FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: ARI 13, GB 24 (Line: GB by 10)

Players Updated: Jordy Nelson

Players to Watch: John Skelton, Randall Cobb

The 5-3 Packers are on a three game winning streak and are 3-1 at home. The 4-4 Cardinals are in a free-fall with a three game losing streak with each loss by 10+ points. This could be a trap game but the Cards are 1-2 on the road and looking worse every week. These are truly two ships heading in different directions.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL -----
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL -----
4 MIA 24-21 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL 3-17 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF 16-19 15 DET -----
7 @MIN 14-21 16 CHI -----
8 SF 3-24 17 @SF -----
9 @GB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI @ GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Blaine Gabbert 10 230,1
QB Carson Palmer 290,1
RB Adrian Peterson 70 3-20
WR Larry Fitzgerald 90,1
TE Jermaine Gresham 6-60,1
PK Phil Dawson 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Talk about your water-colored memories. The Cardinals went from 4-0 looking like they figured out how to play defense and still generate enough offense to win games. Then the offense promptly fell apart in week five. The Cardinals have not only lost four in a row, but they're getting worse each week and now have to travel to Green Bay who has reversed the trend of the Cardinals by starting out inexplicably bad and now are just as good as ever.

Kevin Kolb remains out with rib and shoulder injuries while John Skelton struggles to keep the team in the game. His two starts produced over 260 yards each but only scored one touchdown and plenty of those yards came in garbage time. All the same old woes are back here - no rushing game and a passing scheme that goes by the codename LARRY FITZGERALD.

LaRod Stephens-Howling is the return man on special teams but was allowed a chance to play in Minnesota after William Powell lost a fumble. He then ran 20 times for a 104 yards and a score - even better than his previous career best of 22 yards after four years of playing. Against the 49ers, Stephens-Howling returned to earth with a more typical eight runs for six yards. William Powell covered 13 yards on four runs. The duo will continue to work together to secure the #32 ranking as the worst rushing unit in the entirety of the NFL.

Rob Housler continues to quietly gain fantasy relevance with four or even five receptions per week and up to 50 yards. He still has not score nor has any other Arizona tight end.

Larry Fitzgerald was cranking out the touchdowns and the 90+ yardage games until Kolb went down and now two weeks later he's averaged only 40 yards per game with Skelton at the helm. Andre Roberts's been the more productive one for Skelton with seven catches per week and a score in Minnesota.

This is not a good road team anyway and with Skelton as pitcher, the offense takes a noticeable step down that it cannot afford to take. Fitzgerald remains the lone fantasy play on this team now and even he is starting to fade without Kolb back.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 20 32 15 25 30 10
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 17 16 22 11 17 7

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Blaine Gabbert, ARI @HOU 0000023021 *
Update: Gabbert was named the starter for this week with Drew Stanton on the mend, even though the latter is officially listed as questionable. Regardless, Gabbert is not a worthy fantasy play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Adrian Peterson, ARI @HOU 6002100000 ***
Houston has made it a tough row to hoe for running backs in the past five weeks. The position has averaged only 70.5 rushing yards and hasn't scored over the past four games, or 75 carries worth.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @HOU 005701000 *
Fitz is quarterback proof, and the Texans have been anything but receiver proof. The position has gashed them for 228.3 yards and a TD every 7.7 receptions. Houston provides the best matchup, regardless of scoring format.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR J.J. Nelson, ARI @HOU 002201000 *
Despite a wonderful matchup, Nelson is too fringe of a player to consider in anything but a deep DFS contest.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR John Brown, ARI @HOU 003400000 *
There is reason to like Brown as a flier this week. The Texans offer fantasy's best matchup in both scoring formats, and there will be plenty of attention paid to Larry Fitzgerald. Houston has given up the most yards per game and fourth-highest TD efficiency mark in football. Be aware of the suspect quarterback situation, however.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jaron Brown, ARI @HOU 002300000 *
The matchup is the best in both scoring formats, so maybe he could give you something in return. Chancing it isn't advised.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jermaine Gresham, ARI @HOU 003301000 **
Houston has given up three TDs to the position in the last four games, which is more significant because the Texans have allowed one every seven catches. With Blaine Gabbert starting, Gresham could be a flier play.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Phil Dawson, ARI @HOU 1122 ***
All of the 21 kicks against Houston (9 FGs) have split the posts. This is a top-five matchup for Dawson.

