FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: CHI 27, TEN 13 (Line: CHI by 3.5)

Players to Watch: Chris Johnson

The 6-1 Bears maintain a two game lead over the NFC North and are on a five game winning streak. The 3-5 Titans are just 2-2 at home and come off a loss to the visiting Colts last week.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU -----
2 @GB 10-23 11 @SF -----
3 STL 23-6 12 MIN -----
4 @DAL 34-18 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC 41-3 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET 13-7 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR 23-22 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The Bears were blessed with a fairly light schedule to open the season and this game is just another that they should be able to win. But starting in week 10 it all gets much tougher with the Texans and Seahawks coming to town and a road trip to San Francisco in addition to four more divisional matchups. The division title may well end up decided in week 15 when the Packers come to town after handing the Bears their only loss so far this year.

Jay Cutler's been good enough to score in all but one game so far but never more than twice and on the season he stands at just nine touchdowns against eight interceptions. He was banged around in the Panthers game last week and that porous Chicago line has given up 11 sacks over just the last two games - both at home no less. The offense is getting pretty predictable when it passes though almost no one has slowed down the connection between Cutler and Marshall.

Marshall averages seven catches per game and he's done better than that in recent weeks. Marshall topped 100 yards in three games already and has not been under 80 yards per game since week three. Problem is that he gets almost no help from his fellow wideouts who collectively share only two scores all year. Alshon Jeffrey is hoping to return in week ten but even he was of marginal production prior to hurting his hand. The tight ends are of no help either though Kellen Davis scored last week on his only catch in the game.

The Bears offense runs through Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte. Michael Bush began the year as a factor of sorts with three scores in the first three weeks and nearly splitting carries with Forte but has since declined until bottoming out last week with just three runs for five yards. Forte gets the goal line work now as well and finally scored against the Panthers for the first time since the season opener. Forte's been solid with 90+ total yards in the last three weeks and is in full health again.

This week should see both Forte running well and plenty of chances for Marshall to increase his weekly averages for catches and yardage. The Titans defense remains one of the worst in the league and ranked at #32 against tight ends makes Davis a chance for another score. Though again - it would be his only catch in the game. The Bears are #2 against running backs. That should be plenty good enough to control this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 25 13 12 31 10 1
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 28 30 18 32 28 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mitchell Trubisky, CHI @MIA 30100026012 ***
Trubisky three six TD passes in his Week 4 game before the bye. He had two in his prior three games, both coming in Week 2. He's a no better lineup option than for superflex or two-QB formats against a Miami defense that has allowed 284.2 yards (13th most) but only the fifth-fewest fantasy points per contest.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jordan Howard, CHI @MIA 5012200000 ***
The matchup for Howard is ideal. This is the sixth-best opponent for offensive yardage gained (7th in rushing and receiving individually). Howard returns from his bye week and should be more involved after a questionable workload leading up to the week off. RBs have scored once in every 23.4 touches, ranking as the ninth-easiest defense against which to score.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Tarik Cohen, CHI @MIA 3004300000 ***
Miami has allowed four rushing and three receiving touchdowns in the first five games, providing the seventh-most rushing yards along the way. Cohen's best utility is in PPR as a flex gamble. This matchup ranks sixth in receptions, seventh in aerial yardage and seventh in ease of receiving TDs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taylor Gabriel, CHI @MIA 005601000 ***
Miami has given up a fair amount of yardage (171.6/game) but has been strong otherwise vs. the position. Gabriel has 27 targets in his last three games and no fewer than four catches. He enjoyed a 30.4-point game in PPR in the Week 4 game before Chicago went on its bye. A lack of yardage has depressed his fantasy stock, but as long as he is involved, cautiously utilize him as a low-end WR3 or decent flex.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Allen Robinson II, CHI @MIA 003500000 ***
He scored his first touchdown as a Bear before the Week 5 bye but hasn't topped seven targets in all but one game. The veteran is still rounding into form after missing practically all of 2017 with an ACL tear. Fresh off that week-long vacation, Robinson has moderate appeal and a tough matchup. Only three times a receiver has scored against the Dolphins in five games this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Anthony Miller, CHI @MIA 003400000 *
The rookie is close to returning from a dislocated shoulder and could play this week. Check back for an update. The matchup is poor, though, suggesting he's best left in reserve if he indeed plays.

