Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: CIN 20, CLE 23 (Line: CIN by 2.5)

Updated Players: Jordan Norwood

This is a repeat game. The 3-2 Bengals already won 34-27 at home in week two. The difference this time is the venue and the fact that all the 0-5 Browns rookies are a month more experienced. The Bengals have won seven of the last eight but this is going to be the Browns best chance to get a win until week 14 unless they get the obligatory trap game.

Cincinnati Bengals
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @BAL 13-44 10 NYG -----
2 CLE 34-27 11 @KC -----
3 @WAS 38-31 12 OAK -----
4 @JAC 27-10 13 @SD -----
5 MIA 13-17 14 DAL -----
6 @CLE ----- 15 @PHI -----
7 PIT ----- 16 @PIT -----
8 BYE ----- 17 BAL -----
9 DEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CIN @ CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Andy Dalton 10 280,2
WR A.J. Green 5-80,1
PK Mike Nugent 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bengals have played inconsistently at best this year and come off a home loss to the Dolphins which should have been one of the softer games of the year. The Bengals have to resist the urge to look past this to the Steelers match-up in week seven because the Browns came within one touchdown of tying in Cincinnati.

Andy Dalton has also calmed down from his initial 300 yard, three touchdown games in weeks two and three. Against the Jaguars he only threw for 244 yards and two scores and then 234 yards with one touchdown against the Dolphins. Dalton passed for 318 yards and three touchdowns in the first meeting in Cincy.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been a fantasy frustration after starting out with 91 rushing yards on 18 runs and scoring once on the Ravens. Since then he has averaged less than three yards per carry and ran for only 75 yards on 21 runs at home against the Browns. Bernard Scott is gone now and that may help BGE a little but Scott was only a very minor player anyway. The lack of a decent rushing effort still plagues the Bengals.

Jermaine Gresham has been solid each week with around five catches but he only has one touchdown on the season and turned in just four catches for 37 yards in the previous Browns match-up.

A.J. Green is on a four game scoring spree with solid yardage and receptions in each. That started against the Browns when he caught seven passes for 58 yards and one score. Oddly his best two games and only ones over 70 yards were both on the road. Andrew Hawkins also scored in week two with just two catches for 56 yards and one very impressive scamper through the defense for a touchdown. But these last two weeks, Hawkins has only produced less than 50 yards per week with no scores. Armon Binns and Brandon Tate are both non-factors.

It is easy enough to expect week two to repeat and the Browns come off a thrashing in New York. But this one is at home for the Browns and one of the best chances for them to finally get a win. The Bengals cannot take this one lightly.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 13 27 2 21 14 16
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 27 24 31 3 13 26

QB Andy Dalton, CIN CLE 20000025030 ***
Dalton is a great fantasy choice in Week 7 against a Browns team that has allowed 295 yards and nearly three touchdowns per game over six contests. The Bengals passer didn't eclipse 235 yards in either meeting last year, but he threw five touchdowns spread over those contests.
RB Giovani Bernard, CIN CLE 2005400000 ***
Bernard has assumed the primary load in this backfield, largely because of his versatility. He's a PPR-only consideration in Week 7, but the matchup is fine to flex him in standard formats. Cleveland has allowed an average of 24.0 point-per-reception figures on the year.
RB Jeremy Hill, CIN CLE 600000000 ***
Cleveland has allowed a rushing score every 31 attempts, which rates as a neutral matchup. He has little value without finding the end zone, so playing Hill is always a risk.
WR A.J. Green, CIN CLE 0071302000 ***
Receivers have scored every 8.6 receptions, which is the fifth worst ratio, and Green is poised for a huge outing. He posted a 10-185-1 line over two games last year vs. Cleveland.
WR Brandon LaFell, CIN CLE 006700000 ***
Cleveland has allowed only 69 catches in six games, but eight of them have gone for touchdowns. With all of the attention paid to A.J. Green, LaFell is in great positioning for a big game of his own.
TE Tyler Eifert, CIN CLE 004501000 *
The matchup is pristine for Eifert's return to the field. He practiced fully on Friday and should lineup with his teammates for the first time this year. Eifert is a fringe play despite the Browns' futility versus tight ends.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mike Nugent, CIN CLE 2233 ***
Cleveland has allowed 12 field goal kicks, but only 66.7 percent have split the uprights. Nugent, ranked 11th in fantasy points per game, should be a sound fantasy choice in this divisional match.

