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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: CHI 27, Adrian Peterson 20 (Line:CHI by 3)
Players Updated: Earl Bennett, Michael Bush
Players to Watch: Matt Forte, Adrian Peterson
The 8-4 Bears travel to Minnesota with a 3-2 road record and face the 6-6 Vikings who are on a two game losing streak. This is a replay of week 12 - just two games ago - when the Bears won handily 28-10 in Chicago.
Chicago Bears |
| Homefield: Soldier Field |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
IND |
41-21 |
10 |
HOU |
6-13 |
| 2 |
@GB |
10-23 |
11 |
@SF |
7-32 |
| 3 |
STL |
23-6 |
12 |
MIN |
28-10 |
| 4 |
@DAL |
34-18 |
13 |
SEA |
17-23 |
| 5 |
@JAC |
41-3 |
14 |
@MIN |
----- |
| 6 |
BYE |
----- |
15 |
GB |
----- |
| 7 |
DET |
13-7 |
16 |
@ARI |
----- |
| 8 |
CAR |
23-22 |
17 |
@DET |
----- |
| 9 |
@TEN |
51-20 |
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Pregame Notes: The Bears are not going to catch up to the 11-1 Falcons but they are a half game behind the 49ers who they lost to in week 11. That makes getting a #2 seed daunting and a home game versus the 8-4 Packers looms on the other side of this game for what will likely be the divisional title. That makes looking past this week something that the Bears cannot afford to do since every win is important and in particular divisional wins since the Packers already beat Chicago back in week two.
Jay Cutler passed for 188 yards and one score in the first meeting with the Vikes in his first game back from a concussion. He's thrown for multiple scores in the last three road games along with healthy yardage.
Matt Forte only gained 42 yards on 14 runs when the Vikings visited but left that game in the third quarter with an ankle injury. He was able to play against the Seahawks just last week when he ran 21 times for 66 yards and added three catches for 30 yards and one touchdown. He'll be healthy entering this game and Michael Bush accounted for 21 runs and 60 yards replacing Forte in that game. Bush also rushed in two touchdowns as well. The 126 rush yards and two scores are why Cutler did not need to throw as much in the last matchup.
As always, only Brandon Marshall matters in the passing game and he turned in a season high 12 catches for 92 yards on the Vikings. Just last week versus the Seahawks, Marshall was able to rack up ten receptions for a season best 165 yards. The equation is not hard to decipher here - Forte runs and catches the ball, add in a little Michael Bush and then throw every other pass to Marshall. That gets you to 8-4 tied for the division lead.
There is still an outside chance that Alshon Jeffrey returns this week to a limited role since it has been over two weeks since he had his knee scoped. LC Brian Urlacher will miss this and the next couple of games with a hamstring strain which will not hurt the stats of Adrian Peterson.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
CHI |
28 |
14 |
18 |
31 |
9 |
1 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
MIN |
22 |
16 |
11 |
20 |
14 |
12 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Jay Cutler, CHI |
@DET |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 240 | 2 | 1 |    |
| Sure, the Lions held Cutler to 150 and 1 in the earlier meeting. But Detroit has now allowed 30-plus points in four of the last five and 24 or more in seven straight and really only cares about getting their passing game some records. In other words, defense is even less of a priority than usual. With the Bears in must-win mode and Matt Forte banged up, Cutler might actually put up decent numbers this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Matt Forte, CHI |
@DET |
80 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Forte says he'll play on his ankle injury in this must-win game for the Bears, and he has historically fared quite well against Detroit: 100 yards from scrimmage and/or a touchdown in each of his nine career meetings with the Lions. It would be nice, however, to see him get some practice time in this week before trusting him with a fantasy start. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Brandon Marshall, CHI |
@DET |
0 | 0 | 8 | 120 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Marshall needs 34 yards to reach 1,500; that's pretty much a given. In fact, 34 catches for the guy who could finish the season with 100 more catches than the next closest Bear wideout wouldn't be all that shocking. The Bears need to win, which means a heavy dose of Marshall once again. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Alshon Jeffery, CHI |
@DET |
0 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| If there's to be any leftovers after Brandon Marshall takes his 20 catches off the top, they'll go to Jeffery. Considering the Falcons saw both their talented wideouts find the end zone last week, Jeffery's not a bad play in a must-win game for the Bears. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Martellus Bennett, CHI |
@DET |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Bennett was held to just one catch in the earlier meeting with Philly, and Bear Pascoe stole his touchdown in that game. The Eagles haven't given up a TE TD in more than a month, yet another trend that makes Bennett a difficult at best fantasy start. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Steve Maneri, CHI |
@DET |
0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| With Tony Moeaki hurt, Maneri is the tight end of record in Kansas City. Or so we think; he hasn't seen a target since mid-October. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Olindo Mare, CHI |
@DET |
2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |    |
| The Bears need to win, the Lions give up tons of points, and the weather won't be a factor. Not a bad combo if you're in need of a kicker this week. |
Minnesota Vikings |
| Homefield: Metrodome |
FieldTurf |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
JAC |
26-23 ot |
10 |
DET |
34-24 |
| 2 |
@IND |
20-23 |
11 |
BYE |
----- |
| 3 |
SF |
24-13 |
12 |
@CHI |
10-28 |
| 4 |
@DET |
20-13 |
13 |
@GB |
14-23 |
| 5 |
TEN |
30-7 |
14 |
CHI |
----- |
| 6 |
@WAS |
26-38 |
15 |
@STL |
----- |
| 7 |
ARI |
21-14 |
16 |
@HOU |
----- |
| 8 |
TB |
17-36 |
17 |
GB |
----- |
| 9 |
@SEA |
20-30 |
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Pregame Notes: The killer schedule is still drawing blood and these final four games could all be losses - the Vikings will be underdogs in each. This is a replay of just two weeks ago when the Vikings lost by 18 points and the offense is struggling outside of Adrian Peterson. Greatly struggling. Enough so that now HC Leslie Frazier gets the weekly task of throwing his support behind his starting quarterback.
