FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: BUF 17, HOU 30 (Line: HOU by 10)

Players to Watch: Arian Foster vs. #32 Defense against RBs

Players Updated: Ben Tate

The 3-4 Bills arrive with a 2-2 road record but were waxed 3-45 by the 49ers the last time they faced a good defense on the road. The 6-1 Texans are coming off their bye week with likely the softest matchup of the year.

Buffalo Bills
Homefield: Ralph Wilson Stadium
AstroTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYJ 28-48 10 @NE -----
2 KC 35-17 11 MIA -----
3 @CLE 24-14 12 @IND -----
4 NE 28-52 13 JAC -----
5 @SF 3-45 14 STL -----
6 @ARI 19-16 15 SEA -----
7 TEN 34-35 16 @MIA -----
8 BYE ----- 17 NYJ -----
9 @HOU ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB LeSean McCoy 80,1 4-20
PK Stephen Hauschka 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The important thing to remember for this game is that the Bills are no better than the defense is good or bad. Meaning at home against soft defenses like Kansas City or Tennessee, the Bills slap up 34+ points on the score board. On the road versus a great defense and they only managed three points against the 49ers. Playing in Houston is going to be much more like playing in San Francisco than hosting the Titans or Chiefs.

Ryan Fitzpatrick scored 15 touchdowns so far with nine interceptions but his last two road games produced no touchdowns and fewer than 160 pass yards in each. Fitzpatrick is a mirror of the Bills - he is greatly productive against a bad defense but then is mediocre when the opponent sports a decent defense. Notable too is that he has never thrown more than 208 yards in any road game this year.

Scott Chandler is no longer a fantasy factor with no scores or ever more than 40 yards in the last three weeks. He's been decent when at home against soft defenses and really no other time.

The passing offense mainly relies on Stevie Johnson who has four touchdowns on the season but never more than 82 yards in any game and in his last two road trips versus decent defenses he was unable to score. No other wideout here has any reliable fantasy value. Donald Jones shows up only at home against bad defenses.

The offense runs through both backs who have been used as much as receivers lately as they were runners. Both backs have marginal rushing stats in games because they share carries and neither gets more than about a dozen carries in most games. C.J. Spiller is the more productive runner with four rushing scores on the year and 70+ yards in each of the last two games. Jackson has been solid with 50 or so rushing yards and he scored in Arizona as did Spiller. Jackson has been more used as a receiver lately with 13 catches for 79 yards and a score over the last two weeks. Spiller is still good there as well with ten receptions for 54 yards in those two games.

The last time the Bills went on the road to face a good defense they were destroyed in San Francisco. They catch a Texans team fresh off their bye and can only hope for enough garbage time to get in meaningful scores and yardage.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BUF 18 4 22 18 31 14
Preventing Fantasy Points HOU 9 3 15 21 3 5

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Josh Allen, BUF DET 60100020010 ***
Josh "Michael Vick" Allen has rushed for more yards (235) in the last three games than everyone not named Saquon Barkley. Go figure. The rookie passer still has been a turnover machine with four interceptions in the last two games alone, and 245 yards marks his highest passing told of the year. Even against Detroit, Allen belongs in reserve in standard setups. He has two-QB or DFS appeal.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Ivory, BUF DET 4002100000 ***
LeSean McCoy says he still has a chance to play after not practicing Wednesday. He left last week's game with a hamstring injury following two carries. Ivory should see the bulk of the action either way and is a poor lineup choice against Detroit. This matchup is much better for pass-catching types.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeSean McCoy, BUF DET 00000000 *
McCoy left after two carries last week and is highly questionable to play through a hamstring strain.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Isaiah McKenzie, BUF DET 004501000 *
The second-year receiver has played only four games in 2018 and has seen his work ratchet up in the last two games. He has 11 targets and eight grabs, going for 93 yards. A wonderful PPR matchup awaits him, and even if McKenzie doesn't find the end zone as projected, he could muster enough by way of receptions to have DFS or cavernous flex appeal. Talk about a deep flier, though.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Robert Foster, BUF DET 004900000 **
Much like last week's matchup with the Jets, Detroit offers big-play receivers a wealth of upside. The unheralded Foster is an upstart with rookie QB Josh Allen and belongs in the "why not?" column of fantasy gambles. Most owners this far in the playoffs probably won't be in position to take the chance, but he deserves a look if you don't have a clearer way to find flex points. Detroit is the fourth-best matchup of Week 15.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Zay Jones, BUF DET 003500000 ***
Jones has an outside shot at finding the end zone against Detroit's secondary. In the last five weeks, Detroit is one of only three teams to have given up more than 1,000 yards and six TDs to wideouts. Josh Allen has shown some chemistry with Jones, yet gamers will have to be in a tough spot to consider playing the second-year receiver.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Stephen Hauschka, BUF DET 1133 ***
No writeup available

