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David Dorey
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WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: PHI 13, DAL 34 (LINE: DAL by 9)

Players Updated: DeMarco Murray, Felix Jones, Miles Austin

Players to Watch: Bryce Brown

This is a replay of week 10 when the Cowboys won 38-23 in Dallas. The Cowboys are coming off their embarrassing loss on Thanksgiving while the Eagles just dropped their seventh straight game in this, their nightmare season.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL -----
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ DAL Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 180
QB Mark Sanchez 250,1
RB LeSean McCoy
RB Darren Sproles 7-60,1
WR Riley Cooper 3-40
WR Jeremy Maclin 6-60
TE Brent Celek 3-20

Pregame Notes: By this point, it is like watching a boxing match and the Eagles just made that turn where the legs wobble and you just know the end is near and there is no way they are coming back and this is not going to end with a TKO. It is going to be a face-first dead-fall to the canvas and then carried away. The Eagles just lost DeSean Jackson for the rest of the year with broken ribs. The offense is sputtering like you filled the car with gas you bought from some guy off the street for $1 a gallon. But none of that really matters anyway because the once-vaunted Eagles defense has allowed at least 28 points to each of the last five opponents. It is like they left on their week seven bye and just never returned.

Michael Vick is no lock to return this week and has not passed all his concussion tests. He'll be monitored this week and updated if warranted but even if healthy he may not play because the Eagles want to see what Nick Foles can do so they know just how much of the roster they have to burn to the ground and start over. In his second start, Foles only passed for only 119 yards against the Panthers with no scores.

LeSean McCoy is unlikely to play this week since his concussion is even worse than Vick's and Bryce Brown was great on Monday night. He rushed for 178 yards and two touchdowns on 19 carries and added four receptions for 11 yards. He ran with a lot more power than any Eagle's back in a long time. In week 10, McCoy gained 82 yards on 16 runs against the Cowboys.

All bets are off in the passing game. The Cowboy have a very good secondary that plays even better at home. And even better when at home against a passing attack that has all but evaporated. The loss of DeSean Jackson won't be felt too much because so little was happening anyway. Damaris Johnson and Riley Cooper gets more playing time but Jeremy Maclin is left behind as the only reasonable fantasy play and even he only ended with 55 yards on five catches on Monday as the lead receiver. Maclin did manage a team high eight catches for 93 yards and one score against the Cowboys in week ten. That seems astronomic now given what the offense has evolved into being.

Bryce Brown is really the only decent fantasy start left remaining. Maclin may be okay but there is more risk than reward. Playing in Dallas against a desperate Cowboys is not likely going to witness any turnaround.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 20 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points DAL 9 14 14 14 21 27

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Mark Sanchez, PHI DAL 0000024011 ***
The league appears to be catching on to Sanchez, as his numbers continue to decline with each start. He salvaged fantasy value against the Cowboys with a rushing score but will be hard-pressed to do so again this time around.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeSean McCoy, PHI DAL 11011100000 ***
In his last two against the Cowboys Shady has 293 combo yards and two TDs. Philly would love to give him another heavy workload here in what might turn out to be a battle of the running backs as opposed to a Romo/Sanchez shootout.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren Sproles, PHI DAL 2003100000 ***
Sproles hasn't had 10 touches from scrimmage in a game since Week 2; not surprisingly, he hasn't scored double-digit fantasy points since Week 2 either. He was lightly used (four touches, 32 yards) in the earlier meeting with Dallas, and an uptick dramatic enough to reverse his fantasy fortunes seems unlikely.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jeremy Maclin, PHI DAL 006701000 ***
Maclin has first dibs on Philly's passing stats, as he's the kind of speed receiver that gives the Cowboys fits. He racked up 8-108 in the earlier meeting and has a touchdown or 100 yards in four of his last five meetings with Dallas; it's a solid track record, one suggesting Maclin will be a fantasy helper this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jordan Matthews, PHI DAL 005601000 ***
Matthews scored in the earlier meeting with Dallas and presents all kinds of matchup problems out of the slot. He's only slightly less likely than Jeremy Maclin to put up quality fantasy numbers against the Cowboys this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI DAL 004300000 ***
The Cowboys are one of the softer teams against tight ends, but Ertz was blanked in the earlier meeting and Brent Celek mustered only one catch. After watching Martellus Bennett go off for 12-84-1 against Dallas last week, while Ertz found the end zone, we're willing to give Ertz a shot at redemption here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Brent Celek, PHI DAL 003200000 ***
Sure, Celek could steal a score from Zach Ertz but he's too inconsistently targeted to be trusted with a fantasy spot at this critical juncture of the season.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Cody Parkey, PHI DAL 3333 ***
Parkey's hot streak came to a screeching halt against the Seahawks last week, but aside from two dates with NFC West powerhouses he's been uber-reliable with at least seven points and an average of almost 11 points per game. He racked up 15 the last time he saw Dallas, no reason to think he won't make his appointed rounds again this week.

