FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 

Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 16
2012
ATL at DET (SAT) CLE at DEN NO at DAL *SF at SEA
BUF at MIA *IND at KC *NYG at BAL STL at TB
CHI at ARI MIN at HOU OAK at CAR *TEN at GB
*Updated CIN at PIT *NE at JAC SD at NYJ WAS at PHI

Prediction: WAS 27, PHI 20 (Line: WAS by 4.5)

Players to Watch: Robert Griffin III, Pierre Garcon

The is a replay of week 11 when the Skins butchered the Eagles 31-6. The 8-6 Redskins are in a three way tie for the NFC East and need to win out including next week when they host the Cowboys. The Eagles are just trying to ge to the end so the heads may start rolling.

Washington Redskins
Homefield: FedEx Field
Grass
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @NO 40-32 10 BYE -----
2 @STL 28-31 11 PHI 31-6
3 CIN 31-38 12 @DAL 38-31
4 @TB 24-22 13 NYG 17-16
5 ATL 17-24 14 BAL 31-28
6 MIN 38-26 15 @CLE 38-21
7 @NYG 23-27 16 @PHI -----
8 @PIT 12-27 17 DAL -----
9 CAR 13-21 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
TE Vernon Davis 1-20

Pregame Notes: The Redskins are feeling pretty good about themselves after Kirk Cousins took his first start ever and turned in 329 passing yards and two scores on the Browns in Cleveland. That makes it a five game winning streak that has pulled the Skins into contention not only for a wildcard but for the division title. Chances are that won't be settled until the season finale against the visiting Cowboys but there is no debating that the Skins collectively have really turned up both sides of the ball since taking their week 10 bye.

Robert Griffin III is considered day-to-day and expects to play this week though practices will be critical to showing that he is over his knee sprain. It would be catastrophic to rush him back and get him injured again with the all-important season ender coming up. What could happen just when you need him the most is for Griffin to get a sizable lead - not unlikely given their 25 point win last time - and then to hand off to the apparently capable Cousins. That did not happen before but then again Griffin wasn't nursing a sprained knee.

Griffin ran 12 times for 84 yards and passed for 200 yards and four scores in the last meeting.

Alfred Morris only gained 76 yards on 20 runs last time but has been golden in every game since. He has already set the Redskins rookie record with 1,322 yards and nine touchdowns with two more weeks to go.

Logan Paulsen has been marginal at best filling in for Fred Davis since week seven but at least he had one touchdown this year - his only catch in the previous game against the Eagles. Aldrick Robinson also scored on his only catch then as did Santana Moss on his only catch. What is new this time around is that Pierre Garcon is back and scored in three of the last four games since that week 11 rout of the Eagles.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points WAS 2 16 11 26 12 10
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 25 8 23 12 24 32

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Kirk Cousins, WAS OAK 10000023010 ***
Versus quarterbacks, Oakland has ceded 20.4 fantasy points, on average, this year. Remove a rushing TD and this becomes a roundly mediocre matchup rating. Cousins is a low-end starter for desperate owners.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Samaje Perine, WAS OAK 301000000 *
Update: With Rob Kelley ailing, Perine should be more involved. He wasn't exactly effective last week coming off the bench, so keep your expectations at a minimum.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Chris Thompson, WAS OAK 3004300000 ***
Thompson has been brilliant through two contests, and it should earn him a larger share of the workload, particularly so if Rob Kelley cannot play. Beware, Oakland has been masterful against running backs of all types to date this season.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Rob Kelley, WAS OAK 500000000 *
Kelley is dealing with a rib injury and may not suit. He practiced in a limited fashion Wednesday, which is encouraging. The offense would turn over to rookie Samaje Perine if Kelley cannot go. This will be a pain tolerance issue. The Raiders have allowed the third fewest points and zero touchdowns to RBs in two games.

Update: Kelley is a game-time decision. He has been limited all week and should be on a snap count, if he dresses. Avoiding him is wise.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Terrelle Pryor Sr., WAS OAK 005601000 **
Pryor is clearly still a work-in-progress at wideout, and chemistry with Kirk Cousins seems to be slow to develop. Wideouts have posted 26 catches for 276 yards and two touchdowns in the first two weeks against the Raidahs.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Jamison Crowder, WAS OAK 005500000 ***
This season hasn't started off with a bang for Crowder after a hip injury slowed him in Week 1. Oakland has given up a TD every 13 receptions so far, helping create the 13th easiest opponent.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jordan Reed, WAS OAK 004400000 *
Reed is day-to-day with a chest bruise that was originally feared to be a shoulder separation. He's a risky play, and gamers should check back later in the week to be safe. Oakland hasn't allowed a TE to score on nine catches.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Dustin Hopkins, WAS OAK 2222 ***
The Raiders have held kickers to just three extra points but 5-for-6 on distance kicks, which has translated to this being a top-10 matchup for the position.

