Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: CIN 20, CLE 23 (Line: CIN by 2.5)

Updated Players: Jordan Norwood

This is a repeat game. The 3-2 Bengals already won 34-27 at home in week two. The difference this time is the venue and the fact that all the 0-5 Browns rookies are a month more experienced. The Bengals have won seven of the last eight but this is going to be the Browns best chance to get a win until week 14 unless they get the obligatory trap game.

Cincinnati Bengals
Homefield: Paul Brown Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @BAL 13-44 10 NYG -----
2 CLE 34-27 11 @KC -----
3 @WAS 38-31 12 OAK -----
4 @JAC 27-10 13 @SD -----
5 MIA 13-17 14 DAL -----
6 @CLE ----- 15 @PHI -----
7 PIT ----- 16 @PIT -----
8 BYE ----- 17 BAL -----
9 DEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CIN @ CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Andy Dalton 10 280,2
WR A.J. Green 5-80,1
WR Greg Little 2-20
PK Mike Nugent 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bengals have played inconsistently at best this year and come off a home loss to the Dolphins which should have been one of the softer games of the year. The Bengals have to resist the urge to look past this to the Steelers match-up in week seven because the Browns came within one touchdown of tying in Cincinnati.

Andy Dalton has also calmed down from his initial 300 yard, three touchdown games in weeks two and three. Against the Jaguars he only threw for 244 yards and two scores and then 234 yards with one touchdown against the Dolphins. Dalton passed for 318 yards and three touchdowns in the first meeting in Cincy.

BenJarvus Green-Ellis has been a fantasy frustration after starting out with 91 rushing yards on 18 runs and scoring once on the Ravens. Since then he has averaged less than three yards per carry and ran for only 75 yards on 21 runs at home against the Browns. Bernard Scott is gone now and that may help BGE a little but Scott was only a very minor player anyway. The lack of a decent rushing effort still plagues the Bengals.

Jermaine Gresham has been solid each week with around five catches but he only has one touchdown on the season and turned in just four catches for 37 yards in the previous Browns match-up.

A.J. Green is on a four game scoring spree with solid yardage and receptions in each. That started against the Browns when he caught seven passes for 58 yards and one score. Oddly his best two games and only ones over 70 yards were both on the road. Andrew Hawkins also scored in week two with just two catches for 56 yards and one very impressive scamper through the defense for a touchdown. But these last two weeks, Hawkins has only produced less than 50 yards per week with no scores. Armon Binns and Brandon Tate are both non-factors.

It is easy enough to expect week two to repeat and the Browns come off a thrashing in New York. But this one is at home for the Browns and one of the best chances for them to finally get a win. The Bengals cannot take this one lightly.

Gaining Fantasy Points CIN 13 27 2 21 14 16
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 27 24 31 3 13 26

QB Andy Dalton, CIN STL 0000026011 ***
Tough matchup, but at least it's a Sunday noon game so Dalton has a shot. Only two QBs have notched multiple scores against the Rams this season, only one has topped 300 yards, and Dalton will be hard-pressed to do either this week.
RB Jeremy Hill, CIN STL 401000000 **
It was a horrible matchup for Hill last week, and he averaged just a shade over three yards a carry... but he still found the end zone twice. What little the Rams have given up on the ground has come on the road, so there's a chance Hill turns his 15 touches into a score... just not a particularly bankable one.
RB Giovani Bernard, CIN STL 3005500000 ***
Gio continues to be the more productive Bengals back, particularly at home. Fresh off 128 receiving yards Gio faces a Rams defense that's already allowed four RBs to top 70 receiving yards; one more reason to like him just a little bit more than Jeremy Hill again this week.
WR A.J. Green, CIN STL 005700000 ***
Only one wideout has scored on the Rams since their Week 6 bye, and none have topped 50 yards. That's a tough matchup for Green, and while he's proven himself to be matchup proof you should still lower the expectations bar here.
WR Marvin Jones, CIN STL 005600000 ***
If only one wideout has scored and none have topped 50 yards against the Rams since their Week 6 bye, you have to believe the pickings have been incredibly thin for secondary targets. You'd be absolutely right.
TE Tyler Eifert, CIN STL 005701000 ***
While the Rams are tough on tight ends they aren't infallible; in fact, they've given up 100 yard efforts in back-to-back games. Eifert is more of a TD guy than a yardage guy, but he'll take what he can get against a solid defense. No reason to shy away from him here.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mike Nugent, CIN STL 1133 ***
Nugent's baseline is similar to the Rams, who have allowed at least six kicker points in every game and double digits in back-to-back tilts. Slow and steady wins the race, right?

