Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: MIN 20, WAS 23 (Line: WAS by 2.5)

Players Updated: Percy Harvin, Jerome Simpson, Adrian Peterson

Players to Watch: Fred Davis

The 4-1 Vikings are on a three game winning streak that started with their surprise trap win over the 49ers but are only 1-1 on the road and lost in Indianapolis. The 2-3 Redskins are 0-2 at home and looking to crawl out of the NFC cellar. The Vikings have been on a nice run of wins but the home town Redskins have to pull together here or start to write off the season.

The Vikes won 33-26 at Washington last year.

Minnesota Vikings
Homefield: Metrodome
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 JAC 26-23 ot 10 DET -----
2 @IND 20-23 11 BYE -----
3 SF 24-13 12 @CHI -----
4 @DET 20-13 13 @GB -----
5 TEN 30-7 14 CHI -----
6 @WAS ----- 15 @STL -----
7 ARI ----- 16 @HOU -----
8 TB ----- 17 GB -----
9 @SEA ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Adrian Peterson 80 3-20
WR Mike Wallace 5-80,1
TE Kyle Rudolph 6-60,1
PK Blair Walsh 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Vikings have their own brand of "Triplets" between Adrian Peterson, Percy Harvin and Christian Ponder but it may be a bit early to consider the quarterback as a major difference maker quite yet. He has scored twice in three of his games but was blanked in the other two. His string of no interceptions ended against the Titans of all teams and he threw two once he saw how easy it was. Ponder gets a crack at a big game this week thanks to facing the Skins secondary but will likely be back to just one wideout in Harvin because Jerome Simpson may not play.

Percy Harvin has helped carry this team with productive games in every week other than the last road game and he finally scored when the Titans visited last week. He's adding a couple of runs per week and usually coming up with eight or nine catches in most games. Going against the worst secondary in the league should only make that even better.

Jerome Simpson is having problems with his back and never made a catch against the Titans. He is being checked out this week and may not suit up. Until they figure out what is causing the weakness and numbness in his lower leg, he's not going to be productive even if he plays. Problem here is that there are no other wideouts of any note. Devin Aromashodu will step up but that meant nothing before Simpson could play. Michael Jenkins also figures in but only for a couple of catches if that. Harvin has been a trooper to be sure with 38 catches on the year already but he cannot do it all.

Kyle Rudolph adds the occasional touchdown catch here but still has not produced more than 36 yards in a game since the season opener.

Adrian Peterson is a medical marvel to be sure. And he is gaining 4.4 yards per carry but has only one 100 yard rushing game and has not scored since week one. Peterson has been solid with around 80 rush yards per week and does supplement his production with a couple of catches as well. If he would find the end zone any time soon would make a big difference. He is certainly good with yardage but so far never great and scoreless for the last four games.

The Skins have never allowed fewer than 300 passing yards per opponent and that benefits the wideouts and tight ends with equal blessings. The run has been mostly stuffed by the Skins who have allowed just three rushing scores and yet never more than 83 rushing yards to any runner. As always with the Skins, this will be all about throwing the ball and taking advantage of the weak secondary.

Gaining Fantasy Points MIN 22 20 18 17 4 10
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 30 9 32 31 21 2

QB Teddy Bridgewater, MIN GB 0000019011 ***
Not that Green Bay is all that defensively--they've given up multiple touchdowns in three of four--but Bridgewater hasn't even topped 190 since Week 7 and has two TD tosses in the last three games. If you're playing him you're banking on a rushing score, and that's far from a given.
RB Adrian Peterson, MIN GB 12012200000 ***
Peterson has owned the Packers, with touchdowns in six of his last seven and 11 of his last 13 against them, with seven 100-yard efforts in that span. He's been even better in Minnesota, scoring in three straight and five of six with three 100-yard outings. He'll get 20-plus carries, and the two backs to see that workload against Green Bay this year have rushed for 141 and 159 yards. Expect big things from AP this week.
WR Stefon Diggs, MIN GB 005600000 ***
Diggs has battled through a tough couple of weeks; the going should be significantly easier against a Green Bay secondary that's allowed two 100-yard games, three 80-yard games, and four more wideouts to score in just the past month.
WR Mike Wallace, MIN GB 002200000 ***
Wallace hasn't been fantasy relevant since scoring on the Broncos in Week 4, but he could be a sneaky play against a secondary that's allowed eight different receivers to score or top 50 yards in four road games and nine to match that criteria over the past month.
TE Kyle Rudolph, MIN GB 002201000 *
Opportunity calls against a Green Bay defense that's given up TE TDs in two straight and three of four, as well as three 60-yard games in that span. Problem is, the Vikings are spreading the red-zone wealth among other tight ends; proceed with caution.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Blair Walsh, MIN GB 3322 ***
Walsh has multiple field goals in six straight and seven of eight as well as double-digit points in four of five. His floor is seven, his lowest tally in four home games, and a Green Bay defense that's allowed multiple treys in four straight is hardly an impediment.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI -----
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL -----
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN ----- 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG ----- 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT ----- 17 DAL -----
9 CAR ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS vs MIN Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 40 250,1
RB Alfred Morris 80,1 2-10
WR Pierre Garcon 4-60
WR DeSean Jackson 4-60,1
WR Andre Roberts 6-80,1

