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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: NYJ 10, NE 34 (Line: NE by 10.5)
Players Updated: Aaron Hernandez, Wes Welker, Brandon Bolden
Players to Watch: Jonathan Grimes, Stevan Ridley
The Patriots Jets come off a huge win over the Colts while the Jets Patriots lost to the Seahawks. There is a four-way tie at 3-3 for the AFC East and this game starts to help sort that out. The Pats are 1-1 at home and the Jets are 1-1 on the road. But after losing in Seattle. the visiting Jets should be exactly what the Patriots need right now.
The Patriots swept the Jets in 2011, winning 30-21 at home and later 37-16 in New York.
New York Jets |
| Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
BUF |
48-28 |
10 |
@SEA |
----- |
| 2 |
@PIT |
10-27 |
11 |
@STL |
----- |
| 3 |
@MIA |
23-20 |
12 |
NE |
----- |
| 4 |
SF |
0-34 |
13 |
ARI |
----- |
| 5 |
HOU |
17-23 |
14 |
@JAC |
----- |
| 6 |
IND |
35-9 |
15 |
@TEN |
----- |
| 7 |
@NE |
----- |
16 |
SD |
----- |
| 8 |
MIA |
----- |
17 |
@BUF |
----- |
| 9 |
BYE |
----- |
----- |
----- |
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| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Jets got to pretend that everything was okay when they dismantled the visiting Colts last week in a romp that was without any precedent. At least not with the Jets on the winning side. It may give the offense some confidence and satisfy the New York media for a week but all the same problems still exist and that's going to be apparent playing in New England against a Patriots team coming off an upset loss in Seattle.
Mark Sanchez only threw 18 passes against the Colts for 82 yards and two touchdowns. It was a week where it all worked so well that Sanchez had little to do other than handoff for most of the game. But this is the same quarterback who only threw for three scores over the previous four games and with yardage that normally remains south of 200 yards. Thanks to the loss of Santonio Holmes, that is not likely to change soon.
Shonn Greene set career marks across the board when he ran 32 times for 161 yards and three touchdowns against the Colts. The same Colts who came in with a defense missing players including LB Robert Mathis. Then they lost DE Corey Redding at the start of the game and DE Dwight Freeney played injured. It was a nice set-up for the same back that only gained 103 yards and no scores over the previous four games combined. This allowed HC Rex Ryan to praise his back for the great game despite all the qualifications he forgot to mention. This was also a game where Joe McKnight gained 71 yards on three carries.
Notable here is that McKnight suffered a high ankle sprain and is out. Bilal Powell suffered a dislocated shoulder and is out. That leaves just Shonn Greene and Jonathan Grimes who they signed off the Texans practice squad a few weeks ago. That might have makes Grimes an interesting one to watch but we may not see him much. And the reality is that the next two weeks are against the Pats and Dolphins who both sport good rushing defenses.
Dustin Keller is back from the hamstring injury that forced him to miss the last five weeks but only had one catch for six yardage so he picked up right where he left off in week one. But the receivers remain in a bad shape with the loss of Santonio Holmes. Last week Jason Hill scored on his only catch in the game and Stephen Hill turned in the other touchdown with only 23 yards in the game. Jeremy Kerley remains the primary wideout here, such as it exists.
The Patriots have not allowed any runner to gain more than 41 yards in New England and the only touchdown scored by a back was Ray Rice in Baltimore. This is not likely to be a place to see Greene replicate anything from last week. The Pats would play them tough anyway and will take no mercy on their divisional opponent.
