FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: CHI 27, TEN 13 (Line: CHI by 3.5)

Players to Watch: Chris Johnson

The 6-1 Bears maintain a two game lead over the NFC North and are on a five game winning streak. The 3-5 Titans are just 2-2 at home and come off a loss to the visiting Colts last week.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU -----
2 @GB 10-23 11 @SF -----
3 STL 23-6 12 MIN -----
4 @DAL 34-18 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC 41-3 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET 13-7 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR 23-22 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI @ TEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 10 260,2
RB Matt Forte 90,1 6-40
WR Brandon Marshall 6-100,1
WR Josh Morgan 2-20
TE Martellus Bennett 4-40,1
PK Robbie Gould 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bears were blessed with a fairly light schedule to open the season and this game is just another that they should be able to win. But starting in week 10 it all gets much tougher with the Texans and Seahawks coming to town and a road trip to San Francisco in addition to four more divisional matchups. The division title may well end up decided in week 15 when the Packers come to town after handing the Bears their only loss so far this year.

Jay Cutler's been good enough to score in all but one game so far but never more than twice and on the season he stands at just nine touchdowns against eight interceptions. He was banged around in the Panthers game last week and that porous Chicago line has given up 11 sacks over just the last two games - both at home no less. The offense is getting pretty predictable when it passes though almost no one has slowed down the connection between Cutler and Marshall.

Marshall averages seven catches per game and he's done better than that in recent weeks. Marshall topped 100 yards in three games already and has not been under 80 yards per game since week three. Problem is that he gets almost no help from his fellow wideouts who collectively share only two scores all year. Alshon Jeffrey is hoping to return in week ten but even he was of marginal production prior to hurting his hand. The tight ends are of no help either though Kellen Davis scored last week on his only catch in the game.

The Bears offense runs through Brandon Marshall and Matt Forte. Michael Bush began the year as a factor of sorts with three scores in the first three weeks and nearly splitting carries with Forte but has since declined until bottoming out last week with just three runs for five yards. Forte gets the goal line work now as well and finally scored against the Panthers for the first time since the season opener. Forte's been solid with 90+ total yards in the last three weeks and is in full health again.

This week should see both Forte running well and plenty of chances for Marshall to increase his weekly averages for catches and yardage. The Titans defense remains one of the worst in the league and ranked at #32 against tight ends makes Davis a chance for another score. Though again - it would be his only catch in the game. The Bears are #2 against running backs. That should be plenty good enough to control this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 25 13 12 31 10 1
Preventing Fantasy Points TEN 28 30 18 32 28 24

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Jay Cutler, CHI MIA 0000027031 ***
Cutler compensated for his first non-multiple TD outing of the year with a season-high 381 passing yards. He may not be Aaron Rodgers, but he's certainly capable of putting up something similar to the 264 and three the Dolphins gave up to Rodgers last week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Matt Forte, CHI MIA 7006401000 ***
He's ba-ack! Triple-digit combo yardage in three straight, touchdowns in two straight... yep, no reason to fear Forte; his status as an every-week fantasy starter remains intact.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, CHI MIA 006901000 ***
Over the past two games five different wideouts have scored and/or topped 75 yards against the Dolphins; no reason the Bears' dynamic duo can't post their usual fantasy helpers.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Brandon Marshall, CHI MIA 006801000 ****
Marshall looked healthy last week in posting 113 yards; if you'd bumped him behind Alshon Jeffery due to his ankle issues, go ahead and re-elevate him to 1A status. And a matchup with a Miami defense that's allowed five different wideouts to score or top 75 yards in the past two games should allow both to go off... again.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Martellus Bennett, CHI MIA 004400000 ***
With both wideouts healthy Bennett is a little less likely to blow up. That said, against a Miami defense that's allowed TE TDs in four of five games this year he's a solid bet to help your fantasy bottom line.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Robbie Gould, CHI MIA 2233 ****
Gould has yet to produced a double-digit point game, and yet he's averaging almost seven points per contest. Consistently okay, I guess.

Tennessee Titans
Homefield: LP Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 NE 13-34 10 @MIA -----
2 @SD 10-38 11 BYE -----
3 DET 44-41 12 @JAC -----
4 @HOU 14-38 13 HOU -----
5 @MIN 7-30 14 @IND -----
6 PIT 26-23 15 NYJ -----
7 @BUF 35-34 16 @GB -----
8 IND 13-19 17 JAC -----
9 CHI ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Nate Washington 4-60,1
WR Kendall Wright 3-40

Pregame Notes: The Titans have three wins but each time it seems like a trap game that goes well for them. The passing effort remains in neutral with game manager Matt Hasselbeck under center but the rushing effort via Chris Johnson appears to have taken a permanent turn for the better. That still doesn't make the Titans a competitive team yet. What is most germane this week is that the three wins all featured 26 points or more scored. When they lose, they have not scored more than 14 points in any game and that's with ample garbage time. Since no team scored more than 23 points on the Bears this year, the Titans are not looking at a good situation this week.

