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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: OAK 17, ATL 34 (Line: ATL by 9.5)
Players to Watch: Darren McFadden, Roddy White
The 1-3 Raiders come off their bye having somehow only beaten the Steelers. Their only two trips away from home produced at total losing score of 19-72 and then have never came closer than 22 points to their opponent.
Oakland Raiders |
| Homefield: McAfee Coliseum |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
SD |
14-22 |
10 |
@BAL |
----- |
| 2 |
@MIA |
13-35 |
11 |
NO |
----- |
| 3 |
PIT |
34-31 |
12 |
@CIN |
----- |
| 4 |
@DEN |
6-37 |
13 |
CLE |
----- |
| 5 |
BYE |
----- |
14 |
DEN |
----- |
| 6 |
@ATL |
----- |
15 |
KC |
----- |
| 7 |
JAC |
----- |
16 |
@CAR |
----- |
| 8 |
@KC |
----- |
17 |
@SD |
----- |
| 9 |
TB |
----- |
----- |
----- |
----- |
| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The new offense and defense being installed in Oakland remains a work in progress though the results are disappointing no matter what qualifier or rationale is given. Carson Palmer's passing has been far more anemic than last season and aside from the fluke three touchdowns against the Steelers, he scored only twice over three games. His worst effort yet was in Denver two weeks back when he only passed for 202 yards and no touchdowns. Palmer was throwing well last year with tons of yards and some scores using the same cast of receivers. This year - just not working out nearly as well in OC Greg Knapp's new scheme.
Worse of all is that Darren McFadden has gone from an oft-injured and yet wildly productive back to just a healthy guy who does almost nothing every week. He racked up 113 yards and a score on the visiting Steelers but otherwise has never gained more than 34 rushing yards in any game. Even his role as a receiver has declined to just a single meaningless catch. It is not that Mike Goodson or Taiwan Jones are cutting into his action. Jones does not even have a touch this season.
McFadden is completely boxed in on almost every play. He joins a growing cast of disappointing running backs. At least last year you got five or six great games from him. Now he just muddles along and kills your weekly score. He has a chance this week against the only real weakness of the Falcons but if he flops yet again it will be hard to start him without heavy consideration each remaining week.
Darrius Heyward-Bey missed one game with a concussion but is expected back for this tilt. He only has one score on the year and no more than 43 yards in any game. Denarius Moore has been much more productive with around 50 to 60 yards when he plays but he too has just one score and with only four catches per week for maybe 60 yards, he is not doing anyone favors. The rest of the wide receivers are so much worse as to be just blockers.
Brandon Meyers seemed to be one of the few productive pieces of the offense when he opened the year with three games of around 60 yards or so but just when people relied on that happening, he only had one catch for 22 yards in the most recent game. And he still has never scored.
Overall - this offense has been lethargic and bumbling. Now they hit the road where they have been distinctly worse. Going to Atlanta is no time to be a bad road team.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
OAK |
20 |
11 |
27 |
13 |
21 |
32 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
ATL |
12 |
21 |
1 |
20 |
1 |
7 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Terrelle Pryor, OAK |
@SD |
10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 150 | 0 | 0 |  |
| Both Pryor and Matt Leinart are taking first team reps and both may end up playing. No matter - there is no fantasy start here regardless who does what. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Darren McFadden, OAK |
@SD |
50 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| McFadden only gained 32 yards on 15 runs versus the Chargers in the season opener and has done little since. Three of his road games this year failed to produce even 35 rushing yards and the Chargers at home have been better against the run. McFadden always has potential since he can break a long gainer but has been ineffective in most games this year. He is a huge risk to gain anything more than moderate yardage and has not rushed in a score since back in week six. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Denarius Moore, OAK |
@SD |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   |
| Moore only caught 3-12 last week with Matt Leinart starting and now Terrelle Pryor may get to play. No reason to consider him. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Rod Streater, OAK |
@SD |
0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   |
| Streater actually started the year with a TD vs SD but only caught 4 passes for 24 yards then. He only managed 2-16 just last week with Leinart starting so no reason to consider Streater. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Sebastian Janikowski, OAK |
@SD |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |     |
| OAK using either Matt Leinart or Terrelle Pryor at QB means leave Seabass on your bench. |
Atlanta Falcons |
| Homefield: Georgia Dome |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@KC |
40-24 |
10 |
@NO |
----- |
| 2 |
DEN |
27-21 |
11 |
ARI |
----- |
| 3 |
@SD |
27-3 |
12 |
@TB |
----- |
| 4 |
CAR |
30-28 |
13 |
NO |
----- |
| 5 |
@WAS |
24-17 |
14 |
@CAR |
----- |
| 6 |
OAK |
----- |
15 |
NYG |
----- |
| 7 |
BYE |
----- |
16 |
@DET |
----- |
| 8 |
@PHI |
----- |
17 |
TB |
----- |
| 9 |
DAL |
----- |
----- |
----- |
----- |
| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Falcons are one of only two unbeaten teams left and this home game should get them to the bye week intact. But three of the wins came by a touchdown or less and against the visiting Panthers it was just a two point win probably thanks to a late Cam Newton fumble. While NFL East opponents remain on the upcoming schedule, this is still one of the easiest slate of games in the league and one that actually looks easier once we have a better idea what teams are like this year. Anything short of home field advantage throughout the playoffs is going to be a disappointment and a bit of a surprise at this point.
