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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 10
2012
IND at JAC (THU) DEN at CAR *NYJ at SEA TEN at MIA
ATL at NO *DET at MIN OAK at BAL *KC at PIT (MON)
*BUF at NE *HOU at CHI *SD at TB Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at PHI NYG at CIN *STL at SF ARI, CLE, GB, WAS

Prediction: OAK 20, BAL 27 (Line: BAL by 7.5)

Players Updated: Brandon Myers, Darren McFadden

Players to Watch: Marcel Reese

The 3-5 Raiders are only 1-3 in road games and just lost most of their backfield to a collective high ankle sprain. The 6-2 Ravens are a perfect 4-0 at home though their last three wins were all by less than one touchdown. Still, it is just the Raiders and they have no real backfield anyway.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD 14-22 10 @BAL -----
2 @MIA 13-35 11 NO -----
3 PIT 34-31 12 @CIN -----
4 @DEN 6-37 13 CLE -----
5 BYE ----- 14 DEN -----
6 @ATL 20-23 15 KC -----
7 JAC 26-23 16 @CAR -----
8 @KC 26-16 17 @SD -----
9 TB 32-42 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Marshawn Lynch 120,1 2-20
RB Doug Martin 110,1 3-30
WR Brandon LaFell 2-20
TE Jared Cook 5-60
PK Mike Nugent 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Raiders have posted surprisingly good points this year though they often come against weak defenses or as junk yards and points at the end of losing games. Thanks to playing in the AFC West, the schedule is not too bad in the second half of the season but then again - it wasn't that tough in the first eight games and still only led to a 3-5 record.

What has been working is the passing of Carson Palmer who has yet to pass for less than 200 yards and comes off a season high 414 yards and four scores in the losing effort to the Buccaneers. Palmer has failed to score in only one game this year and most end up with 300+ yards.

Both Darren McFadden and Mike Goodson suffered high ankle sprains against the Bucs. That's a problem because the only ones left are Taiwan Jones who they clearly do not trust and want to avoid, and fullback Marcel Reece. Once McFadden and Goodson were gone last week, Reece caught eight passes for 95 yards and a touchdown but did not take any carries. Even McFadden ran just seven times for 17 yards in that game. Defensive injuries have caused the Ravens to be softer against the run but nothing the Raiders have appears capable of taking advantage. That should bode even better for the passing game since that is the only way the Raiders are going to advance the ball.

McFadden has not yet been officially ruled out but even if he plays he won't be 100% and he's been largely ineffective this year anyway.

Brandon Myers finally scored this year - twice in fact - when he caught a season best eight passes for 59 yards against the Bucs. he's been very consistent with around 50 yards per week and can break into the top ten for tight ends if the Raiders continue to use him in the red zone.

Darrius Heyward-Bey is also doing more in recent weeks with a score in Kansas City and turning in 70+ yards against both the Jags and Bucs. Denarius Moore fell off his three game scoring streak but still posted 66 yards on four catches last week. He's averaged right around 70 yards per game and scored four times this season. Myers, Moore and Heyward-Bey make up most of the passing production each week. Rod Streater and Derek Hagen have the decent showing every month or two.

The Raiders are likely to throw 45+ passes this week and that should benefit the main three receivers.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 12 9 21 9 5 27
Preventing Fantasy Points BAL 8 20 17 22 29 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Derek Carr, OAK @KC 0000029011 ***
Carr enjoyed a strong day in Week 13 when these teams met, finishing with 285 yards and three scores. he hasn't thrown a pick since Week 5 and faces one of the best possible matchups. Start him in a deeper league or DFS.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Doug Martin, OAK @KC 5011100000 ***
Martin scored in three straight games before Week 16, let down gamers in the semi-finals and then stepped up in the championship week after many gamers had likely given up on him. At any rate, the Chiefs provide one of the best possible matchups. Martin scored in the Week 13 contest and generated 67 total yards.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Jalen Richard, OAK @KC 3004500000 ***
Richard ran one into the end zone last week against the Broncos for his first TD since Week 12 vs. Denver in 2017. Even without the TDs, he had gone for double figures in PPR in three of the previous five games. Richard ran for 95 yards and added 31 more in the Week 13 meeting with KC.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Marcell Ateman, OAK @KC 003400000 ***
The rookie scored on one of his two catches in the Week 13 meeting but has no worthwhile fantasy value and should remain far away from fantasy lineups in any setting.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Seth Roberts, OAK @KC 003400000 ***
Roberts hasn't scored since Week 8, and he has only one game this year with more than 54 yards. There is a sliver of hope for a touchdown since Oakland is likely to be forced into a pass-heavy script, but it didn't work in Roberts' favor in the 40-33 loss in Week 13.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Antonio Brown, OAK @KC 003400000 *
Brown (knee) sat out Wednesday and Thursday but is expected to play. The Bengals have been a punching bag for him most of his career, especially recently. He has scored in three straight games vs. the Bengals, and Brown is coming off of his biggest game of the year (14-185-2).

