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David Dorey
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WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

Prediction: DEN 34, OAK 20 (Line:DEN by 10)

Players to Watch: Darren McFadden, Knowshon Moreno

This is the Thursday night game and should be a fun one. These teams already met once in Denver in week four when the Broncos crushed the Raiders 37-6. This should have all the fun of the Broncos passing game plus Darren McFadden is due back this week.

Denver Broncos
Homefield: Invesco Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PIT 31-19 10 @CAR 36-14
2 @ATL 21-27 11 SD 30-23
3 HOU 25-31 12 @KC 17-9
4 OAK 37-6 13 TB 31-23
5 @NE 21-31 14 @OAK -----
6 @SD 35-24 15 @BAL -----
7 BYE ----- 16 CLE -----
8 NO 34-14 17 KC -----
9 @CIN 31-23 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DEN @ OAK Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning 300,3
RB Ronnie Hillman 30 2-10
WR Emmanuel Sanders 3-30
WR Demaryius Thomas 6-100,1
WR Wes Welker 8-100,1
TE Jacob Tamme 6-60,1
PK Matt Prater 2 FG 4 XP

Pregame Notes: These matchups are even more fun this year with plenty of fantasy points generated - at least by the Broncos. The 9-3 Broncos have already won their division since San Diego is in second place at 4-8. But the Broncos are tied with the Patriots and Ravens for the #2 seed and already lost in New England. That makes staying in the race very important and key that next week is the meeting with the Ravens in Baltimore for what may be all the "take a week off in January" marbles. Two final home games against the Browns and Chiefs should just be formalities like kicking the extra point after you already scored the game winning touchdown.

Peyton Manning already scorched the Raiders for 338 yards and three scores in week four which set him off on a four game record streak of 300+ yards and three touchdowns. No reason to expect less in a road game where the Raiders might actually be marginally more competitive.

One difference this time around is that Willis McGahee is no longer here to gain another 112 yards and a score on 19 runs plus six catches for 23 more yards. Ronnie Hillman was allowed five runs for 29 yards against the Buccaneers last week but Knowshon Moreno now has back-to-back games with 20 carries and four receptions in each. If the game goes really well, really early it may allow more reps for Hillman or even Lance Ball but the only bankable running back this week remains Knowshon Moreno.

Jacob Tamme popped up last week with a season best nine catches for 89 yards but he's been much less productive in every other game and only accounted for 38 yards on five catches in the last meeting with the Raiders. Joel Dreessen actually caught a score in that game though as always his yardage remained low.

Brandon Stokley was a surprise scratch last week because of his hip but is expected to play on Thursday.

Another change this time around concerns Eric Decker who turned in seven receptions for 79 yards and one score versus the Raiders which set him off on a five game scoring streak. But Decker has been little used in the last four games with only one producing more than 25 yards. He went from a constant scorer to being almost entirely ignored the last month as his load has been spread to right ends and running backs. Demaryius Thomas is currently on a three game scoring streak and hauled in five passes for 103 yards in the last meeting with the Raiders.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 7 18 2 6 15 3
Preventing Fantasy Points OAK 13 16 17 10 10 31

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Peyton Manning, DEN @SEA 0000027021 ****
Wash the taste of the Super Bowl out of your mouth, take a deep breath, and tell yourself Peyton has three TD tosses in every game so far. Sure, he's entering the place where fantasy quarterbacks go to be erased--see Aaron Rodgers, Week 1--but you didn't draft Peyton to ride pine behind... well, anybody.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Montee Ball, DEN @SEA 5004200000 ***
No opposing back has topped 40 yards against the Seahawks and only John Kuhn has found the end zone. Temper expectations mightily for Montee this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Emmanuel Sanders, DEN @SEA 004801000 ***
Sanders cedes his slot position to the returning Wes Welker, which likely means he'll find himself draped by Richard Sherman at some point during the afternoon. He's a fringe fantasy start based on the matchup, and the return of Welker creates some wait-and-see regarding his role going forward as well.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Demaryius Thomas, DEN @SEA 006600000 ***
You can bet the Broncos will move Demaryius around so as to avoid an entire afternoon of Richard Sherman. However, at some point the two are bound to tangle, and with Peyton's overall numbers subdued the same pall needs to be cast over the receiving corps as well.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Wes Welker, DEN @SEA 00000000 *
Welker's suspension was wiped out under the league's new drug policy, returning him to his familiar slot position against an incredibly tough Seattle secondary. Keep in mind that last season Welker raced out of the gates as Peyton's preferred target, and note that playing out of the slot should help Welker duck the coverage of Richard Sherman.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Julius Thomas, DEN @SEA 004501000 ***
Antonio Gates took the Seahawks for a hat trick last week, which certainly bodes well for the fantasy prospects of Thomas here; after all, he turned in a hat trick of his own in Week 1 and followed that up by finding the end zone last week as well.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Brandon McManus, DEN @SEA 2222 ****
Can the Broncos emulate their AFC West brethren and drop 30 on the Seahawks? Possible. But if you've been riding McManus while waiting for Matt Prater to return in a couple weeks, and with Denver's bye coming up, this wouldn't be a bad time to bail on Brandon and find a more favorable kicker matchup.