Matt Ryan has still thrown multiple touchdowns in every game and had healthy yardage as well. He's not had an off week yet and ranks near the top of all fantasy league scoring. Ryan scored 13 times through the air against only three interceptions. He rarely even hit in most games.
Michael Turner has enjoyed his season so far with a touchdown in each of the last four games but only one effort that netted him over 100 total yards. Turner should be fresh down the stretch thanks to only rushing the ball about 16 times per week. He's no fantasy god but offers valuable consistent production every week. Jacquizz Rodgers has been mostly a minimal contributor and is not busy enough to merit a fantasy start.
Tony Gonzalez is singing his swan song but it is drowning out everyone else. He's currently the top tight end in fantasy with four touchdowns and 39 catches for 388 yards. He is everything you thought you were getting when you grabbed Rob Gronkowski or Jimmy Graham only you could have waited about five more rounds to net Gonzo.
Back at home means that Roddy White gets to score and have the big game. In two games in Atlanta, he has 16 catches for 271 yards and three touchdowns. In three away games, he only had 15 receptions for 210 yards and no scores. He did this last year. Apparently it is a secret agreement with Julio Jones who does the exact opposite. Jones caught 21 passes for 269 yards and four touchdowns but then only five receptions for 44 yards and no scores at home. Seriously - same thing last year. No need to explain it, just accept it as wonderfully consistent.
The Raiders present a defense weak enough in all areas that the fear is the Falcons let down and do not take the game nearly as serious as they should. They know they can win this. Even if they start in the fourth quarter, they can win this. Hopefully with only a bye the next week they take advantage of all the weaknesses of the Raiders defense.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
ATL |
2 |
16 |
8 |
1 |
10 |
9 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
OAK |
29 |
30 |
23 |
26 |
29 |
1 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Matt Ryan, ATL |
TB |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 230 | 2 | 0 |    |
| Ryan threw for 353 and 1 the last time he faced the bottom-feeding Bucs pass defense, and that was back when the outcome still mattered. Unlikely he sticks around long enough to post that big a number again, as the Falcons have wrapped up home field advantage. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Michael Turner, ATL |
TB |
30 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| If any Falcon needs a rest before the postseason begins it's Turner, whose numbers have tailed off over the second half of the season. Your only hope is that he tucks in a shorty before heading to the bench to await the start of the playoffs. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Jacquizz Rodgers, ATL |
TB |
40 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Quizz's workload has been on the upswing and it's likely Michael Turner takes an early seat in this one. Unfortunately, the Bucs' run D is pretty solid so even though Rodgers scored on them in the earlier meeting he's not a particularly good fantasy play this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Steven Jackson, ATL |
TB |
50 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Jackson was held to 18-55 when the Seahawks were the visitors and playing in Seattle won't improve those marks. Only two runners have scored in Seattle this year and only Adrian Peterson ran for more than 58 yards there. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Julio Jones, ATL |
TB |
0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Jones could see some extra attention if Roddy White is limited by his sore knee, but with nothing to play for both Falcons' starters will be on the sidelines well before the final whistle. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Roddy White, ATL |
TB |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| If the knee is still sore--and last week it looked anything but--the Falcons will give White plenty of rest in this meaningless game. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Harry Douglas, ATL |
TB |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Douglas would stand to gain looks if Roddy White and/or Julio Jones head to the bench early in a game that has no bearing on the playoff picture. Of course, if that happens it would leave Douglas chasing passes from Luke McCown instead of Matt Ryan. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Tony Gonzalez, ATL |
TB |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Gonzo needs 111 yards for yet another 1,000-yard season, but his ticket to Canton doesn't need any additional stamps so look for him to spend most of this game as an observer. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Matt Bryant, ATL |
TB |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |    |
| It's still a dome game, it's still a shaky Bucs secondary, and if the Falcons are leaning on backups maybe they stall out in the red zone a little more frequently and set Bryant up with threes instead of PATs. |
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