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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: MIA 20, CIN 27 (Line: CIN by 4.5)
Players to Watch: Brain Hartline
The 1-3 Dolphins are on a two game losing streak though they gave the Cardinals all they could handle last week. The 3-1 Bengals have been on a roll since the season opening loss in Baltimore. Once again, the Bengals are playing better than we expected and the Dolphins are good but not good enough.
Miami Dolphins |
| Homefield: Dolphins Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@HOU |
10-30 |
10 |
TEN |
----- |
| 2 |
OAK |
35-13 |
11 |
@BUF |
----- |
| 3 |
NYJ |
20-23 |
12 |
SEA |
----- |
| 4 |
@ARI |
21-24 |
13 |
NE |
----- |
| 5 |
@CIN |
----- |
14 |
@SF |
----- |
| 6 |
STL |
----- |
15 |
JAC |
----- |
| 7 |
BYE |
----- |
16 |
BUF |
----- |
| 8 |
@NYJ |
----- |
17 |
@NE |
----- |
| 9 |
@IND |
----- |
----- |
----- |
----- |
| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: Losing the last two games by just three points means the Dolphins are improving but are limited by their defense that has allowed 23 points or more in three games this year. This is not a "catch up" sort of offense despite Ryan Tannehill throwing for 431 yards in Arizona. His previous best was only 219 yards and he still only managed to score once. So far Tannehill has two touchdowns against six interceptions but at least is gaining yardage in chunks with the wide receivers.
Reggie Bush was active last week and gained 67 yards on 17 runs in Arizona. But he was never used as a receiver and was not overused in his first game since the knee sprain. He left the game without any issues and should be 100% this week. Not only are both Lamar Miller and Daniel Thomas splitting the relief work, but the Fins allowed Jorvorskie Lane to punch in the short touchdown for the second week in a row. Hopefully that goes away with Bush healthy again.
No matter that there were 431 pass yards in Arizona, Anthony Fasano still is held to fewer than 50 yards every week and has not fantasy merit.
The big story last week was Brian Hartline being thrown 19 passes for 12 catches and 253 yards including the 80-yard touchdown. That makes two of the last three weeks that Hartline ended with nine carries or more. And the problem is that he sandwiched those monster games with a one catch effort against the Jets. Opponents can game plan Hartline away but if they do not he has made them pay. Davone Bess also caught seven passes for 123 yards in that game but Hartline's 80-yard score has been the only touchdown by any wideout this year. That's two games by Hartline and one by Bess that were impressive and nothing else in four weeks. Cover the two and not much is going to happen. For that matter, cover Hartline and take your chances. This offense only has two passing touchdowns this year. What Hartline can do this week will help define the Miami passing game.
The Bengals are weaker on defense than most 3-1 teams but facing CLE, WAS and JAC has helped. All teams have thrown at least one score on them and most have at least some rushing success against them as well. But the passing is not going to be good enough here to get the win.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
MIA |
26 |
3 |
21 |
27 |
27 |
16 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
CIN |
24 |
26 |
9 |
24 |
17 |
26 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA |
@NE |
30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 1 | 1 |    |
| Tannehill only passed for 186 yards and no scores in the last meeting. On the road, no reason to expect more especially with Bess probably still out. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Brian Hartline, MIA |
@NE |
0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Hartline turned in 5-84 last time vs. the Pats and now Bess is out. That leaves the entire Pats secondary with no one else to worry about. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Dan Carpenter, MIA |
@NE |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |   |
| On the road to NE? No thanks. |
Cincinnati Bengals |
| Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@BAL |
13-44 |
10 |
NYG |
----- |
| 2 |
CLE |
34-27 |
11 |
@KC |
----- |
| 3 |
@WAS |
38-31 |
12 |
OAK |
----- |
| 4 |
@JAC |
27-10 |
13 |
@SD |
----- |
| 5 |
MIA |
----- |
14 |
DAL |
----- |
| 6 |
@CLE |
----- |
15 |
@PHI |
----- |
| 7 |
PIT |
----- |
16 |
@PIT |
----- |
| 8 |
BYE |
----- |
17 |
BAL |
----- |
| 9 |
DEN |
----- |
----- |
----- |
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| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Bengals finish three road games in the first four weeks with a 3-1 record but the schedule is not getting much better anytime soon. The defense has been a problem most weeks but at least Andy Dalton has been able to produce three scores each week and remain ahead on the scoreboard. He has thrown for over 300 yards twice and rushed in a touchdown last week in Jacksonville.