Oakland Raiders
Homefield: McAfee Coliseum
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 SD 14-22 10 @BAL 20-55
2 @MIA 13-35 11 NO 17-38
3 PIT 34-31 12 @CIN 10-34
4 @DEN 6-37 13 CLE 17-20
5 BYE ----- 14 DEN -----
6 @ATL 20-23 15 KC -----
7 JAC 26-23 16 @CAR -----
8 @KC 26-16 17 @SD -----
9 TB 32-42 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
OAK vs DEN Rush Catch Pass
QB Matt Schaub 280,2
RB Maurice Jones-Drew
RB Darren McFadden 60 5-30
WR James Jones 2-20,1
WR Denarius Moore 3-40
PK Sebastian Janikowski 2 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: Not really going that well by the bay. The Raiders are on a five game losing streak with a defense that has yielded over 30 points in seven games this year including a 55 point love-fest in Baltimore. The offense has declined to where they can no longer score more than 20 points which is pretty problematic when the defense is handing out touchdowns like they were pamphlets on the Vegas Strip.

Carson Palmer scored in every game this year except one - week four against these Broncos when he only managed 202 yards and no touchdowns. Palmer threw interceptions in every game besides the Denver tilt as well and now has 20 passing touchdowns against 13 interceptions and four lost fumbles.His yardage remains on the high side in most games but he's managed more than two scores only once all year. Bottom line - Denver smoked him last time. Worse than any other team.

Darren McFadden is expected to play this week. He's been out since getting injured in week nine and he almost played last Sunday but was held out to ensure he was ready for this week. He should be getting a heavy load as well since Marcel Reece and Mike Goodson are both limited in practices and not 100%. Then again, McFadden only managed 34 yards on 13 runs in the last meeting and added just one catch for four yards.

Notable too was that Jeremy Stewart was given nine carries last week to only seven for Marcel Reece as the Raiders liked his speed better and removed Reece from being the primary back and made him more the third down back with five receptions. With Goodson and McFadden back in the picture, Reece drops down the #4 on the depth charts.

Oddly enough, Brandon Myers has been very productive in recent weeks with four scores in the last five games and a season best 130 yards on 14 catches just last Sunday. His worst game of the year, of course, came in Denver where he only caught one pass for 22 yards.

Denarius Moore was benched last week because he was dropping passes but will start this week and likely spend most his time playing tickles with Champ Bailey. Moore accounted for 71 yards on four catches in the last meeting while Darrius Heyward-Bey never got a pass.

This is a big game for the Raiders from a rivalry sense and it would do wonders to win this game but the firepower is just not there and at 2-10 some players are already being accused of quitting on the team. Next week at home against the Chiefs is where the Raiders get their last hurrah, not here.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points OAK 28 30 21 27 31 17
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 12 8 8 30 4 15

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Derek Carr, OAK @NE 0000020013 ***
Carr has been meh through his first two games, and aside from garbage time there's no reason to expect him to outperform Matt Cassel (202 & 1) or Ryan Tannehill (178 & 2) against the Patriots.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren McFadden, OAK @NE 4003200000 ***
McFadden's best bet, assuming he gets the snaps because Maurice Jones-Drew and his bum hand can't go, is some sort of receiving score; the Pats have allowed RB receiving TDs in back-to-back contests. Otherwise, nothing compelling about McFadden's ground potential against the Pats this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR James Jones, OAK @NE 005501000 ***
Jones has scored in each of his games as a Raider, but all that means is Darrelle Revis will be acutely aware of where Jones is at all times. Nothing says you have to start a Raider this week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Denarius Moore, OAK @NE 003400000 ***
Moore is clinging to the fringe of fantasy relevancy as he battles Andre Holmes and Rod Streater for looks in Oakland's unproductive passing game. If you're using him here you're playing the "not being covered by Revis" card. Good luck with that.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Mychal Rivera, OAK @NE 003300000 ***
Rivera has posted matching 31-yard performances thus far, so if 31 yards gets you bonus points in your fantasy league... he's your guy.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Sebastian Janikowski, OAK @NE 1111 ***
No kicker has fewer fantasy points; 30 have more. You can do better.

WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

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