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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: NYG 34, WAS 27 (LINE: NYG by 2.5)

Players to Watch: David Wilson

This is a replay of week seven when the Giants won 27-23. The Giants have a two game lead over the Redskins and Cowboys in the NFC East. The Redskins come off two wins over the Cowboys and Eagles and could make a real statement with a win in this game. This game shows how far the Redskins offense has really come. And how much the defense has not.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN 13-31
2 TB 41-34 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR 36-7 12 GB 38-10
4 @PHI 17-19 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE 41-27 14 NO -----
6 @SF 26-3 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS 27-23 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL 29-24 17 PHI -----
9 PIT 20-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 300,3
RB Peyton Hillis 20 2-10
RB Rashad Jennings 60
WR Victor Cruz 6-90,1
WR Kevin Ogletree
WR Rueben Randle 2-30

Pregame Notes: What a difference some rest makes. The Giants were on a two game losing streak with Eli Manning throwing ducks and not scoring. Take their bye and come back and voila! everything is well. Other than Andre Brown of course who was lost for the season with a broken leg. The first game against the Redskins was right at the start of the offensive struggles for the Giants. This week we get to see if everything really is all better or not.

The biggest change is how the Giants will deal with the loss of Brown who scored eight touchdowns in his role as the "thunder" of the backfield. David Wilson is next on the depth chart and certainly should see some increase but he's been mostly a special teamer and is not nearly as big as Brown. Wilson is a decent replace for Bradshaw perhaps, but the role that the 6-0, 227 lb. Brown filled is not what the 5-10, 202 lb Wilson is going to do.

The Giants just signed Ryan Torain who should figure in at some point. With Bradshaw less than Mr. Durability, the depth chart for running backs are more important here than most teams. Brown scored in all but one game that he played and would receive up to a dozen carries in some games. He scored in the previous game with the Redskins but only gained 17 yards on five carries. Bradshaw also scored once and gained 43 yards on 12 runs and added 22 yards on four receptions.

Martellus Bennett had his best game of the year when he gained 79 yards on five catches against the Redskins. Hakeem Nicks was held to only 53 yards on five receptions that week while Victor Cruz ended with seven receptions for 131 yards and one score for one of his best efforts of the season.

The rushing effort should be downplayed this week since the Skins already handled them last time and Brown is out. As good as the Skins may be playing, they did just give up 441 yards and three scores to Tony Romo. Manning threw for 337 yards and one score in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 20 7 10 23 1 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 10 32 31 22 2

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Eli Manning, NYG @DAL 0000023022 ***
Primacy? Eli threw for 624 yards and six TDs in last season's series with Dallas, plus he has four multiple-TD efforts in his last five and faces a Cowboys secondary that's surrendered 300-plus yards and multiple touchdowns twice in the past month. Recency? Eli looked awful in getting shut out by the Eagles last week, while the Cowboys have given up a total of 280 passing yards and zero TDs the past two games. The slight nod here goes to primacy with all parties involved trending back towards the norm.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Andre Williams, NYG @DAL 5002100000 ***
Williams was less than impressive in his feature-back debut last week, and facing the Cowboys won't make things any better. Despite the anticipated high volume of touches, look elsewhere for your fantasy help.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Rueben Randle, NYG @DAL 005401000 **
Randle has had decent success against the Cowboys in the past--10-233 in three meetings--and he looks to take over as the Giants' WR1 with Victor Cruz out. But Dallas has held five of six foes without a WR TD and no wideout has topped 70 yards against them since Anquan Boldin went for 99 in Week 1. Temper your expectations accordingly.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Preston Parker, NYG @DAL 003500000 ****
It's not a particularly favorable matchup, and Parker is clearly a tertiary option in the Giants' passing game so no need to reach this deep for fantasy help.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Odell Beckham, NYG @DAL 004500000 ***
It's not a particularly favorable matchup for the Giants' passing game, but Beckham's speed could cause problems--much like Victor Cruz did with 118 yards and three TDs the last time the Giants visited Dallas. With Beckham in the Cruz role there's at least a modicum of upside to his fantasy prospects this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Larry Donnell, NYG @DAL 006501000 ****
It's been a couple weeks since Donnell did anything of fantasy note, but a date with a Cowboys' defense that's allowing more fantasy points to the tight end position than any other squad could be the cure for what ails.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Josh Brown, NYG @DAL 1122 ***
It was all going so well... until Brown was blanked last week. The Cowboys haven't been overly friendly to opposing kickers, so don't expect Brown to leap back into the saddle this week.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 50,1 250,2
RB Alfred Morris 100 3-20
WR Pierre Garcon 5-80,1
WR Santana Moss 4-50
WR Andre Roberts 3-50
TE Logan Paulsen 5-50,1
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Skins are on a two game winning streak but apparently need to remain within their division to notch a victory. The last two wins - the Eagles and Cowboys - were preceded by a loss to the visiting Panthers. These last two games had at least 31 points in each and yet the two previous did not top 13. The good news - the Skins remain in the division again this week.

