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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: NYG 34, WAS 27 (LINE: NYG by 2.5)

Players to Watch: David Wilson

This is a replay of week seven when the Giants won 27-23. The Giants have a two game lead over the Redskins and Cowboys in the NFC East. The Redskins come off two wins over the Cowboys and Eagles and could make a real statement with a win in this game. This game shows how far the Redskins offense has really come. And how much the defense has not.

New York Giants
Homefield: Meadowlands Stadium
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 DAL 17-24 10 @CIN 13-31
2 TB 41-34 11 BYE -----
3 @CAR 36-7 12 GB 38-10
4 @PHI 17-19 13 @WAS -----
5 CLE 41-27 14 NO -----
6 @SF 26-3 15 @ATL -----
7 WAS 27-23 16 @BAL -----
8 @DAL 29-24 17 PHI -----
9 PIT 20-24 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
NYG @ WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Eli Manning 300,3
RB Rashad Jennings 60
RB Shane Vereen 40 2-20,1
WR Victor Cruz 6-90,1

Pregame Notes: What a difference some rest makes. The Giants were on a two game losing streak with Eli Manning throwing ducks and not scoring. Take their bye and come back and voila! everything is well. Other than Andre Brown of course who was lost for the season with a broken leg. The first game against the Redskins was right at the start of the offensive struggles for the Giants. This week we get to see if everything really is all better or not.

The biggest change is how the Giants will deal with the loss of Brown who scored eight touchdowns in his role as the "thunder" of the backfield. David Wilson is next on the depth chart and certainly should see some increase but he's been mostly a special teamer and is not nearly as big as Brown. Wilson is a decent replace for Bradshaw perhaps, but the role that the 6-0, 227 lb. Brown filled is not what the 5-10, 202 lb Wilson is going to do.

The Giants just signed Ryan Torain who should figure in at some point. With Bradshaw less than Mr. Durability, the depth chart for running backs are more important here than most teams. Brown scored in all but one game that he played and would receive up to a dozen carries in some games. He scored in the previous game with the Redskins but only gained 17 yards on five carries. Bradshaw also scored once and gained 43 yards on 12 runs and added 22 yards on four receptions.

Martellus Bennett had his best game of the year when he gained 79 yards on five catches against the Redskins. Hakeem Nicks was held to only 53 yards on five receptions that week while Victor Cruz ended with seven receptions for 131 yards and one score for one of his best efforts of the season.

The rushing effort should be downplayed this week since the Skins already handled them last time and Brown is out. As good as the Skins may be playing, they did just give up 441 yards and three scores to Tony Romo. Manning threw for 337 yards and one score in the first meeting.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points NYG 20 7 10 23 1 4
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 31 10 32 31 22 2

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Eli Manning, NYG @MIN 0000023012 ***
You saw what this group did to Cam Newton, right? Woof. Overall, though, Minnesota is technically the last of the "plus" matchups. Give the Vikes more credit than the numbers suggest, and it is in their new home stadium. Eli is an extremely risky play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Bobby Rainey, NYG @MIN 3003200000 **
Update: It appears as though Rashad Jennings will miss another game. Rainey has no place in the conversation of fantasy starters.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Orleans Darkwa, NYG @MIN 3001100000 **
Shane Vereen is out for the year, which leaves Darkwa and possibly Rashad Jennings (hand), if he can play with a cast, to shoulder the load. Maybe rookie Paul Perkins joins the fun. Play Darkwa only out of sheer desperation.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Paul Perkins, NYG @MIN 2002200000 *
Update: Perkins should see touches in replacement of Shane Vereen, but how many is anyone's guess. Play him only in PPR and only if you have no other viable choice or want to take a huge risk.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Odell Beckham Jr, NYG @MIN 006701000 **
The Vikes have allowed one touchdown on 35 catches by wideouts. Beckham is a must-play, even with the tough matchup. He typically is immune to them anyway.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Sterling Shepard, NYG @MIN 005500000 ***
Shepard played every snap but one on offense last week, and he's a WR3 play in PPR leagues. With all of the attention paid to OBJ, perhaps Shepard slides into the end zone this year.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Victor Cruz, NYG @MIN 004300000 ***
Cruz is a fringe flex play in PPR leagues. The Vikings have ceded a fair number of catches (35) but only one touchdown, ranking as the fifth hardest matchup for the position.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Larry Donnell, NYG @MIN 003200000 ***
While Donnell is not part of the game plan in a large enough way to make him a fantasy consideration, it never helps facing a defense like Minnesota's -- one that has prevented tight ends from scoring so far.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Josh Brown, NYG @MIN 3311 ***
Three teams are tougher against kickers. Minnesota's stifling defense has held opponents to just four total touchdowns and only three field goal kicks, with only two splitting the goalposts.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG -----
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL -----
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
WR Pierre Garcon 5-80,1
TE Vernon Davis 3-40

