FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 7
2012
SEA at SF (THU) *DAL at CAR *NYJ at NE DET at CHI (MON)
*ARI at MIN *GB at STL *PIT at CIN Bye:
BAL at HOU *JAC at OAK TEN at BUF ATL, DEN, KC,
*UPDATED *CLE at IND *NO at TB *WAS at NYG MIA, PHI, SD

Prediction: JAC 17, OAK 27 (Line: OAK by 4)

Players Updated: Sebastian Janikowski

Players to Watch: Justin Blackmon, Darren McFadden

This is a game that you have to like because one of these teams are going to win. The 1-4 Raiders are 0-2 at home and the 1-4 Jaguars are 1-1 on the road. This could go in any number of ways but almost certainly is not going to contain a lot of points.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @MIN 23-26 ot 10 IND -----
2 HOU 7-27 11 @HOU -----
3 @IND 22-17 12 TEN -----
4 CIN 10-27 13 @BUF -----
5 CHI 3-41 14 NYJ -----
6 BYE ----- 15 @MIA -----
7 @OAK ----- 16 NE -----
8 @GB ----- 17 @TEN -----
9 DET ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars come off their bye and with any luck maybe they discovered an offense. Bought one off of EBay or maybe just stopped hoping for anything more than one touchdown from Maurice Jones-Drew and spent all their time making a better special teams so hopefully they can score a touchdown. Because there has not been more than one since the season opener. The last game played hosting the Bears only to lose 3-41 means that the Jaguars are not throwing in the towel, it means they can't throw anything.

Blaine Gabbert is no different than the #32 quarterback we knew in 2011 except this time he has high-priced receivers that he cannot connect with instead of no-name slugs. Gabbert has taken the best wide receiver that came out of the NFL draft and so far Justin Blackmon only caught 13 passes for 119 yards over five games. Gabbert has not passed for more than 186 yards in the last four matchups and averaged a whopping 134 passing yards. He has thrown five touchdowns, somehow, but has no yardage doing it.

Laurent Robinson is still impacted by his concussions and is not expected to practice this week or play. WIth three concussions over the last three months, Robinson might be out for a while and seriously, who cares? He went from being a star in Dallas to catching only nine passes for 134 yards this year. Cecil Shorts will replace him and is the current scoring leader for the Jaguars because he has two touchdowns this year. Yes, that includes Maurice Jones-Drew. Marcedes Lewis remains below 34 yards in each game since week one.

Jones-Drew was the only part of the offense that worked last year and ended up leading the NFL in rushing yardage because the Jaguars fed him a steady diet of everything. But this year he only produced one game over 77 rushing yards and just one touchdown. His role as a receiver is inconsistent at best because the Jags sometimes hold him in to help block so that Gabbert can throw more incompletions. Jones-Drew has been limited to 13 or fewer carries in three of the last four games. It is just not happening in Jacksonville and there is nothing that Jones-Drew can do about it.

This will be interesting since the Jaguars have not faced a defense as weak as the Raiders but then again - on the road. And while the Raiders rank poorly against most positions, that is influenced by games against PIT, DEN and ATL. The Jags have been on their bye and preparing for this game for two weeks. But - that still doesn't magically give them a passing game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 22 32 28 29 32
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 26 25 23 25 29 7

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Blake Bortles, JAC @DAL 30000027011 ***
In five games, only six touchdown passes have been thrown against the Cowboys. Dallas has permitted 262.8 aerial yards, which ranks 21st. This defense has just one interception, though. Speaking of which, Bortles chucked four of them last Sunday after having three in his previous four games. The hosting Cowboys should make life hard on Bortles, who is now without RB Corey Grant and TE Austin Seferian-Jenkins. The Jags may be without left tackle Josh Wells, center Brandon Linder and right tackle Jermey Parnell as none of whom practiced Wednesday.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB T.J. Yeldon, JAC @DAL 5016400000 ***
Yeldon should see the majority of work while Jamaal Charles gets up to speed. The Cowboys have been a fair matchup for ground work but offer one of the better targets for racking up points through the sky. This is the fourth-best opponent for receptions, although none have scored on 37 RB catches. Yeldon should be a fine start. The Jags may be without left tackle Josh Wells, center Brandon Linder and right tackle Jermey Parnell as none of whom practiced Wednesday.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Donte Moncrief, JAC @DAL 006801000 ***
The Cowboys are the sixth-toughest defense in PPR and No. 7 in standard against wideouts. Most of the success is found in how the position has been limited to only 11.2 catches and 161.2 yards a game, ranking fifth best and No. 19, respectively. Moncrief is a risk-reward play but has touchdown upside vs. a team that has given up one every 11.2 catches. He was targeted a whopping 15 times last week as Jacksonville attempted to come back against KC. The Jags may be without left tackle Josh Wells, center Brandon Linder and right tackle Jermey Parnell as none of whom practiced Wednesday.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dede Westbrook, JAC @DAL 004601000 ***
Westbrook has 18 targets in the last two games and a corresponding 12 receptions for 185 yards. He has not scored since Week 2. The Cowboys have granted a touchdown per game on the 11.2 receptions permitted to the position a week in 2018. The Jags may be without left tackle Josh Wells, center Brandon Linder and right tackle Jermey Parnell as none of whom practiced Wednesday.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Keelan Cole, JAC @DAL 004500000 ***
Despite a season-high 10 targets last week, Cole landed only four of them for 70 yards, his second day of 2018 with at least 10 PPR points. While Dallas has allowed a TD per game to receivers this year, only 56 catches against is the fifth fewest. The matchup favors big-play types. The Jags may be without left tackle Josh Wells, center Brandon Linder and right tackle Jermey Parnell as none of whom practiced Wednesday.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Niles Paul, JAC @DAL 002300000 ***
Austin Seferian-Jenkins is on IR, opening the door for Paul to make his mark. He's a dart throw in fantasy, though, but the Cowboys have given up the fifth-most catches to the position this year, so that silver lining may be just the incentive desperate PPR gamers need.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Josh Lambo, JAC @DAL 2233 ***
No writeup available

