FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 7
2012
SEA at SF (THU) *DAL at CAR *NYJ at NE DET at CHI (MON)
*ARI at MIN *GB at STL *PIT at CIN Bye:
BAL at HOU *JAC at OAK TEN at BUF ATL, DEN, KC,
*UPDATED *CLE at IND *NO at TB *WAS at NYG MIA, PHI, SD

Prediction: DET 13, CHI 27 (Line: CHI by 5)

Players to Watch: Matt Forte

The 2-3 Lions come off a nice win in Philadelphia but now face the 4-1 Bears who are coming off their bye and 2-0 at home. These teams traded home wins in 2011. The Lions prevailed 24-13 in Detroit while the Bears won 37-13 in Chicago. The Lions are struggling much more this year while the Bears defense hardly needed a week off to rest.

Detroit Lions
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 STL 27-23 10 @MIN -----
2 @SF 19-27 11 GB -----
3 @TEN 41-44 12 HOU -----
4 MIN 13-20 13 IND -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @GB -----
6 @PHI 26-23 15 @ARI -----
7 @CHI ----- 16 ATL -----
8 SEA ----- 17 CHI -----
9 @JAC ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 260,1
RB LeGarrette Blount 30

Pregame Notes: The comeback win over the Eagles may have saved their season though more likely it merely delays the inevitable. Matthew Stafford generated offense almost exclusively in the fourth quarter. He still has not thrown more than one touchdown in any game though the yardage has been high when they are not on the road facing a great defense. Like this week. Stafford passed for 329 yards and one score in Chicago last year. That would be success enough this year.

Jahvid Best has been announced as out for the year and the oft-concussed player may never suit up again. Mikel Leshoure has taken over as the primary back but only produced one game of note against the Titans. The Lions are unlikely to give him more than 15 runs per game unless the Lions are well ahead which so far has never been much of an issue.

Joique Bell still figures in as well and ran seven times for 38 yards against the Eagles compared to 15 runs by Leshoure. In fantasy terms, Leshoure is the only play here but really only when facing the weakest of defenses which may happen only once more this year when they host the Colts in week 13.

Brandon Pettigrew started the year on a promising not and while he only has one score, he has been turning in 60 or so yards in most games. Last week only produced three catches for 38 yards while Tony Scheffler had a freak big game with 81 yards on three catches but he's normally a nonfactor.

The receivers outside of Calvin Johnson have not bee much help. Nate Burleson scored twice so far but rarely gains more than 50 yards in a game and has minimal fantasy value. Titus Young has gone from red hot sleeper type to just a little guy who rarely catches more than one or two passes. The only way this team stays in games is when the defense cannot shut down Calvin Johnson. Even that is not often enough to win the game.

This season the Bears defense is even better and the Lions offense is worse. There have only been five touchdowns allowed by Chicago and the Lions hardly present an offensive juggernaut. This is a divisional matchup and the Bears are coming off their bye so any hopes for a trap game are overly optimistic.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 7 12 10 3 1 27
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 1 2 14 29 4 20

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Matthew Stafford, DET @BUF 0000017001 ***
The Bills have routinely been among the toughest defenses in fantasy this year for quarterbacks, and there is nothing to like about Stafford's chances of bucking that trend. His lost year in fantasy continues to die a slow death.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Zach Zenner, DET @BUF 301000000 ***
Zenner scored a short TD last week and is a total gamble in any format. He has no value if Kerryon Johnson (knee) returns, and even then it is still a big risk. The matchup is ideal, however.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Theo Riddick, DET @BUF 1007500000 **
Riddick has a brilliant matchup against Buffalo, a top-eight matchup for PPR backs, propelled by surrendering 74 grabs to the position this year. The problem is he has not been utilize nearly as much as warranted and is a highly risky play in any setup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeGarrette Blount, DET @BUF 300000000 ***
You know the drill ... flip a coin and hope for a TD. The Lions opted for Zach Zenner in this role last week, so it's probably closer to 30 percent than 50/50.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Kerryon Johnson, DET @BUF 00000000 *
Johnson (knee) is in jeopardy of missing yet another game. Check back for an update.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kenny Golladay, DET @BUF 004400000 ***
There is no question he is talented, but Detroit may have overestimated how ready Golladay is to take over the No. 1 job in his second year. He was held to just two catches for five yards last week and has only 145 over the last three games (no TDs). Buffalo has been among the strongest defense of receivers in 2018, but they have shown a few holes in coverage over the last three games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR TJ Jones, DET @BUF 002300000 ***
Jones should see a larger role with Bruce Ellington (hamstring) once again injured. There is really no conceivable scenario in which a fantasy owner would be inclined to play Jones with such a tough matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Bruce Ellington, DET @BUF 00000000 *
Ellington has a history of hamstring problems and appears on the outside looking in for Week 15.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Matt Prater, DET @BUF 3311 ***
No writeup available

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU -----
2 @GB 10-23 11 @SF -----
3 STL 23-6 12 MIN -----
4 @DAL 34-18 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC 41-3 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET ----- 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR ----- 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The 4-1 Bears are hitting a three game stretch that is likely as easy as it will get all year and they are fresh off their bye. The loss of Alshon Jeffrey should not be more than a minor hindrance to the offense since he never gained more than 45 yards in a game since the season opener. Jeffrey fractured his right hand and is expected to miss at least a month and likely six weeks. Being a rookie, he'll probably take a little more time to get up to speed anyway and that wasn't fantasy relevant anyway.

