FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: ARI 13, GB 24 (Line: GB by 10)

Players Updated: Jordy Nelson

Players to Watch: John Skelton, Randall Cobb

The 5-3 Packers are on a three game winning streak and are 3-1 at home. The 4-4 Cardinals are in a free-fall with a three game losing streak with each loss by 10+ points. This could be a trap game but the Cards are 1-2 on the road and looking worse every week. These are truly two ships heading in different directions.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL -----
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL -----
4 MIA 24-21 13 @NYJ -----
5 @STL 3-17 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF 16-19 15 DET -----
7 @MIN 14-21 16 CHI -----
8 SF 3-24 17 @SF -----
9 @GB ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI @ GB Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 290,1
WR Larry Fitzgerald 90,1
WR Michael Floyd 2-30
TE Rob Housler 2-20

Pregame Notes: Talk about your water-colored memories. The Cardinals went from 4-0 looking like they figured out how to play defense and still generate enough offense to win games. Then the offense promptly fell apart in week five. The Cardinals have not only lost four in a row, but they're getting worse each week and now have to travel to Green Bay who has reversed the trend of the Cardinals by starting out inexplicably bad and now are just as good as ever.

Kevin Kolb remains out with rib and shoulder injuries while John Skelton struggles to keep the team in the game. His two starts produced over 260 yards each but only scored one touchdown and plenty of those yards came in garbage time. All the same old woes are back here - no rushing game and a passing scheme that goes by the codename LARRY FITZGERALD.

LaRod Stephens-Howling is the return man on special teams but was allowed a chance to play in Minnesota after William Powell lost a fumble. He then ran 20 times for a 104 yards and a score - even better than his previous career best of 22 yards after four years of playing. Against the 49ers, Stephens-Howling returned to earth with a more typical eight runs for six yards. William Powell covered 13 yards on four runs. The duo will continue to work together to secure the #32 ranking as the worst rushing unit in the entirety of the NFL.

Rob Housler continues to quietly gain fantasy relevance with four or even five receptions per week and up to 50 yards. He still has not score nor has any other Arizona tight end.

Larry Fitzgerald was cranking out the touchdowns and the 90+ yardage games until Kolb went down and now two weeks later he's averaged only 40 yards per game with Skelton at the helm. Andre Roberts's been the more productive one for Skelton with seven catches per week and a score in Minnesota.

This is not a good road team anyway and with Skelton as pitcher, the offense takes a noticeable step down that it cannot afford to take. Fitzgerald remains the lone fantasy play on this team now and even he is starting to fade without Kolb back.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 20 32 15 25 30 10
Preventing Fantasy Points GB 17 16 22 11 17 7

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Drew Stanton, ARI @SEA 10000022012 ***
Remember how we were talking about the demise of the Seahawks' defense earlier this season? Well, they've held five straight quarterbacks under 20 fantasy points. Stanton isn't such a step up in class over Davis, Newton, Carr, Eli and Smith that he should be expected to snap that trend.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Andre Ellington, ARI @SEA 4005500000 ****
Yes, Jamaal Charles carved up the Seahawks last week and yes, Ellington has drawn comparisons to Charles. Let's just nip that in the bud right now and look for something similar to the 60 rushing yards he posted against Seattle last year and mix in 20-some receiving yards as well.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR John Brown, ARI @SEA 005600000 ***
You beat the Seahawks' secondary by throwing deep at them, and odds are Brown is the target of choice. Not that you should go out of your way to start a receiver against Seattle, but if you do...
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Floyd, ARI @SEA 004500000 ***
Wildly inconsistent, Floyd does fit the model of receivers who have success against Seattle in that he can get deep; in fact, he scored the last time these clubs met. But he's bound to draw plenty of defensive attention, to the point that John Brown may be the better fantasy deep threat this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI @SEA 00000000 *
Fitz has exactly two games of fantasy note against the Seahawks so far this decade. He's banged up, with a back-up quarterback, and hopefully you have a better option this week.
Update: Fitz did not practice all week and is listed as questionable. It's a tough enough road matchup as is; add in the injury and Fitz is a monumental fantasy risk this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE John Carlson, ARI @SEA 003201000 **
The matchup says tight ends are in play against Seattle, but they've shut down Larry Donnell and Travis Kelce the past two weeks so another positive blip from Carlson is hardly a sure thing.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chandler Catanzaro, ARI @SEA 2211 ***
It's been a while since Catanzaro provided double-digit points, and Seattle is certainly not the venue to expect him to right that ship. Wouldn't be a bad week to find another fantasy option.