Hasselbeck will take the start again this week since Jake Locker remains out with a fracture in his left non-throwing shoulder. HC Mike Munchak insists that Locker remains the starter when healthy but that is looking more like week 12 at the earliest. Hasselbeck threw only one touchdown in every start this year and with the recent success of the rushing offense, he's been mostly a game manager only throwing 30 or 40 passes at most.

After a year and a half of Chris-Johnson-Lite, his jump in production is hard to completely buy into. After running for 141 yards in Houston (who let him burn up the clock for them), he only gained 24 yards on 15 runs in Minnesota where Doug Martin went nuts just last week. But Johnson's totaled over 100 yards against the Steelers, Bills and Colts. In Buffalo, he not only ran for 195 yards, he scored two touchdowns. His only touchdowns in fact. It is undeniably encouraging to see him deliver against good defenses like the Texans and Steelers and then post even bigger stats against weaker teams like the Colts and Bills. This week is a major challenge with the Bears sporting the #2 defense against the position and not allowing any running back scores since the season opener. No running back has rushed for more than 81 yards on them. Johnson can prove definitively that he is back with at least a decent performance this week.

Kenny Britt insists he will play this week despite needing a precautionary MRI Monday because of soreness in his surgically-repaired knee. But he's only scored once all year and three of the four games since he returned have produced fewer than 35 yards. Nate Washington is the most consistent receiver but in Tennessee that doesn't mean much. When Britt, Washington or Kendall Wright end up with more than 60 yards in a game, it means it went really well.

If the Titans can only post 13 points on the Colts last week, chances are they not scoring a lot against the Bears. The only interesting aspect this week is to see what Chris Johnson does against a very good rushing defense.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TEN 21 28 20 8 23 20
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 6 2 12 18 7 25

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Charlie Whitehurst, TEN @WAS 0000021021 ***
Update: Whitehurst took most of the first-team reps in practice this week, and with Jake Locker questionable it looks like another start for Charlie. It's a favorable matchup with a Redskins defense that's allowed multiple touchdown passes in four straight, so if you're scrambling for QB help this week you may have found your guy.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Jake Locker, TEN @WAS 00000000 *
Nice timing for Locker to send Charlie Whitehurst back to clipboard duty, as the Redskins have allowed multiple touchdown passes in four straight. Might be aggressive to ask that of Locker first game back, though that's what Carson Palmer did last week.
Update: Locker is listed as questionable and practiced on a limited basis all week. He'll probably be a game time decision, and a betting man would take Charlie Whitehurst to start this wee.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Bishop Sankey, TEN @WAS 7002200000 **
More was expected of Sankey in last week's favorable matchup. Now, with Shonn Greene potentially returning to swipe touches at three yards per, Sankey returns to tease duty. Doesn't help that this is far from a favorable matchup, against a Washington D that's allowed just two RB TDs on the year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Shonn Greene, TEN @WAS 00000000 *
Green is barely startable in favorable matchups, and this certainly isn't one. Plus, it's only a matter of time until Ken Whisenhunt realizes what everyone else on the planet sees: he's just not that good.
Update: Greene is listed as doubtful for this tilt due to a hamstring injury, so the Whisenator will just have to find other guys to torment Bishop Sankey's fantasy owners with. Jackie Battle, anyone?
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Justin Hunter, TEN @WAS 003401000 **
Yes, Hunter's hit or miss. But those hit odds are better this week against a secondary that's allowed 10 different receivers to score and/or top 75 yards this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kendall Wright, TEN @WAS 005500000 ****
Wright's a volume receiver, so his getting one target against the Jaguars last week is disconcerting to say the least. Until his volume is restored he can't be banked on for meaningful fantasy contributions.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Delanie Walker, TEN @WAS 005601000 ****
Walker may be the Titans' most reliable pass-catcher, and while he hasn't been a major fantasy factor the past couple of weeks he gets a bump against a Washington defense that's only a couple weeks removed from giving up four TE TDs in one game.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Ryan Succop, TEN @WAS 1122 ***
Succop has exceded five points exactly twice this season; play the odds and get your kicks elsewhere.

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t