FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @Dorey_TheHuddle
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

Prediction: DET 27, JAC 20 (Line: DET by 3.5)

Players Updated: Calvin Johnson

Players to Watch: Mikel Leshoure, Calvin Johnson, Cecil Shorts

The 3-4 Lions come off their best win of the year and head to Jacksonville where the 1-6 Jaguars are on a four game losing streak and dealing with the loss of their franchise star running back.

Detroit Lions
Homefield: Ford Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 STL 27-23 10 @MIN -----
2 @SF 19-27 11 GB -----
3 @TEN 41-44 12 HOU -----
4 MIN 13-20 13 IND -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @GB -----
6 @PHI 26-23 15 @ARI -----
7 @CHI 7-13 16 ATL -----
8 SEA 28-24 17 CHI -----
9 @JAC ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Stats | Roster
DET @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Matthew Stafford 10 300,2
WR Anquan Boldin 4-50
WR Andre Roberts 5-60
WR Golden Tate 5-70
TE Brandon Pettigrew 5-50
PK Matt Prater 1 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: Maybe it was just one of those unexplainable games but the Lions took down the Seahawks last week while Matthew Stafford had his best game of the year against one of the toughest defenses he will face. It was the first time this season that the Lions were able to rekindle some the magic of 2011. The rest of the schedule will prove fairly brutal after this week so keeping the fires burning for one more game should happen thanks to going to Jacksonville where Maurice Jones-Drew stands on the sidelines.

Stafford passed for 352 yards and three scores on the Seahawks - he even rushed in a touchdown. But he hadn't thrown more than one score in any game this year. His yardage tends to remain high against below average defenses but even then, he only throws one score. On the season, Stafford stands at eight touchdowns against seven interceptions. Apparently losing Nate Burleson was the key.

it isn't that Mikel Leshoure is a bad runner. He has averaged 4.8 yards per carry over the last three games that included trips to Philly and Chicago and then home against the Seahawks. But Leshoure is never given more than 15 carries other than in Tennessee when he gained 100 yards and scored his only touchdown. Joique Bell takes a handful of meaningless carries each week but Leshoure runs surprisingly hard and well through three very good defenses and yet doesn't get more than 15 carries.

Brandon Pettigrew remains sold with catches and yardage but has just the one score back in week two. He caught a season high seven passes last week for 74 yards. Like much of the team, he is productive in some measure but doesn't produce the points.

Calvin Johnson still only caught one touchdown though he started the season with 90+ yards in four of the first five games. These last two weeks against solid secondaries devoted to stopping him crashed his fantasy value with just 34 yards in Chicago and then 46 yards versus the Seahawks. the only encouraging part of this was that Titan Young replaced Nate Burleson and recorded a career best 100 yards and two scores on nine receptions. Ryan Broyles played in his second game and scored for the second time. This is exactly what the team needs. If defenses are going to devote too much to stopping Megatron, then the others have to make them pay. This week will be interesting to see how bounced back Johnson is.

The Jaguars play better at home but still feature less than average defense in all categories besides tight ends. This should be the place that Leshoure gets to score and Johnson gets to play.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DET 5 18 8 11 7 25
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 18 29 19 2 27 20

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Matthew Stafford, DET @CHI 20000028020 ***
The matchup isn't ideal -- Chicago has given up just four touchdown passes -- but volume passing alone makes Stafford a playable option each week. This could begin the unraveling for Chicago's fantasy pass defense. Cornerback Kyle Fuller is now on IR. Stafford destroyed the Bears in 2015 (703 yards, 7 TD, 1 INT in two games).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Dwayne Washington, DET @CHI 7011100000 **
Washington has the size and speed to do damage, but patience and vision can be questionable attributes at times. He'll see the majority of the ground work for Detroit against Chicago's 12th weakest defense of fake backs. Take a chance on him as a weak RB2 or safer flex.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Theo Riddick, DET @CHI 2005300000 ***
PPR only ... Riddick is lousy at that whole "running" part of being a running back. He's a wide receiver in disguise. This week, Chicago presents a troubling matchup for his mold. RBs have caught only 11 balls for 49 yards through three games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marvin Jones Jr., DET @CHI 0061001000 ***
Jones has been outright dominant this season. Fantasy owners have a prized weapon to keep in their lineups of all fashions. Chicago ranks 21st against fantasy receivers, but from the "not good for Jones" end. Chicago lost its top corner, which can't hurt Jones' cause. Temper your expectations after last week's blow-up performance.

Update: Jones tweaked his hamstring in Thursday's practice but is listed as a full participant Friday and enters the game "questionable." He's likely to play and should remain in fantasy lineups.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Anquan Boldin, DET @CHI 004301000 ***
The matchup suggests Boldin should be sat down, but Chicago lost its best defensive back and may have a tired defense if Detroit can play up to its offensive potential. Flex the veteran to cover a bye.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Golden Tate, DET @CHI 005500000 ***
Tate needs a big game, but the matchup is less than ideal. He posted 23 PPR points over two games vs. the Bears in 2015. It's clearly a different year. Tate is a fringe lineup play but an understandable one.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Eric Ebron, DET @CHI 005500000 ***
The matchup is not ideal, although there is hope. The Bears have permitted only one touchdown on 13 grabs, which puts them on the lower end of a midrange matchup. Ebron is a top-10 fantasy tight end at this point.

