FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: CAR 20, WAS 24 (Line: WAS by 3)

Players Updated: Brandon LaFell

Players to Watch: Jonathan Stewart, Cam Newton, Robert Griffin III

At least someone gets to be happy after this game. The 1-6 Panthers are on a five game losing streak, are 0-3 on the road and yet their last four losses were by never more than four five points. A bit frustrating. The 3-5 Redskins are on a two game losing streak themselves and are only 1-2 at home. How great is this game? It's like Cam Newton Sr. vs. Cam Newton Jr.. The Panthers have played it close lately because opponents are not taking them as seriously because they know they can win the game. And they did. Four times in a row.

The Panthers won 33-20 when the Skins visited in 2011.

Carolina Panthers
Homefield: Bank of America Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @TB 10-16 10 DEN -----
2 NO 35-27 11 TB -----
3 NYG 7-36 12 @PHI -----
4 @ATL 28-30 13 @KC -----
5 SEA 12-16 14 ATL -----
6 BYE ----- 15 @SD -----
7 DAL 14-19 16 OAK -----
8 @CHI 22-23 17 @NO -----
9 @WAS ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CAR @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Cam Newton 50 260,2
WR Torrey Smith 4-60,1
TE Greg Olsen 5-40,1

Pregame Notes: Cam Newton is the reigning Offensive Rookie of the Year but he's not getting the same level of respect that he did at the start of the season. The losing streak usually points back at him and he's not dealing with it as well as the media believes he should. In 2011, he was a tremendous draft pick and a game changer. By now, he's another mediocre quarterback who cannot mount any comeback and maybe does take off on a run too early at times.

Newton's thrown only five touchdowns this year and just one over the last three games. He was scoring as a runner but that too has stopped in the last three weeks. He just passed for 314 yards in Chicago but never scored and threw two interceptions. He currently at eight interceptions on the season. To his benefit, he will be facing one of the absolute worse secondaries in the NFL this week so this will be his softest matchup of the season as a passer.

The shift to Jonathan Stewart as the starting running back hasn't looked any different so far with only 42 yards on 17 runs while DeAngelo Williams still ran 11 times for 33 yards and even Michael Tolbert still plays a minor role. Halfway through the season and Stewart still has not rushed for more than 51 yards in any game or scored a rushing touchdown. There were plenty of rumors that Williams would be traded before the Tuesday deadline but it did not happen. One of the reasons that the GM was recently fired was because he gave Williams a $43 million contract.

The success passing - even if it was in a trap game of sorts - let Steve Smith gain 118 yards in Chicago for his first effort over the century mark since week two. Smith still has yet to score a touchdown. Brandon LaFell also produced a surprising 88 yards last week but as always no other receivers mattered, not even Greg Olsen who spent the last three games with fewer than 40 yards in each week.

The good news is that the Skins secondary is nothing short of terrible. They have already allowed 18 rushing touchdowns and every opponent passed for 299+ yards until the Steelers last week. The one strength that their defense has is rush defense, particularly at home.

Problem too is that the Skins are not nearly good enough to take anyone lightly.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CAR 12 29 26 22 32 7
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 12 31 31 22 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Cam Newton, CAR @PIT 40000026021 ***
This one could be a battle of offenses. The Panthers have to travel to face a Steelers defense that ranks eighth at limiting yardage and fourth-best against touchdown efficiency, making this one of the hardest opponents to exploit. Newton belongs in lineups but with tempered expectations. As always, his legs can separate him from tough opponents.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Christian McCaffrey, CAR @PIT 3007401000 ***
This is the best defense of running backs using data since Week 3. The only real bright spot is the Steelers have permitted three rushing TDs over the last 62 carries, which checks in as the seventh-softest rate. The rest of the situation is not pretty, with this being the second-worst opponent for finding room in the passing game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Devin Funchess, CAR @PIT 006800000 ***
Pittsburgh has given up the fifth-most catches per game since Week 4 and a touchdown, on average, to the position. The yardage against is the ninth-lowest figure, and this one is in the Steel City on a short week. Funchess is a member of the flex community this time out.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DJ Moore, CAR @PIT 3003400000 ***
Moore continues his scoreless drought since Week 2 but has found other ways to be complementary to a fantasy lineup. Outside of last week's woeful showing, he had managed at least 10.7 PPR points in three of the previous four games. The matchup is unevenly appealing vs. the Steelers, so it could come down to how the Panthers choose to attack. Moore has deep-league flier value that could accelerate if this matchup becomes a shootout.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Curtis Samuel, CAR @PIT 2003300000 ***
The second-year weapon has contributed in several ways and is a feasible flex choice, especially if Torrey Smith remains out of commission. The Panthers have found creative ways to get Samuel the ball and in the red zone. This project could prove to be conservative if these teams get into an offensive battle.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Greg Olsen, CAR @PIT 003301000 ***
Tight ends have done a good job of racking up yardage and receptions in the last five weeks vs. the Steelers, but the defense has held its own at limiting the position from scoring. Over the course of 2018, only two TEs have gone for fewer than 10.1 points in PPR, and even unheralded tight ends have found success.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Graham Gano, CAR @PIT 3322 ***
No writeup available