Cleveland Browns
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 16-17 10 BYE -----
2 @CIN 27-34 11 @DAL -----
3 BUF 14-24 12 PIT -----
4 @BAL 16-23 13 @OAK -----
5 @NYG 27-41 14 KC -----
6 CIN ----- 15 WAS -----
7 @IND ----- 16 @DEN -----
8 SD ----- 17 @PIT -----
9 BAL ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Dwayne Bowe 7-80,1
WR Josh Gordon 3-50,1
WR Brian Hartline 5-60
WR Andrew Hawkins 3-50,1

Pregame Notes: The strain of losing is no fun but the Browns are pretty much accustomed to it anyway. They have been in every game this year at least for a while before it gets irretrievably out of reach. Brandon Weeden has already proven a big upgrade by throwing for around 300 yards three times this year including 322 yards and two scores in Cincinnati using virtually no NFL-quality receivers. Weeden has just five scores against nine interceptions but had no turnovers in the previous meeting with the Bengals

Trent Richardson still has a career best mark of 109 rushing yards on 19 runs when he played in Cincy and he scored twice in that game. Richardson has scored at least once in each of the last four games and adds five or six receptions as well. His season high in carries has been 19 which again came when facing the Bengals. His yardage has been nothing spectacular so far but he has always scored and his dual role helps support his fantasy value.

The tight ends are little used and never score for the Browns. Benjamin Watson has been more productive lately though just last week ended with only one catch in New York. Jordan Cameron had a touchdown there called back on a penalty and has been little used otherwise. Weeden occasionally relies on them but a lack of scoring or consistent use means no real fantasy value here.

Greg Little had his only touchdown on the year with his five receptions for 57 yards in Cincy but has since mostly been dropping passes and frustrating Weeden. Little has the ability to get open and the speed to do some damage. It is just that whole "while holding the ball" thing that has been a problem. Mohamed Massaquoi had the big game of 90 yards in the last meeting with the Bengals but has since been out with a hamstring strain. Jordan Norwood is getting more playing time from the slot and turned in nine catches for 81 yards versus the Giants. Just as important - Norwood caught all nine of his passes.

The Bengals defense let the Browns score 27 points in Cincy. The receivers are less certain for the Bengals but Richardson goes against a defense that has allowed five different runners to score on them - including Richardson... twice.

Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 26 10 23 23 15 12
Preventing Fantasy Points CIN 19 27 5 21 16 28

QB Josh McCown, CLE BAL 10000027020 ***
With Johnny Manziel unable to control himself off the field it'll be McCown on the field this week. He strafed the Ravens for 457 yards and two TDs in the earlier meeting and has multiple touchdown tosses in five of the six games where he saw the majority of snaps under center. No reason to think he won't find similar success at home this week.
RB Duke Johnson, CLE BAL 4006501000 **
Johnson's work as a receiver make him the Browns back to have if you have to have one. He caught six balls for 55 yards in the earlier meeting with Baltimore and has Cleveland's only RB TD in the past month and a half, so if there's any upside to a Browns back it rests with Duke.
RB Isaiah Crowell, CLE BAL 5002100000 ***
Crowell scored a receiving touchdown in the earlier meeting with Baltimore, but with Duke Johnson handling most of the pass-catching duties Isaiah is reduced to hammering out minimal fantasy value on 10 or so carries--unlikely, as the Browns haven't scored a rushing TD since Week 2.
WR Travis Benjamin, CLE BAL 006900000 ***
Benjamin was just reacquainting himself with Johnny Manziel, responsible for two of his three 100-yard games and three of his four TDs; now he'll have to switch back to McCown, with whom he tallied one TD in six games and averaged 66 yards per contest. Consider Benjamin's fantasy ceiling lower than it was with Johnny Football.
WR Taylor Gabriel, CLE BAL 004600000 ***
Gabriel is battling Brian Hartline and Andrew Hawkins for secondary looks, and thus far he's mostly been losing with only one game north of 32 yards and no TDs.

Update: Gabriel did not practice this week due to a concussion, making him an unlikely participant Monday night. The upside is not worth the risk of taking a zero.
TE Gary Barnidge, CLE BAL 006801000 ***
No one is happier to see Josh McCown back under center than Barnidge, who averaged 3-38 with one touchdown in four games with Johnny Football and 6-60-1 in six games with McCown. That run included 8-139-1 in Baltimore, by far the biggest game the Ravens have surrendered at the position. They just gave up another TE TD last week, and with McCown back under center things are looking up for Barnidge once again.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Travis Coons, CLE BAL 3322 ***
Coons kicked four field goals in the earlier meeting in Baltimore, one of eight kickers with multiple treys against the Ravens. He's had just one multiple field goal since then, however, and the Browns' offense is in disarray so temper expectations accordingly.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

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