FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: NYG 34, WAS 27 (LINE: NYG by 2.5)

Players to Watch: David Wilson

This is a replay of week seven when the Giants won 27-23. The Giants have a two game lead over the Redskins and Cowboys in the NFC East. The Redskins come off two wins over the Cowboys and Eagles and could make a real statement with a win in this game. This game shows how far the Redskins offense has really come. And how much the defense has not.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN 13-31
2 TB 41-34 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR 36-7 12 GB 38-10
4 @PHI 17-19 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE 41-27 14 NO -----
6 @SF 26-3 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS 27-23 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL 29-24 17 PHI -----
9 PIT 20-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 300,3
RB Peyton Hillis 20 2-10
RB Rashad Jennings 60
WR Victor Cruz 6-90,1
WR Rueben Randle 2-30

Pregame Notes: What a difference some rest makes. The Giants were on a two game losing streak with Eli Manning throwing ducks and not scoring. Take their bye and come back and voila! everything is well. Other than Andre Brown of course who was lost for the season with a broken leg. The first game against the Redskins was right at the start of the offensive struggles for the Giants. This week we get to see if everything really is all better or not.

The biggest change is how the Giants will deal with the loss of Brown who scored eight touchdowns in his role as the "thunder" of the backfield. David Wilson is next on the depth chart and certainly should see some increase but he's been mostly a special teamer and is not nearly as big as Brown. Wilson is a decent replace for Bradshaw perhaps, but the role that the 6-0, 227 lb. Brown filled is not what the 5-10, 202 lb Wilson is going to do.

The Giants just signed Ryan Torain who should figure in at some point. With Bradshaw less than Mr. Durability, the depth chart for running backs are more important here than most teams. Brown scored in all but one game that he played and would receive up to a dozen carries in some games. He scored in the previous game with the Redskins but only gained 17 yards on five carries. Bradshaw also scored once and gained 43 yards on 12 runs and added 22 yards on four receptions.

Martellus Bennett had his best game of the year when he gained 79 yards on five catches against the Redskins. Hakeem Nicks was held to only 53 yards on five receptions that week while Victor Cruz ended with seven receptions for 131 yards and one score for one of his best efforts of the season.

The rushing effort should be downplayed this week since the Skins already handled them last time and Brown is out. As good as the Skins may be playing, they did just give up 441 yards and three scores to Tony Romo. Manning threw for 337 yards and one score in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 20 7 10 23 1 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 10 32 31 22 2

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Eli Manning, NYG ARI 0000020012 ***
Eli's last multiple touchdown game came in Week 12 of last season against Dallas. His last multiple TD outing against a legit defense... wait, do the Eagles count? No? Okay, his last multiple TD outing against a legit defense came in Week 14 of 2012. And the new offense... it isn't helping.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Rashad Jennings, NYG ARI 6015300000 ****
Jennings' 50 receiving yards in Week 1 was a welcome bonus--and a necessary one if he's to carve out any fantasy value this week, as the Cards held a decent San Diego ground game to 2.1 yards per carry. Also good for Jennings: the Giants' passing game is so gawd-awful right now they have to give him 15-plus carries even if they're trailing.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Victor Cruz, NYG ARI 004500000 ***
You can't fault Victor's frustration, but if he didn't see this coming he may have been the only one. It will take time for the new offense to take in New York; until it does--and especially if Patrick Peterson opts to throw a blanket over Cruz this week--he's a difficult at best fantasy start.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jerrel Jernigan, NYG ARI 003300000 ***
Of course Jerrel Jernigan was the Giants' most targeted wideout in Week 1. Seeing as none of San Diego's receivers mustered more than 50 yards, you should probably lower your already-stooping expectations for Jernigan this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Rueben Randle, NYG ARI 002300000 ***
The good news is that Randle likely won't draw Patrick Peterson; the bad news is that it's still Eli Manning throwing the ball in his general direction.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Larry Donnell, NYG ARI 006601000 **
Donnell is no Antonio Gates, but he could play one this week. Donnell was Eli Manning's go-to guy in Week 1, while Gates found the seams in Arizona's defense to the tune of 6-81. What faint hope there is for the Giants' passing game likely runs through Donnell.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Josh Brown, NYG ARI 2222 ***
It's a good news/bad news situation for Brown--good that the Giants can't make it to the end zone, bad that they struggle to get Brown into range. Wait until the Giants work out the kinks in their offense before banking on him for fantasy help; it could be a while.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS vs NYG Rush Catch Pass
QB Robert Griffin III 50,1 250,2
RB Alfred Morris 100 3-20
WR Pierre Garcon 5-80,1
WR Santana Moss 4-50
WR Andre Roberts 3-50
TE Logan Paulsen 5-50,1
PK Kai Forbath 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Skins are on a two game winning streak but apparently need to remain within their division to notch a victory. The last two wins - the Eagles and Cowboys - were preceded by a loss to the visiting Panthers. These last two games had at least 31 points in each and yet the two previous did not top 13. The good news - the Skins remain in the division again this week.