The rushing game here remains just as lackluster as it was with Cedric Benson. BenJarvus Green-Ellis rarely has a role as a receiver and he has only gained 286 yards on 82 runs. That's a 3.5 yard per carry average and a moderate fantasy output every week. He's not winning anyone games but he is not why you lose either. Just like Benson before him, the Bengals have an average run game that just lacks any sparks or big performances. Green-Ellis gets almost all the action here. It just never matters that much.
Jermaine Gresham is the tight end version of Green-Ellis. He has one score, he always has at least 30 yards but never more than 64. Middle of the road for a tight end and worthy only of filling in for a bye week player.
Dalton continues to ignite an improving set of receivers. A.J. Green scored in each of the last three games and has been good for six or seven catches per week. The last two weeks produced 183 yards against the Redskins and 117 yards in Jacksonville. He is a strong play and currently the #1 wideout in most fantasy leagues. But he is not alone. Armon Binns scored once and was catching about four passes per game until being blanked last week. Andrew Hawkins is making the slot mean something. He has two touchdowns on the year and produces 50 or 60 yards in almost every game. He adds a dangerous element that can break a long gainer on any play.
This offense has a decent rushing game that supports a good passer in Dalton. Green is the #1 fantasy wideout because teams cannot devote too much against him without paying a price from the other receivers. This week they go against a Miami defense that has allowed over 300 passing yards to the last three opponents and all teams score at least once against them via the pass. The rushing defense is actually top notch and going against a mediocre run offense.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
CIN |
10 |
26 |
1 |
21 |
12 |
15 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
MIA |
20 |
15 |
27 |
15 |
24 |
23 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Andy Dalton, CIN |
BAL |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 250 | 2 | 1 |    |
| It's been a month since Dalton threw multiple touchdowns in a game, and he was blanked in the earlier meeting with Baltimore. But with a playoff spot assured it's an opportunity for Dalton to take some chances and build some confidence in front of the home crowd. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB BenJarvus Green-Ellis, CIN |
BAL |
90 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| The 91 and 1 BJGE posted in Baltimore back in Week 1 doesn't look quite as impressive now that everybody and their brother is running on the Ravens. But that doesn't mean a similar showing this week would go unnoticed. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR A.J. Green, CIN |
BAL |
0 | 0 | 6 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Green consistently gets his: 10-116 last week against Pittsburgh, 5-70 in the earlier meeting with Baltimore. No reason to think he won't be Andy Dalton's most targeted receiver as long as both are in the game. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Marvin Jones, CIN |
BAL |
0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Jones' targets have been on the rise as he settles into the WR2 role opposite A.J. Green, and his productivity has climbed as well. Secondary receivers have done much of the damage against the Ravens of late--three of the last four WR TDs against Baltimore have been scored by WR2s and Eric Decker went for 133 two weeks back--so Jones could continue to make noise this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Andrew Hawkins, CIN |
BAL |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Hawkins had 86 yards back in the Week 1 loss to Baltimore, but he's fading to a third target at this point and can't be trusted for consistent production. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Jermaine Gresham, CIN |
BAL |
0 | 0 | 5 | 50 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Gresham's fantasy value fluctuates in direct proportion to Andy Dalton's comfort level with whomever is lining up opposite A.J. Green in any given week. Dalton is getting more comfortable with Marvin Jones as his WR2, so Gresham's numbers are subdued. Doesn't help that the Ravens haven't allowed a TE TD in more than two months. |
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