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Predictions Summary » Player Rankings (Projections) » myHuddle Projections by Team » Projections Summary by Team »
Prediction: JAC 16, MIA 20 (Line: MIA by 7 )
Players Updated: Cecil Shorts
Players to Watch: Justin Blackmon
Let's be serious - not a lot of fantasy value going to be found in this game. The 2-11 Jaguars are 1-5 on the road and thanks the Titans for it not being ten straight losses. The 5-8 Dolphins and on a two game slide as well but are 3-3 at home. If this game ends up with more than about 35 total points it will be all defensive scores.
Jacksonville Jaguars |
| Homefield: J'ville Municipal Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@MIN |
23-26 ot |
10 |
IND |
10-27 |
| 2 |
HOU |
7-27 |
11 |
@HOU |
37-43 |
| 3 |
@IND |
22-17 |
12 |
TEN |
24-19 |
| 4 |
CIN |
10-27 |
13 |
@BUF |
18-34 |
| 5 |
CHI |
3-41 |
14 |
NYJ |
10-17 |
| 6 |
BYE |
----- |
15 |
@MIA |
----- |
| 7 |
@OAK |
23-26 |
16 |
NE |
----- |
| 8 |
@GB |
15-24 |
17 |
@TEN |
----- |
| 9 |
DET |
14-31 |
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Pregame Notes: The Jaguars nightmare season is concluding and they won't be the favored team again until 2013. Assuming they improve. Chad Henne finally declined to the point where he passed for only 185 yards and no touchdowns while throwing two interceptions against the Jets. That was in part because Cecil Shorts was out with a concussion and Antonio Cromartie locked up on Justin Blackmon.
Henne still is an upgrade from Blaine Gabbert but has declined every game in production while getting worse on turnovers. The one positive here - the Fins always allow at least one passing score to every visitor.
Maurice Jones-Drew remains out with no timetable when he will return though speculation is that he will be back right after he signs a new contract and not before. So next year, maybe on another team.
Cecil Shorts may still miss this week as well because his concussion kept him out of all practices and he still had a few tests he needed to pass. In his place the Jags started Kevin Elloit who only caught three of his ten throws for 38 yards and was noted by HC Mike Mularkey for dropping so many passes. Jordan Shipley actually managed five receptions for 55 yards and is starting to become a minor player from the slot.
Montel Owens rushed for a career best 91 yards and one score on 14 carries but much of that came on a 32-yard scoring run in the fourth quarter. Rashad Jennings is still dealing with his concussion and Owens is likely to get another start only this time against the #5 defense against the run.
The only fantasy value here is the potential for moderate passing stats and some yards by Justin Blackmon but losing Shorts leaves the Jags with no one else that the defense worries about. That should limit Blackmon as the only viable passing target.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
JAC |
24 |
31 |
13 |
26 |
29 |
30 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
MIA |
16 |
5 |
15 |
17 |
25 |
22 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Chad Henne, JAC |
@TEN |
0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 200 | 1 | 2 |    |
| Henne already racked up 261 yards and two scores on the Titans who have been good for at least one or two passing scores to every opponent. Losing Shorts this week won't help though nor will a road game. Can't expect more than moderate yardage and one score. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| RB Montell Owens, JAC |
@TEN |
40 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |      |
| Owens has been a decent fantasy start for being a waiver wire find a few weeks back but he has really been ineffective in his two road games with never more than 50 total yards and never scoring. The Titans are not great against the run and allowed even Jennings to score once on them. The yardage is not likely to be much here but Owens has a very good shot to score once against a defense that has already allowed 18 touchdowns to running backs this year. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Justin Blackmon, JAC |
@TEN |
0 | 0 | 6 | 80 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |   |