Robert Griffin III was on a down turn in his stats until these last two weeks. He threw for eight touchdowns over the first nine games and that included three times failing to score at all via the pass. But the last two games saw him throw four scores in each for the same total he needed nine games to attain. Griffin passed for 311 yards in Dallas but was rarely over 200 yards in the previous five weeks. Griffin's only good game in that time was against the Giants when he threw for 258 yards and two scores. He also rushed for 89 yards on nine carries.

Alfred Morris turned in a surprising 113 yards and one score in Dallas on 24 carries. It was his first score in five games and only his fourth time to surpass 100 rushing yards. Morris has no role as a receiver and derives his entire fantasy value via the run. In week seven, he gained a season high 120 yards on 22 runs while visiting the Giants.

The wide receiver crew continues to be a mish-mash of players that cannot offer enough production or reliability to merit much fantasy consideration. Santana Moss scored in four of the last five games and totals seven touchdowns on the season but almost never gains more than 50 yards in any game. The only real development here is that Pierre Garcon finally showed up a mere 11 weeks since his only decent game and posted five receptions for 93 yards and one score on the Cowboys during Thanksgiving Day.

Back in week seven, Moss caught both touchdown passes against the Giants and yet only ended with three catches for 67 yards in his best game of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 22 12 19 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 27 6 29 15 12 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Robert Griffin III, WAS JAC 0000027011 ***
In theory this is a great offensive fit for RG3. And, in theory, this is an extremely favorable matchup against a defense that just gave up 322 and 2 to Philly. There's not a recent enough meeting between Gruden's Cincy offense and a Bradley-led Jaguars D to get another read on this matchup, so if you're a theory kind of gal you might like Griffin's fantasy upside this week. Hopefully you have a safer alternative.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alfred Morris, WAS JAC 1101000000 ****
Alf certainly wasn't bad in his debut in the new offense, he just didn't get the volume of touches that made him a fantasy stud. Against a defense that let LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles split 145 yards and a score last week, he may not need that volume.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Roy Helu, WAS JAC 2003200000 ***
Once the bye weeks Helu's role as the Redskins change of pace guy will have fantasy value. Right now, however, only in deeper leagues.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS JAC 008901000 ***
Fears of a drop in Garçon's targets appear to have been premature; he carved out value in Week 1 and should do the same against a Jacksonville secondary that couldn't contain Jeremy Maclin last week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS JAC 006700000 ***
The good news is that DJax was targeted almost as frequently as Pierre Garçon; the bad news is, we expected him to do more explosive things with those touches. He'll get another chance against a Jaguars D that let Jeremy Maclin get behind them, so no need to hit the panic button just yet.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Niles Paul, WAS JAC 004400000 ***
Paul may be listed as a wide receiver in some circles, but he'll be the Redskins' pass-catching tight end while Jordan Reed recovers from his latest injury. Paul's 4-86 in the opener led all Washington pass-catchers; you have to like his chances against Jaguars D fresh off surrendering 92 & 1 to Philly TEs.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Kai Forbath, WAS JAC 2222 ***
An offense that can't find the end zone isn't necessarily a bad thing, though Forbath and his fantasy owners wish the Redskins would get close a little more frequently.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t