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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: PHI 13, DAL 34 (LINE: DAL by 9)

Players Updated: DeMarco Murray, Felix Jones, Miles Austin

Players to Watch: Bryce Brown

This is a replay of week 10 when the Cowboys won 38-23 in Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off their embarrassing loss on Thanksgiving while the Eagles just dropped their seventh straight game in this, their nightmare season.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 180
QB Mark Sanchez 250,1
RB LeSean McCoy
RB Darren Sproles 7-60,1
WR Riley Cooper 3-40
WR Jeremy Maclin 6-60
TE Brent Celek 3-20

Pregame Notes: By this point, it is like watching a boxing match and the Eagles just made that turn where the legs wobble and you just know the end is near and there is no way they are coming back and this is not going to end with a TKO. It is going to be a face-first dead-fall to the canvas and then carried away. The Eagles just lost DeSean Jackson for the rest of the year with broken ribs. The offense is sputtering like you filled the car with gas you bought from some guy off the street for $1 a gallon. But none of that really matters anyway because the once-vaunted Eagles defense has allowed at least 28 points to each of the last five opponents. It is like they left on their week seven bye and just never returned.

Michael Vick is no lock to return this week and has not passed all his concussion tests. He'll be monitored this week and updated if warranted but even if healthy he may not play because the Eagles want to see what Nick Foles can do so they know just how much of the roster they have to burn to the ground and start over. In his second start, Foles only passed for only 119 yards against the Panthers with no scores.

LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play this week since his concussion is even worse than Vick's and Bryce Brown was great on Monday night. He rushed for 178 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and added four receptions for 11 yards. He ran with a lot more power than any Eagle's back in a long time. In week 10, McCoy gained 82 yards on 16 runs against the Cowboys.

All bets are off in the passing game. The Cowboy have a very good secondary that plays even better at home. And even better when at home against a passing attack that has all but evaporated. The loss of DeSean Jackson won't be felt too much because so little was happening anyway. Damaris Johnson and Riley Cooper gets more playing time but Jeremy Maclin is left behind as the only reasonable fantasy play and even he only ended with 55 yards on five catches on Monday as the lead receiver. Maclin did manage a team high eight catches for 93 yards and one score against the Cowboys in week ten. That seems astronomic now given what the offense has evolved into being.

Bryce Brown is really the only decent fantasy start left remaining. Maclin may be okay but there is more risk than reward. Playing in Dallas against a desperate Cowboys is not likely going to witness any turnaround.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 20 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 14 14 14 21 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Nick Foles, PHI @IND 0000028022 ****
Foles picked up right where he left off, tacking a 322 & 2 effort to a streak of eight straight games with the equivalent of multiple passing scores. An Indy defense fresh off surrendering 269 and 3 to Peyton Manning should help him run that string to double digits.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeSean McCoy, PHI @IND 5006501000 ***
Shady got his triple digit combo yardage in the season opener but failed to find the end zone--ceding the score and 15 touches to Darren Sproles. No reason to think McCoy can't reclaim his touchdown here, and the yardage is all but a given as he's now topped the century mark in yards from scrimmage in eight straight regular season contests.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren Sproles, PHI @IND 3004200000 ***
Sproles' running game role was a bit surprising, but you knew Chip Kelly would find a way to get him touches. Even if you can't bank on the consistent TD he's a PPR and yardage league fiend who warrants lineup consideration.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jeremy Maclin, PHI @IND 005801000 ****
Indy's secondary did a reasonably competent job of limiting Denver's wideouts in the season opener. Still, that shouldn't affect your plugging Maclin--the team's target leader last week--into your fantasy lineup with confidence.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Riley Cooper, PHI @IND 003400000 ***
There are more mouths to feed than ever in the Philly offense, and Cooper appears to have fallen behind Zach Ertz and Darren Sproles in the pecking order. That doesn't bode well for his fantasy prospects on a week-to-week basis, certainly when the position is deep during non-bye weeks.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI @IND 003400000 ***
Matthews remains mostly potential; until he moves into a more defined role in Chip Kelly's offense he's a fantasy non-entity.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI @IND 005801000 ****
Ertz is still splitting the tight end gig with Brent Celek, but he's doing more with his opportunities plus he gets to face an Indy defense that couldn't find Julius Thomas with a map and a flashlight last week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, PHI @IND 3222 ****
Thus far Parkey is making the decision to jettison Alex Henery--as well as the decision to plug him into your fantasy lineup--look smart.

