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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

Prediction: ARI 0, SEA 24 Line (SEA by 10.5)

Players Updated: Ryan Lindley, John Skelton, Larry Fitzgerald

Players to Watch: Do Larry Fitzgerald a solid and don't watch

The 4-8 Cardinals continue to swirl down the drain with an eight game losing streak but amazingly opened the season with a win over these Seahawks. The even bigger problem is that the 7-5 Seahawks are an undefeated 5-0 at home and still have designs on making the playoffs if not challenge for the division.

Arizona Cardinals
Homefield: University of Phoenix Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SEA 20-16 10 BYE -----
2 @NE 20-18 11 @ATL 19-23
3 PHI 27-6 12 STL 17-31
4 MIA 24-21 13 @NYJ 6-7
5 @STL 3-17 14 @SEA -----
6 BUF 16-19 15 DET -----
7 @MIN 14-21 16 CHI -----
8 SF 3-24 17 @SF -----
9 @GB 17-31 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
ARI @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Lindley
QB Carson Palmer 260,2
RB Jonathan Dwyer 80,1 3-20
WR Larry Fitzgerald 4-50
PK Jay Feely

Pregame Notes: A brutal season just gets worse and worse with an eight game losing streak that does not appear likely to stop until maybe next year. Road trips to Seattle and San Francisco are bound to be painful and even the two home games go against the Lions and Bears. The offense has completely fallen apart and as an entire team in a sixty minute game, the Cards only gained 72 passing yards and 81 rushing yards. 40 of those rush yards came on a trick punt. So really the offense produced just a smidgen over 100 yards on the entire afternoon.

Ryan Lindley was never benched though he completed only 10 of 31 passes for 72 yards and one interception. Kevin Kolb remains out but the coaching staff doesn't want to use John Skelton. It doesn't matter in fantasy terms but the situation in Arizona could change during the week.

Beanie Wells only gained 22 yards on 15 carries in New York and LaRod Stephens-Howling was limited to only one run. Wells is back to being the plodding, injury-prone back that holds a job for no apparent reason. With a brutal set of defenses coming up, there is no reason to expect any changes for this year.

Worse yet, Larry Fitzgerald was the lead receiver last week because he caught one pass for 23 yards. That's all. Lindley has been so bad that even Fitzgerald can do nothing to help. Over the last three games, Fitzgerald has only caught a total of five passes and 65 yards. He's well on his way to his worst season in his career and at the age of 29 still has several good years ahead of him but his talent is absolutely squandered in Arizona. The offseason must conjure up a good quarterback because outside of Fitzgerald, all of the elements of this offense are so far below average that it's a wonder they play games. it has been nine games since the Cards were able to score 20 points in a game.

Forget what happened in the season opener. There is no fantasy value here on a good week and playing in Seattle may be about as back as it gets given that they know the Cardinals all too well and need to win. This is a decent set-up for a shutout.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points ARI 26 30 16 28 25 13
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 4 12 2 7 5 10