| Blackmon posted 5-62 and one score against the Titans before but now Shorts will be gone. That could mean lots more passes for Blackmon or just more defensive coverage dedicated to him. He's as good as any Jaguar to score though and has enough upside to merit some consideration this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Jordan Shipley, JAC |
@TEN |
0 | 0 | 5 | 70 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |    |
| Shipley could see more work with Shorts out but nothing that would merit a fantasy start this week. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| TE Marcedes Lewis, JAC |
@TEN |
0 | 0 | 5 | 40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |      |
| Lewis gained 56 yards on four catches versus the Titans last time and the loss of Shorts could end up with more work for him. But he has only scored in one of the last 11 games and fell below 30 yards in each of his last three games. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Josh Scobee, JAC |
@TEN |
2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |     |
| Never worthy of a fantasy start. |
Miami Dolphins |
| Homefield: Dolphins Stadium |
Grass |
| |
Opp |
Score |
|
Opp |
Score |
| 1 |
@HOU |
10-30 |
10 |
TEN |
3-37 |
| 2 |
OAK |
35-13 |
11 |
@BUF |
14-19 |
| 3 |
NYJ |
20-23 |
12 |
SEA |
24-21 |
| 4 |
@ARI |
21-24 |
13 |
NE |
16-23 |
| 5 |
@CIN |
17-13 |
14 |
@SF |
13-27 |
| 6 |
STL |
17-14 |
15 |
JAC |
----- |
| 7 |
BYE |
----- |
16 |
BUF |
----- |
| 8 |
@NYJ |
30-9 |
17 |
@NE |
----- |
| 9 |
@IND |
20-23 |
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Pregame Notes: The Fins have two final home games that can lift them to a 7-8 record but that week 17 game in New England needs to be one where the Pats have nothing to win and let the Fins take the game and end up at .500. Probably not going to happen. The Dolphins offense has sputtered all year and scored more than one touchdown in just one of the last five games.
Ryan Tannehill heads up the worst passing attack in the league. Granted, the Cardinals are in free fall now but the FIns have held fast to their rookie quarterback in every game. Tannehill still only has eight passing touchdowns and rarely tops 200 yards. On the plus side, he doesn't turn the ball over often.
Reggie Bush comes off one of his most productive games of the year when he ran for 65 yards on 14 carries and added five receptions for 38 yards in San Francisco. More importantly, Lamar Miller only took three runs for one net yard and Daniel Thomas only ran twice for three yards. Instead of a three-headed monster, the Fins elected to go heavy with Bush who was far more productive then the other two. That could mean good things with these next two home games against the ultra-weak rushing defenses of the Jaguars and Bills.
Davone Bess and Brian Hartline still have no reliable fantasy value other than moderate yardage by Hartline when facing a weak secondary. They also just signed Armon Binns who was released by the Bengals who could not wait until the offseason to part ways with the same guy who started five games for them this year. There is never enough passing here to merit any fantasy starting considerations outside of a reception points league when Hartline plays a bad secondary.
| RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) |
TEAM |
QB |
RB |
WR |
TE |
PK |
DEF |
| Gaining Fantasy Points |
MIA |
31 |
5 |
30 |
32 |
27 |
24 |
| Preventing Fantasy Points |
JAC |
26 |
29 |
23 |
5 |
31 |
19 |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| QB Ryan Tannehill, MIA |
@NE |
30 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 210 | 1 | 1 |    |
| Tannehill only passed for 186 yards and no scores in the last meeting. On the road, no reason to expect more especially with Bess probably still out. |
| |
Opp |
RuYD | RuTD | Rec | ReYD | ReTD | PaYD | PaTD | Int | ConFac |
| WR Brian Hartline, MIA |
@NE |
0 | 0 | 4 | 60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |     |
| Hartline turned in 5-84 last time vs. the Pats and now Bess is out. That leaves the entire Pats secondary with no one else to worry about. |
| |
Opp |
fga | FGM | xpa | XPM | ConFac |
| K Dan Carpenter, MIA |
@NE |
2 | 2 | 1 | 1 |   |
| On the road to NE? No thanks. |
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