FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

Prediction: PHI 17, TB 30 Line: (TB by 7)

Players to Watch: Nick Foles, Vincent Jackson

3-9 Eagles have lost their last eight games and are 1-5 in road games anyway. The 6-6 Buccaneers have lost their last two but are at home where they are 3-3 this year. All you can hope for here is that the Eagles make a game of it like they did in Dallas. The Buccaneers have no room for error if they want to make the playoffs.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL 33-38
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB -----
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN -----
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS -----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI @ TB Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 260,1
RB Darren Sproles 6-60
WR Mike Wallace 4-70,1

Pregame Notes: The Eagles enjoyed a rare lead in Dallas and looked like an upset was in the making but even the Cowboys in December can beat these Eagles. Offensive line guru Howard Mudd has announced he is retiring at the end of the year. The Defensive Line coach Jim Washburn was just fired. DeSean Jackson is on injured reserve. Michael Vick was just benched for the rest of the year so the team could evaluate Nick Foles. It is all starting to smack of an impending high school graduation where you still have to go to classes but nothing really matters.

Foles looked nearly serviceable against the Cowboys when he completed 22 of 34 for 251 yards and one touchdown. But that was his first score in three starts and he has a long way to go to make anyone comfortable that he is anything more than the future back-up.

Bryce Brown is a great lesson for fantasy football. He did nothing for the whole season and once LeSean McCoy went out with a concussion, Brown gained 189 total yards and two scores versus the Panthers and followed that up with 183 yards and two scores in Dallas. For a guy who banged around colleges with a spotty resume' and potential character issues he's been the best back in the NFL over the last two weeks.

Yes, whenever McCoy returns they are not going to forget about Brown. Certainly not this year and that is only if McCoy returns. Not much incentive for him to play and risk further injury in a meaningless season. McCoy is still in Phase 3 of his recovery with yet another go pass after that.

The passing game under Foles rarely involves much. Jeremy Maclin was already marginal and now is a marked man. Riley Cooper steps in to replace DeSean Jackson and while he scored in Dallas, he only had two receptions for 31 yards. Damaris Johnson gets more snaps but is still unlikely to record more than one catch.

This offense is just going to be unreliable for the rest of the year since they will be trying out new things and the focus is not always on putting the best players on the field.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 21 21 21 22 32
Preventing Fantasy Points TB 29 18 31 21 6 6

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Carson Wentz, PHI IND 0000027020 *
Wentz returns to action and probably will be rusty. The Colts have fielded a strong defense against his position, limiting it to just two touchdowns and a moderate 267.5 passing yards. Wentz is down Alshon Jeffery and Mike Wallace at wideout.

Update: Offensive tackle Jason Peters is questionable, and Wentz will have a battered running game to rely on -- even more fuel to avoid him.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Corey Clement, PHI IND 7015400000 ***
Clement could see a massive uptick in touches if both Jay Ajayi and Darren Sproles sit out this week. The Colts have granted the most receptions and second-most yards to the position through the air, allowing just one in 56 touches to score (30th). It could be a decent time to deploy him in PPR setups.

Update: Sproles and Ajayi won't play, and Clement is questionable with a quad strain. He was limited Friday and figures to be a game-time decision.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Wendell Smallwood, PHI IND 4002200000 ***
Smallwood could see some action of Darren Sproles and Jay Ajayi are unable to play. Despite a good matchup, Smallwood isn't a fantasy-worthy option in Week 3.

Update: Sproles and Ajayi won't play, and Corey Clement is questionable, making Smallwood a borderline consideration.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI IND 007700000 ***
Agholor has been heavily targeted with Carson Wentz on the shelf. The star passer returns this week to face a tough Indy secondary. Rust will be present, in all likelihood. The targets should remain for Agholor, even if the defensive matchup is less than ideal. Indy ranks inside the top 10 against fantasy receivers in both main formats.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Kamar Aiken, PHI IND 003400000 ***
No Mike Wallace and Alshon Jeffery will give Aiken a shot at finding a few looks. He's purely a deep-contest flier in DFS. The return of WR Jordan Matthews could immediately impact Aiken in a negative way.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI IND 007801000 ***
Good matchup in PPR, not so much in standard scoring. The Colts have granted tight ends 12 catches for 119 yards without a score. Ertz should benefit from the return of Carson Wentz, albeit not as much as he will from no Alshon Jeffery and Mike Wallace.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Dallas Goedert, PHI IND 002201000 *
Goedert could see more work with all of the injuries at wide receiver. Trusting him in fantasy is an unnecessary risk.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jake Elliott, PHI IND 1133 ***
Carson Wentz's return could be a rusty one, and that would be good for Elliott's chances of seeing more three-point tries, provided the quarterback isn't too rusty. Indy has allowed five of the six field goal tries to split the posts, which is good for the fifth-most attempts.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Homefield: Raymond James Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 CAR 16-10 10 SD 34-24
2 @NYG 34-41 11 @CAR 27-21
3 @DAL 10-16 12 ATL 23-24
4 WAS 22-24 13 @DEN 23-31
5 BYE ----- 14 PHI -----
6 KC 38-10 15 @NO -----
7 NO 28-35 16 STL -----
8 @MIN 36-17 17 @ATL -----
9 @OAK 42-32 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
TB vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick 10 180,1
RB Jacquizz Rodgers 20 5-40

