Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: MIN 20, WAS 23 (Line: WAS by 2.5)

Players Updated: Percy Harvin, Jerome Simpson, Adrian Peterson

Players to Watch: Fred Davis

The 4-1 Vikings are on a three game winning streak that started with their surprise trap win over the 49ers but are only 1-1 on the road and lost in Indianapolis. The 2-3 Redskins are 0-2 at home and looking to crawl out of the NFC cellar. The Vikings have been on a nice run of wins but the home town Redskins have to pull together here or start to write off the season.

The Vikes won 33-26 at Washington last year.

Minnesota Vikings
Homefield: Metrodome
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 JAC 26-23 ot 10 DET -----
2 @IND 20-23 11 BYE -----
3 SF 24-13 12 @CHI -----
4 @DET 20-13 13 @GB -----
5 TEN 30-7 14 CHI -----
6 @WAS ----- 15 @STL -----
7 ARI ----- 16 @HOU -----
8 TB ----- 17 GB -----
9 @SEA ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
MIN @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford 220,1
RB Adrian Peterson 80 3-20
TE Kyle Rudolph 6-60,1
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings have their own brand of "Triplets" between Adrian Peterson, Percy Harvin and Christian Ponder but it may be a bit early to consider the quarterback as a major difference maker quite yet. He has scored twice in three of his games but was blanked in the other two. His string of no interceptions ended against the Titans of all teams and he threw two once he saw how easy it was. Ponder gets a crack at a big game this week thanks to facing the Skins secondary but will likely be back to just one wideout in Harvin because Jerome Simpson may not play.

Percy Harvin has helped carry this team with productive games in every week other than the last road game and he finally scored when the Titans visited last week. He's adding a couple of runs per week and usually coming up with eight or nine catches in most games. Going against the worst secondary in the league should only make that even better.

Jerome Simpson is having problems with his back and never made a catch against the Titans. He is being checked out this week and may not suit up. Until they figure out what is causing the weakness and numbness in his lower leg, he's not going to be productive even if he plays. Problem here is that there are no other wideouts of any note. Devin Aromashodu will step up but that meant nothing before Simpson could play. Michael Jenkins also figures in but only for a couple of catches if that. Harvin has been a trooper to be sure with 38 catches on the year already but he cannot do it all.

Kyle Rudolph adds the occasional touchdown catch here but still has not produced more than 36 yards in a game since the season opener.

Adrian Peterson is a medical marvel to be sure. And he is gaining 4.4 yards per carry but has only one 100 yard rushing game and has not scored since week one. Peterson has been solid with around 80 rush yards per week and does supplement his production with a couple of catches as well. If he would find the end zone any time soon would make a big difference. He is certainly good with yardage but so far never great and scoreless for the last four games.

The Skins have never allowed fewer than 300 passing yards per opponent and that benefits the wideouts and tight ends with equal blessings. The run has been mostly stuffed by the Skins who have allowed just three rushing scores and yet never more than 83 rushing yards to any runner. As always with the Skins, this will be all about throwing the ball and taking advantage of the weak secondary.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 22 20 18 17 4 10
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 30 9 32 31 21 2

QB Sam Bradford, MIN @PHI 0000020000 ***
Bradford hasn't thrown for 300 yards in any of his four starts, and he has sandwiched a pair of one-TD efforts in between two-score bookends. Solid numbers, but nothing special. Minnesota had a bye week to prep, abut the matchup is statistically the worst in fantasy.
RB Matt Asiata, MIN @PHI 1013200000 ***
Asiata has a midrange matchup but will need to score to salvage a positive return on investment for your lineup spot.
RB Jerick McKinnon, MIN @PHI 5002200000 ***
Versatile backs do well against the Eagles. This D has allowed a touchdown every 22 touches of the ball, which ranks among the league's worst at preventing offensive touchdowns.
WR Adam Thielen, MIN @PHI 004500000 ***
Philly is a bottom-five matchup for WRs, giving up only two scores on 60 catches over five games played. Thielen is a risky proposition.
WR Cordarrelle Patterson, MIN @PHI 003400000 ***
Patterson has been involved more in the past few weeks, somewhat because Stefon Diggs has missed time. CP has tremendous upside that he has not been able to harness. Playing him is too risky for most situations.
WR Stefon Diggs, MIN @PHI 00000000 *
Diggs returned to practice Wednesday and should be good to play this week. Return Friday for a final update.
TE Kyle Rudolph, MIN @PHI 006500000 ***
Rudolph has been so good gamers can't take the chance of reserving him, but the matchup, on paper anyway, is awful. Vernon Davis scored last week against the Eagles, but prior to Week 6, the position combined for a 9-52-0 line. That included Gary Barnidge and Zach Miller.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Blair Walsh, MIN @PHI 3322 ***
The Eagles have allowed just 4.8 points on average, which is the third lowest in the NFL. Walsh, however, should get ample kicks because of the strength of Philly's D vs. the lack of explosiveness on offense for the Vikes.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI -----
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL -----
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN ----- 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG ----- 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT ----- 17 DAL -----
9 CAR ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Pierre Garcon 4-60
WR DeSean Jackson 4-60,1
TE Vernon Davis 5-60

