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David Dorey
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WEEK 10
2012
IND at JAC (THU) DEN at CAR *NYJ at SEA TEN at MIA
ATL at NO *DET at MIN OAK at BAL *KC at PIT (MON)
*BUF at NE *HOU at CHI *SD at TB Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at PHI NYG at CIN *STL at SF ARI, CLE, GB, WAS

Prediction: IND 20, JAC 14 (Line: IND by 3)

Players to Watch: Vick Ballard, T.Y. Hilton

The 5-3 Colts are only 1-2 on the road but the 1-7 Jaguars are 0-4 at home. This is a replay of week three when the Jaguars when Maurice Jones-Drew rushed for 177 yards and a score. The Jaguars won 22-17 based on his touchdown and five field goals. Now the tables are turned. The only win by the Jags this year was against the Colts.

Indianapolis Colts
Homefield: Lucas Oil Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CHI 21-41 10 @JAC -----
2 MIN 23-20 11 @NE -----
3 JAC 17-22 12 BUF -----
4 BYE ----- 13 @DET -----
5 GB 30-27 14 TEN -----
6 @NYJ 9-35 15 @HOU -----
7 CLE 17-13 16 @KC -----
8 @TEN 19-13 17 HOU -----
9 MIA 23-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
IND @ JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Andrew Luck 20 280,1
WR T.Y. Hilton 4-70,1
PK Adam Vinatieri 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Things have gone well for a team that was only 2-14 last season. A winning record alone is success but this was a team that purged almost all of the aging vets and truly tilled the soil for a new crew. As Robert Griffin III continues to man the ever-sinking Redskins franchise, Andrew Luck is assuredly moving forward in the Rookie of the Year race. As was noted elsewhere, Luck sports a 5-3 record and has thrown for 2404 yards - exactly the same as Peyton Manning is currently.

Andrew Luck just set the all-time rookie record with 433 yards in a single game thanks to the Miami Dolphins and he tossed two scores. Luck originally passed for 313 yards and two touchdowns in the first meeting with the Jaguars who are usually beaten by the run instead of the pass. Or by both. There's no risk of the Colts being a run-first team this week and Luck gets to extract some revenge for the week three loss.

Donald Brown only caught one pass last week before leaving and his knee has been sore. He's already expected to miss this week and that give Vick Ballard a chance to shine. Back in week three, Brown rushed for 62 yards on 18 carries when the Jags visited and Ballard ran five times for only 12 yards. The Jaguars have already allowed 12 touchdowns to running backs and this week should be better than the first meeting.

Coby Fleener will miss this week because of his shoulder and Dwayne Allen gets to start after posting 56 and 75 yards in just the last two games. This is hardly Gronkowski and Hernandez but at least Luck is starting to use them more. Back in week three, Allen caught five passes for 35 yards.

Reggie Wayne has just thee scores on the year but ends up with six to eight catches in almost every week and never falls below 70 yards. He's getting help from Donnie Avery and T.Y. Hilton now and Avery comes off a five catch, 108 yard effort against the Fins where he injured his hip and had to leave the game. He was replaced in the third quarter by Hilton who then caught almost all of his six receptions for 102 yards and a score. Avery is tentatively expected back this week though he only produced 28 yards on two catches in the previous Jaguars game. Wayne caught eight passes for 88 yards then while Hilton had his best game of the year when he turned four receptions into 113 yards and a score. It would have been great for Hilton if Avery did not play though it did not matter so much in the last game with the Jags.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points IND 8 30 4 14 17 31
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 18 29 20 4 26 20

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Andrew Luck, IND @TEN 0000031020 ***
Tennessee has yielded only 18 TD passes in 15 games. The good news is Luck was responsible for three of them, plus 343 yards, in the Week 11 game. This one is in Tennessee, which negates a little bit of his luster. Keep rolling with Luck in any format you desire. Much of the Titans' success has come against inferior talent.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Marlon Mack, IND @TEN 5011100000 ***
Mack represents one of the six total scores against Tennessee this year by a running back. He finished with 69 total yards of offense and 13.9 points in PPR. With four TDs in the last three games, consider him a decent flier for points, but don't be surprised if you're let down.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Nyheim Hines, IND @TEN 1005300000 ***
No running back has scored through the air s. the Titans this year, and this is the best defense of the position in fantasy. Just six times RBs have scored on the ground. Hines went for a dismal 4.4 PPR points in the last meeting.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR T.Y. Hilton, IND @TEN 007901000 ***
Hilton continues to miss practice time but find the field when it counts. The veteran has 16 targets in the last two games but hasn't scored a touchdown since exploding for nine grabs, 155 yards and two TDs vs. the Titans in Week 11.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dontrelle Inman, IND @TEN 002301000 **
One of his two TDs this year came against the Titans in Week 11, and he scored last weekend vs. NYG. There really isn't a scenario in which gamers should feel compelled to play Inman, perhaps outside of a wild dice roll in DFS.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chester Rogers, IND @TEN 003400000 ***
Rogers showed up last week (7-54-1) after being ice cold for two months. The Titans held him to nine yards on two catches in the Week 11 game, and he has no lineup-worthy value in fantasy this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Devin Funchess, IND @TEN 002300000 *
Funchess has four catches in his last four games, including consecutive goose eggs, and only 33 yards to his credit. One of those grabs went into the end zone, but he hasn't posted nine or more PPR points since Week 7. New Orleans was one of the teams to shut him out. Kyle Allen will get the start this week after backup Taylor Heinicke was placed on IR.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Eric Ebron, IND @TEN 006500000 ***
Ebron was blanked against the Titans in Week 11, and Tennessee has been the toughest unit in football against his position. No other team has held tight ends out of the end zone all year. Ebron is in the concussion protocol. Be prepared to find another option.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Adam Vinatieri, IND @TEN 1133 ***
No writeup available