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD 14-22 10 @BAL -----
2 @MIA 13-35 11 NO -----
3 PIT 34-31 12 @CIN -----
4 @DEN 6-37 13 CLE -----
5 BYE ----- 14 DEN -----
6 @ATL 20-23 15 KC -----
7 JAC ----- 16 @CAR -----
8 @KC ----- 17 @SD -----
9 TB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Marshawn Lynch 80 1-10
RB Doug Martin 100,1 6-40
WR Brandon LaFell 2-20
WR Jordy Nelson 5-70,1
TE Jared Cook 4-50
PK Mike Nugent 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: A week off on their bye and the Raiders returned to almost take down the unbeaten Falcons in their stadium. It was easily the best defensive effort of the year and one of the best offensive showings of the year. And sure, it was sort of a trap game that the Falcons clearly were trying to mail in and still got away with it. The Raiders have a a very nice schedule from here on out and even the tougher games no longer look as intimidating. A win this week could start off a decent run of good games.

Carson Palmer reversed a two game slide in yardage with 353 yards in Atlanta but he still only passed for one score. Aside from the Steeler trap game, Palmer has posted decent yardage but only scores once against opponents. He too should enjoy the upcoming stretch of easier games.

Darren McFadden has been a huge disappointment to fantasy owners but he came to life in Atlanta with a touchdown on his 27 carries for 70 yards and added three catches for 28 more yards - his best receiver role since the season opener when he caught 13 passes.No should enjoy a few easier games than McFadden who appears to be getting at least partially on track after opening the year with mostly bad games.

Brandon Meyers is the most consistently productive receiver for the Raiders by far. While he has not yet scored, Meyers remains above 55 yards in all but one game with around five catches per week. That's far better reliability than any other receiver.

Darrius Heyward-Bey is back from his concussion but did not catch either of his passes in Atlanta and has failed to pick up the new offense and make any difference this year. Denarius Moore has been the only fantasy relevant wideout and marginally so with only one game above 71 yards. But Moore is getting better and receiving eight to ten targets per week as the leader on the team. He comes off a 104 yard, five catch effort last week with a score. Derek Hagen pitches in as does Rod Streater but this passing attack has been pedestrian. Even with the nice yardage in several games, it has never translated into big games for an individual player.

This is the week that McFadden should shine. The Jaguars show up with one of the weakest defenses against running backs that has already allowed eight touchdowns to the position and consider the Colts and Bengals skewed the numbers lower than they should be. This is the same defense that gave up 219 rushing yards and three touchdowns to the Texans.

The Jaguars also allowed two scores to each of the last three opposing quarterbacks. This could be a decent passing effort as well.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 18 9 25 16 18 31
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 19 30 18 7 26 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Derek Carr, OAK SEA 0000031022 ***
Hosting helps, but Carr simply hasn't been good enough in the TD department this year. He also has thrown eight interceptions. Seattle has given up the sixth-fewest yards per game, which is Carr's strength at this point. Consider him only in dire situations or as a low-end superflex play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Marshawn Lynch, OAK SEA 7003200000 ***
On 22.6 attempts (8th most) per game, Seattle has yielded 93 rushing yards (12th), on average, to running backs. The position has scored four rushing touchdowns in the five games so far. Lynch snapped a four-game streak of at least 12.9 PPR points in Week 5 against the Chargers' tough run D. He should enjoy slightly more success against the 'Hawks. Lynch was limited in Wednesday's session with a hip strain.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jalen Richard, OAK SEA 004400000 ***
Richard has five or more targets in each game outside of Week 2. Seattle has allowed the sixth-fewest catches and ninth-lowest yardage in a weekly fashion. One of the 19 snares by RBs has found the Promised Land in 2018 vs. the Seahawks. Richard is a moderately useful flex flier in PPR.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordy Nelson, OAK SEA 005501000 ***
The Seahawks check in as a middle-of-the-road defense against receivers after having allowed six touchdowns in five games. Matchups with CHI, DAL and ARI tend to skew the stats to look like a stronger defense. Emmanuel Sanders, Demaryius Thomas, Allen Robinson and Cooper Kupp all have games with at least 18.3 PPR points against this group.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Amari Cooper, OAK SEA 006900000 ***
The matchup sneaks into the top 10 in standard scoring and is 13th in PPR. Six of the 69 total receptions have scored, which is the 17th-highest frequency against. Yardage checks in at 20th per game, and receptions are 15th ... Cooper is a so-so play with more worth in PPR. Matchups with CHI, DAL and ARI tend to skew the stats to look like a stronger defense.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jared Cook, OAK SEA 005801000 ***
Cook lives and dies by the big play in fantasy. If you can stomach a modest line, he's facing a defense that has held tight ends to just that through five weeks. The position has averaged only 42.6 yards on 3.8 receptions, with just one of the 19 catches going into the end zone. He's definitely more risk than expected reward this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Matt McCrane, OAK SEA 2222 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 7
2012
SEA at SF (THU) *DAL at CAR *NYJ at NE DET at CHI (MON)
*ARI at MIN *GB at STL *PIT at CIN Bye:
BAL at HOU *JAC at OAK TEN at BUF ATL, DEN, KC,
*UPDATED *CLE at IND *NO at TB *WAS at NYG MIA, PHI, SD

a d v e r t i s e m e n t