Pregame Notes: The Skins have tumbled to a 2-0 mark thanks to playing in New Orleans and Tampa Bay still have not won at home. This week is easily their best chance of a win and along with the Panthers in week nine may be the only time they will be favored this year.

Robert Griffin III took a break as the best fantasy quarterback last week when he was knocked out of the Falcons game with a "mild" concussion. All signs point to him playing this week though he still needs to get through a week of practice free and clear before he can play. Griffin had been throwing for scores and also rushing in a touchdown for the previous three matchups. Kirk Cousins came in and gave it a valiant effort last week but it should be back to Bob this time.

Alfred Morris is still a fantasy gold mine considering that he has four touchdowns on the season and has never rushed for fewer than 78 yards in any game, He is on a two game streak with over 100 yards. His only failing is that they almost never throw to him. Then again, he is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and just under 100 yards per game.

Fred Davis has assumed a consistent role by now with his last three games producing never less than four catches and averaging just over 70 yards per game. With the wide receivers less than stellar, Davis has a place in this passing game that should only grow bigger. The wideouts have yet to distinguish themselves from each other and that even includes Pierre Garcon. The Redskins have five different wide receivers who all have between 114 and 184 yards after five games. That's a whole lot of mediocrity.

The Vikings defense has been very good - far exceeding expectations. But this is their third road game and they lost to the Colts and then clipped divisional rivals of the Lions. This is a big test so long as Griffin is able to play healthy and in his full capacity. The Vikings rushing defense has been top notch so far but they have never had to chase a quarterback.

The Redskins have to rise up this week because this is almost a must-win game.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 3 17 15 20 16 2
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 14 3 15 29 11 4

QB Kirk Cousins, WAS @DET 0000027021 ***
This one is in Motown, and Cousins is decisively better at home. It may not matter, though, as Detroit presents -- make that gift wraps -- the NFL's weakest defense of quarterbacks (27.6 PPG). Cousins should be a strong play on the road and enjoy success.
RB Matt Jones, WAS @DET 6001100000 ***
Detroit has allowed one TD on 149 touches this year, which is by far the stingiest figure in the league. RBs have found success yardage-wise and catching passes, so Jones could have a decent day without scoring.
RB Chris Thompson, WAS @DET 1004300000 ***
Backs have caught 36 passes for 266 yards but only one score versus the Lions this year. Thompson should remain benched.
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS @DET 005701000 ***
Garcon quietly has been a strong fantasy contributor this season. The Lions could help his cause a good deal. This is the sixth most lenient group when it comes to preventing WR touchdowns.
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS @DET 004700000 ***
Jackson has struggled of late but has a worthy matchup to exploit. He takes on Detroit's sixth easiest matchup of his position. Wideouts have scored once every 9.1 receptions against the Lions.
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS @DET 004400000 ***
Crowder is a fringe flex play in PPR for owners banking on his ability to score a touchdown against Detroit's weak secondary. This defense has allowed a TD every 9.1 catches by wideouts.
TE Vernon Davis, WAS @DET 003401000 **
Detroit is pathetic against tight ends in the red zone. Perhaps Davis sneaks into the end zone again if Jordan Reed cannot suit up. The Lions have allowed seven TDs on only 33 TE catches.
TE Jordan Reed, WAS @DET 00000000 *
Reed missed last week with a concussion and will be updated Friday in accordance to the injury report.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS @DET 3322 ***
Kickers have knocked in an average of 7.2 fantasy points worth of kicks versus Detroit, which is on the edge of a negative matchup. Hopkins is a rock-solid choice because of how these teams align.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

a d v e r t i s e m e n t