Jacksonville Jaguars
Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @MIN 23-26 ot 10 IND -----
2 HOU 7-27 11 @HOU -----
3 @IND 22-17 12 TEN -----
4 CIN 10-27 13 @BUF -----
5 CHI 3-41 14 NYJ -----
6 BYE ----- 15 @MIA -----
7 @OAK 23-26 16 NE -----
8 @GB 15-24 17 @TEN -----
9 DET 14-31 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass

Pregame Notes: The Jaguars continue their descent this year with a chance to sweep the Colts if they could somehow magically create an offense that can somehow score more than 15 points in a game. The loss of Maurice Jones-Drew merely made the Jaguars even less likely to win anything besides a trap game. It also made the close losses cease and the trouncing's begin. This week will be an interesting marker because it goes against the only team they beat this year and even though this time it is at home, the Jags are not even favored. Nor will they be other than potentially the Titans game in three weeks.

HC Mike Mularkey won't come clean on exactly what Jones-Drew's affliction is or what the prognosis is for return. He still is not walking around or practicing and has been ruled out this week but not for week 11 because, you know, the Jags want to keep the Texans guessing who the losing running back will be. Jones-Drew was the bulk of the offense in that only win of the year back in week three when he gained 177 yards and a score. That ended up to be his only big game of the year. Rashad Jennings is the starter now and he only produced 52 total yards last week. He needs to face a great team that doesn't care (like the Packers) in order for him to post stats of any measure. The Colts won't be handing out garbage time coupons in this matchup.

It still all comes back to the quarterback situation with Blaine Gabbert coming off a somewhat credible 220 yard, two touchdown effort that was mostly just garbage time allowed by the Lions who still won by 17 points. That was only the third of eight games that Gabbert passed for more than 186 yards. He's thrown nine scores this year against five interceptions. Gabbert passed for 155 yards and one score in Indy this year. He only completed 10 of 21 passes in that game.

Cecil Shorts is the new starting flanker and yet only posted three catches for 56 yards last week. He caught just one pass in the Colts game earlier this season but it went for an 80-yard touchdown. Justin Blackmon and Laurent Robinson combined for only one catch in that game. Robinson is now the #3 receiver but caught six passes for 41 yards last week. Blackmon also finally scored his first NFL touchdown last Sunday but only caught one pass for seven yards in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 32 24 29 31 30 32
Preventing Fantasy Points IND 17 25 27 1 8 8

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Nick Foles, JAC @HOU 0000030031 ***
The Redskins have been pretty solid at times vs. QBs, but this defense has given up several big games, too. Foles is on a heater and should be played in any format. He did not face Washington last year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB T.J. Yeldon, JAC @HOU 4013200000 **
Update: Leonard Fournette (foot, ankle) is unlikely to play with a doubtful tag, which means Yeldon could see the bulk of the work. He was a healthy scratch in Week 16, and Carlos Hyde is questionable to play. This situation is volatile, so look for safer choices with better matchups. RB David Williams may get his shot, though, relegating Yeldon to third-down chores. Yeldon scored a receiving TD in the earlier contest, for whatever it is worth.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DJ Chark Jr., JAC @HOU 004400000 ***
Chark should be close to returning this week, and Blake Bortles is back in the lineup. The rookie caught four balls for 31 yards in the last meeting and is not a fantasy option in any setting.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dede Westbrook, JAC @HOU 004400000 **
This defense has fallen apart on the back end in the last five weeks, giving up six touchdowns (12 on the year) and more than 1,000 yards in those five games. Westbrook was good for only 17 yards in the first game. Blake Bortles returns to the starting lineup, and the second-year receiver has a little appeal for flier purposes.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chris Conley, JAC @HOU 003300000 ***
He caught a touchdown in the last meeting, so there is a hint of upside, especially since Oakland has been super generous to WRs this year when it comes to scoring. Conley isn't an ideal play in any format, but he could do in a pinch or as a gamble in DFS. He has exactly one explosive game in 2018 (26.4 points vs. LAR).

WEEK 10
2012
IND at JAC (THU) DEN at CAR *NYJ at SEA TEN at MIA
ATL at NO *DET at MIN OAK at BAL *KC at PIT (MON)
*BUF at NE *HOU at CHI *SD at TB Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at PHI NYG at CIN *STL at SF ARI, CLE, GB, WAS

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