Pregame Notes: Two straight losses but both were against division leaders and solid defenses. And both were by a touchdown or less. The Buccaneers are still on the outside looking in for a wildcard but the next three games will all be competitive and with any luck, the Falcons will mail in week 17 having already clinched all they can get.

Josh Freeman had a break from his two touchdowns games in week 12 versus the Falcons but picked it right back up in Denver. That makes seven of the last eight games featuring at least two scores or more from Freeman and usually right around 250 yards. He's been consistent and nearly error free with only three interceptions in the last seven games.

Doug Martin's productive ways took a downturn these last two weeks when the Falcons held him to only 63 total yards - but two touchdowns. In Denver, Martin totaled 98 yards but was unable to pop off any game breakers. He's still plenty productive nearly every week thanks to his role as a receiver.

Dallas Clark scored in three of the last four games though his yardage varies wildly from game to game depending on what the opponent gives and takes. As expected, Vincent Jackson was held in check by Champ Bailey last week and ended his string of 90+ yard games. But Mike Williams took up the mantle and ended with 93 yards on six catches and scored once.

The Eagles have been good against the run this year though on the road last week they gave up 109 rush yards and a score. The Philly secondary is where the damage is done with the last three games giving up nine passing touchdowns and everyone scores at least once. All but three opponents scored more than once. This should be a good game against a dispirited Eagles team back on the road after thinking they had a chance last week. The Bucs certainly won't overlook them but if the Eagles do not put up much of a fight, then the Bucs won't press to score too much. Makes playing the Eagles a tougher challenge to predict.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points TB 14 5 9 24 7 14
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 24 7 17 11 26 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Ryan Fitzpatrick, TB PIT 10000034040 ***
Pittsburgh has actually limited yardage to a respectable degree at 261.5, or the 18th-most, but has been peppered with TD passes (7) at the highest frequency (one in 5.4 passes). Fitzpatrick should continue his amazing season against the second-best matchup of the week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Peyton Barber, TB PIT 5001100000 ***
Barber just hasn't done enough to deserve a fantasy spot in a lineup. The Steelers have given up just the seventh-most fantasy points. This is the second-worst matchup for receptions and third-hardest to generate yardage through the air.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Mike Evans, TB PIT 0081001000 ***
Evans, whose track record of being good every other season is interesting, is off to a strong start in 2018 (17-230-2). The matchup appears destined to be a high-scoring affair. Pittsburgh was shredded through the air in Week 2 and could struggle to contain all that is the Ryan Fitzpatrick-led Tampa offense.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeSean Jackson, TB PIT 004801000 ***
Three straight weeks with a big game? Sure, why not! The Buccaneers face a Steelers defense that has given up the sixth-most fantasy points in standard scoring, and D-Jax draws an opponent that has permitted the second-most points per catch -- both stats are right up Jackson's alley.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Chris Godwin, TB PIT 005601000 ***
Godwin had sleeper appeal before the year and is living up to it. The Buccaneers have generated a tremendous amount of offense in two games, and he has been quite involved. Pittsburgh has given up a receiver touchdown every 5.8 catches (ninth-easiest rate to exploit). Trust him once again in fantasy lineups.

Update: Godwin was limited Thursday and Friday. This game is Monday, so check back for a status update.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE O.J. Howard, TB PIT 004701000 ***
Two of the 11 receptions against the Steelers by tight ends have found paydirt. Howard is a threat to score each time he touches the ball. The yardage (10th most) and reception (10th) figures against PIT favor Howard.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Chandler Catanzaro, TB PIT 3344 ***
Catanzaro has nailed nine of 10 PATs and two of three field goal tries. He faces a Steelers unit that has given up the third-most point-afters and the second-fewest field goal attempts.

WEEK 14
2012
DEN at OAK (THU) *CHI at MIN MIA at SF SD at PIT
*ARI at SEA *DAL at CIN *NO at NYG *STL at BUF
*ATL at CAR *DET at GB NYJ at JAC *TEN at IND
*Updated BAL at WAS KC at CLE PHI at TB HOU at NE (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t