Green Bay Packers
Homefield: Lambeau Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SF 22-30 10 BYE -----
2 CHI 23-10 11 @DET -----
3 @SEA 12-14 12 @NYG -----
4 NO 28-27 13 MIN -----
5 @IND 27-30 14 DET -----
6 @HOU 42-24 15 @CHI -----
7 @STL 30-20 16 TEN -----
8 JAC 24-15 17 @MIN -----
9 ARI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
GB vs ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Aaron Rodgers 10 280,3
WR Randall Cobb 5-60,1
WR Jordy Nelson 3-30
PK Mason Crosby 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Packers are on a nice three game winning streak that is erasing all the bad from starting 2-3 and losing to the Colts. Even with many injuries, the Packers continue to win and need the week 10 bye to further rest up and heal up wounded players. With five of the six divisional matchups yet to be played, the Packers have time to catch the Bears and already have beaten them once. This is a very fortunate year to have such a late bye week.

Aaron Rodgers only passed for 186 yards when the Jaguars showed up last week but scored twice and extended his multiple-TD streak to five weeks. After a slow start for three weeks, Rodgers threw 18 touchdowns over just the last five games. He's lost Greg Jennings since week four and even missed Jordy Nelson last week. But with just the Jags showing up, the Packers mailed it in and still won by nine points.

Alex Green remains the starter while Cedric Benson is out but done little. In his three starts, Green ran 64 times for 154 yards and yet only gained 2.4 yards per carry and never scores. That was three straight games with 20+ carries and yet so little to show for it.

Jermichael Finley chugs along at two catches per week and currently ranks 17th in yardage among NFL tight ends which is made more remarkable knowing that half of the teams don't have any intention on using their tight ends as receivers.

Jordy Nelson was held out last week because of his hamstring and the lack of need for him to play. But he was almost able to play and should be back this week barring a setback or slower than expected healing. He gets a bye in week 11 anyway. Greg Jennings remains out and will be undergoing sports hernia surgery. Even with the reduced passing of last week, Randall Cobb still caught his fourth touchdown in the last four games.

The Cardinals are no pushovers, but their lack of recent success could end up depressing the Packers stats again this week since they only need a win by any margin and then get a much needed bye. The important games lie in week 11 and beyond.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points GB 4 31 1 16 29 19
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 3 11 17 3 10 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Aaron Rodgers, GB @MIN 0000030030 ***
The only thing stopping Rodgers when these teams met earlier in the year was sportsmanship, as the Packers pulled the plug on A-Rod after just 17 attempts--three of them touchdowns. He's thrown 10 TDs in the past three games and topped 300 yards in all of them, so he's in your fantasy lineup even with the caveat that he may be a short-timer once again.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Eddie Lacy, GB @MIN 7013400000 ***
Lacy has scored and topped 90 yards in each of his three career games against the Vikings; that includes 13-105-2 earlier this season. No reason to think he can't be just as productive again this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordy Nelson, GB @MIN 0061002000 ***
Nelson has scored in every Packers win--and failed to score in every Packers loss. So if you're picking the Packers here you have to believe Nelson will find the end zone this week. He did so on one catch in the earlier meeting, no reason to think he can't do so again.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Randall Cobb, GB @MIN 006801000 ****
Cobb has scored in six of the last seven and topped 120 yards in three of the last four. He scored against Minnesota in the earlier meeting and should have little difficulty getting his in the rematch.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Davante Adams, GB @MIN 002300000 ***
Adams scored in the earlier meeting as the Packers built a big lead and went to the bench. He's more involved now, so he has an even better chance of being a fantasy factor.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Andrew Quarless, GB @MIN 002200000 ***
Quarless is splitting looks with Richard Rodgers, did little against the Vikings in the earlier matchup, and faces a Minnesota defense that's been surprisingly stout against tight ends all season long. It all adds up to being at the bottom of the pecking order for Aaron Rodgers' stats.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Mason Crosby, GB @MIN 2244 ****
Multiple field goals in three straight and four of five, plus a butt-load (technical term) of PATs; you'll be just fine with Crosby this week.

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

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