FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

Prediction: SEA 17, CHI 24 (LINE: CHI by 3)

Players Updated : Matt Forte, Michael Bush, Sidney Rice

Players to Watch: Marshawn Lynch, Michael Bush

The Seahawks won 38-14 in Chicago last season. It was late in the year when the Bears were without Jay Cutler and lost five in a row. That very nearly happened again. The 8-3 Bears are 5-1 at home so far and the 6-5 Seahawks just never play well away from home and sport a 1-5 road record.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ 28-7
2 DAL 27-7 11 BYE -----
3 GB 14-12 12 @MIA 21-24
4 @STL 13-19 13 @CHI -----
5 @CAR 16-12 14 ARI -----
6 NE 24-23 15 @BUF -----
7 @SF 6-13 16 SF -----
8 @DET 24-28 17 STL -----
9 MIN 30-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA @ CHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 30 180,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 90,1 2-10
RB Robert Turbin 3-20
WR Percy Harvin
TE Zach Miller 4-40
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks are playing a dangerous game. The two starting cornerbacks Richard Sherman and Brandon Browner have been suspended for four games because of violating the drug policy (Adderall) and they are appealing it. They will play this week for sure and may get it shortened. But if they don't it may end up extending to the playoffs which would be no time to be without your favorite cornerbacks. It may be a small distraction now and will have a big impact when it goes through.

Russell Wilson is on a string of two score games but his yardage is always lower than most and his worst two games of the year were on the road against good defenses (SF and STL). Wilson is always a good bet to remain below 200 yards unless the opposing secondary is below average.

Marshawn Lynch only gained 42 yards on 20 carries in Chicago last year but rushed in two touchdowns. He was held to 46 yards in Miami last week but was on a four game streak of 100+ yard games. The Bears rushing defense is very good but just allowed two rushing scores in Miami. This game is certain to be all about rushing and defense, so Lynch should at least get a decent volume of carries to work with and a chance for a score.

This will be a big challenge for Golden Tate and Sidney Rice. Charles Tillman has a chipped bone in his foot but has not been ruled out this week. He'll be a problem if he plays. Tate was on a three game scoring streak until last week in Miami. Both he and a Rice have been held to 50 yards or less for the last five weeks and really all year. The Seahawks either move via the rush or get good field position because of their defense. Wideouts factor in more as scoring plays than as possession receivers.

The Seahawks don't lose road games by much - but they almost always lose them.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 25 15 22 26 27 22
Preventing Fantasy Points CHI 3 3 7 19 8 25

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Russell Wilson, SEA @SD 20000019010 ***
Wilson is efficient, effective, and a bit of a fantasy enigma. Usually his team will run the ball and he'll do just enough for the win--not necessarily enough to load your fantasy stat sheet. Is he capable? Sure, and the Chargers just let Carson Palmer go for 304 & 2 against them. But he's as apt to give you 200 and 1 or 150 and 2 as he is something that's really helpful fantasy-wise.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Marshawn Lynch, SEA @SD 9011100000 ***
San Diego's run D wasn't particularly tested last week; that will change when Lynch gets his customary 15-20 carries. It's early in the season, he's well rested... no reason not to pencil him in for his usual Beast Mode fantasy outburst.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Percy Harvin, SEA @SD 3006700000 ***
The Seahawks will get Harvin his touches, but he'll find himself facing the usual quandaries: he may not get to a receiving or rushing milestone like 100 yards, so your league needs to reward combo yardage (or each yard individually) for maximum effect; and because Seattle's defense is so stout, there's really no need to blow Harvin up for a gaudy stat line.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA @SD 005600000 ***
Even though he's a solid WR2 he's on a team that doesn't need to throw a bunch. Worse, Russell Wilson is starting to spread the ball around to tertiary targets, making Baldwin that much more difficult to trust fantasy-wise.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Miller, SEA @SD 003400000 ***
Miller has the distinct displeasure of being a low-end target on a run-first team, and this matchup isn't favorable enough for him to be banked on for fantasy help.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Steven Hauschka, SEA @SD 2233 ****
With a defense like they have, the Seahawks can afford to settle for field goals--good news for Hauschka, as it's better to count by threes.

Chicago Bears
Homefield: Soldier Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 IND 41-21 10 HOU 6-13
2 @GB 10-23 11 @SF 7-32
3 STL 23-6 12 MIN 28-10
4 @DAL 34-18 13 SEA -----
5 @JAC 41-3 14 @MIN -----
6 BYE ----- 15 GB -----
7 DET 13-7 16 @ARI -----
8 CAR 23-22 17 @DET -----
9 @TEN 51-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
CHI vs SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Jay Cutler 10 220,1
RB Shaun Draughn 20 2-10
RB Matt Forte 60 4-20
WR Brandon Marshall 8-100,1
WR Josh Morgan 3-30
TE Martellus Bennett 5-60,1
PK Robbie Gould 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Bears got Jay Cutler back which is a good thing since the looming schedule is tough - Seattle this week and then three road games plus hosting the Packers. Unfortunately they may be without Matt Forte who twisted his ankle last week. Coupled with a pretty bad offensive line, it is a good thing that the defense alone is enough to win most games.

