Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: DET 23, PHI 27 (Line: PHI by 5)

Updated Player: Titus Young

Players to Watch: Mikel Leshoure, Michael Vick

The 1-3 Lions come off their bye having last lost to the visiting Vikings in a game that signals this is no longer 2011. The Eagles are 3-2 and 2-0 at home though they have struggled to score any points and have been held to fewer than 20 in all but one game. The Lions on the road are likely to lose this one because quite simply they turned back into a pumpkin after a magical 2011 season.

Detroit Lions
Homefield: Ford Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 STL 27-23 10 @MIN -----
2 @SF 19-27 11 GB -----
3 @TEN 41-44 12 HOU -----
4 MIN 13-20 13 IND -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @GB -----
6 @PHI ----- 15 @ARI -----
7 @CHI ----- 16 ATL -----
8 SEA ----- 17 CHI -----
9 @JAC ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 250,2
RB Joique Bell 10 5-40
WR Calvin Johnson 6-90,1
WR Golden Tate 3-40
TE Brandon Pettigrew 3-30
PK Matt Prater 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Lions get the short straw this year with an early bye and now four road games in the next five weeks. There is nothing easy about the Lions schedule and the only game that might be considered soft is against the Colts who are getting better. Otherwise - this is a very tough slate of games left to play.

Matt Stafford is probably not going to throw for 5000 yards this year. Not unless they change the rules and let him play with no defense on the field. Because Stafford only has thee passing touchdowns on the year against four interceptions. Not unlike Tony Romo, he has the yardage and already topped 300 yards twice. But the scores are just not there.

All the upcoming road games are going to make the ineffective rushing attack look even worse. Kevin Smith has dropped so far that he hasn't had a touch since week two. Mikel Leshoure was great in the Titans game but only managed 26 yards on 13 runs against the Vikings. He has turned in four receptions for around 35 yards both weeks to salvage some fantasy value but this offense needs a home game against a soft defense to hope that Leshoure can play a significant role. Chances are pretty good he won't look any better by the time November rolls around.

Calvin Johnson was handled by the Vikings but otherwise he has been a stud with 90+ yards in all other games. He has just one score this year though. Nate Burleson remains just a mediocre #2 and Titus Young only has one catch per game other than the Tennessee tilt. Johnson is the only wideout that matters and he is getting little help from the others.

Brandon Pettigrew has offered moderate consistnecy with around 60 or 70 yards per week but has only scored once. Pettigrew has also been dropping passes in recent games as well.

Last year was the aberation because these Lions are back to the same problems. No passing game beyond Calvin Johnson a and a decreasing ability to score. The defense that was so surprising in 2011 has yet to hold anyone to under 20 points.

Gaining Fantasy Points DET 7 8 10 3 1 30
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 4 12 13 6 25 30

QB Matthew Stafford, DET PHI 0000028021 ***
Only one quarterback has topped 300 yards against the Eagles, but the 10 touchdown passes they've allowed over the past three weeks--five to Jameis Winston last week alone--more than make up for it. Stafford used a rushing score to salvage fantasy value last week; this time around he'll do his damage by air.
RB Ameer Abdullah, DET PHI 3003200000 ***
Abdullah got an extended audition last week, garnering half of Detroit's carries but producing just 46 yards from scrimmage. Philly surrendered 235 on the ground to Doug Martin last week and has allowed a 100-yard rusher in three of the last four games so there's some upside here, but all three of those 100-yard rushers saw 20 carries and that ain't happening in Detroit.
RB Theo Riddick, DET PHI 1004400000 ***
Riddick is the pas-catching back; against a Philly D that's given up RB receiving scores in two straight and three of the last four games that's enough to make him the most valuable fantasy member of this backfield.
RB Joique Bell, DET PHI 200000000 ***
On the bright side, the Lions seem to be reducing Bell's touches; you'd have thought the fact he hadn't been producing with what he'd been given would have prompted them to do so earlier.
WR Calvin Johnson, DET PHI 0061001000 ***
It's not Grandma Dodo's pecan pie that has Johnson salivating, it's a Philly secondary that's already served up 15 WR TDs and a half-dozen 100-yard games. Enjoy the show.
WR Lance Moore, DET PHI 002201000 ***
The Eagles have allowed multiple wide receeivers to score or top 90 yards in three straight games, including giving up five passing scores--two to wideouts--last week alone. Moore has become the Lions' designated scorer, with touchdown grabs in two of the last three and four of the past six; that's more scores than Calvin Johnson and Golden Tate combined over that same span. Kick off Turkey Day with a fantasy appetizer from Moore, setting the table for a big week.
WR Golden Tate, DET PHI 006700000 ***
Tate actually saw more targets than Megatron last week. While that's an aberration, what's not is Tate reclaiming his role as wingman in the Detroit offense. And against a Philly secondary that's been scorched three straight weeks, there should be more than enough to go around.
TE Eric Ebron, DET PHI 003200000 *
Philly allowed just its second TE TD of the season last week, and with Ebron's targets falling off--not to mention Brandon Pettigrew horning in on his action--he's tough to trust with a fantasy start here.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Matt Prater, DET PHI 2222 ***
Philly has allowed eight or nine kicker points in four straight, so there's a Turkey Day opportunity for Prater to put up some points. Or miss PATs, as it were.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL -----
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS -----
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR -----
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET ----- 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL ----- 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI vs DET Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford 220,1
QB Mark Sanchez 10 220,1
RB Ryan Mathews 90,1 5-50,1
RB DeMarco Murray 40 6-50
WR Miles Austin 6-60,1
TE Brent Celek 6-70,1

