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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: PHI 13, DAL 34 (LINE: DAL by 9)

Players Updated: DeMarco Murray, Felix Jones, Miles Austin

Players to Watch: Bryce Brown

This is a replay of week 10 when the Cowboys won 38-23 in Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off their embarrassing loss on Thanksgiving while the Eagles just dropped their seventh straight game in this, their nightmare season.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford 190,1
RB Ryan Mathews 60 3-20
RB DeMarco Murray 60 1-10
RB Darren Sproles 7-60,1
WR Rueben Randle 2-30
TE Brent Celek 3-20

Pregame Notes: By this point, it is like watching a boxing match and the Eagles just made that turn where the legs wobble and you just know the end is near and there is no way they are coming back and this is not going to end with a TKO. It is going to be a face-first dead-fall to the canvas and then carried away. The Eagles just lost DeSean Jackson for the rest of the year with broken ribs. The offense is sputtering like you filled the car with gas you bought from some guy off the street for $1 a gallon. But none of that really matters anyway because the once-vaunted Eagles defense has allowed at least 28 points to each of the last five opponents. It is like they left on their week seven bye and just never returned.

Michael Vick is no lock to return this week and has not passed all his concussion tests. He'll be monitored this week and updated if warranted but even if healthy he may not play because the Eagles want to see what Nick Foles can do so they know just how much of the roster they have to burn to the ground and start over. In his second start, Foles only passed for only 119 yards against the Panthers with no scores.

LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play this week since his concussion is even worse than Vick's and Bryce Brown was great on Monday night. He rushed for 178 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and added four receptions for 11 yards. He ran with a lot more power than any Eagle's back in a long time. In week 10, McCoy gained 82 yards on 16 runs against the Cowboys.

All bets are off in the passing game. The Cowboy have a very good secondary that plays even better at home. And even better when at home against a passing attack that has all but evaporated. The loss of DeSean Jackson won't be felt too much because so little was happening anyway. Damaris Johnson and Riley Cooper gets more playing time but Jeremy Maclin is left behind as the only reasonable fantasy play and even he only ended with 55 yards on five catches on Monday as the lead receiver. Maclin did manage a team high eight catches for 93 yards and one score against the Cowboys in week ten. That seems astronomic now given what the offense has evolved into being.

Bryce Brown is really the only decent fantasy start left remaining. Maclin may be okay but there is more risk than reward. Playing in Dallas against a desperate Cowboys is not likely going to witness any turnaround.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 20 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 14 14 14 21 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Sam Bradford, PHI @NYG 0000025012 ***
Bradford managed 280 and a touch in the earlier meeting with the Giants, and who knows how things will work sans Chip Kelly this week. Bradford's upside isn't nearly sexy enough to suggest wading through the confusion to start him this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB DeMarco Murray, PHI @NYG 5013200000 *
The good news is that Chip Kelly's departure likely lets Murray out of the doghouse in Philly. The bad news is that no one knows what the running back rotation will look like under an interim play-caller. Murray was solid (22-109-1) in the earlier meeting and scored last week, but he hasn't seen 15 touches in a game since Week 11 and is simply too volatile to trust fully even in a favorable matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Ryan Mathews, PHI @NYG 500000000 **
Chip Kelly's departure throws the Philly backfield into further disarray. The reward is too small to offset the risk with so many backs getting touches, so best avoid the situation--or at least Matthews, coming off a six-touch game--entirely.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI @NYG 005801000 ***
Matthews has become the closest thing the Eagles have to a WR1, with back-to-back 100-yard games with a touchdown. He played third fiddle with 59 yards in the earlier meeting with the Giants, but he's a much better bet to reprise or improve upon those numbers than either Riley Cooler (3-76-1 against the Giants) or Miles Austin (3-60 in that same game).
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Rueben Randle, PHI @NYG 005601000 ***
It's been a month since the Eagles allowed multiple wideouts to score in the same game, but Randle has TDs in three straight and is playing a solid wingman to Odell Beckham Jr so don't discount him here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI @NYG 004500000 ***
There's some upside to the emerging Agholor against a Giants secondary that's given up a touchdown or at least 99 yards to multiple receivers in three of the past four games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chris Givens, PHI @NYG 002300000 ***
Givens is a home run guy, but this week he's in a pitcher's park--the Bengals have allowed only one WR TD in their past four at home--and having Ryan Mallet at quarterback is the equivalent of using a wiffle bat.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI @NYG 006800000 ***
Just as Ertz was living up to lofty preseason expectations with 30 targets, 21 catches, 200 yards and a touchdown the past two games... Chip Kelly gets canned. There's still plenty of fantasy upside against a Giants defense that has given up TE TDs in two straight and six 50-plus yard efforts in the past nine games--but also much more uncertainty.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Caleb Sturgis, PHI @NYG 1122 ***
Multiple field goals
in just one of last seven--
plus no Chip Kelly