Pregame Notes: The Skins are on a two game winning streak but apparently need to remain within their division to notch a victory. The last two wins - the Eagles and Cowboys - were preceded by a loss to the visiting Panthers. These last two games had at least 31 points in each and yet the two previous did not top 13. The good news - the Skins remain in the division again this week.

Robert Griffin III was on a down turn in his stats until these last two weeks. He threw for eight touchdowns over the first nine games and that included three times failing to score at all via the pass. But the last two games saw him throw four scores in each for the same total he needed nine games to attain. Griffin passed for 311 yards in Dallas but was rarely over 200 yards in the previous five weeks. Griffin's only good game in that time was against the Giants when he threw for 258 yards and two scores. He also rushed for 89 yards on nine carries.

Alfred Morris turned in a surprising 113 yards and one score in Dallas on 24 carries. It was his first score in five games and only his fourth time to surpass 100 rushing yards. Morris has no role as a receiver and derives his entire fantasy value via the run. In week seven, he gained a season high 120 yards on 22 runs while visiting the Giants.

The wide receiver crew continues to be a mish-mash of players that cannot offer enough production or reliability to merit much fantasy consideration. Santana Moss scored in four of the last five games and totals seven touchdowns on the season but almost never gains more than 50 yards in any game. The only real development here is that Pierre Garcon finally showed up a mere 11 weeks since his only decent game and posted five receptions for 93 yards and one score on the Cowboys during Thanksgiving Day.

Back in week seven, Moss caught both touchdown passes against the Giants and yet only ended with three catches for 67 yards in his best game of the year.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 22 12 19 14 7
Preventing Fantasy Points NYG 27 6 29 15 12 3

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kirk Cousins, WAS CLE 0000030021 ***
Cousins is off to an up-and-down start, but home contest (where he usually kills it) versus the seventh softest defense of his position is a good way to capitalize on last week's promising effort.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Matt Jones, WAS CLE 6011100000 ***
Jones is a desperation play, but this week is a decent time to be needy. Cleveland has provided backs an average of 22.8 fantasy points in PPR scoring, allowing 385 offensive yards and three total touchdowns.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Thompson, WAS CLE 2003200000 ***
Thompson shouldn't be in any fantasy lineup, even with a favorable matchup like this one ... he doesn't touch the ball enough to matter.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS CLE 005801000 ***
D-Jax may not be 100 percent, but that probably won't matter against Cleveland. The Browns have granted six touchdowns to receivers, the second most in the league.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS CLE 005500000 ***
Crowder broke off a long touchdown but still has caught at least four balls in each game. Cleveland provides a matchup that only three teams can outdo. Crowder is a flex in PPR play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS CLE 004400000 ***
Garcon is a viable PPR dollar-saver against the fourth lamest matchup for this position. That said, Cleveland hasn't given up a lot of receptions (38) but the second most touchdowns (6) instead.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS CLE 007901000 ***
Reed never leaves traditional fantasy lineups, so the rest of this is just food for thought: Cleveland presents the eighth easiest matchup, but no tight end has scored on 22 aggregate catches.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS CLE 1133 ***
The Browns have allowed eight extra points and six of seven field goal kicks to go through the uprights. Washington's passing game shouldn't have much trouble here, which likely means more one-pointers than treys for Hopkins.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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