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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: NE 34, MIA 17 (LINE: NE by 7)
Players to Watch: Brian Hartline, Davone Bess
The Patriots swept the Dolphins last year, winning 38-24 at Miami in the season opener and later 27-24 at home.
New England Patriots |
| Homefield: Gillette Stadium |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@TEN |
34-13 |
10 |
BUF |
37-31 |
| 2 |
ARI |
18-20 |
11 |
IND |
59-24 |
| 3 |
@BAL |
30-31 |
12 |
@NYJ |
49-19 |
| 4 |
@BUF |
52-28 |
13 |
@MIA |
----- |
| 5 |
DEN |
31-21 |
14 |
HOU |
----- |
| 6 |
@SEA |
23-24 |
15 |
SF |
----- |
| 7 |
NYJ |
29-26 |
16 |
@JAC |
----- |
| 8 |
@STL |
45-7 |
17 |
MIA |
----- |
| 9 |
BYE |
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| News | Statistics | Roster |
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Pregame Notes: The Patriot tradition of being a bully when possible is alive and well with back-to-back wins of 35 and 30 points but in fantasy terms - it's all good. The last four weeks have never scored fewer than 37 points and have averaged almost 48 points per week. Nice month.
Tom Brady already passed for 24 touchdowns this year and seven times surpassed 300 passing yards in a game. His last three road games were three or more touchdowns each. His slower start to the season has sped up plenty in the last six weeks or so and he's back to posting big yardage and scores each week. What is going to be interesting is that this week is in Miami where the Fins have given him problems in the past. Then it is two home games against probably the two toughest defenses in the 49ers and Texans.
Though it was the season opener last year, Brady passed for 517 yards and four touchdowns in Miami.
Shane Vereen is getting plenty of work lately with 12 touches in each of the last two games and he scored in both. He's gaining 40+ rushing yards and notched a touchdown on a 83-yard catch and run last Thursday. But Stevan Ridley scored in each of the last four games and totaled over 90 yards in six different games so far. Ridley is a constant each week with decent yardage and a score. Vereen is mixed in with varying results and Danny Woodhead only gets appreciable work as a receiver when the Patriots play against a good defense and Brady needs the outlet.
With Rob Gronkowski out, the tight ends did little to replace him. Even Aaron Hernandez who finally returned from his ankle injury only caught two passes for 36 yards though he also caught a touchdown that was called back for offensive pass interference. Daniel Fells had his one catch like usual and that was all for the tight ends.
Wes Welker did not have any more or less work with Gronk out. He still had seven catches for 71 yards which is right in the same area as his last five games. Julian Edelman is the one who has seen an uptick with a score in each of the last two games and around 60 yards in each.
Welker caught eight passes for 160 yards and two scores in Miami last season while Aaron Hernandez (7-103, TD) and Rob Gronkowski (6-86, TD) both had big games as well.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
NE |
3 |
2 |
15 |
1 |
2 |
2 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
MIA |
19 |
5 |
18 |
13 |
23 |
24 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Tom Brady, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 280 | 2 | 0 |    |
| Brady is always a must start anyway but he settled for only 238 yards and one score in Miami this year. He's a lock for solid yardage and at least one score but this is less likely to become a monster game. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Stevan Ridley, NE |
MIA |
80 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Ridley will share the workload with the other three runners but he - and he alone - is consistent and productive enough to merit a start. Ridley already had 19-71 and a TD in Miami and should be good for more this week depending on the whims of Bill Belichick who may want to rest Ridley a little this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Danny Amendola, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Amendola will be the main focus of the defense that only allowed two TDs to visiting wideouts this year and rarely more than 50 yards. His last two road games combined for only three catches and 43 yards so leave Amendola on your bench this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Michael Jenkins, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Jenkins is a great downfield blocker and reliable short-game target, but he's turned neither into much in the way of fantasy contributions this year. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Aaron Hernandez, NE |
MIA |
0 | 0 | 7 | 90 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Hernandez caught eight passes for 97 yards versus the Fins this year and should end up taking the tight end workload alone again this week. Always a safe start but Fins have only allowed two scores to the position all year. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Stephen Gostkowski, NE |
MIA |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |     |
| At home versus the Fins has to be at least average points at worse. |
Miami Dolphins |
| Homefield: Dolphins Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@HOU |
10-30 |
10 |
TEN |
3-37 |
| 2 |
OAK |
35-13 |
11 |
@BUF |
14-19 |
| 3 |
NYJ |
20-23 |
12 |
SEA |
24-21 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
21-24 |
13 |
NE |
----- |
| 5 |
@CIN |
17-13 |
14 |
@SF |
----- |
| 6 |
STL |
17-14 |
15 |
JAC |
----- |
| 7 |
BYE |
----- |
16 |
BUF |
----- |
| 8 |
@NYJ |
30-9 |
17 |
@NE |
----- |
| 9 |
@IND |
20-23 |
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Pregame Notes: The Dolphins are within one win of a .500 season but that may end up at an arm-length away the rest of the year. The Fins need three more wins to end up at 8-8 but have two meetings with the Patriots and a trip to San Francisco left. Short of an upset in one of those three games - assuming they can beat the visiting Jags and Bills - it still leaves them short at 7-9.
No real changes to the offense. Ryan Tannehill remains a game manager with only seven passing touchdowns on the year and usually right around a mediocre 200 pass yards in most games. What's worse is that he only managed two touchdowns in the last three games and yet threw six interceptions over that time period.
Reggie Bush and Daniel Thomas continue to timeshare almost equally and if either gets hot they'll take a but more work that week. Bush shockingly had his second best game of the year when the Seahawks showed up and let him gain 87 yards on 14 runs. Daniel Thomas also ran for 60 yards and a score on just nine runs in that game. Bush may not be back next year but at least he is playing hard. He's expressed interest in remaining in Miami when he hits free agency in March but about all he has gotten back is a smile and nod.
Davone Bess turned in a very uncharacteristic 129 yards on seven catches against the Seahawks secondary which not only was a season best but was about twice his normal production. Brian Hartline has been very quiet in the last few weeks and the reality is that he has three big games against bad secondaries and then abject mediocrity otherwise. All combined the wideouts have only produced three touchdowns this year.
Facing the weak Pats secondary should help passing numbers but at best it means they are average for a day. Hartline is the only receiver play here and that is just in a reception points league where you can live with 80 yards or so.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
MIA |
31 |
4 |
31 |
32 |
31 |
25 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
NE |
30 |
13 |
28 |
32 |
3 |
1 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA |
@NE |
30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 1 | 1 |    |
| Tannehill only passed for 186 yards and no scores in the last meeting. On the road, no reason to expect more especially with Bess probably still out. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Brian Hartline, MIA |
@NE |
0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Hartline turned in 5-84 last time vs. the Pats and now Bess is out. That leaves the entire Pats secondary with no one else to worry about. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Dan Carpenter, MIA |
@NE |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |   |
| On the road to NE? No thanks. |
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