Cleveland Browns
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 16-17 10 BYE -----
2 @CIN 27-34 11 @DAL -----
3 BUF 14-24 12 PIT -----
4 @BAL 16-23 13 @OAK -----
5 @NYG 27-41 14 KC -----
6 CIN ----- 15 WAS -----
7 @IND ----- 16 @DEN -----
8 SD ----- 17 @PIT -----
9 BAL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CLE vs CIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 40 250,1
WR Josh Gordon 3-50,1
WR Andrew Hawkins 3-50,1

Pregame Notes: The strain of losing is no fun but the Browns are pretty much accustomed to it anyway. They have been in every game this year at least for a while before it gets irretrievably out of reach. Brandon Weeden has already proven a big upgrade by throwing for around 300 yards three times this year including 322 yards and two scores in Cincinnati using virtually no NFL-quality receivers. Weeden has just five scores against nine interceptions but had no turnovers in the previous meeting with the Bengals

Trent Richardson still has a career best mark of 109 rushing yards on 19 runs when he played in Cincy and he scored twice in that game. Richardson has scored at least once in each of the last four games and adds five or six receptions as well. His season high in carries has been 19 which again came when facing the Bengals. His yardage has been nothing spectacular so far but he has always scored and his dual role helps support his fantasy value.

The tight ends are little used and never score for the Browns. Benjamin Watson has been more productive lately though just last week ended with only one catch in New York. Jordan Cameron had a touchdown there called back on a penalty and has been little used otherwise. Weeden occasionally relies on them but a lack of scoring or consistent use means no real fantasy value here.

Greg Little had his only touchdown on the year with his five receptions for 57 yards in Cincy but has since mostly been dropping passes and frustrating Weeden. Little has the ability to get open and the speed to do some damage. It is just that whole "while holding the ball" thing that has been a problem. Mohamed Massaquoi had the big game of 90 yards in the last meeting with the Bengals but has since been out with a hamstring strain. Jordan Norwood is getting more playing time from the slot and turned in nine catches for 81 yards versus the Giants. Just as important - Norwood caught all nine of his passes.

The Bengals defense let the Browns score 27 points in Cincy. The receivers are less certain for the Bengals but Richardson goes against a defense that has allowed five different runners to score on them - including Richardson... twice.

Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 26 10 23 23 15 12
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 19 27 5 21 16 28

QB Cody Kessler, CLE @CIN 0000026020 ***
Kessler's value comes down to whether Terrelle Pryor Sr. plays, and how much. This has the potential to be a fairly high-scoring game based on the defensive struggles of each team. Cincy has allowed 23.9 fantasy points, on average, which is the seventh most on a per-game basis.
RB Isaiah Crowell, CLE @CIN 4001100000 ***
The Bengals have allowed better production through the air to RBs than on the ground in a relative sense. Crowell is no better than a flex play if you're desperate to take a gamble.
RB Duke Johnson Jr., CLE @CIN 1006300000 ***
Johnson has a shot at decent numbers this week. RBs have scored three times on 33 catches against the Bengals. His value is around a low-end RB2 or flex play in PPR setups.
WR Ricardo Louis, CLE @CIN 004401000 ***
The rookie showed nicely in Week 6 and may be asked to do more if Terrelle Pryor cannot dress. Louis, however, is a high-risk start in any format.
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr., CLE @CIN 004500000 *
Pryor is dealing with a hamstring injury but vows to play, for whatever that is worth. Check back Friday for a final decision.

Update: Welp, so much for having a clearer idea. Head coach Hue Jackson called Pryor a game-time decision after a limited practice effort Friday. Pryor ran on the side.
WR Rashard Higgins, CLE @CIN 003400000 ***
The Browns may be without Terrelle Pryor Sr., so if he sits, it's the next man up in Cleveland. Higgins has no immediate fantasy worth, despite a quality matchup.
WR Andrew Hawkins, CLE @CIN 002300000 ***
Hawkins is a fringe roster filler, but he could have utility in PPR leagues if Terrelle Pryor (hamstring) has to sit.
TE Gary Barnidge, CLE @CIN 006801000 ***
Barnidge's Week 7 opponent, Cincinnati, has allowed a touchdown every 6.3 catches to tight ends. If Terrelle Pryor sits, Barnidge should see a high volume of targets. Either way, he's easily playable.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, CLE @CIN 0022 ***
Despite Cincy allowing the second most field goal attempts, Parkey will struggle to matter. The Browns go on the road against a Bengals team that is in desperation mode.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

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