FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 15
2012
CIN at PHI (THU) *GB at CHI *MIN at STL *SF at NE
CAR at SD IND at HOU *NYG at ATL TB at NO
DEN at BAL *JAC at MIA *PIT at DAL *WAS at CLE
*Updated *DET at ARI KC at OAK *SEA at BUF *NYJ at TEN (MON)

Prediction: WAS 24, CLE 20 (Line: WAS by 2.5)

Player Updated: Robert Griffin III

Players to Watch: WAS QB, Josh Gordon, Brandon Weeden

The Redskins are on a four game winning streak that has brought them to the bring of the playoffs. The Browns are only 5-8 but have won their last three games and are at home for the last time this year. This game goes smoother with Robert Griffin III under center but we may not be sure about that until late in the week.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG 17-16
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL 31-28
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE -----
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
WAS @ CLE Rush Catch Pass
QB Kirk Cousins 10 100,1
QB Robert Griffin III 20 150,1
RB Alfred Morris 100,1
WR Pierre Garcon 6-80,1
WR Leonard Hankerson 4-50
WR Santana Moss 2-30
WR Andre Roberts 3-40
TE Logan Paulsen 2-20
PK Kai Forbath 1 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: These last four games cements RG3 in the hearts of Redskins fans and coming back to beat the Ravens was almost as good as plowing under the entire NFC East division since the week 10 bye. The question of the week will be how healthy Griffin is and you can find any answer you want if you ask enough people. Some team mates have referred to Kirk Cousins has starting and others have insisted that Griffin will be good to go.

He injured his right knee when it whipped into a defender and caused a Grade 1 sprain to his LCL. The problem that this causes is that he may very well be good enough to play. But if he does, will he run? Will he be replaced mid-game by Cousins if the Skins are winning or losing badly? What if his knee gets popped again by a Cleveland defense that already has 34 sacks on the season?

It is all risk right when you do not want any.

Regardless who starts at quarterback, it is reasonable to assume that the Redskins will want to run more to protect the passer and Alfred Morris is on a three game tear with over 110 rushing yards in each and scores in two of them. Morris is hitting the end of the season strongly and erases any notion that the Skins need a better back. He's already gained 1228 rushing yards and seven scores with a healthy 4.9 yard average.

Any change at quarterback won't really change the passing picture much in fantasy terms. The only reliable player has been Pierre Garcon and he'll most likely end up on CB Joe Haden's dance card all game. The Skins need to run the table to reach the playoffs but this game will be tougher than it may seem at first. Much depends on which quarterback plays and that could be a changing situation even during the game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 1 22 11 23 17 8
Preventing Fantasy Points CLE 20 18 26 6 6 14

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Robert Griffin III, WAS JAC 0000027011 ***
In theory this is a great offensive fit for RG3. And, in theory, this is an extremely favorable matchup against a defense that just gave up 322 and 2 to Philly. There's not a recent enough meeting between Gruden's Cincy offense and a Bradley-led Jaguars D to get another read on this matchup, so if you're a theory kind of gal you might like Griffin's fantasy upside this week. Hopefully you have a safer alternative.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Alfred Morris, WAS JAC 1101000000 ****
Alf certainly wasn't bad in his debut in the new offense, he just didn't get the volume of touches that made him a fantasy stud. Against a defense that let LeSean McCoy and Darren Sproles split 145 yards and a score last week, he may not need that volume.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Roy Helu, WAS JAC 2003200000 ***
Once the bye weeks Helu's role as the Redskins change of pace guy will have fantasy value. Right now, however, only in deeper leagues.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Pierre Garcon, WAS JAC 008901000 ***
Fears of a drop in Garçon's targets appear to have been premature; he carved out value in Week 1 and should do the same against a Jacksonville secondary that couldn't contain Jeremy Maclin last week.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR DeSean Jackson, WAS JAC 006700000 ***
The good news is that DJax was targeted almost as frequently as Pierre Garçon; the bad news is, we expected him to do more explosive things with those touches. He'll get another chance against a Jaguars D that let Jeremy Maclin get behind them, so no need to hit the panic button just yet.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Niles Paul, WAS JAC 004400000 ***
Paul may be listed as a wide receiver in some circles, but he'll be the Redskins' pass-catching tight end while Jordan Reed recovers from his latest injury. Paul's 4-86 in the opener led all Washington pass-catchers; you have to like his chances against Jaguars D fresh off surrendering 92 & 1 to Philly TEs.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Kai Forbath, WAS JAC 2222 ***
An offense that can't find the end zone isn't necessarily a bad thing, though Forbath and his fantasy owners wish the Redskins would get close a little more frequently.

