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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: HOU 31, NYJ 13 (Line: HOU by 9)
Players to Watch: Mark Sanchez, Tim Tebow
Players Updated: Dustin Keller, Stephen Hill, Ben Tate
The 4-0 Texans are back on the road but still have not scored less than 27 points in any game. The 2-2 Jets may be .500 but are on the verge of complete armageddon according to the media who delights in such. This could be a trap game, but it would need to happen in an alternate universe and would not be broadcasted on NFL Sunday Ticket unless you purchased the HBO/Dual Reality Package.
Houston Texans |
| Homefield: Reliant Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
MIA |
30-10 |
10 |
@CHI |
----- |
| 2 |
@JAC |
27-7 |
11 |
JAC |
----- |
| 3 |
@DEN |
31-25 |
12 |
@DET |
----- |
| 4 |
TEN |
38-14 |
13 |
@TEN |
----- |
| 5 |
@NYJ |
----- |
14 |
@NE |
----- |
| 6 |
GB |
----- |
15 |
IND |
----- |
| 7 |
BAL |
----- |
16 |
MIN |
----- |
| 8 |
BYE |
----- |
17 |
@IND |
----- |
| 9 |
BUF |
----- |
----- |
----- |
----- |
| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: Tough game in Denver but otherwise - this has been a cakewalk so far. Three wins were by 20+ points and the Houston defense has been only let up at the end of games to allow a little trash yardage and maybe a score. The passing offense under Matt Schaub has largely been mediocre in stats simply because they were not needed but in the one close game, he threw for 290 yards and four touchdowns in Denver. Schaub is only playing up to the level he needs to and with once again a premier rushing offense, he is just rarely that productive.
Arian Foster has scored in each game and never gained fewer than 79 rushing yards. His role as a receiver has been mostly limited but he makes that up with big rushing yards and touchdowns. Ben Tate is just a relief player and his two scores in the Jacksonville win along with his 74 rushing yards were just a one-time thing. Tate has produced under 30 total yards in all but one game. Foster remains an elite back with a heavy load.
The passing may not be prolific but Owen Daniels has caught a touchdown in both of the last two games and he has always been good for around 50 yards worth of production each week.
As so often happens, the tremendous success of both the rushing effort and the defense means that the minimal passing needs affect all receivers including Andre Johnson. He has two scores on the year but he is only averaging three catches for around 50 yards per game over the last three weeks. No doubt he will come back into play in upcoming weeks with the likes of the Packers and Ravens up next. But against the Jets? Could be another low effort from a guy you have to start regardless because of his potential every week.
No other receiver matters here - ever. The fantasy value has dwindled down to only Foster, Daniels in a pinch and Johnson with your fingers crossed.
The Jets started the season by giving up 169 rush yards to C.J. Spiller and three weeks later have yielded seven rushing touchdowns and well over 100 yards to runners from every opponent other than the Steelers. With the Jets losing Darrelle Revis and now Santonio Holmes, the disarray is ripe for a bulldozer job by the Texans.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
HOU |
21 |
2 |
29 |
9 |
10 |
2 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
NYJ |
8 |
25 |
6 |
10 |
16 |
20 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Matt Schaub, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 2 | 1 |    |
| Two weeks ago Schaub threw for 261 and 1 against the Colts. He may be asked to do a bit more of the heavy lifting with Arian Foster coming back from an irregular heartbeat. And Houston still has something to play for, as a win would salt away the top seed and home field advantage throughout the AFC playoffs. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Arian Foster, HOU |
@IND |
80 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Foster rolled the Colts for 165 yards on 27 carries a couple weeks back, and he's been cleared by doctors following last week's irregular heartbeat incident. But with the playoffs looming and Ben Tate healthy, not to mention the whole heartbeat thing, that seems like an aggressive workload against Indy. Settle for "good", but he'll likely share too much with Tate to hit "great". |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Ben Tate, HOU |
@IND |
40 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Indy has allowed 100-plus rushing yards in five of the last six games, including 178 to the Texans in Week 15. Arian Foster accounted for most of that, but Tate's healthier now and after Foster left last week's game with an irregular heartbeat it wouldn't be a shock to see Tate handle a bigger share of the work this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Andre Johnson, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 7 | 100 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Johnson took the Colts for 11-151-1 a couple weeks back, so he should have no trouble collecting the 43 yards he needs to reach the 1,500-yard mark. And with double-digit targets in four straight (and five of six, and eight of the last 10) he'll be the guy Matt Schaub leans on if the ground game can't get going--or if the Texans find themselves playing catch-up to Andrew Luck. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR DeVier Posey, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Is Posey taking over the wingman job from Kevin Walter? Maybe, but he hasn't done enough to turn that gig into something warranting fantasy attention just yet. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Owen Daniels, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Daniels didn't do much against Indy a couple weeks back, and with James Casey and Garrett Graham stealing the occasional touchdown he's a tough start in TD-heavy scoring systems. He's still the lead dog in the Texans' tight end rotation, but that doesn't carry as much weight as it used to. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Garrett Graham, HOU |
@IND |
0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Graham's biggest fantasy impact is stealing just enough from Owen Daniels' plate to render him a lesser fantasy entity. He's not doing enough on his own on a consistent basis to warrant a fantasy start. |
New York Jets |
| Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
BUF |
48-28 |
10 |
@SEA |
----- |
| 2 |
@PIT |
10-27 |
11 |
@STL |
----- |
| 3 |
@MIA |
23-20 |
12 |
NE |
----- |
| 4 |
SF |
0-34 |
13 |
ARI |
----- |
| 5 |
HOU |
----- |
14 |
@JAC |
----- |
| 6 |
IND |
----- |
15 |
@TEN |
----- |
| 7 |
@NE |
----- |
16 |
SD |
----- |
| 8 |
MIA |
----- |
17 |
@BUF |
----- |
| 9 |
BYE |
----- |
----- |
----- |
----- |
| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: Few teams are 2-2 and have as much bad press as the Jets but then again, losing 0-34 at home to anyone is going to draw negative attention. Plus losing Santonio Holmes who was not only marginally productive, he was clearly the best weapon they had. Plus we have the obligatory "What about Tebow>" side story that only gets stronger with every bad game by Mark Sanchez.