Christian Ponder has only gotten worse as the season progressed and he's only scored six times over the last six games while throwing seven interceptions and four times failing to pass for more than 160 yards. In Chicago, he was only good for 159 yards and one score with both an interception and turnover.Last week was 119 yards and one score in Green Bay.
Ponder is getting little help outside of Kyle Rudolph who scored in Chicago with 55 yards on five catches. The second-year tight end scored in each of the last three games while remaining just above 50 yards in each and on this offense that is wildly productive.
Percy Harvin remains out and with him any chance of a success passing effort. Harvin was initially hoped to return last week but that never happened. He has been diagnosed with a Grade 3 ankle sprain which involves a completely torn ligament. He may be able to play this week but will require pain injections to do so. In his place Jarius Wright has been of little help along with every other wideout. There is no element of this passing offense that contains fantasy relevancy.
Adrian Peterson literally is carrying the entire offense. He is on a six game streak of 100+ yard games including 210 yards and a score in Green Bay last week. He scored in each of those six games except, of course, the Bears game in Chicago when he "only" managed 108 yards on 18 runs but added six receptions for 30 yards. Peterson currently stands at 1446 rushing yards which is a pace that would end at 1928 yards. He's actually been far more productive as the season progresses and, sadly, as the rest of the offense disappears. Fortunately the Vikings are not squandering Peterson prime years by forcing him to carry the team. No wait. That is exactly what is happening. Imagine Peterson playing in a high powered offense. With a good quarterback.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
MIN |
27 |
12 |
30 |
16 |
6 |
21 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
CHI |
3 |
3 |
7 |
19 |
8 |
25 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Christian Ponder, MIN |
GB |
20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 190 | 0 | 1 |    |
| Ponder hasn't topped 200 yards since Week 10 and has three passing TDs in the last five games. He's all about managing the game, and fantasy teams don't need to have the game managed for them. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Adrian Peterson, MIN |
GB |
120 | 1 | 5 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Peterson is playing through an abdomen injury... but if he can rush for 1,800 yards in the year since having his knee surgically repaired, what's another 100 in a "win and you're in" game? There's also a reasonable chance AD reprises the 210 he dropped on Green Bay in the earlier meeting, which would give him the NFL single-season rushing record. After all he's accomplished to this point, now is not the time to start betting against him. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Greg Jennings, MIN |
GB |
0 | 0 | 4 | 50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Jennings posted 4-46 in the earlier meeting with Minnesota, his first game back after an extended injury absence. He scored last week and now has a month of games under his belt. Add in Jordy Nelson's questionable status and Randall Cobb's bum ankle and Jennings could be back atop the Packers' passing game pecking order this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Jarius Wright, MIN |
GB |
0 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Wright's 53 yards last week was the most by a Minnesota wideout since his 62 yard outburst back in Week 10. So if you're forced to start a Vikings wide receiver, he's the best of a sorry lot. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Jerome Simpson, MIN |
GB |
0 | 0 | 2 | 30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Simpson is an occasional contributor in the passing game, but nowhere near worthy of a fantasy start. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Kyle Rudolph, MIN |
GB |
0 | 0 | 4 | 40 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Rudolph scored last week and also scored in the earlier meeting with the Packers. His yardage of late hasn't been enough to justify a fantasy start--to be expected when a big day for your passing game means triple-digit yardage--but his nine touchdowns have him in range of the Vikings' team record for tight ends. Not that they'll be preoccupied with the playoff berth or another record, but it does increase the likelihood Rudy finds the end zone again this week. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Blair Walsh, MIN |
GB |
3 | 2 | 1 | 1 |    |
| The Pro Bowler missed his only attempt in the earlier meeting with Green Bay, but with eight treys in the past two games and a big leg that's already netted him the rookie record for 50-yard field goals he's tough to bet against. |
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