Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

Prediction: NYG 17, SF 27 (Line: SF by 4.5)

Players Updated: Hakeem Nicks, Andre Brown, Martellus Bennett

Players to Watch: Mario Manningham, Brandon Jacobs

This will be a great game to watch and not just from a battle of two good teams. These are two good teams with a history. The 3-2 Giants are only 1-1 on the road and the 4-1 49ers are 2-0 at home. The 49ers won 27-20 in week ten last year when the Giants visited but later lost 20-17 in overtime during the Conference Championship when the Giants went on to the Superbowl. Kevin Williams fumbled a punt on his own 24-yard line to let the Giants kick the winning field goal. Maybe the Giants have forgotten in the whole "We won the Superbowl" thing but the 49ers probably are going to remember.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN -----
2 TB 41-34 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR 36-7 12 GB -----
4 @PHI 17-19 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE 41-27 14 NO -----
6 @SF ----- 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS ----- 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL ----- 17 PHI -----
9 PIT ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ SF Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 300,2
WR Victor Cruz 6-60,1

Pregame Notes: The Giants come off one of the lighter stretches of their schedule with their two losses going to opponents who had a good defensive effort (what happened to the Cowboys is another story). So long as the Giants are playing an average or worse team, they are beating up their opponents like a reigning Superbowl Champ should do. But what is more germane this week is what happens when the defense is top notch? So far, less than stellar results.

Eli Manning has thrown for a touchdown in every game and stands at ten touchdown on the season against just five interceptions. His yardage has been healthy in almost all games as well since that season opening loss. Manning passed for over 300 yards and two scores in both meetings with the 49ers last season. He's been effective if not highly productive.

After waiting for five weeks, the Ahmad Bradshaw owners finally saw a payoff when he rushed for 200 yards and one score on 30 carries and added 29 yards on four receptions. That's his first big game of the year and a sign that he is healthy once again. Andre Brown has a concussion and is out so David Wilson was finally given a little work and even he ran for 44 yards and score on just two carries against the visiting Browns. This rushing offense has been very effective every week with a back scoring a touchdown or more and the team gaining good yardage with one exception - week four in Philly against the only decent road defense so far. Until this week anyway.

The Giants as a team only rushed for 89 and 87 yards in the two meetings last year and did not score via the run.

Hakeem Nicks has missed the last three games with foot and knee injuries and his status this week probably won't be clear until Friday. In his place, a different receiver has posted nice stats - Ramses Barden (Wk 3, 9-138) Domenik Hixon (Wk 4, 6-114) and Rueben Randle (Wk 5, 6-82). Hixon remains a factor with 55 yards on five catches last week as well. No matter who the receiver is replacing Nicks, he is having a good game. Victor Cruz has been a fantasy blessing with four touchdowns in the last two games and two 100 yard efforts on the season. Cruz was able to catch ten passes for 142 yards in the Championship game last year.

Martellus Bennett opened the year as the new stud tight end but now has two games with minimal production and he hyper extended his knee early in the Browns game but continued to play as a blocker. His practices this week should help ensure if he is good to play this week and he played almost the entire time last Sunday on a bad knee. Just not as a receiver.

Ramses Barden has been cleared to practice this week after his concussion has improved.

On the road to San Francisco is going to be a big challenge against a defense that has only allowed six touchdowns total this year and no running back has scored on the 49ers or rushed for more than 53 yards as a visitor. Add in a highly motivated and revenge seeking 49er team and this will be uphill for all sixty minutes.

Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 9 9 1 15 2 24
Preventing Fantasy Points SF 6 1 8 24 4 10

QB Eli Manning, NYG @LA 0000025021 ***
Manning takes on the Rams' 12th-ranked defense of quarterbacks -- from the good end of the spectrum. The positions has averaged 22.1 points per game. In six games, passers have allowed 11 touchdown passes, picking off four balls along the way.
RB Bobby Rainey, NYG @LA 2006500000 ***
PPR only, and only if you're willing to take a risk. The Rams will have their hands full with OBJ, so Rainey could see checkdowns. RBs have gone for 213 yards on 26 catches (no scores) in six games. Two teams have allowed twice as many catches.
RB Rashad Jennings, NYG @LA 4004200000 ***
The Switzerland of fantasy matchups for running backs, LA has allowed 22.5 fantasy points per game. This has been largely produced by the ground, where backs have scored five times in six games.
WR Odell Beckham Jr, NYG @LA 007801000 ***
Coming off a monster game, with three TDs in his last two games, Beckham faces the best receiving matchup for a wideout. Cheers!
WR Victor Cruz, NYG @LA 004401000 **
LA has yielded the sixth most yards per game to receivers, allowing a TD per every 11.8 catches. Cruz should be involved quite often against a team allowing the most catches per game in the entire league.
WR Sterling Shepard, NYG @LA 003300000 ***
It's hard to not like this line: 94-1,138-8 in six games. Will there be enough targets to go around, though? Shepard is a risky flex play.
TE Larry Donnell, NYG @LA 003300000 ***
Los Angeles technically ranks as a bottom-10 matchup, but this group has given up three touchdowns on only 21 receptions. Donnell is nothing more than a wild gamble in DFS.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Robbie Gould, NYG @LA 2222 ***
No writeup available

San Francisco 49ers
Homefield: Monster Park
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @GB 30-22 10 STL -----
2 DET 27-19 11 CHI -----
3 @MIN 13-24 12 @NO -----
4 @NYJ 34-0 13 @STL -----
5 BUF 45-3 14 MIA -----
6 NYG ----- 15 @NE -----
7 SEA ----- 16 @SEA -----
8 @ARI ----- 17 ARI -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SF vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Christian Ponder 10 300,2
RB Shaun Draughn 20 2-20
WR Jeremy Kerley 4-50,1
WR Torrey Smith 5-100,1
PK Phil Dawson 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Not a bad sign for your offense when the last two games have seen a combined score of 79-3. That's winning kinda big. The 49ers became the first NFL team in history to ever post 300 yards rushing AND passing in a single game. Then again, look how long it took to create the 2012 Buffalo Bills. The 49ers are on such a well balanced roll that it is hard to remember that only three weeks ago they were spanked by the Vikings. Trap game aside, these 49ers are on a warpath this year.

