FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

Prediction: ARI 0, SEA 24 Line (SEA by 10.5)

Players Updated: Ryan Lindley, John Skelton, Larry Fitzgerald

Players to Watch: Do Larry Fitzgerald a solid and don't watch

The 4-8 Cardinals continue to swirl down the drain with an eight game losing streak but amazingly opened the season with a win over these Seahawks. The even bigger problem is that the 7-5 Seahawks are an undefeated 5-0 at home and still have designs on making the playoffs if not challenge for the division.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL 19-23
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL 17-31
4 MIA 24-21 13 @NYJ 6-7
5 @STL 3-17 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF 16-19 15 DET -----
7 @MIN 14-21 16 CHI -----
8 SF 3-24 17 @SF -----
9 @GB 17-31 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Carson Palmer 260,2
WR Larry Fitzgerald 4-50

Pregame Notes: A brutal season just gets worse and worse with an eight game losing streak that does not appear likely to stop until maybe next year. Road trips to Seattle and San Francisco are bound to be painful and even the two home games go against the Lions and Bears. The offense has completely fallen apart and as an entire team in a sixty minute game, the Cards only gained 72 passing yards and 81 rushing yards. 40 of those rush yards came on a trick punt. So really the offense produced just a smidgen over 100 yards on the entire afternoon.

Ryan Lindley was never benched though he completed only 10 of 31 passes for 72 yards and one interception. Kevin Kolb remains out but the coaching staff doesn't want to use John Skelton. It doesn't matter in fantasy terms but the situation in Arizona could change during the week.

Beanie Wells only gained 22 yards on 15 carries in New York and LaRod Stephens-Howling was limited to only one run. Wells is back to being the plodding, injury-prone back that holds a job for no apparent reason. With a brutal set of defenses coming up, there is no reason to expect any changes for this year.

Worse yet, Larry Fitzgerald was the lead receiver last week because he caught one pass for 23 yards. That's all. Lindley has been so bad that even Fitzgerald can do nothing to help. Over the last three games, Fitzgerald has only caught a total of five passes and 65 yards. He's well on his way to his worst season in his career and at the age of 29 still has several good years ahead of him but his talent is absolutely squandered in Arizona. The offseason must conjure up a good quarterback because outside of Fitzgerald, all of the elements of this offense are so far below average that it's a wonder they play games. it has been nine games since the Cards were able to score 20 points in a game.

Forget what happened in the season opener. There is no fantasy value here on a good week and playing in Seattle may be about as back as it gets given that they know the Cardinals all too well and need to win. This is a decent set-up for a shutout.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 26 30 16 28 25 13
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 4 12 2 7 5 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Drew Stanton, ARI SF 0000019011 ***
In this offense Carson Palmer posted matching gems of 298 and 2 and 407 and 2 against the Niners. Stanton is capable of running Bruce Arians' offense, but until we see more--a touchdown pass would be nice, for starters--he can't be banked on for fantasy assistance.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Andre Ellington, ARI SF 7003200000 ***
At this point the injury risk--the limited practice time, the questionable status, the game-time decision--is assumed. But thus far Ellington has produced, 181 yards from scrimmage in two games of work. He racked up 131 combo yards and a touchdown on 24 touches in last season's series; with a greater workload his numbers should uptick as well, especially against a San Fran D that served up 143 combo yards to DeMarco Murray in its last road game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Floyd, ARI SF 004601000 **
Floyd has yet to make the love connection with Drew Stanton, but six targets suggest it wasn't due to lack of trying. It's not a tremendously favorable matchup, but Floyd has scored or topped 90 yards in each of his last three matchups with the Niners and can't be discounted here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI SF 006500000 ****
Fitz loves when the Niners come to town; over his 10 year career he's posted five 100-yard games and scored six times in home games against San Francisco. He may be slipping down the Cardinals' passing game pecking order, but don't dock him due to Drew Stanton helming the club rather than Carson Palmer; after all, he's succeeded with worse.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR John Brown, ARI SF 003400000 ***
Drew Stanton isn't digging as deep into the Arizona receiver depth as Carson Palmer did, which dings Brown's fantasy value. So does a matchup with a San Francisco secondary that has yet to allow a wideout to top 60 yards against them this season.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE John Carlson, ARI SF 003300000 ***
The Cards have yet to generate 100 yards among its tight ends this season; the Niners have allowed but 60. Nothing to see here.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chandler Catanzaro, ARI SF 2122 ***
Catanzaro has multiple field goals in each game this season... but the Niners have allowed but one trey all year. In what will likely be a low-scoring affair, best side with the defense and seek your fantasy kicks elsewhere.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ 28-7
2 DAL 27-7 11 BYE -----
3 GB 14-12 12 @MIA 21-24
4 @STL 13-19 13 @CHI 23-17
5 @CAR 16-12 14 ARI -----
6 NE 24-23 15 @BUF -----
7 @SF 6-13 16 SF -----
8 @DET 24-28 17 STL -----
9 MIN 30-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 30 200,2
RB Marshawn Lynch 120,1 1-10
WR Percy Harvin
TE Zach Miller 2-10
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks remain in playoff contention with their overtime win in Chicago that was their most impressive effort this year. Easily. The Seahawks were stuck at winning all games at home but then losing on the road to all but the worst of teams. Beating the Bears will make a difference and is a confidence booster. Most importantly, it showcased the progress of Russell Wilson.