Philadelphia Eagles
Homefield: Lincoln Financial Field
Turf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @CLE 17-16 10 DAL 23-38
2 BAL 24-23 11 @WAS 6-31
3 @ARI 6-27 12 CAR 22-30
4 NYG 19-17 13 @DAL 33-38
5 @PIT 14-16 14 @TB 23-21
6 DET 23-26 15 CIN 13-34
7 BYE ----- 16 WAS ----
8 ATL 17-30 17 @NYG -----
9 @NO 13-28 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
PHI vs WAS Rush Catch Pass
QB Nick Foles 250,1
RB Darren Sproles 20 5-40,1
WR Alshon Jeffery 3-40
WR Torrey Smith 4-60
TE Brent Celek 5-50

Pregame Notes: Andy Reid's time in green is drawing to a close and las week the wheels came off in yet another home game with the Bengals winning by 21 points. Getting a trap game is going to be hard this week since the Skins must win and already have played the Eagles once. The only real difference in this meeting is that the Eagles are four weeks closer to being dismantled.

Nick Foles remains under center even though Michael Vick is healthy again and now spending his time on the bench thumbing through a copy of Dog Lover magazine. Foles only managed 204 passing yards and two interceptions in the previous meeting with the Skins. He had a freakishly good game against the Buccaneers but turned back into a pumpkin last week versus the Bengals. To his credit, he has scored in each of the last three games.

HC Andy Reid says that LeSean McCoy has a chance to play this week after being medically cleared to return from his concussion. That seems completely unneeded and unwise given the season is over and McCoy would only risk injury for no real reason. Bryce Brown has been far less effective in these last two games that combined for only 40 yards on 28 carries. The last game that McCoy played was the previous matchup with the Redskins.

Clay Harbor has been placed on injured reserve because of his back spasms but Brent Celek is expected back from his concussion this week and caught five passes for 42 yards in the previous meeting. That was the game where Jeremy Maclin was held without any catches and DeSean Jackson only gained five yards on two catches.

This is a home game for the Eagles but that has not meant much during this season and last week's disappointing loss to the Bengals is a good sign that there's no late season surge in the making here. If anything, this will probably be the most hostile crowd they will yet be around and it is their own fans.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 16 23 17 22 22 29
Preventing Fantasy Points WAS 29 9 31 31 19 1

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Carson Wentz, PHI NYG 0000027011 ***
New York's defense is banged up but should get back some of the ailing players. Wentz is a fringe starter, regardless, and had a 1:3 TD-to-interception ratio last year in his two matches with NYG.

Update: Giants cornerback Janoris Jenkins is a game-time decision.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Darren Sproles, PHI NYG 5005400000 ***
Sproles draws New York's strong defense of pass-catching types. This unit has given up only eight catches for 53 yards in two contests.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB LeGarrette Blount, PHI NYG 200000000 *
No score, no fantasy worth. That pretty well sums up Blount's contributions at this stage. NYG is among the 10 toughest defenses of the position.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Alshon Jeffery, PHI NYG 005700000 ***
New York has allowed wideouts only one score on 18 catches thus far, and that is without top cover-corner Janoris Jenkins in one of the games. The Giants rated as the second-harshest matchup in 2016. Jeffery is a lineup liability this weekend.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Torrey Smith, PHI NYG 002400000 ***
Smith doesn't deserve a roster spot at this time.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Nelson Agholor, PHI NYG 003200000 ***
Agholor has two TDs in as many games this year. The second one happened to be his lone catch of Week 2, and now he draws the dominant Giants' pass defense. This isn't a good week to tempt fate.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Ertz, PHI NYG 007701000 ***
Ertz has been on fire so far, and he is a must-play until he proves otherwise. The Giants have been abused by the position, surrendering an average of 16.9 PPR points. This stems from a two-game line of 13-104-2.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Jake Elliott, PHI NYG 3322 ***
The Giants have permitted five field goals and four extra points on the young year, which translates to 9.5 fantasy points against.

WEEK 16
2012
ATL at DET (SAT) CLE at DEN NO at DAL *SF at SEA
BUF at MIA *IND at KC *NYG at BAL STL at TB
CHI at ARI MIN at HOU OAK at CAR *TEN at GB
*Updated CIN at PIT *NE at JAC SD at NYJ WAS at PHI

a d v e r t i s e m e n t