There are even rumors that the owner is lobbying for Tim Tebow to start.
Since the season opener, Sanchez has only thrown two touchdowns and twice failed to reach 140 pass yards. That couples with a horrible rushing attack. In the meltdown against the 49ers, Sanchez only completed 13 of 29 passes for 103 yards and one interception. He had a nice throw to Holmes who crumpled untouched in pain while handing the ball to a defender who scored a touchdown. It kind of is not Sanchez fault.
He has no help.
Holmes is gone for the season with a Lis Franc injury. Stephen Hill has been nursing a hamstring strain. Patrick Turner was cut. Jeremy Kerley has scored twice this year and been as close to a productive wideout as it gets for the Jets but he is no #1 guy on any other team. Tim Tebow has one pass and that was last week when he connected with Dedrick Epps who got busted in the knee and was released on Monday. Dustin Keller has been gone since week one with a hamstring injury. Last year there were veterans like Plaxico Burress, Derrick Mason and Holmes. Guys who at least once upon a time were productive. Now it is Jeremy Kerley and Chaz Schilens as the starting receivers? Joe McKnight was changed to a cornerback last week, did poorly on his few plays and is back to being just more dead space on the running back depth chart.
It would make some sense to use Tebow in a rush heavy attack only there are no running backs on the roster that we know of. Shonn Greene may have finally wore out his welcome after four years of falling forward and trying to roll. HC Rex Ryan said he would consider other runners but then gave Greene 11 carries (34 yards) and Bilal Powell only ran four times (11 yards). There are only two real answers here.
1. Start Jonathan Grimes at running back. Yes, he comes from the HOU practice squad and will probably suck as much as Greene and Powell but we don't know that for sure yet. Or maybe Lex Hilliard who just signed.
2. Start Tebow and just let him run it every play. The wins won't likely come but at least the media finally gets what they want.
This will be an interesting week to see how the Jets respond. They are 2-2. But they look like they may be 2-14 at the end.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
NYJ |
27 |
31 |
19 |
28 |
25 |
6 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
HOU |
2 |
14 |
2 |
6 |
3 |
7 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Mark Sanchez, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 2 |    |
| Greg McElroy is concussed, so we'll be treated to the quarterback stylings of Mark Sanchez once again. Enjoy. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Bilal Powell, NYJ |
@BUF |
60 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Powell has backslid to junior member of the Jets' RBBC, but he's still a factor as a receiver and a threat at the stripe. Plus, it's an incredibly favorable matchup. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Braylon Edwards, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| There's not enough going on in the Jets' passing game to make any Gang Green receiver fantasy-relevant, but if you have to throw a dart Edwards is the least pathetic option. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Jeremy Kerley, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Every now and then the Jets run a pass play. And of those rare instances, many if not most are incomplete. Of the handful that aren't incomplete--or intercepted--Kerley is sometimes the target. How's that for a ringing endorsement? |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Chaz Schilens, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Schilens is maybe the third receiving option on a run-first team with bad quarterbacking. Nothing in that sentence suggests "fantasy starter". |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Jeff Cumberland, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| If nothing else, Cumberland can claim to be on the business end of Greg McElroy's first (only) NFL touchdown pass. And right now, odds strongly favor "nothing else". |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Nick Folk, NYJ |
@BUF |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |     |
| The Jets haven't broken the 20-point barrier since Week 11, so there simply aren't enough points available to make Folk fantasy-relevant. |
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