Earl Bennett is returning and Devin Hester will play but the bottom line to this passing offense is that no one matters other than Brandon Marshall.

Marshall has three 100+ yard games and a touchdown in each. He's a lock to get about ten targets each week and that can go as high as 17. It has really evolved into wondering why the other receivers are covered when Marshall does all the damage.

Kellen Davis rarely has more than 30 yards in any game and is a nonfactor as a fantasy tight end.

The best part of the Bears is that there are only four fantasy plays here. The defense remains one of the very best. Marshall is on a red hot streak and Jay Cutler tends to throw for high yardage and two scores which depends 100% on if he can connect with Marshall.

And then Matt Forte who has only one touchdown on the year thanks to Michael Bush (3). But Forte posted moderate to good yardage in most games even though his role as a receiver has been impacted by Marshall. Forte is averaging fewer than three catches per week which shortcuts one of his best strengths. Forte missed week three and Michael Bush has carried a surprisingly heavy load in most games but most recent was in Jacksonville where Forte was healthy and productive with 22 carries for 107 yards. Bush was held to just four runs in that game. Forte will command a big chunk of all running back work ongoing but will still be plagued by touchdown hawking by Bush and even Armando Allen. Kahlil Bell was just released.

You can often throw out records when two divisional teams meet but the Lions have been consistently weak against the pass with their three road opponents all scoring twice via the pass and throwing for high yardage for the better quarterbacks. The run game may not be huge this week but should be effective and control the game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 23 13 12 31 6 1
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 15 6 12 27 30 31

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI GB 20000021021 ***
Trubisky was unimpressive in the Week 1 trip to Lambeau. He didn't even throw a TD pass or top 200 yards. Green Bay has allowed at least 21 fantasy points in three of the last four games, with Josh Rosen being the odd man out. The matchup is midrange with a slant to the positive. Start him without any clearer options at the position.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jordan Howard, CHI GB 801000000 ***
Green Bay has granted 10 rushing touchdowns to the position in 2018. In the past five weeks, this is the ninth-best opponent for rushing yards per contest but the ninth-hardest opponent for scoring against on the ground. Howard is a coin flip and is fully dependent on field position/situational football.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Tarik Cohen, CHI GB 3004401000 ***
Traveling back to Week 1, Cohen touched the ball only one time and wasn't particularly productive (7.1 PPR). The season has played out in his favor from about Week 4 on, and he has two games since that Tampa Bay contest with fewer than 10 PPR points. Green Bay has yielded only two TD catches over 54 grabs by the position, which portends to the possibility for a weaker day for the dynamo. Play him and hope for the best.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Allen Robinson II, CHI GB 005701000 ***
Way back in the season opener, Robinson was good for a team-high 10.1 PPR points vs. the Packers. Much has changed for both squads since, and the former Jaguar is the safest bet in this receiving corps to exploit a Packers defense that has given up 19 TDs in 13 games to the position. In the last five weeks, this is the third-best opponent for receptions and No. 10 for yardage produced.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taylor Gabriel, CHI GB 004400000 ***
It has been since Week 4 the last time Gabriel has scored, and he hasn't done much in volume the last two weeks (six total grabs). The looks have been there but were higher with Chase Daniel starting. There is little reason to chance it with Gabriel, and about the only incentive is how poorly GB has played the position in the last five weeks.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Anthony Miller, CHI GB 003400000 ***
The Packers have allowed the second-most receptions per game since Week 9, and this is the 10th-best matchup for yardage. Miller is more of a short-range TD threat right now than a volume guy, so consider him of mild value.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Trey Burton, CHI GB 002200000 ***
Barring a drastic change in trends, Burton is poised for another poor game. Green Bay has yielded just one TD to tight ends in 2018, and his role is leaving something to be desired.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, CHI GB 2233 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 7
2012
SEA at SF (THU) *DAL at CAR *NYJ at NE DET at CHI (MON)
*ARI at MIN *GB at STL *PIT at CIN Bye:
BAL at HOU *JAC at OAK TEN at BUF ATL, DEN, KC,
*UPDATED *CLE at IND *NO at TB *WAS at NYG MIA, PHI, SD

a d v e r t i s e m e n t