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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

Prediction: STL 6, SEA 27 (Line: SEA by 10.5)

Players to Watch: Marshawn Lynch

The Seahawks can win the NFC West if they beat the Rams and the 49ers lose to the Cardinals. They could even get a first round bye if they win here, the 49ers and the Packers both lose. They have already clinched a wildcard and are probably going to have to be happy with that. This is a replay of week four when the Rams won 19-13 in St. Louis. Seattle is one of only two teams that are undefeated at home this year. And only 3-5 in road games.

St. Louis Rams
Homefield: Edward Jones Dome
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @DET 23-27 10 @SF 24-24
2 WAS 31-28 11 NYJ 13-27
3 @CHI 6-23 12 @ARI 31-17
4 SEA 19-13 13 SF 16-13
5 ARI 17-3 14 @BUF 15-12
6 @MIA 14-17 15 MIN 22-36
7 GB 20-30 16 @TB 28-13
8 NE 7-45 17 @SEA -----
9 BYE ----- ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
STL @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Sam Bradford 200
QB Brady Quinn 180
WR Kenny Britt 3-30,1
TE Lance Kendricks 3-40
PK Greg Zuerlein 2 FG

Pregame Notes: The Rams are winding down their first season under Jeff Fisher and even finishing 7-9-1 is a big upgrade from the 2-14 standing from last year. More than anything, Fisher has brought back defense to the Rams who held seven different opponents under 20 points including four of the last five. They also tied and beat the 49ers. They beat the Seahawks.

Sam Bradford bounced back from his horrible sophomore season when he only passed for 2164 yards and six touchdowns. He currently stands at 3450 yards and 20 scores though his QB Rating remains around 50. Bradford passed for 221 yards and no scores in the last meeting with the Seahawks.

Steven Jackson may be back next year though he's clearly not the future in St. Louis as the elder statesman of all starting tailbacks. Jackson only scored four times this year but has been much more productive in the second half of the season when they stopped splitting time with Daryl Richardson and just let Jackson take a full load. He ran for only 55 yards on 18 carries in the other Seahawks game and oddly enough has been the most productive in road games. The last four away from home saw him either score or turn in 100+ yards.

Lance Kendricks has been little used this year - he only caught two passes for 22 yards in the other Seahawks matchup. But he scored in each of the last two games and comes off his career best game of 119 yards on four catches in Tampa Bay thanks to the 80-yard touchdown catch and run. Kendricks previous high for the year was only 48 yards.

The wideouts have been a mish-mash all season long. Danny Amendola had big games against the Redskins and 49ers but otherwise has been either injured or moderately productive. Chris Givens went through a seven week streak where he had fantasy value and scored three times but has fallen back into the pack with three straight games of 40 yards or less. Givens had no catches versus the Seahawks and Amendola did not play that week. Brandon Gibson only managed 28 yards on two catches then and has been far too inconsistent to merit any fantasy consideration.

This is going to be a bad week since the Seahawks have something to play for and are at home where they are just dominating everyone. There really is no attractive fantasy play here outside of expecting a marginal game from Jackson. The Seahawks even get to use CB Richard Sherman who was granted his suspension appeal.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points STL 23 27 12 27 30 9
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 3 7 1 9 1 6

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Zac Stacy, STL @SEA 7002100000 ****
Stacy rolled up a season-high 134 yards when the Seahawks visited St. Louis in Week 8, and he's scored in both Arizona and Carolina. Not much more to be proved, so while a TD in Seattle is a tough get Stacy has the resume to suggest he'll snag one.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Tavon Austin, STL @SEA 2003400000 ***
If you're forced to start a member of the St. Louis passing game, at least Austin has return-game upside. If he's healthy, that is.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Austin Pettis, STL @SEA 002200000 ***
To identify which wide receiver could have success in St. Louis, we suggest a dart, a coin, and a 20-sided die. Good luck.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Jared Cook, STL @SEA 003400000 ***
Cook is sharing looks with Lance Kendricks in an unfavorable matchup with the Seahawks; none of that sounds like much in the way of fantasy assistance.
  Opp fgaFGMxpaXPM ConFac
K Greg Zuerlein, STL @SEA 1100 ***
The Seahawks don't give up much to kickers, even less at home, so despite the nine Zuerlein mustered in the earlier meeting you'll want to get your kicks elsewhere.