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI 38-23
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE 23-20
3 TB 16-10 12 WAS 31-38
4 CHI 18-34 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL 29-31 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR 19-14 16 NO -----
8 NYG 24-29 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL 13-19 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 280,3
QB Brandon Weeden 220,1
RB DeMarco Murray 60 1-10
WR Cole Beasley 3-40
WR Dez Bryant 8-110,2
TE Jason Witten 8-80,1
PK Dan Bailey 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys 2012 season is shaping up to be about the same as any recent year with high expectations met with inconsistency and eventual disappointment when reality replaces optimism. At least for fantasy purposes, three of the next four games will be in Dallas where they tend to score better. Week 16 hosting the Saints could see more than a few championships be won with Dallas players.

Tony Romo comes off his best game of the year when he passed for 441 yards and three scores on the visiting Redskins and very nearly mounted a record-setting comeback. Romo will throw a score in every game but until last week there were only three other times that he threw for more than one score. His yardage remains high in most games but the scoring just has not been there. He threw for 209 yards and two scores in the last Philly game - his lowest yardage of the year.

DeMarco Murray's been out since week six and his return is still not certain. His foot continues to be a problem that prevents him from playing. In the meantime, Felix Jones is filling in as the starter and getting banged up and worn down because he's just not capable of a heavy load. Last week he was down to only six carries for 14 yards hobbled on two sore knees though he did catch three passes for 47 yards and a score. Surprisingly, one of his best games of the year was when he ran for 71 yards on 16 carries and added a score on his three catches for 22 yards in Philadelphia.

Miles Austin injured his hip against the Redskins and left during the first quarter. His status this week will be clearer once practices are held and he will be updated as warranted. Austin only caught two passes for 32 yards in Philly while Dez Bryant ended with 87 yards on five receptions and one score. Bryant is being targeted a ridiculous amount in recent weeks and was thrown 26 passes in just the last two games. He's scored in each of the last three games and posted exactly 145 yards in each of the last two matchups. Cole Beasley filled in for Austin last Thursday and produced a career best seven catches for 68 yards.

The Eagles are beyond reeling with seven losses in a row and now lost DeSean Jackson too. Both Vick and McCoy may not play. This is likely the final chance for the Cowboys to have a big win.

Have to like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 11 25 5 14 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Tony Romo, DAL @TEN 0000026012 ****
Will it be an issue that both the Cowboys and Titans wear blue? Because, you know, Tony likes to throw to a different color jersey. Life post-Verner hasn't been as bad as expected for the Tennessee secondary; they locked down Alex Smith, picking him thrice, and catch Romo coming off an INT hat trick of his own. Can't get giddy about Romo's fantasy prospects until he sheds the Vinny Testaverde designer sunglasses.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB DeMarco Murray, DAL @TEN 7014300000 ***
When's the last time the Cowboys ran twice as much as... well, anybody? Probably back when Nate Newton was running dope and Emmitt Smith was darting behind Larry Allen. In any event, Tennessee's run D numbers are inflated because Andy Reid, in his infinite wisdom, opted to run the ball just 11 times in Week 1. Murray carried 22 times all by himself--without injury, mind you--and produced 118 yards and a score. Toss in his increasing roll in the passing game and there are plenty of reasons to like Murray's prospects here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dez Bryant, DAL @TEN 006800000 ***
Donnie Avery racked up 84 yards against the Titans last week. Donnie Avery. Puh-leeze. Dez is twice the receiver Avery is, minimum. Downgrade a bit for the quarterback issues and Bryant is still a must-play this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrance Williams, DAL @TEN 004600000 ***
The Tennessee secondary is a different animal without Alterraun Verner, but it's worth noting that only once in the final 14 games of last year did a secondary receiver score or top 50 yards against the Titans--and that was the Broncos' juggernaut. That, coupled with Tony Romo's struggles, makes it tough to trust Williams as a viable fantasy play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jason Witten, DAL @TEN 004401000 ****
Witten was nearly non-existent in the season opener; he'll have a significantly larger role against a defense that allowed KC tight ends to rack up 6-78-1 last week--not to mention 13 tight ends to score or top 50 yards (or both) last year
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL @TEN 2222 ***
The Cowboys didn't give Bailey much opportunity to swing the leg in Week 1; expect an uptick in Week 2 from a defense that allowed multiple field goal attempts in six of eight home games last season.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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