Update: Miller has been removed from the injury report.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Trey Burton, CHI @MIA 003300000 ***
Returning from the bye week, Burton is on a three-game roll. Miami, however, has been awfully strong vs. tight ends in 2018. Despite giving up 53.8 yards per game (13th most), none of the 22 catches have made it into the end zone (9th-lowest frequency), making this the eighth-hardest matchup to exploit. That includes matchups with Gronk, Delanie Walker and Jared Cook, all of whom were held to fewer than 53 yards.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, CHI @MIA 2222 ***
No writeup available

Tennessee Titans
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NE 13-34 10 @MIA -----
2 @SD 10-38 11 BYE -----
3 DET 44-41 12 @JAC -----
4 @HOU 14-38 13 HOU -----
5 @MIN 7-30 14 @IND -----
6 PIT 26-23 15 NYJ -----
7 @BUF 35-34 16 @GB -----
8 IND 13-19 17 JAC -----
9 CHI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
TEN vs CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Blaine Gabbert 10 230,1

Pregame Notes: The Titans have three wins but each time it seems like a trap game that goes well for them. The passing effort remains in neutral with game manager Matt Hasselbeck under center but the rushing effort via Chris Johnson appears to have taken a permanent turn for the better. That still doesn't make the Titans a competitive team yet. What is most germane this week is that the three wins all featured 26 points or more scored. When they lose, they have not scored more than 14 points in any game and that's with ample garbage time. Since no team scored more than 23 points on the Bears this year, the Titans are not looking at a good situation this week.

Hasselbeck will take the start again this week since Jake Locker remains out with a fracture in his left non-throwing shoulder. HC Mike Munchak insists that Locker remains the starter when healthy but that is looking more like week 12 at the earliest. Hasselbeck threw only one touchdown in every start this year and with the recent success of the rushing offense, he's been mostly a game manager only throwing 30 or 40 passes at most.

After a year and a half of Chris-Johnson-Lite, his jump in production is hard to completely buy into. After running for 141 yards in Houston (who let him burn up the clock for them), he only gained 24 yards on 15 runs in Minnesota where Doug Martin went nuts just last week. But Johnson's totaled over 100 yards against the Steelers, Bills and Colts. In Buffalo, he not only ran for 195 yards, he scored two touchdowns. His only touchdowns in fact. It is undeniably encouraging to see him deliver against good defenses like the Texans and Steelers and then post even bigger stats against weaker teams like the Colts and Bills. This week is a major challenge with the Bears sporting the #2 defense against the position and not allowing any running back scores since the season opener. No running back has rushed for more than 81 yards on them. Johnson can prove definitively that he is back with at least a decent performance this week.

Kenny Britt insists he will play this week despite needing a precautionary MRI Monday because of soreness in his surgically-repaired knee. But he's only scored once all year and three of the four games since he returned have produced fewer than 35 yards. Nate Washington is the most consistent receiver but in Tennessee that doesn't mean much. When Britt, Washington or Kendall Wright end up with more than 60 yards in a game, it means it went really well.

If the Titans can only post 13 points on the Colts last week, chances are they not scoring a lot against the Bears. The only interesting aspect this week is to see what Chris Johnson does against a very good rushing defense.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 21 28 20 8 23 20
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 6 2 12 18 7 25

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Marcus Mariota, TEN BAL 30000023021 ***
Baltimore has been the second-stoutest defense against the position and has permitted only six touchdown passes in five games. Mariota is a huge risk in any format and is best left in reserve.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Dion Lewis, TEN BAL 2006401000 **
There is not much incentive to play Lewis, and the projection is optimistic. Baltimore has not allowed a receiving TD on the 18 catches granted, and this is the worst matchup for aerial yardage by the position. Life isn't much rosier on the ground, either.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Derrick Henry, TEN BAL 500000000 ***
A terrible matchup for a running back stuck in neutral is a recipe for fantasy failure.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tajae Sharpe, TEN BAL 002301000 **
Share is merely a shot in the dark for fantasy purposes, and it would take an amazingly dire situation before one should feel compelled to start him. Look for safer and smarter paths to points.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Taywan Taylor, TEN BAL 004600000 ***
Taylor has been targeted at least five times in the last three games, with only Week 4's 7-77-0 line topping seven PPR points. The Ravens provide a midrange matchup and have allowed six touchdowns in the last five games to the position. Consider him at low-tier coin flip.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Corey Davis, TEN BAL 004500000 ***
The Ravens offer a negative-leaning matchup that ranks near the middle of the league in receptions per game and fantasy points allowed, but this is the sixth-worst matchup for creating yardage. Wideouts have scored once every 10.5 catches, offering a little upside for bail-out points.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Ryan Succop, TEN BAL 2222 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t