Update: He didn't practice all week and is a game-time decision.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tyrell Williams, OAK @KC 003300000 ***
Williams has been ice cold since Week 9, and it carried into the Week 11 matchup with Denver (2-22-0, six targets). He hasn't scored since the Seattle game in Week 9, and only one of his games (Week 15) resulted in more than eight points in PPR. Look for someone with a stronger pulse.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jared Cook, OAK @KC 005801000 ***
Cook has only four catches for 43 yards and no TDs in his last two games combined after consecutive 100-yard efforts. In Week 16, he played just 34 of 62 offensive snaps due to a rib injury. Check his status for this contest before deployment. The veteran went for seven grabs, 100 yards and a score vs. KC in the Week 13 contest, and the Chiefs have been a weak defense of the position all year.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Daniel Carlson, OAK @KC 2222 ***
No writeup available

Baltimore Ravens
Homefield: M&T Bank Stadium
Sport Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CIN 44-13 10 OAK -----
2 @PHI 23-24 11 @PIT -----
3 NE 31-30 12 @SD -----
4 CLE 23-16 13 PIT -----
5 @KC 9-6 14 @WAS -----
6 DAL 31-29 15 DEN -----
7 @HOU 13-43 16 NYG -----
8 BYE ----- 17 @CIN -----
9 @CLE 25-15 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Mark Ingram II 30 2-10
PK Justin Tucker 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Ravens have a big problem this year in that they play well enough at home to win every game so far but on the road they are far less formidable. The defense has taken a step down thanks to significant injuries and the offense just never seems to hit a higher gear. That;s good enough to beat teams like the visiting Raiders but the remaining schedule includes two critical meetings with the Steelers and home games against the Broncos and Giants. There is a chance the Ravens are as good as they are going to get and that a downturn is imminent. But that won't be apparent yet this week.

Joe Flacco throws for a touchdown in almost every game but that is usually it. Just one score. He hasn't thrown for more than one touchdown since week three and his yardage keeps getting worse. After starting out with three of four games producing 299 yards or more, he's posted less than 190 passing yards in three of the last four. If this was graded on the quarter system, he would have been "A-" for the first four games and maybe a "C-" in the last four. As a schedule quirk, he did face weaker defenses to start the year and then more formidable opponents the last month. This game should be a good indicator since the Raiders are average against the pass only on a good day at home.

Ray Rice was inexplicably limited to only nine runs for 42 yards in week eight in Houston. He was appeased last week by running the ball 25 times for 98 yards and one score in Cleveland. Rice has been less productive in the last month though and even his role as a receiver has declined. Over the first four games, Rice caught 22 passes for 174 yards. In these last four weeks, he's only caught nine passes for 77 yards. Bernard Pierce was even allowed to come in and score the short touchdown last week. Rice is still productive and a must start back but his numbers have fallen off from last year and even the first month of the season.

The tight ends started out well with Dennis Pitta scoring twice and posting 50+ yards for the first three weeks but has since not been worth any fantasy consideration. You want consistency? Pitta gained 33 yards in each of his last three games.

Anquan Boldin hasn't scored since the season opener and varies wildly from as high as 131 yards and as low as just seven yards in a game. Torrey Smith's been mediocre with yards and catches this past month but did score twice. He has not topped 50 yards in a game since week four but his five receiving touchdowns lead the team.

This week will be interesting because a home game versus the Raiders should be an indicator of what the best situation for the Ravens can produce.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points BAL 18 11 19 17 10 10
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 23 31 14 18 30 12

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Lamar Jackson, BAL CLE 80100016010 ***
Cleveland has given up rushing scores to Jeff Driskel, Case Keenum and Jameis Winston this year. This defense has faced Deshaun Watson and Cam Newton, holding both to 30 or fewer rushing yards. The pass defense has been pretty dang good since Week 10. Jackson is a second quarterback or a radical flier in DFS.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Gus Edwards, BAL CLE 1101000000 ***
The Browns offer a matchup that slightly favors Edwards' style of play. He hasn't played Cleveland this year and has scored double digits in PPR in four of six games. He has bounced back in the last two games after a two-week mini-slump. Play him with the hopes of a a TD.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Kenneth Dixon, BAL CLE 4001100000 ***
With just one TD since returning from injury in Week 13, Dixon is not a source of fantasy success. He doesn't catch passes in this current version of this offense, and hasn't been able to muster even seven PPR points without scoring a TD. Cleveland presents a neutral matchup that is slightly better in non-PPR.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Mark Ingram II, BAL CLE 300000000 *
New Orleans is expected to sit all of its primary weapons, so Ingram shouldn't be in any lineup this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Willie Snead IV, BAL CLE 005600000 ***
Snead has posted double figures in PPR without scoring in three of Lamar Jackson's six starts. In one of the games he caught a single pass for eight yards, and in the other two he was blanked (Weeks 12 and 16). Batting .500 in baseball is awesome ... not so much when it comes to being relevant in fantasy football. Snead caught five balls for 55 yards in the earlier meeting with Joe Flacco starting.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Mark Andrews, BAL CLE 002201000 **
He landed just one pass for 16 yards in the Week 5 game, and last week the rookie caught his first TD from Lamar Jackson, which happened to be his first since Week 7. Andrews is purely a flier with a good matchup. The volume just isn't there yet for consistent, confident usage in fantasy.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Justin Tucker, BAL CLE 1133 ***
No writeup available

WEEK 10
2012
IND at JAC (THU) DEN at CAR *NYJ at SEA TEN at MIA
ATL at NO *DET at MIN OAK at BAL *KC at PIT (MON)
*BUF at NE *HOU at CHI *SD at TB Bye:
*UPDATED DAL at PHI NYG at CIN *STL at SF ARI, CLE, GB, WAS

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