two losses.

Alfred Morris still has fantasy value as the primary back but slipped to 78 yards on 17 runs last week with one touchdown. Morris has not caught any passes so far. What works in his favor this week is that Evan Royster has a strained patellar tendon and Roy Helu has turf toe so Morris should get no less of a load and possibly all the carries this week.

Pierre Garcon remains out with his foot injury and HC Mike Shanahan is not interested in clearing up when Garcon will be back. I will assume he is out until he gets a full practice. Leonard Hankerson has earned a starting role and has been the most productive wide receiver for the last two weeks. Aldrick Robinson has faded to only one catch last Sunday and Santana Moss has been little used. The only development here is that Fred Davis was finally a big part of the passing equation when he caught seven passes for 90 yards. With Garcon out, Davis should continue to be the main target for Griffin.

How this game plays out will be interesting since Cam Newton passed for 303 yards there in the season opener and yet had no rushing success. Eli Manning passed for 510 yards and three scores but then Tony Romo was unable to score on the Buccaneers. The Bucs defense has been good against the run and horrible against the pass - for the most part.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 14 12 19 12 3
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 22 6 31 9 25 11

QB Kirk Cousins, WAS NYG 0000027021 ***
Cousins threw for 316 yards but only one score in the earlier meeting with the Giants, but he's had seven TDs and 641 yards in his last two at home and faces a New York D that's given up 10 QB TDs in the past three games--more than enough for him to retain his fantasy sleeper status.
RB Chris Thompson, WAS NYG 1004201000 **
Thompson was the Redskins back of note in the earlier meeting, catching eight balls for 57 yards and a touchdown. He's retained the pass-catching role and saw a little run as the feature back after a fumble relegated Matt Jones to the bench. If there's upside to any of Washington's RBs, Thompson has it.
RB Matt Jones, WAS NYG 2001100000 ***
Just as Jones was flashing some productivity his butterfingers cost him his gig, and who knows when he'll get another chance at meaningful touches.
RB Alfred Morris, WAS NYG 300000000 *
Morris seems to be buried behind Matt Jones and Chris Thompson, and this doesn't project to be a matchup where he'd dig his way out.
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS NYG 005500000 ***
Garcon should hold his own here, as big-bodied receivers fare well against the Giants. He tallied 5-64 in the earlier meeting sans DeSean Jackson; something similar wouldn't surprise.
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS NYG 003500000 ***
Jackson has just four catches for 24 yards against the Giants since switching over from Philly, but his 5-87-1 last week demonstrated he's at least close to 100 percent so the opportunity is there for him to turn back the clock to when he used to gouge Big Blue as an Eagle.
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS NYG 004400000 ***
With DeSean Jackson fully integrated into the offense last week Crowder was an afterthought; too risky to run him out against the Giants when most of Kirk Cousins' attention will be directed elsewhere.
TE Jordan Reed, WAS NYG 007901000 ***
Reed ripped Big Blue for 6-96 in the earlier meeting; a rematch with a Giants defense that's allowed seven TE TDs on the year--three in the last three games--and more TE yardage than any other team could yield even better fantasy results.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS NYG 2222 ***
Teams continue to get their kicks against the Giants; in fact, Hopkins' 7 point performance back in Week 3 is the second-lowest total posted against Big Blue in the last two-plus months. Consider him a solid option to help your fantasy club.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR 16-10 10 SD -----
2 @NYG 34-41 11 @CAR -----
3 @DAL 10-16 12 ATL -----
4 WAS ----- 13 @DEN -----
5 BYE ----- 14 PHI -----
6 KC ----- 15 @NO -----
7 NO ----- 16 STL -----
8 @MIN ----- 17 @ATL -----
9 @OAK ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Doug Martin 80 3-20
WR Vincent Jackson 7-110,1
TE Brandon Myers 5-50,1
PK Connor Barth 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Buccaneers should see a spike in scoring this week since they cannot get much lower. In Dallas they were held to only one touchdown and Josh Freeman has two games with fewer than 140 passing yards. But he has scored at least once each week. Freeman scored four times against three interceptions and has almost no rushing yardage this year.

Doug Martin is struggling behind a poor offensive line and currently has rushed for 214 yards on 63 carries for only a 3.4 yard average. But he is often met at the line by defenders and has looked sharp if only in brief moments when he breaks free. Martin has only a marginal role as a receiver since the Buccaneers offense just do not employ backs as pass catchers much.

The tight end spot has not evaporated with Dallas Clark gaining no yardage on his one catch against the Cowboys. Luke Stocker scored in Dallas but it was his only catch of the year.

After recording a touchdown in each of his first two games, Mike Williams was blanketed by the Cowboys as was Vincent Jackson who had just one catch in that game after gaining 128 yards and a touchdown in New York. Martin has the running back spot locked up but has not been able to make it very productive yet. The receivers still revolve almost entirely around Jackson and Williams.

The Skins have been good against the run and bad against the pass. This is a good chance for Freeman to get in some better yardage and scoring. The Skins have been allowing over 30 points per opponent but that's hard to expect from an offense that has sputtered twice this year. This week should be the start of a very nice stretch of an easy schedule, at least for the passing game.

Gaining Fantasy Points TB 31 23 28 30 18 5
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 32 8 32 30 18 8

QB Jameis Winston, TB @IND 0000026021 ***
Winston snapped out of his slump with a five-TD performance against Philly; an Indy secondary that's allowed multiple touchdown tosses in three straight offers another opportunity for a fantasy helper.
RB Doug Martin, TB @IND 7001100000 ***
Martin rolls in after a monster 27-235 outing against the Eagles, his fourth game in the past seven with at least 140 yards from scrimmage. Indy has been better of late, but there are multiple ways this goes right for Martin: on the ground, combo-wise, or via the score against a Colts D that's surrendered a dozen RB TDs this season.
RB Charles Sims, TB @IND 2003200000 ***
Even as Martin blew up last week Sims was carving out 69 yards of his own, with a touchdown catch to boot. Indy gave up two RB receiving TDs last week, suggesting there could be a healthy helping of leftovers for Sims again this week.
WR Mike Evans, TB @IND 006901000 ***
The return of Vincent Jackson cut into Evans' ridiculous target totals, but he still found the end zone and did enough yardage damage to be a strong fantasy helper. Tough to see him getting big targets if Vontae Davis is shadowing him, but he's still a matchup problem and a huge red zone threat--more than enough to keep him fantasy relevant even against a tough cover corner.
WR Vincent Jackson, TB @IND 004601000 **
Jackson scored in his first game back from injury, and now he'll face an Indy D that's allowed a dozen WR TDs--two thirds of them to secondary receivers. Bodes well for another strong showing from VJax this week.
TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins, TB @IND 00000000 *
All signs point towards ASJ returning to action, his first since being injured one week after a 5-110-2 opener. Indy has surrendered four TE TDs in the past five games and four games of 50 yards or more in that span; they should provide a warm welcome for Seferian-Jenkins' return.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Connor Barth, TB @IND 3222 ***
Barth's hot start with the Bucs has slowed, with single field goals each of the past two games. A Colts D that's given up one or fewer three-pointers in three of the last four doesn't project to offer much help.

CAR at ATL *NE at BUF *SD at KC *WAS at TB
*CIN at JAC *NO at GB *SEA at STL *CHI at DAL (MON)
*Updated *MIA at ARI *NYG at PHI *SF at NYJ Bye: IND, PIT

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