FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 10
2012
IND at JAC (THU) DEN at CAR *NYJ at SEA TEN at MIA
ATL at NO *DET at MIN OAK at BAL *KC at PIT (MON)
*BUF at NE *HOU at CHI *SD at TB Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at PHI NYG at CIN *STL at SF ARI, CLE, GB, WAS

Prediction: OAK 20, BAL 27 (Line: BAL by 7.5)

Players Updated: Brandon Myers, Darren McFadden

Players to Watch: Marcel Reese

The 3-5 Raiders are only 1-3 in road games and just lost most of their backfield to a collective high ankle sprain. The 6-2 Ravens are a perfect 4-0 at home though their last three wins were all by less than one touchdown. Still, it is just the Raiders and they have no real backfield anyway.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD 14-22 10 @BAL -----
2 @MIA 13-35 11 NO -----
3 PIT 34-31 12 @CIN -----
4 @DEN 6-37 13 CLE -----
5 BYE ----- 14 DEN -----
6 @ATL 20-23 15 KC -----
7 JAC 26-23 16 @CAR -----
8 @KC 26-16 17 @SD -----
9 TB 32-42 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Marshawn Lynch 120,1 2-20
RB Doug Martin 110,1 3-30
WR Brandon LaFell 2-20
TE Jared Cook 5-60
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders have posted surprisingly good points this year though they often come against weak defenses or as junk yards and points at the end of losing games. Thanks to playing in the AFC West, the schedule is not too bad in the second half of the season but then again - it wasn't that tough in the first eight games and still only led to a 3-5 record.

What has been working is the passing of Carson Palmer who has yet to pass for less than 200 yards and comes off a season high 414 yards and four scores in the losing effort to the Buccaneers. Palmer has failed to score in only one game this year and most end up with 300+ yards.

Both Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson suffered high ankle sprains against the Bucs. That's a problem because the only ones left are Taiwan Jones who they clearly do not trust and want to avoid, and fullback Marcel Reece. Once McFadden and Goodson were gone last week, Reece caught eight passes for 95 yards and a touchdown but did not take any carries. Even McFadden ran just seven times for 17 yards in that game. Defensive injuries have caused the Ravens to be softer against the run but nothing the Raiders have appears capable of taking advantage. That should bode even better for the passing game since that is the only way the Raiders are going to advance the ball.

McFadden has not yet been officially ruled out but even if he plays he won't be 100% and he's been largely ineffective this year anyway.

Brandon Myers finally scored this year - twice in fact - when he caught a season best eight passes for 59 yards against the Bucs. he's been very consistent with around 50 yards per week and can break into the top ten for tight ends if the Raiders continue to use him in the red zone.

Darrius Heyward-Bey is also doing more in recent weeks with a score in Kansas City and turning in 70+ yards against both the Jags and Bucs. Denarius Moore fell off his three game scoring streak but still posted 66 yards on four catches last week. He's averaged right around 70 yards per game and scored four times this season. Myers, Moore and Heyward-Bey make up most of the passing production each week. Rod Streater and Derek Hagen have the decent showing every month or two.

The Raiders are likely to throw 45+ passes this week and that should benefit the main three receivers.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 12 9 21 9 5 27
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 8 20 17 22 29 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Derek Carr, OAK PIT 0000025010 ***
Carr hasn't thrown a pick in seven straight outings. Unfortunately, that is about the extent of the good. He threw three TDs passes last week as one bookend for the same effort in Week 8. In between: three total TD passes. Over the course of the year, Pittsburgh ranks in the middle of the pack against QBs. Only Philip Rivers in Week 13 has gone over 20 points since Joe Flacco did it in Week 4. Carr belongs parked, bad pun aside.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Doug Martin, OAK PIT 5012100000 ***
He should be able to play through a knee injury. Martin has double-digit PPR days in three of the last four weeks, including consecutive games with TDs. He faces a Steelers unit that looked like a different defense once Los Angeles rotated Justin Jackson into the primary back spot over the struggling Austin Ekeler. Bigger backs have made more noise vs. the Steelers, but most RBs have been pedestrian in fantasy.

Update: He was a full-go all week and should play through a questionable tag.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jalen Richard, OAK PIT 1004400000 *
The Steelers haven't been particularly kind to pass-catching backs, granting four touchdowns over 48 receptions in 2018. Richard is a so-so choice as a PPR flex based on volume and not so much on a chance of finding the end zone.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordy Nelson, OAK PIT 005500000 *
Nelson reappeared in the stats sheet last week and will have a tough day to come close in Week 14. There are far safer options with some upside to keep Nelson at bay in most all fantasy formats.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marcell Ateman, OAK PIT 003400000 ***
Pittsburgh ranks in the middle of the pack vs. receivers and is tough enough to suppress any fantasy relevance for the rookie.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jared Cook, OAK PIT 006701000 ***
With one touchdown allowed in the last five weeks, Pittsburgh looks tough on the position. The first half of the year resulted in six of seven games with at least 10 points for the high score of the weekly matchup. Cook should be closer to that than the last five weeks of subpar production by mostly nobodies.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Daniel Carlson, OAK PIT 1122 ***
No writeup available

Baltimore Ravens
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN 44-13 10 OAK -----
2 @PHI 23-24 11 @PIT -----
3 NE 31-30 12 @SD -----
4 CLE 23-16 13 PIT -----
5 @KC 9-6 14 @WAS -----
6 DAL 31-29 15 DEN -----
7 @HOU 13-43 16 NYG -----
8 BYE ----- 17 @CIN -----
9 @CLE 25-15 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
BAL vs OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Joe Flacco 260,1
WR Michael Crabtree 4-70,1
PK Justin Tucker 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Ravens have a big problem this year in that they play well enough at home to win every game so far but on the road they are far less formidable. The defense has taken a step down thanks to significant injuries and the offense just never seems to hit a higher gear. That;s good enough to beat teams like the visiting Raiders but the remaining schedule includes two critical meetings with the Steelers and home games against the Broncos and Giants. There is a chance the Ravens are as good as they are going to get and that a downturn is imminent. But that won't be apparent yet this week.