Pregame Notes: The Skins have tumbled to a 2-0 mark thanks to playing in New Orleans and Tampa Bay still have not won at home. This week is easily their best chance of a win and along with the Panthers in week nine may be the only time they will be favored this year.

Robert Griffin III took a break as the best fantasy quarterback last week when he was knocked out of the Falcons game with a "mild" concussion. All signs point to him playing this week though he still needs to get through a week of practice free and clear before he can play. Griffin had been throwing for scores and also rushing in a touchdown for the previous three matchups. Kirk Cousins came in and gave it a valiant effort last week but it should be back to Bob this time.

Alfred Morris is still a fantasy gold mine considering that he has four touchdowns on the season and has never rushed for fewer than 78 yards in any game, He is on a two game streak with over 100 yards. His only failing is that they almost never throw to him. Then again, he is averaging 4.9 yards per carry and just under 100 yards per game.

Fred Davis has assumed a consistent role by now with his last three games producing never less than four catches and averaging just over 70 yards per game. With the wide receivers less than stellar, Davis has a place in this passing game that should only grow bigger. The wideouts have yet to distinguish themselves from each other and that even includes Pierre Garcon. The Redskins have five different wide receivers who all have between 114 and 184 yards after five games. That's a whole lot of mediocrity.

The Vikings defense has been very good - far exceeding expectations. But this is their third road game and they lost to the Colts and then clipped divisional rivals of the Lions. This is a big test so long as Griffin is able to play healthy and in his full capacity. The Vikings rushing defense has been top notch so far but they have never had to chase a quarterback.

The Redskins have to rise up this week because this is almost a must-win game.

Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 3 17 15 20 16 2
Preventing Fantasy Points MIN 14 3 15 29 11 4

QB Kirk Cousins, WAS @CAR 0000023012 ***
Cousins kills bad NFC South pass defenses at home. This one's on the road against a very good NFC South pass defense so lower your expectations considerably.
RB Matt Jones, WAS @CAR 3003200000 ***
Jones seems to be the lead back in Washington's three-back committee, with touches both on the ground and in the passing game. It's not a great matchup and with two other guys stealing touches there's plenty of risk here.
RB Chris Thompson, WAS @CAR 1006400000 ***
Thompson should be the pass-catching back, which means opportunity against a Carolina defense that's given up at least 50 RB receiving yards in four of five at home. But with Matt Jones stealing some receptions last week this is hardly a guarantee.
RB Alfred Morris, WAS @CAR 200000000 ***
Morris came back from zombieland last week to deliver an unexpected 104 rushing yards; that's unlikely here against a Panthers defense that's given up only one triple-digit effort all year, none at home.
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS @CAR 005500000 ***
Despite DeSean Jackson's return Crowder has maintained a robust role in the Redskins' passing game. It's a tough matchup, and Crowder's newfound success could mean he sees more than his share of Josh Norman, so proceed with caution.
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS @CAR 004400000 ***
Garcon's volume makes him the Redskins receiver to have, though this week the best answer to that question might be "none of the above".
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS @CAR 003200000 ***
Jackson still has game-breaking ability, we just haven't seen much of it yet. A date with a very good Carolina defense isn't the likely stage, either.
TE Jordan Reed, WAS @CAR 005501000 **
Reed has five TDs in his last three games; as an added bonus he faces a Carolina defense that's given up 70-plus yards and/or a touchdown to the position in five straight games.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS @CAR 3311 ***
Hopkins blew up for 17 points against a bad New Orleans defense last week. Now he faces a good Carolina defense that's allowed seven kicker points in the past two games combined. Dial back your expectations accordingly.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

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