Seattle Seahawks
Homefield: Qwest Field
FieldTurf
  Opp Score   Opp Score
1 @ARI 16-20 10 NYJ 28-7
2 DAL 27-7 11 BYE -----
3 GB 14-12 12 @MIA 21-24
4 @STL 13-19 13 @CHI 23-17
5 @CAR 16-12 14 ARI 58-0
6 NE 24-23 15 @BUF 50-17
7 @SF 6-13 16 SF 42-13
8 @DET 24-28 17 STL -----
9 MIN 30-20 ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs STL Rush Catch Pass
QB Terrelle Pryor 10,1 150
QB Russell Wilson 30 200,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 120,1 1-10
TE Zach Miller 3-30,1
PK Steven Hauschka 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: The Seahawks have morphed into a dominating team - at least when they are at home. The defense has become one of the top units in the league and held 12 opponents to 20 points or less including the 58-0 drubbing of the Cardinals. The offense has been decent enough all year with Marshawn Lynch but even Russell Wilson has been evolving from a game manager.

Wilson passed for only 160 yards in St. Louis and did not score while throwing three interceptions. He's been on a hot streak with touchdown lately though and since week eight has thrown 17 touchdown over eight weeks. But his yardage is rarely anything notable and he still has never topped 300 yards in any game. Over half his games end with under 200 yards passed.

Marshawn Lynch and the defense is what keeps this team in the "W" column. He rushed for 118 yards and one score on 20 runs in St. Louis and added a season high four catches for 37 yards. Lynch already scored 12 times this year and scored in all but one of the last eight weeks. He has nine efforts that topped 100 rushing yards. He even added a receiving touchdown last week for the first time.

Zach Miller has been little used this season with only around 25 yards per game but he did score in two of the last three games. The problem with the wideouts is that they have been mostly under-used and very inconsistent. Sidney Rice is tops with six scores but he has only one touchdown in the last five weeks. Golden Tate has five touchdowns but almost no yardage and they show up randomly or at least when he can manage an undetected push-off. Doug Baldwin showed up last week with two touchdowns but only had one other all year. There is no reliable fantasy players here and the yardage is almost always lacking.

Lynch is an obvious play here and the Seattle defense as well. Wilson is only a play for scores but he never has much yardage and you cannot count on more than two scores. I like a defensive score in this game.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 16 6 21 23 18 8
Preventing Fantasy Points STL 16 18 9 18 20 15

  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Terrelle Pryor, SEA STL 40000024012 *
Pryor last started in Week 10, when he threw for 122 yards and no scores. However, with Matt McGloin struggling the Raiders will go back to Pryor for the season finale. He tossed for 281 yards and a score in the earlier meeting with Denver, and he's always a threat with his feet so there's some fantasy upside to his game.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
QB Russell Wilson, SEA STL 20000016010 ***
It's been a month since Wilson's last multiple touchdown outing, and he's topped out at just 206 passing yards over that span. He threw for 139 and 2 in the win in St. Louis, but with just one rushing score in his last dozen games Wilson has had to rely on his passing for fantasy numbers--and they simply haven't been there.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
RB Marshawn Lynch, SEA STL 7012100000 ***
The Rams haven't allowed a 50-yard rusher since Week 12, a 100-yard rusher since Week 9, and held Lynch to a pedestrian 23 yard outing back in Week 8. Lynch hasn't had a 100-yard game since Week 9, but he has nine touchdowns in seven home games and will at minimum get you a score--with the upside of something better.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
WR Doug Baldwin, SEA STL 005600000 ***
Baldwin has the Seahawks' last three WR TDs, so he's the most likely candidate to take advantage of a Rams' secondary that's allowed at least one receiver to score or top 98 yards in each of the past six games.
  Opp RuYDRuTDRecReYDReTDPaYDPaTDInt ConFac
TE Zach Miller, SEA STL 000004301 ****
Miller scored last week, but that was against Arizona--everybody's tight end scores against Arizona. This is the Rams, a team that held Miller to 14 yards in the previous meeting and has given up just four TE TDs on the season.

WEEK 17
2012
ARI at SF CLE at PIT JAC at TEN OAK at SD
BAL at CIN DAL at WAS KC at DEN PHI at NYG
CAR at NO GB at MIN MIA at NE STL at SEA
  CHI at DET HOU at IND NYJ at BUF TB at ATL

a d v e r t i s e m e n t