Joe Flacco throws for a touchdown in almost every game but that is usually it. Just one score. He hasn't thrown for more than one touchdown since week three and his yardage keeps getting worse. After starting out with three of four games producing 299 yards or more, he's posted less than 190 passing yards in three of the last four. If this was graded on the quarter system, he would have been "A-" for the first four games and maybe a "C-" in the last four. As a schedule quirk, he did face weaker defenses to start the year and then more formidable opponents the last month. This game should be a good indicator since the Raiders are average against the pass only on a good day at home.

Ray Rice was inexplicably limited to only nine runs for 42 yards in week eight in Houston. He was appeased last week by running the ball 25 times for 98 yards and one score in Cleveland. Rice has been less productive in the last month though and even his role as a receiver has declined. Over the first four games, Rice caught 22 passes for 174 yards. In these last four weeks, he's only caught nine passes for 77 yards. Bernard Pierce was even allowed to come in and score the short touchdown last week. Rice is still productive and a must start back but his numbers have fallen off from last year and even the first month of the season.

The tight ends started out well with Dennis Pitta scoring twice and posting 50+ yards for the first three weeks but has since not been worth any fantasy consideration. You want consistency? Pitta gained 33 yards in each of his last three games.

Anquan Boldin hasn't scored since the season opener and varies wildly from as high as 131 yards and as low as just seven yards in a game. Torrey Smith's been mediocre with yards and catches this past month but did score twice. He has not topped 50 yards in a game since week four but his five receiving touchdowns lead the team.

This week will be interesting because a home game versus the Raiders should be an indicator of what the best situation for the Ravens can produce.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 18 11 19 17 10 10
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 23 31 14 18 30 12

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Lamar Jackson, BAL @KC 70100015001 *
Jackson is expected to start once again and has a good matchup for volume purposes, but he remains so raw as a passer that his only means of notable contributions require substantial ground gains. Chance it if you're feeling frisky in DFS, and Jackson is an ideal QB2 play in superflex or two-starter leagues. KC ranks as the third-easiest defense to exploit in the last five weeks.

Update: Flacco is questionable and fully practiced Friday. The starter hasn't been named, but it looks like Jackson will indeed get another start.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Joe Flacco, BAL @KC 0000010010 *
Flacco's status will be updated later in the week.

Update: He's questionable and fully practiced for the first time since the injury on a Friday and is a game-time decision. Lamar Jackson appears in line for another start, regardless of Flacco's health.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Gus Edwards, BAL @KC 700000000 ***
Edwards looked mortal last week with 82 yards on 21 carries. He hasn't scored since Week 11 and offers zilch in the passing game. KC has provided one of the best matchups across the board in 2018 for the position. Game flow likely will determine his ultimate worth, and Edwards could still be less than 100 percent after being questionable entering Week 13.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Ty Montgomery, BAL @KC 1006400000 ***
The former Green Bay Packer is up to speed in the offense and has taken over the pass-catching duties from Buck Allen. In the past two games, Montgomery has landed eight of his 10 targets for 55 yards -- nothing special but something worthwhile for truly desperate owners. KC has been horrendous at stopping third-down types in 2018.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR John Brown, BAL @KC 003501000 *
Brown has 12 targets and two catches with Lamar Jackson at quarterback. His fantasy utility is about as risky as you'll find, and this is an optimistic projection. Play him at your own peril.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Willie Snead IV, BAL @KC 005700000 ***
Snead saw a team-high eight looks in Lamar Jackson's first game and then didn't catch a pass in the next contest. Last week, he grabbed one of his three targets for eight whole yards. Keep him out of lineups, and he's realistically a waiver body.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Crabtree, BAL @KC 004500000 ***
He has 13 targets with Lamar Jackson at quarterback, 10 of which came in the last two games. Crabtree landed six of them for 57 yards and a TD in Week 12. He has limited appeal as a PPR flex choice with a decent enough matchup -- at least one that could require extra passing.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Mark Andrews, BAL @KC 004500000 ***
Andrews has a hint of appeal as a flier play for desperate owners. The Chiefs have surrendered a touchdown per game to the position in the last four weeks. With just five looks in the last three games and no scores since Week 7, the rookie is best avoided in consequential situations.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Justin Tucker, BAL @KC 3322 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 10
2012
IND at JAC (THU) DEN at CAR *NYJ at SEA TEN at MIA
ATL at NO *DET at MIN OAK at BAL *KC at PIT (MON)
*BUF at NE *HOU at CHI *SD at TB Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at PHI NYG at CIN *STL at SF ARI, CLE, GB, WAS

a d v e r t i s e m e n t