Update: Ebron continues to play through questionable listings, as he is this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Matt Prater, DET @CHI 1133 ***
Five teams have been bigger pushovers against kickers than the Bears, a group that has allowed 9.7 fantasy points per game.

Jacksonville Jaguars
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @MIN 23-26 ot 10 IND -----
2 HOU 7-27 11 @HOU -----
3 @IND 22-17 12 TEN -----
4 CIN 10-27 13 @BUF -----
5 CHI 3-41 14 NYJ -----
6 BYE ----- 15 @MIA -----
7 @OAK 23-26 16 NE -----
8 @GB 15-24 17 @TEN -----
9 DET ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
TE Marcedes Lewis 4-40,1

Pregame Notes: What makes the Jaguars season just a little worse is that not only have they only one once, but that they have a fairly easy schedule in front of them and yet no way to take advantage. This is further worsened by the injury to Maurice Jones-Drew because it shows why he held out last summer and why he's likely to be on another team next year. When Jones-Drew returns, exactly how motivated will he be to further risk his health for a team that may be the worst in the NFL? Yeah, bet he tries really hard... to remain healthy.

Blaine Gabbert threw for an unholy 303 yards in Green Bay where the Packers were all but wearing mailman outfits and yet he still just had his traditional one touchdown. Gabbert still commands the #32 spot in rankings. He doesn't have many turnovers with three interceptions and two lost fumbles. He doesn't have much of anything other than losses.

Rashad Jennings paid off his fantasy owners who emptied their wallet at the waiver wire. He rushed for 59 yards and added six catches for 56 yards. That's 115 total yards in Green Bay and 102 total yards and a score in Oakland. Credible to be sure and even better in reception point leagues. The Jags have already ruled out Jones-Drew for this week and since he is not practicing and spent last week on crutches, he may not be back next week either.

The only interesting developments are with the wideouts. Mike Thomas was sent to the Lions in a trade which weakens the #30 set of wide receivers just that much more. Plus Cecil Shorts has emerged these last two weeks to post fantasy relevant stats. After scoring in Oakland on his four catches for 79 yards, he had a career best eight receptions for 116 yards in Green Bay. This week should give an indication if that was just something the defenses allowed not caring or if he is actually developing something with Gabbert who desperately needs someone to help him out. Justin Blackmon had a career best 67 yards on four catches in Green Bay as well but hasn't scored so far in the NFL

Playing at home helps, but this offense has been punchless when the opponents really care. This game would have been far easier to win with Jones-Drew playing.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 25 30 32 25 31
Preventing Fantasy Points DET 11 6 11 25 26 30

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Blake Bortles, JAC IND 10000032020 ***
Despite all of its injury problems on defense to begin the year, Indy's defense of quarterbacks has been respectable -- bend (936 yards) but not break (3 TDs). Bortles racked up five total touchdowns and no interceptions (two fumbles lost) versus this group last season.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Ivory, JAC IND 3011100000 **
Ivory's status for Week 4 is unknown after suffering foot and ankle injuries last week. Check back Friday for an update on his status. The presumption is that he will play, but limitations may exist. Consider him a wildcard in non-PPR leagues against this mushy run D.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB T.J. Yeldon, JAC IND 3005300000 ***
Indy has yielded six touchdowns (two receiving) to RBs this year, helping pave the way for the second worst fantasy RB defense. Yeldon, on his own merits, is barely playable. The matchup offers a glimmer of hope.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Allen Hurns, JAC IND 006801000 ***
Indy's defense somehow weathered the storm of having so many defensive backfield injuries and hasn't permitted a WR touchdown this season. Hurns, though, remains a fine PPR play given their high volume of receptions allowed (42).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Allen Robinson, JAC IND 006801000 ***
Don't bench your studs, as Robinson proved last week after a slow start to the year. Indy has not allowed a WR touchdown yet but has given up 42 receptions for 537 yards. Robinson caught five balls for 84 yards and a TD in two games last year against the Colts.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Julius Thomas, JAC IND 003300000 *
The Colts rank in the middle of the league against tight ends, which stems from permitting a 15-186-1 line. Thomas is in that fringe territory for weekly starters. Look for a quality showing across the pond in Week 4.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jason Myers, JAC IND 2222 ***
The Colts are the third easiest matchup for kickers to exploit, and it could be worse for Indy if opposing feet were more accurate. Kickers have gone 8-for-9 on FGAs and 7-for-9 on XPAs.

WEEK 9
2012
KC at SD (THU) CAR at WAS *DET at JAC TB at OAK
*ARI at GB CHI at TEN *MIA at IND *PHI at NO (MON)
BAL at CLE *DAL at ATL MIN at SEA Bye:
*UPDATED *BUF at HOU DEN at CIN *PIT at NYG NE , NYJ, SF, STL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t