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Carson Palmer, ARI SF 0000026021 ****
Palmer's 298 & 2 in the earlier meeting was the fourth-biggest game the Niners have allowed to a quarterback. However, he's had just one TD toss in each of the past three games, with declining yardage totals so he's a risky fantasy play at best.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Andre Ellington, ARI SF 4014300000 ****
Ellington scored in Arizona's earlier meeting with the Niners, but he's still playing second fiddle to Rashard Mendenhall in the touches category which makes him a risky play at best in this matchup.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Rashard Mendenhall, ARI SF 500000000 ***
The Niners haven't allowed much in the way of RB TDs, but the last few (Steven Jackson, Marshawn Lynch, Jed Collins) have been the goal-line types Mendenhall has made a habit of this season. Not saying it will happen necessarily, but at least acknowledging there's a chance.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Larry Fitzgerald, ARI SF 0051001000 ****
Glimmers of hope after Larry's tough game against Richard Sherman last week. For starters, Fitz scored as part of a 6-117-1 outing the last time he faced San Francisco. Factor in the Niners giving up touchdowns to WR1s in back-to-back games and Fitz is at least back on the fantasy radar here.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Michael Floyd, ARI SF 005601000 ***
The Niners have allowed just three WR TDs in the past seven games, so while Floyd scored last week and scored in the earlier meeting with San Francisco he's still a risky fantasy play given that Larry Fitzgerald still sees most of the Cardinals' WR targets.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Ted Ginn Jr., ARI SF 003500000 ***
Ginn is more of a deep threat and less likely to take over Steve Smith's role as the Panthers' go-to wideout should Smith sit this one out. That puts a limit on his upside this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Rob Housler, ARI SF 003300000 ***
If Housler weren't battling Jake Ballard and Jim Dray for looks on his own team, we'd be more optimistic about him taking advantage of a San Francisco defense that's allowed TE TDs in three straight games and a total of 228 yards to the position in that span.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jay Feely, ARI SF 1133 ***
No team has given up fewer points to kickers than the Niners, and they held Feely to just a couple PATs in the earlier meeting. Both teams are still playing for something, but with points at a premium you'll want to get your kicks elsewhere.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ 28-7
2 DAL 27-7 11 BYE -----
3 GB 14-12 12 @MIA 21-24
4 @STL 13-19 13 @CHI 23-17
5 @CAR 16-12 14 ARI -----
6 NE 24-23 15 @BUF -----
7 @SF 6-13 16 SF -----
8 @DET 24-28 17 STL -----
9 MIN 30-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs ARI Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 30 200,2
RB Marshawn Lynch 120,1 1-10
WR Percy Harvin
WR Sidney Rice 4-60,1
TE Zach Miller 2-10
PK Steven Hauschka 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks remain in playoff contention with their overtime win in Chicago that was their most impressive effort this year. Easily. The Seahawks were stuck at winning all games at home but then losing on the road to all but the worst of teams. Beating the Bears will make a difference and is a confidence booster. Most importantly, it showcased the progress of Russell Wilson.

Wilson has been on a five game streak of throwing multiple touchdowns and the 293 yards in Chicago was also a personal best that tied his effort against the Patriots. Russell even added 71 rush yards last week on nine runs. His yardage still typically remains average at best thanks to running Marshawn Lynch but scoring more than once every week makes him fantasy relevant and even reliable. He's come a long way since opening the year with 153 yards and one score in Arizona.

Marshawn Lynch has also been on a roll with scores in four of the last five games and 98+ yards in all but one home game. He ran for 85 yards on 21 runs in the season opener versus the Cardinals and scored six times since.

Sidney Rice caught the game winner last week but was blasted on the play and remained down for several minutes. He has since cleared all concussion tests and will be available again this week. The progress made by Wilson has been almost entirely related to using his two starting wideouts better. Golden Tate scored four times over the last four games and comes off a career best 96 yards on five catches with one touchdown in Chicago. His last two home games combined for three scores. Rice scored five times over the last five games and also comes off a season best 99 yards on six catches with one score in Chicago.

By this point, the Seahawks have now provided several fantasy relevant players. Lynch remains one of the most consistent backs in the league and WIlson, Rice and Tate are all decent plays for at least average points though rarely anything considered big. The Cardinals defense has not left them yet and most teams no longer take them too seriously so the game scores typically remain on the low side from what could be.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 25 15 22 26 27 22
Preventing Fantasy Points ARI 5 9 16 3 15 30

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Russell Wilson, SEA STL 20000016010 ***
It's been a month since Wilson's last multiple touchdown outing, and he's topped out at just 206 passing yards over that span. He threw for 139 and 2 in the win in St. Louis, but with just one rushing score in his last dozen games Wilson has had to rely on his passing for fantasy numbers--and they simply haven't been there.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Marshawn Lynch, SEA STL 7012100000 ***
The Rams haven't allowed a 50-yard rusher since Week 12, a 100-yard rusher since Week 9, and held Lynch to a pedestrian 23 yard outing back in Week 8. Lynch hasn't had a 100-yard game since Week 9, but he has nine touchdowns in seven home games and will at minimum get you a score--with the upside of something better.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA STL 005600000 ***
Baldwin has the Seahawks' last three WR TDs, so he's the most likely candidate to take advantage of a Rams' secondary that's allowed at least one receiver to score or top 98 yards in each of the past six games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Miller, SEA STL 000004301 ****
Miller scored last week, but that was against Arizona--everybody's tight end scores against Arizona. This is the Rams, a team that held Miller to 14 yards in the previous meeting and has given up just four TE TDs on the season.

WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

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