Houston Texans
Homefield: Reliant Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 MIA 30-10 10 @CHI -----
2 @JAC 27-7 11 JAC -----
3 @DEN 31-25 12 @DET -----
4 TEN 38-14 13 @TEN -----
5 @NYJ 23-17 14 @NE -----
6 GB 24-42 15 IND -----
7 BAL 43-13 16 MIN -----
8 BYE ----- 17 @IND -----
9 BUF ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
HOU vs BUF Rush Catch Pass
QB Brandon Weeden 280,1
WR Demaryius Thomas 6-90,1
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Deshaun Watson, HOU @NYJ 30000023020 ***
The Jets have yielded a lot of room on the ground in 2018 and have been moderately capable against quarterbacks. In the past five weeks, this is the top matchup for big plays. Passers have averaged a modest 250.8 yards and 1.5 TDs a game. Watson has been somewhat disappointing in the last six weeks. He has two games of 30-plus points, but the others were 22 or fewer.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Lamar Miller, HOU @NYJ 7012200000 ***
The matchup actually skews negative, but that isn't to say Miller cannot find room to work. This is a the quality opponent for yardage (5th) on the ground and even offers a decent shot at a TD (12th) based on data from the last five weeks. The Jets have been strong against pass-catching backs, which isn't exactly Miller's cup of tea.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alfred Blue, HOU @NYJ 400000000 ***
Even with a touchdown, like we saw last week, Blue's limited returns make him a bench or waiver body in fantasy. He hasn't topped nine PPR points since Week 5 and now could lose work to D'Onta Foreman.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB D'Onta Foreman, HOU @NYJ 200000000 *
He was activated last week but didn't see the Week 14 active lineup on game day and is potentially in the same situation once again. Avoid him in all settings.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeAndre Hopkins, HOU @NYJ 0071101000 ***
Hopkins should ball out for gamers in Week 15 against a Jets defense that has been hammered by the position this year. Despite upgrades to the secondary in the past two offseasons, New York has allowed the third-most points per game in PPR, fueled by submitting to the third-most yardage on weekly clip. WRs have scored once per outing, on average, and this is a stellar matchup for racking up receptions. Enjoy!
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Demaryius Thomas, HOU @NYJ 004500000 ***
Thomas could get in on the action this week. The Jets have been laughable in their defense of the position, especially in PPR. This is the third-best matchup of the week, and no team has yielded more yards to WRs in the last five weeks (208.8/game). This is a safe projection for Thomas, but note he has definite upside in this one.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Keke Coutee, HOU @NYJ 00000000 *
Coutee remains out of action and is inching closer to a return. Check back for an update.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Thomas, HOU @NYJ 002101000 *
The Jets have yielded only 37 catches for 451 yards vs. TEs this year, though five of them have scored, so there's a hint of upside for a cheap TD.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Ka'imi Fairbairn, HOU @NYJ 1133 ***
No writeup available

Pregame Notes: The Texans come off their bye with likely their softest match-up of the year. After this will be four road games over five weeks before winding down the season with double wins over the Colts and against the Vikings. WIth a healthy lead over the rest of the division, at least the Texans will continue to play hard to ensure homefield advantage throughout the playoffs.

Matt Schaub still hasn't thrown a 300 yard game this year and may not with such a dominating rushing effort and a defense that keeps game scores lower. Unfortunately, his production varies greatly from game to game. He is not reliable for more than one passing score and lower 200's in passing yardage. Even less so in a home game against one of the worst rushing defenses in the league.

Arian Foster has been less prolific in yardage and only caught one pass in all but one game. But his rushing tends to produce 80+ yards and more important, he is a scoring machine that never fails to notch a touchdown this season. After seven games played, Foster scored nine rushing touchdowns and one as a receiver. Even when he had his one bad yardage game that totaled only 41 yards against the Packers he still scored twice. Ben Tate actually offered some fantasy value last year but not so for 2012. He has not turned in any real production since week two.

Andre Johnson is still good enough to merit a fantasy start every week but with only two touchdowns and never more than 86 yards since the season opener, he's just an average sort of wideout. Not the league leader of years past. What's worse is two games that produced under 25 yards. And yet that is still better than any other wideout for the Texans. Kevin Walter hangs on to the flanker spot but has no consistency or reliability.

Surprisingly, Owen Daniels has moved up to being the primary receiver for the Texans. He is the leading scorer with four receiving touchdowns and offers consistency in yardage with 50 to 70 yards in most games. Johnson still receives more targets, Daniels just catches almost all of his and scores more.

This could be fun. The best rushing offense at home facing the worst defense. You can only dream of these sort of match-ups.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points HOU 24 1 29 3 5 2
Preventing Fantasy Points BUF 30 32 27 15 19 22

INSERT

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t