Jay Cutler only missed one game and though he only threw for 188 yards and a score last week, the game was well in hand and there was no need to pass. He completed his obligatory 12 passes to Brandon Marshall and called it a day. Cutler will need to not expose himself to the pass rush much this week with the Seahawks defense showing up. The Bears dodged a bullet with Cutler missing just one week.

Forte has not been ruled out and practices will clear up his status later in the week. Michael Bush is a capable replacement though not the receiver that Forte is or can he make the rushing gains. But he is a power runner with a nose for the end zone and should matchup well against the Seahawk. Armando Allen may help out a bit more but Bush will be taking pretty much the full load this week.

Alshon Jeffrey is back out with a knee scope and may not play the rest of the regular season. That makes the passing game once again all about Brandon Marshall and his obscene amount of targets every week. He's never had fewer than ten passes in a home game and the strangest part is that his best games often come against very good defenses. He has not scored in a home game since week seven though.

This will be all about defense with Forte ailing and Marshall standing alone as a receiver. Playing at home is a major advantage since the Seahawks are never as good away from Seattle. This stands a good chance of being the lowest scoring game of the week though I like a defensive score in this one.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CHI 28 14 18 31 9 1
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 4 12 2 7 5 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Jay Cutler, CHI @SF 0000029021 ***
If your league penalizes for INTs... well, you likely knew that going in so Cutler's picks won't come as a surprise. But he's also a solid bet for multiple touchdowns and decent yardage, and for as vaunted a defense as the Niners sport they've allowed 281, 407 and 348 yards in their last three regular-season tilts.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Matt Forte, CHI @SF 8007600000 ****
It wouldn't be off base to characterize Forte as a rich man's DeMarco Murry. And given that Murray carved out 143 yards from scrimmage against the Niners in the season opener, Forte's fantasy prospects are favorable once again this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Brandon Marshall, CHI @SF 006701000 *
Marshall remains the top dog in Chicago's passing game pecking order, especially if Alshon Jeffery's injury limits his availability. The Niners held Dez Bryant in relative check (4-55) in the season opener, but don't let that dissuade you from plugging Brandon into your fantasy lineup.
Update: Marshall did not practice all week and is listed as questionable for this week's game in San Francisco. With Alshon Jeffery also questionable, the Bears will take some pregame monitoring for fantasy purposes.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, CHI @SF 004701000 *
Jeffery has some injury issues to deal with, so keep tabs on his status later in the week. Assuming he goes, he's an every week fantasy start with upside against a defense that allowed three different wideouts to top 50 yards last week in Dallas.
Update: Jeffery's only practice this week came on a limited basis Friday, and he is officially listed as questionable for this week due to the hamstring injury that knocked him out of Chicago's Week 1 loss to Buffalo. You'll likely need to wait for a game time confirmation to use Jeffery with confidence this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Santonio Holmes, CHI @SF 002300000 ***
The Niners forced Tony Romo to diversify last week, and he responded by generating three 50-yard receivers and another with 42. Holmes is clearly the third wheel in Chicago, but if San Fran takes a similar approach to defending Marshall and Jeffery he could force himself into the fantasy photo.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Martellus Bennett, CHI @SF 003300000 ***
With both Brandon Marshall and Alshon Jeffery in and out of the lineup with various nicks and bruises last week, Bennett stepped up with 10 targets, eight catches, 70 yards and a TD. He could be in line for something similar if Jeffery's injury limits his availability; otherwise temper expectations as Bennett is clearly behind Marshall and Alshon in the passing game pecking order.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Robbie Gould, CHI @SF 2222 ***
Old Candlestick wasn't particularly kind to opposing kickers; six of the eight who visited San Fran last season left with one or zero field goals. Whether or not the new digs will be as frustrating remains to be seen; in the interim, Gould remains a decent fantasy play tacking on points for a reasonably prolific offense.

WEEK 13
2012
NO at ATL (THU) *CLE at OAK *MIN at GB *SEA at CHI
*ARI at NYJ HOU at TEN NE at MIA *SF at STL
CAR at KC *IND at DET *PHI at DAL TB at DEN
*UPDATED *CIN at SD *JAC at BUF *PIT at BAL NYG at WAS (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t