Green Bay Packers
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF 22-30 10 BYE -----
2 CHI 23-10 11 @DET -----
3 @SEA 12-14 12 @NYG -----
4 NO 28-27 13 MIN -----
5 @IND 27-30 14 DET -----
6 @HOU 42-24 15 @CHI -----
7 @STL 30-20 16 TEN -----
8 JAC 24-15 17 @MIN -----
9 ARI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 10 280,3
WR Randall Cobb 5-60,1
WR Jordy Nelson 3-30
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Packers are on a nice three game winning streak that is erasing all the bad from starting 2-3 and losing to the Colts. Even with many injuries, the Packers continue to win and need the week 10 bye to further rest up and heal up wounded players. With five of the six divisional matchups yet to be played, the Packers have time to catch the Bears and already have beaten them once. This is a very fortunate year to have such a late bye week.

Aaron Rodgers only passed for 186 yards when the Jaguars showed up last week but scored twice and extended his multiple-TD streak to five weeks. After a slow start for three weeks, Rodgers threw 18 touchdowns over just the last five games. He's lost Greg Jennings since week four and even missed Jordy Nelson last week. But with just the Jags showing up, the Packers mailed it in and still won by nine points.

Alex Green remains the starter while Cedric Benson is out but done little. In his three starts, Green ran 64 times for 154 yards and yet only gained 2.4 yards per carry and never scores. That was three straight games with 20+ carries and yet so little to show for it.

Jermichael Finley chugs along at two catches per week and currently ranks 17th in yardage among NFL tight ends which is made more remarkable knowing that half of the teams don't have any intention on using their tight ends as receivers.

Jordy Nelson was held out last week because of his hamstring and the lack of need for him to play. But he was almost able to play and should be back this week barring a setback or slower than expected healing. He gets a bye in week 11 anyway. Greg Jennings remains out and will be undergoing sports hernia surgery. Even with the reduced passing of last week, Randall Cobb still caught his fourth touchdown in the last four games.

The Cardinals are no pushovers, but their lack of recent success could end up depressing the Packers stats again this week since they only need a win by any margin and then get a much needed bye. The important games lie in week 11 and beyond.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 4 31 1 16 29 19
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 3 11 17 3 10 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Brett Hundley, GB BAL 30100020001 ***
Fresh off of its bye, Baltimore heads to Green Bay with fantasy's second-best defense of QBs in tow. Hundley looked more competent last week, though he remains a good ways off from being a reasonable fantasy play. Baltimore has given up only three TD strikes in the last four games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jamaal Williams, GB BAL 6012200000 **
No Aaron Jones, and likely no Ty Montgomery, means Williams will have the majority of the work will fall squarely on his rookie shoulders. Baltimore returns from a bye week with the eighth-softest rushing yardage defense but the 19th-easiest scoring defense. One in 59 carries, on average, goes into the end zone.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Davante Adams, GB BAL 004600000 ***
This isn't the kind of situation in which a gamer should feel comfortable about a player getting on track. The Week 10 showing was nice and all, but Baltimore is coming off a bye week and has the fourth-toughest defense in fantasy. Only two of the past 39 catches have scored, and that spans four games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Randall Cobb, GB BAL 003500000 ***
Cobb faces a brutal matchup with a defense coming off of a well-timed bye. The Ravens have given up just 9.8 catches for 105 yards and 0.5 TDs per game to wide receivers. It doesn't get much tougher than this.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordy Nelson, GB BAL 003400000 ***
Nelson has fallen off of the fantasy map with Aaron Rodgers' injury, and expecting him to rechart his course this week is an expedition one shouldn't want to venture. Baltimore has given up 39 catches over it's last four games, which ranks as the sixth fewest. Moreover, only two of those balls have found paydirt.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Lance Kendricks, GB BAL 002200000 ***
The Packers utilize the position too inconsistently to consider Kendricks for a lineup spot.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mason Crosby, GB BAL 2222 ***
Baltimore is a midrange opponent for kickers this week. Most of the work has come via three-pointers, so there is at least that going for Crosby. Even if every kick was good, the position would have averaged a modest 8.0 fantasy points.

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

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