House of cards - no rushing means the passing game will be challenged to produce much even though the Patriots have allowed three or more passing touchdowns to each of their last four opponents. If Sanchez gets more than one it will be a huge success.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
NYJ |
29 |
27 |
22 |
29 |
27 |
5 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
NE |
31 |
11 |
29 |
30 |
5 |
2 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Mark Sanchez, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 170 | 0 | 2 |    |
| Greg McElroy is concussed, so we'll be treated to the quarterback stylings of Mark Sanchez once again. Enjoy. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Bilal Powell, NYJ |
@BUF |
60 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Powell has backslid to junior member of the Jets' RBBC, but he's still a factor as a receiver and a threat at the stripe. Plus, it's an incredibly favorable matchup. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Braylon Edwards, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| There's not enough going on in the Jets' passing game to make any Gang Green receiver fantasy-relevant, but if you have to throw a dart Edwards is the least pathetic option. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Jeremy Kerley, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Every now and then the Jets run a pass play. And of those rare instances, many if not most are incomplete. Of the handful that aren't incomplete--or intercepted--Kerley is sometimes the target. How's that for a ringing endorsement? |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Chaz Schilens, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Schilens is maybe the third receiving option on a run-first team with bad quarterbacking. Nothing in that sentence suggests "fantasy starter". |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Jeff Cumberland, NYJ |
@BUF |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| If nothing else, Cumberland can claim to be on the business end of Greg McElroy's first (only) NFL touchdown pass. And right now, odds strongly favor "nothing else". |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Nick Folk, NYJ |
@BUF |
2 | 2 | 2 | 2 |     |
| The Jets haven't broken the 20-point barrier since Week 11, so there simply aren't enough points available to make Folk fantasy-relevant. |
New England Patriots |
| Homefield: Gillette Stadium |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@TEN |
34-13 |
10 |
BUF |
----- |
| 2 |
ARI |
18-20 |
11 |
IND |
----- |
| 3 |
@BAL |
30-31 |
12 |
@NYJ |
----- |
| 4 |
@BUF |
52-28 |
13 |
@MIA |
----- |
| 5 |
DEN |
31-21 |
14 |
HOU |
----- |
| 6 |
@SEA |
23-24 |
15 |
SF |
----- |
| 7 |
NYJ |
----- |
16 |
@JAC |
----- |
| 8 |
@STL |
----- |
17 |
MIA |
----- |
| 9 |
BYE |
----- |
----- |
----- |
----- |
| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: It was all going so well in Seattle when the Pats led the Seahawks 23-10 midway through the fourth quarter. And then the Patriots offense went cold and the Seahawks threw two touchdowns including a 46-yard score with only 1:27 left to play. The loss leaves the Patriots 3-3 on the season and still wondering what is happening this season? The reality is that they have problems facing great defenses. Fortunately, that no longer applies to the Jets.
Tom Brady threw a career high 58 passes in the Seattle loss and it gave him his fourth 300+ yard game of the year. He has scored in each week at least once and faces a Jets defense that has been worse both on the pass and run. The only time that Brady has failed to throw for healthy yardage was against the Broncos when they ran 50 times. There will be more rushing this week but Brady gets to face a Jets defense that is banged up and easier to exploit.
Last week the Seahawks shut down the rushing effort but Steven Ridley was coming off two straight games with at least 100 rushing yards and a score. Ridley has three big games to his credit this year and each happened against a weak run defense. Brandon Bolden is the next in line when facing a weak defense that allows more rushing attempts but Danny Woodhead and even Shane Vereen can figure in. But this remains mostly about Ridley and he is the only reliable starter from the bunch.
Aaron Hernandez returned from his ankle sprain after missing three games and while he only played about half of the snaps, he still ended with six catches for 30 yards and one touchdown. Rob Gronkowski ended with six receptions for 61 yards making it only one touchdown in the last four games. Other than the win over the Bills, Gronkowski has not exceeded 75 yards in a game and has been disappointing to every fantasy owner who spent dearly to draft him.
No matter that Hernandez is back, Wes Welker was still the primary receiver last week in Seattle where he posted 10 catches for 138 yards and one touchdown. That makes four games in a row with 8+ catches for 100+ yards. Pure vintage Welker that apparently is not going to change. Brandon Lloyd bruised his shoulder last week but is expected to play depending on practices. He'll be covered mostly by Antonio Cromartie and may have a lesser game for it. Lloyd only scored once this year and has been only marginal with weekly yardage anyway.
Pats at home after a stinging loss and the Jets show up perhaps as weak as they have been in years. The Pats are never good about showing mercy and all fantasy plays here are attractive other than Lloyd if he remains injured.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
NE |
6 |
4 |
9 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
NYJ |
6 |
21 |
2 |
20 |
22 |
11 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Tom Brady, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 2 | 0 |    |
| Brady is always a must start anyway but he settled for only 238 yards and one score in Miami this year. He's a lock for solid yardage and at least one score but this is less likely to become a monster game. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Stevan Ridley, NE |
MIA |
80 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Ridley will share the workload with the other three runners but he - and he alone - is consistent and productive enough to merit a start. Ridley already had 19-71 and a TD in Miami and should be good for more this week depending on the whims of Bill Belichick who may want to rest Ridley a little this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Danny Amendola, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Amendola will be the main focus of the defense that only allowed two TDs to visiting wideouts this year and rarely more than 50 yards. His last two road games combined for only three catches and 43 yards so leave Amendola on your bench this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Michael Jenkins, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Jenkins is a great downfield blocker and reliable short-game target, but he's turned neither into much in the way of fantasy contributions this year. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Aaron Hernandez, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 7 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Hernandez caught eight passes for 97 yards versus the Fins this year and should end up taking the tight end workload alone again this week. Always a safe start but Fins have only allowed two scores to the position all year. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Stephen Gostkowski, NE |
MIA |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |     |
| At home versus the Fins has to be at least average points at worse. |
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