Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: IND 17, NYJ 23 (Line: NYJ by 3)

Players Updated: Clyde Gates, Dustin Keller, Stephen Hill

Players to Watch: Dustin Keller

The 2-2 Colts hit the road in only their second game away from home. The Jets come off their Monday night loss and have a shorter week but most players were already injured and on the sideline anyway. The difference in this game will be only the second time that the Colts have left home. They have played the last three games at Indy all were close matches but the Jets are getting desperate and Andy Luck is taking the car on the road for only the second time.

Indianapolis Colts
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CHI 21-41 10 @JAC -----
2 MIN 23-20 11 @NE -----
3 JAC 17-22 12 BUF -----
4 BYE ----- 13 @DET -----
5 GB 30-27 14 TEN -----
6 @NYJ ----- 15 @HOU -----
7 CLE ----- 16 @KC -----
8 @TEN ----- 17 HOU -----
9 MIA ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
IND @ NYJ Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 10 280,2
RB Frank Gore 100,1 1-10
WR T.Y. Hilton 3-40
TE Dwayne Allen 2-20,1
PK Adam Vinatieri 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Big win over the Packers helps cement the growing legend of Andrew Luck. Granted, three games came at home but he has passed for over 300 yards in three of four games and scored twice in all but one. This was done while using his best two receivers Reggie and Wayne. Luck even added a rushing score last week and gains 20+ yards as a runner because he can. Luck has been a tremendous pick by the Colts who now only need to get him some legitimate talent for receivers instead of making him work so hard at it.

Donald Brown was able to run for a season high 84 yards last week when the Packers gave up a couple of big gainers but this week will be the second time Brown has been on the road. He rushed for 48 yards on nine runs in Chicago back in the opener. Brown has not been given more than 18 runs in a game and has minimal if any receptions each week. Vick Ballard gets half a dozen carries too though he never produces more than around two yards per carry. Oddly enough, the lone rushing touchdown came in the Chicago opener.

Luck is already impressive mixing receivers each week. Dwayne Allen now has two touchdowns and nine catches in the last two games. Coby Fleener was quiet for two weeks and then turned in 41 yards on five catches against the Packers. The fantasy value here is marginal at best and since it teeters between two players, there is no need to play a guessing game each week.

Reggie Wayne is on his way to a record shattering season and that means he will slow down at some point sadly. So far Wayne has been phenomenal. He has been thrown 50 passes for 36 catches and 506 yards. That is in four games. A pace that would project out to 156 catches for 2024 yards. Probably not going to happen but Wayne has been the best wideout value this year by a mile. Both T.Y. Hilton and Donnie Avery have produced 100 yard games and yet minimal yardage in the other weeks. The key to the Colts offense is that Luck only throws two kinds of passes. One goes to Wayne and the other is distributed nearly randomly.

No arguing that Luck and Wayne have been huge surprises but this is only the second game away and that should make a difference. The Jets put up a good fight with the Texans last week and so far no one on the Colts has been confused with Arian Foster.

Gaining Fantasy Points IND 4 28 4 10 20 23
Preventing Fantasy Points NYJ 9 25 3 19 22 18

QB Andrew Luck, IND KC 0000031021 ***
KC has given up 300-yard passers in two of its last three outings (Big Ben and Brees), but Derek Carr struggled. Philip Rivers also struggled earlier in the season. Ryan Fitzpatrick melted down and went all "Bad Brett Favre" vs. them in Week 3. Luck may have Donte Moncrief this week. Phillip Dorsett also returned to practice.
RB Frank Gore, IND KC 6002100000 ***
On of the the last 50 touches against the Chiefs by running backs has led to a score, so Gore is climbing uphill in this one. He's a low-end RB2 or flex with the number of byes.
WR T.Y. Hilton, IND KC 0071002000 ***
How good is Hilton?!? He's the top receiver since Week 2 -- that's how good! The Chiefs have been lousy of late vs. the position, and this has "monster performance" written all over it.
WR Chester Rogers, IND KC 003300000 ***
Rogers only has value if Moncrief doesn't play, and that value is only in DFS as a wild gamble.
WR Phillip Dorsett, IND KC 00000000 *
Dorsett returned to practice Wednesday and has a shot at playing in Week 8. Return Friday for an update.
WR Donte Moncrief, IND KC 00000000 *
Moncrief returned to practice and could play. Check back Friday.
TE Jack Doyle, IND KC 005600000 ***
Jack Doyle sounds like the name of an action hero. He should get in on it this week, but KC's defense rates as the fourth harshest against his position, and Doyle may have to contend with the return of Donte Moncrief.
TE Dwayne Allen, IND KC 00000000 *
No writeup available
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Adam Vinatieri, IND KC 3322 ***
The automatic vet is fantasy's No. 2 kicker since Week 2 and should be in for another fine day, despite this being statistically the worst matchup he could face.