Cleveland Browns
Homefield: Cleveland Stadium
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 PHI 16-17 10 BYE -----
2 @CIN 27-34 11 @DAL 20-23
3 BUF 14-24 12 PIT 20-14
4 @BAL 16-23 13 @OAK 20-17
5 @NYG 27-41 14 KC 30-7
6 CIN 34-24 15 WAS -----
7 @IND 13-17 16 @DEN -----
8 SD 7-6 17 @PIT -----
9 BAL 15-25 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB Ben Tate 20
WR Miles Austin 6-70,1
WR Josh Gordon 6-80,1
WR Andrew Hawkins 3-50,1
TE Jordan Cameron 2-20

Pregame Notes: The Browns are playing out another losing season but there has been some progress made with the offense. Perhaps not quite enough to prevent the Browns from going after another quarterback in the draft or free agency - Michael Vick's name has been mentioned. The rookie Brandon Weeden has been a definite upgrade from Colt McCoy of 2011 but his 13 passing touchdowns are not enough to spawn confidence. Even the owner has chimed in that a new quarterback will yet again be in the plans and the reality is that Weeden probably makes a great backup.

Where there is contentment is with running back. Trent Richardson has scored ten times this year and while his yardage may not be gaudy yet, it is more on the team around him than his own effort. Richardson has been an effective receiver out of the backfield and a bull at the goal line. What's even better is that he's getting 20+ carries in almost every game since midseason. The only time he shares the ball is when the Browns get a big lead. Then Montario Hardesty comes in for ten runs. But that only happens when the Chiefs visit.

It is also apparent that the supplemental draft pick of Josh Gordon is going to stick and the big price they paid for such a risky move was actually warranted. Gordon has only five touchdowns on the season and only once broke the 100 yard mark but he is by far the best receiver on the team and the only one that offers any sense of consistency and production.

This is the final home game for the Browns and that often prompts a better effort than those cold road games looming in Denver and Pittsburgh. Not enough to take down the Redskins most likely but this could be a surprising game and the Redskins pass defense is still one of the worst in the NFL.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points CLE 27 18 25 24 15 10
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 30 8 31 32 23 2

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Brian Hoyer, CLE NO 0000019012 ***
Not that Hoyer can't keep up in a shootout, but that's not likely to be the Browns' game plan heading into this contest--especially if Josh Gordon remains suspended and Jordan Cameron sits out with his shoulder injury.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Isaiah Crowell, CLE NO 301000000 ***
Crowell capitalized on Ben Tate's injury to turn five touches into 32 yards and a pair of scores. He should have an expanded role this week with Tate out, but he's still the junior partner in the Cleveland backfield and as such a riskier fantasy play.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Terrance West, CLE NO 600000000 ***
The best way for the Saints to slow the Browns' ground game will be to get up top quickly and force them to play catch-up--though the Pittsburgh game followed a similar path and yet Cleveland ran the ball 28 times. West wound up being the lead dog in that committee and remains in that role here, with a modicum of fantasy upside.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Andrew Hawkins, CLE NO 007800000 ***
Brian Hoyer is no Matt Ryan, and neither is Hawkins the equal of Julio Jones or Roddy White. But if Devin Hester (5-99) and Harry Douglas (6-69) can put up decent numbers on tertiary targets the last remaining viable option in Cleveland's passing game at least warrants fantasy consideration.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Cameron, CLE NO 00000000 *
Cameron is no lock to suit up this week after dinging his shoulder in the Kickoff Weekend loss to Atlanta. If he plays he's a solid start as the most familiar target in Cleveland's passing game, but you'll have to wait at least until the Friday injury report to get a better read on his availability.
Update: Cameron did not practice all week due to a shoulder injury. He'll be a game time decision against the Saints.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Billy Cundiff, CLE NO 2122 ****
You'd think that you can't match the New Orleans offense with field goals, and yet the Saints have allowed multiple field goal attempts in nine of their last 11 games. Still, this doesn't feel like a great opportunity to trot out Cundiff in your fantasy lineup.

WEEK 15
2012
CIN at PHI (THU) *GB at CHI *MIN at STL *SF at NE
CAR at SD IND at HOU *NYG at ATL TB at NO
DEN at BAL *JAC at MIA *PIT at DAL *WAS at CLE
*Updated *DET at ARI KC at OAK *SEA at BUF *NYJ at TEN (MON)

a d v e r t i s e m e n t