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI 38-23
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE 23-20
3 TB 16-10 12 WAS 31-38
4 CHI 18-34 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL 29-31 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR 19-14 16 NO -----
8 NYG 24-29 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL 13-19 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 280,3
RB Darren McFadden 60 1-10
RB Alfred Morris 100 3-20
WR Cole Beasley 3-40
WR Dez Bryant 8-110,2
TE Jason Witten 8-80,1
PK Dan Bailey 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys 2012 season is shaping up to be about the same as any recent year with high expectations met with inconsistency and eventual disappointment when reality replaces optimism. At least for fantasy purposes, three of the next four games will be in Dallas where they tend to score better. Week 16 hosting the Saints could see more than a few championships be won with Dallas players.

Tony Romo comes off his best game of the year when he passed for 441 yards and three scores on the visiting Redskins and very nearly mounted a record-setting comeback. Romo will throw a score in every game but until last week there were only three other times that he threw for more than one score. His yardage remains high in most games but the scoring just has not been there. He threw for 209 yards and two scores in the last Philly game - his lowest yardage of the year.

DeMarco Murray's been out since week six and his return is still not certain. His foot continues to be a problem that prevents him from playing. In the meantime, Felix Jones is filling in as the starter and getting banged up and worn down because he's just not capable of a heavy load. Last week he was down to only six carries for 14 yards hobbled on two sore knees though he did catch three passes for 47 yards and a score. Surprisingly, one of his best games of the year was when he ran for 71 yards on 16 carries and added a score on his three catches for 22 yards in Philadelphia.

Miles Austin injured his hip against the Redskins and left during the first quarter. His status this week will be clearer once practices are held and he will be updated as warranted. Austin only caught two passes for 32 yards in Philly while Dez Bryant ended with 87 yards on five receptions and one score. Bryant is being targeted a ridiculous amount in recent weeks and was thrown 26 passes in just the last two games. He's scored in each of the last three games and posted exactly 145 yards in each of the last two matchups. Cole Beasley filled in for Austin last Thursday and produced a career best seven catches for 68 yards.

The Eagles are beyond reeling with seven losses in a row and now lost DeSean Jackson too. Both Vick and McCoy may not play. This is likely the final chance for the Cowboys to have a big win.

Have to like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 11 25 5 14 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kellen Moore, DAL WAS 0000019011 ***
Matt Cassel threw for 222 yards and zero TDs in the earlier meeting with Washington, and we've seen nothing from Moore to make us think things will be any better here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren McFadden, DAL WAS 10011100000 *
McFadden has 35 carries for 199 yards in two Kellen Moore starts and is averaging seven yards per carry with 310 rushing yards over the previous three games. The Cowboys will have to lean on him once again, moreso than the 14-53-1 he saw in Washington a month ago. Given the way he's running, he's a solid bet for more.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alfred Morris, DAL WAS 7011100000 ***
With Matt Jones sidelined Morris has a clearer path to carries; against a Cowboys defense that's given up 426 rushing yards the past three games--at better than five yards a carry--that volume leads to fantasy opportunity.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Cole Beasley, DAL WAS 005401000 **
Beasley has the most recent TD by an active Cowboys receiver--and it came back in Week 12. He's third among active wideouts in targets from Kellen Moore, making him an afterthought in a low-octane passing game; that's a tough role to create fantasy value from.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrance Williams, DAL WAS 003500000 **
With no Dez Bryant it's Williams' time to shine. However, with Kellen Moore at QB it'll be tough for him to capitalize against a Washington defense that's allowed WR1s to score and top 100 yards in three straight and four of the last five--the only exception being the earlier Cowboys/Redskins tilt.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jason Witten, DAL WAS 004400000 **
Witten is averaging a shade over 30 yards per game with Kellen Moore at the helm, and he still hasn't scored since Week 1. No reason to expect that slump to end here.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL WAS 1111 ***
Four treys vs. Redskins
with Cassel at quarterback
You trust Kellen Moore?

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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