Dallas Cowboys
Homefield: Cowboys Stadium
RealGrass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NYG 24-17 10 @PHI 38-23
2 @SEA 7-27 11 CLE 23-20
3 TB 16-10 12 WAS 31-38
4 CHI 18-34 13 PHI -----
5 BYE ----- 14 @CIN -----
6 @BAL 29-31 15 PIT -----
7 @CAR 19-14 16 NO -----
8 NYG 24-29 17 @WAS -----
9 @ATL 13-19 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DAL vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Tony Romo 280,3
QB Brandon Weeden 220,1
RB DeMarco Murray 60 1-10
WR Cole Beasley 3-40
WR Dez Bryant 8-110,2
TE Jason Witten 8-80,1
PK Dan Bailey 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: The Cowboys 2012 season is shaping up to be about the same as any recent year with high expectations met with inconsistency and eventual disappointment when reality replaces optimism. At least for fantasy purposes, three of the next four games will be in Dallas where they tend to score better. Week 16 hosting the Saints could see more than a few championships be won with Dallas players.

Tony Romo comes off his best game of the year when he passed for 441 yards and three scores on the visiting Redskins and very nearly mounted a record-setting comeback. Romo will throw a score in every game but until last week there were only three other times that he threw for more than one score. His yardage remains high in most games but the scoring just has not been there. He threw for 209 yards and two scores in the last Philly game - his lowest yardage of the year.

DeMarco Murray's been out since week six and his return is still not certain. His foot continues to be a problem that prevents him from playing. In the meantime, Felix Jones is filling in as the starter and getting banged up and worn down because he's just not capable of a heavy load. Last week he was down to only six carries for 14 yards hobbled on two sore knees though he did catch three passes for 47 yards and a score. Surprisingly, one of his best games of the year was when he ran for 71 yards on 16 carries and added a score on his three catches for 22 yards in Philadelphia.

Miles Austin injured his hip against the Redskins and left during the first quarter. His status this week will be clearer once practices are held and he will be updated as warranted. Austin only caught two passes for 32 yards in Philly while Dez Bryant ended with 87 yards on five receptions and one score. Bryant is being targeted a ridiculous amount in recent weeks and was thrown 26 passes in just the last two games. He's scored in each of the last three games and posted exactly 145 yards in each of the last two matchups. Cole Beasley filled in for Austin last Thursday and produced a career best seven catches for 68 yards.

The Eagles are beyond reeling with seven losses in a row and now lost DeSean Jackson too. Both Vick and McCoy may not play. This is likely the final chance for the Cowboys to have a big win.

Have to like the chance for a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DAL 11 25 5 14 12 24
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Tony Romo, DAL @PHI 0000023021 ***
Romo's one fantasy dog since returning from injury was his 199 & 0 at home against the Eagles. It was, surprisingly, Philly's only defensive effort of note since their Week 7 bye. Since that previous game seems to be an aberration on both ends, expect a return to the norm for Romo--which definitely makes him a fantasy option this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB DeMarco Murray, DAL @PHI 8007401000 ***
The Eagles have allowed triple-digit combo yardage to three of the last four feature backs they've faced, including Murray's 20-73-1 rushing/6-40 receiving in the earlier meeting. The Cowboys proved last week they aren't afraid to load up Murray with carries, and they'll likely try to do so here to keep Chip Kelly's offense on the sidelines. More carries equals that many more opportunities for Murray to have a big fantasy game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Dez Bryant, DAL @PHI 006801000 **
Bryant's 4-73 in the earlier meeting was the first time in five games against Philly in which he didn't either score or top 100 yards or both. Don't bet against him getting back in the saddle, but don't let your expectations run amok either.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Cole Beasley, DAL @PHI 004400000 ***
Big receiver numbers against Philly have tended to go to WR1s this year. Beasley may be a hot pickup after scoring twice last week, but he did so on just three catches and can't be looked to as a reliable fantasy contributor just yet.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrance Williams, DAL @PHI 002300000 ***
Williams has been a non-fantasy factor for the past five weeks, with little reason to anticipate that trend turning around here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jason Witten, DAL @PHI 002200000 ***
Philly has given up one TE TD all year, and they held Witten to eight yards in the earlier meeting. Plus, Gavin Escobar is swiping touchdowns. Add it up and it makes Witten a difficult fantasy play at best this week.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dan Bailey, DAL @PHI 1122 ***
Bailey went too long between double-digit points efforts to be viewed as a top-flight fantasy producer, and the last time he faced Philly he mustered a season-low four points. Keep a lid on those expectations this week.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

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