This will be a bit of a reunion as well since Brandon Jacobs not only plays for the 49ers but could be active this week for the first time. Mario Manningham also helps out the wide receiver corps. As we saw with Robert Meachem last week, going against your ex-employer for the first time can be motivating.

Alex Smith passed for a career best 303 yards and three touchdowns in the Bills bloodbath but that was the first time he went over 226 yards or two scores this year. Even last year he never had more than 242 yards on the Giants. Smith is just a game manager but everyone was having such fun with the Bills that even Smith had a big game.

Frank Gore has scored in all but the Vikings loss and produced no fewer than 89 rushing yards when at home this year. Gore was held to only 74 yards on 16 runs in the last meeting with the Giants but is running fresher than late last season. None of the running backs are used for more than an occasional catch so the success of the running effort goes directly to Gore's production and little else. Kendall Hunter has provided minor value in the last two games while the 49ers were whipping on lesser teams but has not been a factor in any tougher matchup.

Vernon Davis continues his rule as King of the Tight Ends with his first 100 yard game of the year to go along with his four touchdowns so far. Davis has been golden in all but the Jets game and is second only to Tony Gonzalez so far this year. Davis gained 112 yards and a score in the last meeting with the Giants.

Michael Crabtree comes off his best game of the year with 113 yards and his first touchdown but he had been little used in the last two road trips. He's easily the primary wideout here but still a marginal fantasy choice. Mario Manningham contributes only three or four catches per game for marginal yardage but did score against the Bills and more importantly has his ex-employer showing up this week with plenty of reasons to want to have a good game here. Randy Moss has been such a nonfactor you have to assume he is playing football again only because his wife wanted him out of the house.

Of course Kyle "Butterfingers" Williams has his first score of the year during the Beating of the Bills. He would have plenty of reason to want to have a good game this week since he lost two fumbles in the Championship game and his second one was the one that all season ticket holders agree lost the game and sent the Giants forward to win the 49ers Superbowl.

This game could go in several directions. The 49ers have to be pumped to play this particularly at home again. The Giants defense has been nothing special this year and their offense has saved them. What happens in this game depends mostly on if the 49ers can crush all facets of the Giants offense or if Eli Manning is able to pass enough to make this into a game.

Gaining Fantasy Points SF 5 12 22 6 5 17
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 20 16 22 7 17 5

QB Colin Kaepernick, SF TB 50000020011 ***
The cobwebs have been swept away with his Week 6 start, so now we should start to see more of the old Kaepernick. Tampa Bay had an extra week, but traveling to San Francisco may mitigate some of that advantage. This is a statistically even matchup.
RB Mike Davis, SF TB 401000000 **
Davis saw the No. 2 work when Carlos Hyde went down last week. He didn't fare so well and will share touches with Shaun Draughn in Week 7. The matchup is the 10th easiest for RBs, but there is a lot of risk to assume for potentially low rewards.
RB Shaun Draughn, SF TB 3004200000 **
Draughn should split with Mike Davis if Carlos Hyde cannot play. The matchup is on the lower end of being positive, but there is more risk than potential reward here.
WR Quinton Patton, SF TB 005501000 **
In Week 6, Patton had his best game since Week 1 with Colin Kaepernick at the helm. It was still 4-52-0, but that's a step in the right direction. Tampa offers a great matchup. Only San Fran, incidentally, has given up more TDs on fewer catches.

Update: Patton could see more work if Torrey Smith (back) doesn't go.
WR Jeremy Kerley, SF TB 005500000 **
The jury remains out on whether Kerley can get it done without Blaine Gabbert's short-passing game. He's a flex play versus this defense, the 12th easiest matchup overall.

Update: Kerley could see more targets if Torrey Smith (back) sits out.
WR Torrey Smith, SF TB 002400000 **
Smith is better overall with Colin Kaepernick because of his arm strength. Receivers have allowed nine TDs on 58 catches. He's still a very risky play and closer to bench territory.

Update: Smith showed up Thursday with a sore back and was listed as limited again on Friday. He's a game-time decision.
TE Vance McDonald, SF TB 002200000 **
Tampa didn't give up many points to tight ends until facing Greg Olsen. That's largely because this D did see a legit player at the position. Don't get excited about McDonald, and consider him easily suppressed.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Phil Dawson, SF TB 2222 ***
Dawson has not delivered for fantasy owners this year, which isn't exactly his fault. He'll see more week than usual this week if you're in need of a fantasy foot.

BUF at ARI *GB at HOU *NE at SEA *DEN at SD (MON)
*CIN at CLE *IND at NYJ *NYG at SF Bye:
*Updated DAL at BAL *KC at TB OAK at ATL CAR, CHI, JAC, NO

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