Robert Griffin III was on a down turn in his stats until these last two weeks. He threw for eight touchdowns over the first nine games and that included three times failing to score at all via the pass. But the last two games saw him throw four scores in each for the same total he needed nine games to attain. Griffin passed for 311 yards in Dallas but was rarely over 200 yards in the previous five weeks. Griffin's only good game in that time was against the Giants when he threw for 258 yards and two scores. He also rushed for 89 yards on nine carries.

Alfred Morris turned in a surprising 113 yards and one score in Dallas on 24 carries. It was his first score in five games and only his fourth time to surpass 100 rushing yards. Morris has no role as a receiver and derives his entire fantasy value via the run. In week seven, he gained a season high 120 yards on 22 runs while visiting the Giants.

The wide receiver crew continues to be a mish-mash of players that cannot offer enough production or reliability to merit much fantasy consideration. Santana Moss scored in four of the last five games and totals seven touchdowns on the season but almost never gains more than 50 yards in any game. The only real development here is that Pierre Garcon finally showed up a mere 11 weeks since his only decent game and posted five receptions for 93 yards and one score on the Cowboys during Thanksgiving Day.

Back in week seven, Moss caught both touchdown passes against the Giants and yet only ended with three catches for 67 yards in his best game of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 22 12 19 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 27 6 29 15 12 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kirk Cousins, WAS TEN 0000032021 ***
The last three QBs to face Tennessee have all thrown for 292 yards or better, averaging 340 and better than two TDs per outing. And we're not talking upper echelon QBs here, as that group includes Brian Hoyer and Blake Bortles. No reason Cousins, who himself has 250 yards or better in every outing this year and is averaging 330 yards per start, can't go off again.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alfred Morris, WAS TEN 601000000 ***
Morris hasn't hit the century mark yet this season, in part because his volume of touches is down and in part because of Jay Gruden's more pass-happy offense. Still, it's a favorable matchup against a Titans defense that's allowed four RB TDs in its past two road games and 100 yards or a score to five straight feature backs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS TEN 0051001000 ****
WR1s have done some damage to the Titans, and Jackson certainly appears to have blown past Pierre Garçon to claim that honor in DC. He's had back-to-back 100-yard games with a touchdown against solid secondaries; shouldn't be a problem for him to do the same in a more favorable matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS TEN 006700000 ***
Garçon's volume has taken a hit as DeSean Jackson has emerged in the Kirk Cousins-led Washington passing game. He's still a solid option, but expectations need to be kept in check.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Andre Roberts, WAS TEN 005400000 ***
Roberts has become a sneaky PPR play in the pass-heavy Washington attack. However, most of the damage against Tennessee's secondary is coming at the hands of WR1s so wait for a more favorable matchup to plug Andre into your fantasy lineup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS TEN 006801000 ****
Washington tight ends kept Reed's role in the offense plenty warm, so it wasn't at all shocking to see Reed return to 11 targets and 8-92 in his first game back from injury. He's a great play this week against a Titans defense that's allowed TE TDs in three straight games.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Kai Forbath, WAS TEN 1133 ***
Forbath has been hit or miss this year, and the Titans aren't a favorable enough matchup to bank on the "hit".

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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