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI -----
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL -----
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Adrian Peterson 70 3-20
WR Michael Floyd 2-30

Pregame Notes: The media has been fawning over Robert Griffin III just as they did Cam Newton last year though the prevailing wisdom is that Griffin is a better passer. The Skins need a win here since they have a bye the following week and at 4-5 they can still pretend to have a shot at the playoffs. Griffin gets to prove himself and likely win the Offensive Rookie of the Year when he faces five of his six divisional match-ups over the final seven games.

Griffin scores in every game he finishes but over the last five weeks only passed for four touchdowns. His rushing touchdowns spiked in week six when he ran in two against the visiting Vikings but last week only ran six times. This week the Panthers show up and they have never failed to allow at least one passing score to every opponent and healthy yardage to those who want to throw more than 30 passes. Better yet, Griffin is the first time they will face a running quarterback.

Alfred Morris comes off his worst game of the year when he was limited to 59 yards in Pittsburgh but that was on just 13 carries and Morris has always either scored or rushed a 100 yard game when at home. The Panthers defense is nothing special particularly on the road and Morris may get a slight bump this week facing a weaker defense while at home.

Chris Cooley already suited up and played but was thrown only one pass which was incomplete. Logan Paulsen was the most productive tight end with four receptions for 43 yards but that's still not fantasy relevant and no Redskins tight end has scored any touchdown this entire year. Paulsen is the best bet but only for marginal yardage.

None of the wideouts have any fantasy reliability here though Santana Moss scored three times over the last two weeks. But he did that only only seven total catches for 88 yards so yardage is not a part and relying on a touchdown from a lesser used receiver rarely pays off. Josh Morgan and Leonard Hankerson hang around for a few catches each week but rarely anything of note. Moss is the leading scorer with five touchdowns on the season though he averages only 39 yards per game. Pierre Garcon remains out at least until week ten after the bye.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 2 20 17 20 14 4
Preventing Fantasy Points CAR 10 23 6 17 32 21

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Alex Smith, WAS @TB 20000023020 ***
Yikes. No Paul Richardson. Probably no Jamison Crowder or Chris Thompson. No Trent Williams, Shawn Lauvao and Brandon Scherff. Morgan Moses should return after exiting early last week. Smith has a tough time projecting as anything better than a bench candidate despite a phenomenal matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Adrian Peterson, WAS @TB 5004201000 **
The matchup is about as good as it gets, especially for rushing touchdowns, but Peterson will need to get the job done with a decimated offensive line and a one-dimensional offense. Will he seen enough touches to matter if Washington's secondary cannot contain all that is Fitzmagic.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Maurice Harris, WAS @TB 004501000 ***
Fantasy gamers gained another weapon (sort of) when Harris posted a 10-124-0 line in Week 9. The major injuries at receiver, as well as along the offensive line, makes Harris a somewhat risky option. He'll see extra attention and may not have enough time for routes to develop. Play him with caution. The matchup couldn't be much more enticing.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Josh Doctson, WAS @TB 004500000 ***
Doctson faces a great matchup to make it two weeks in a row, and the loss of Paul Richardson and possibly Jamison Crowder makes him an understandable flier in deeper setups. Tampa Bay has yielded five TDs in the last four games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS @TB 005400000 ***
Reed's scoreless streak since Week 1 continues entering this contest. He has 18 targets in the past two games, landing 11 for just 72 yards. He offers something of a moderately high floor in PPR but comes with a ceiling low enough for a toddler to smack their head on. Tampa is at least among the most favorable opponents for TEs, and the loss of Paul Richardson should help.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS @TB 2222 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

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