Wilson has been on a five game streak of throwing multiple touchdowns and the 293 yards in Chicago was also a personal best that tied his effort against the Patriots. Russell even added 71 rush yards last week on nine runs. His yardage still typically remains average at best thanks to running Marshawn Lynch but scoring more than once every week makes him fantasy relevant and even reliable. He's come a long way since opening the year with 153 yards and one score in Arizona.

Marshawn Lynch has also been on a roll with scores in four of the last five games and 98+ yards in all but one home game. He ran for 85 yards on 21 runs in the season opener versus the Cardinals and scored six times since.

Sidney Rice caught the game winner last week but was blasted on the play and remained down for several minutes. He has since cleared all concussion tests and will be available again this week. The progress made by Wilson has been almost entirely related to using his two starting wideouts better. Golden Tate scored four times over the last four games and comes off a career best 96 yards on five catches with one touchdown in Chicago. His last two home games combined for three scores. Rice scored five times over the last five games and also comes off a season best 99 yards on six catches with one score in Chicago.

By this point, the Seahawks have now provided several fantasy relevant players. Lynch remains one of the most consistent backs in the league and WIlson, Rice and Tate are all decent plays for at least average points though rarely anything considered big. The Cardinals defense has not left them yet and most teams no longer take them too seriously so the game scores typically remain on the low side from what could be.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 25 15 22 26 27 22
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 5 9 16 3 15 30

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Russell Wilson, SEA DEN 20000020021 ***
Wilson has multiple TD tosses in his last three games, including 206 and 2 in the Super Bowl win over Denver. That's enough to make him a consistent low-end fantasy contributor, with the upside of anything he brings to the table as a rusher.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Marshawn Lynch, SEA DEN 8012100000 ****
Lynch didn't contribute a ton to the Super Bowl win, and he was shut down by the Chargers last week in San Diego. However, he's rock solid at home and should find success against a defense that let Knile Davis rack up 79 yards and score twice against them last week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Percy Harvin, SEA DEN 4002301000 ***
Harvin doesn't need to touch the ball to impact opposing defenses--though sadly that impact doesn't do much for fantasy bottom lines. Expect the Seahawks to find ways to get the ball into Harvin's hands, with the result being enough productivity to warrant a fantasy start.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA DEN 003400000 ***
Not that Seattle's tertiary offensive players don't contribute; more that they don't contribute consistently and therefore are difficult to trust with a fantasy start. As the secondary receiver in a run-first offense, Baldwin falls directly into that category.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jermaine Kearse, SEA DEN 002300000 ***
Kearse's 61 yards last week mark the best showing by a Seahawk wideout this season. Of course, that came on the heels of a one-catch, eight-yard outing in the opener so he can't be trusted with a fantasy start.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Miller, SEA DEN 003300000 ***
The upside to Miller is that the Broncos allowed a TE TD in Week 1 and 130 yards to the position last week. The downside is that 130 is double Miller's year-to-date yardage and he has yet to visit the end zone this year. Positive matchup, but not a player you can trust to take advantage.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Steven Hauschka, SEA DEN 2233 ***
Kicking on a team with enough offense to get you there and enough defense to allow you to settle for field goals ain't a bad gig at all; just ask Hauschka.

WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

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