Pregame Notes: The Eagles have been in four games all decided by three points or less and only lost the Pittsburgh game. That is living right but a scary proposition to continue to struggle offensively. Michael Vick has not thrown an interception since the six he had in the first two weeks abut once again last week he lost two fumbles. With games that are always nailbiters each week, losing the ball a total of 11 times in five games makes the 3-2 record a surprise.

VIck has passed for at least one score in all but one game but his passing yardage has really waned. He posted two 300+ yard efforts to start the year and now he cannot get past 240 yards. Against the Steelers he only managed 175 yards. Vick is also not running much which has really hurt his fantasy value and contributuion to the team. The good news is that he has been better at home than on the road and faces a weaker team finally. It ends up going against BAL, ARI, NYG and PIT was not the easiest opening for a season.

Vick sustained a knee contusion against the Steelers but it is not expected to be a problem in this game.

LeSean McCoy was a touchdown machine last year but so far has just one rushing touchdown and another one as a reciever. Again - his best games other than in Cleveland were the two homestands versus the Ravens and Giants. McCoy is not sharing the ball and he gets whatever is there to get. But so far he is off his 2011 pace and has a glaring lack of touchdowns. McCoy's knee was swollen after the game last week but he is expected to be fine this week and the knee will not be an issue.

Brent Celek scored last week in Pittsbriugh but only turned in three catches for nine yards. He has been at his best in home games so far but only against better defenses that limit the wideouts. That is less likely this week.

Where the decline in offense is pronounced is with the wide receivers. DeSean Jackson scored only once so far and two of his last three games were under 60 yard. Jeremy Maclin has been hampered by a sore hip from back in week two and after sitting out in week three, he has been a non-factor in games. Maclin started the year with a score in both games but has returned nothing to fantasy owners since.

The Eagles at home should be able to handle the Lions without too much trouble and hopefully break their constant trend to remain within three points to all opponents. The Lions rank decent enough against the fantasy positions but have only faced STL, SF, TEN and MIN. This should be a good win.

Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 15 23 19 9 24 29
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 11 6 11 27 30 32

QB Mark Sanchez, PHI @DET 0000024012 ***
Sanchez was typical Sanchez last week, with a couple scores but three picks. He's likely heading back to the bench with Sam Bradford slated to return, but even if he gets the nod you don't want him facing a Lions D that's been playing significantly better of late.
RB DeMarco Murray, PHI @DET 7015400000 ***
Lots to like here against a Detroit defense that's given up more RB TDs than any other team as well as allowed a feature back to top 85 combo yards in five of the last six games. One way or another, Ryan Mathews or no, Murray should get his.
RB Darren Sproles, PHI @DET 004300000 ***
With Ryan Mathews out again Sproles should see an uptick in touches. Last week it was enough to lead to a touchdown reception, and while Detroit has yet to allow a RB receiving score this season the increase in field time is always a plus for Sproles.
WR Riley Cooper, PHI @DET 003401000 *
With Philly's wideouts you're essentially spinning a bottle and seeing who it points to. Cooper was the team's leading receiver last week... with two catches for 42 yards, his first action since Week 5. Seems like a stretch to expect much of anything in a tough matchup here.
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI @DET 003500000 ***
Detroit's secondary has played significantly better of late, and with so many different wideouts seeing targets in Philly the small pie is being sliced even thinner. You should be able to do better elsewhere.
WR Josh Huff, PHI @DET 003300000 ***
Huff has scored in each of the past two games, but he's too sparsely targeted to be banked on for the hat trick--especially against a Lions D that didn't give up a WR TD to either Green Bay or Oakland the past two weeks.
TE Brent Celek, PHI @DET 003200000 ***
The Lions have given up eight TE TDs already, and with Celek housing targets otherwise intended for Zach Ertz (out this week) he's an intriguing streaming option.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Caleb Sturgis, PHI @DET 1122 ***
Opportunity for Sturgis to exit a two-game slump. He's kicked better on the road, and the Lions have been particularly welcoming to opposing booters.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

a d v e r t i s e m e n t