New York Jets
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 BUF 48-28 10 @SEA -----
2 @PIT 10-27 11 @STL -----
3 @MIA 23-20 12 NE -----
4 SF 0-34 13 ARI -----
5 HOU 17-23 14 @JAC -----
6 IND ----- 15 @TEN -----
7 @NE ----- 16 SD -----
8 MIA ----- 17 @BUF -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYJ vs IND Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 10 210,1
RB Bilal Powell 40 2-10
WR Eric Decker 6-70
PK Nick Folk 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Jets fell short against the Texans as expected but put up a far better fight than anticipated along with a defense that played better in every facet other than stopping Arian Foster which we cannot be sure is even possible. This is a home game before heading to New England for a certain spanking. The Jets have to win this one or the New York media will have their collective heads explode.

Mark Sanchez continues to be supported in each post game press conference which alone says there is a problem. Sanchez has not completed 50% of his passes for the last four games and has six touchdowns against six interceptions only thanks to the opener against the Bills inflating his stats. Sanchez has thrown just two scores against five interceptions over the last three games. Tim Tebow only threw for one incompletion against the Texans and rushed five times for 19 yards. He's still just a gimmick as he was when he ran a fake punt for a first down. The passing game here is doing little from a lack of healthy receivers.

Newest on the injury report is Clyde Gates who comes off a career best game with one catch for 27 yards but popped his shoulder out of place in the process. Chaz Schilens started the game but only produced four catches for 29 yards and Jeremy Kerley has been the only wideout with any fantasy value. He ended with 94 yards on five catches last Monday but had just two receptions in each of the three previous games. This crew has devolved to such a bad level that Antonio Cromartie is getting reps at wideout. You half expect him to run backwards and intercept Sanchez.

Jeff Cumberland scored for the first time in his three year career and his 51 yards on two receptions shattered his previous best of 33 yards in a game. Dustin Keller expects to return from the hamstring strain that has bothered him since preseason and kept him out the last four weeks. If you are looking for a tight end in a really large league, Keller might be worth a look.

The rushing effort remains a mess with HC Rex Ryan still saying that Shonn Greene is the man (8-26) even though he used both Bilal Powell (4-18) and Joe McKnight (4-5). This remains the worst set of running backs in the league. Dead last. Jonathan Grimes is the only one left that has yet to show how bad he is and was active last week for the first time as a Jet though he never played.

The Colts on the road should be more accommodating than the Texans to be sure. But there is a lack of talent here to expect anything more than a moderate showing by the offense that is just good enough to get a sorely needed win. The Colts have one of the worst secondaries in the league and that is bound to help.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYJ 27 32 20 26 25 7
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 22 23 28 1 18 11

QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, NYJ @CLE 0000024020 ***
The softest matchup in fantasy for his position could be a nice place to get his 2016 on track, and perhaps last week's win in relief was the catalyst. Cleveland has allowed 14 TDs in its last five games.
RB Matt Forte, NYJ @CLE 7014301000 ***
Forte came to life a week ago and should capitalize against Cleveland. The Browns have rolled over for fantasy backs, allowing a touchdown every 18.6 touches and 133.0 yards per game on the ground.
WR Brandon Marshall, NYJ @CLE 0081001000 ***
Marshall is a fine play against the Browns. Cleveland has allowed six TDs on only 59 catches by receivers since Week 2. That's the fifth worst ratio in this time.
WR Robby Anderson, NYJ @CLE 003300000 ***
Anderson has no value and shouldn't be on rosters at this time.
WR Quincy Enunwa, NYJ @CLE 003300000 ***
Enunwa is a total flier play in Week 8. The Browns have allowed a TD every 9.8 catches by receivers, along with 187.4 yards per game, since Week 2.
WR Charone Peake, NYJ @CLE 002300000 ***
Peake is a total flier in DFS only against this favorable matchup.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Nick Folk, NYJ @CLE 2233 ***
Kickers have made all 19 of their XPAs but only four of eight field goal kicks over the past five weeks against the Browns. Folk has been unplayable most of the season, so this is a risky recommendation, but he warrants a start with six teams on vacation.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

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