The Huddle on Facebook Facebook   The Huddle on Twitter Twitter   The Huddle Mobile Mobile Welcome, Guest. You are not logged in.   | Login  |  Help
HOME FANTASY DRAFT KIT IN SEASON ARTICLES NEWS STATS FORUMS TEAMS PLAYERS NFL DRAFT NFL ABOUT TICKETS myHuddle

FANTASY FOOTBALL ARTICLES

Fantasy Football Strength of Schedule: Running Backs
David Dorey
April 22, 2013
Follow Follow @DMDorey
 
2012 Rushing Fantasy Points Allowed Per Game
20 Best Matchups 20 Worst Matchups
@JAC 25.5 @GB 15.4
IND 25.0 SEA 15.4
@NO 25.0 @TB 15.3
KC 24.1 @DET 14.9
NO 22.4 @KC 14.9
@TEN 22.4 CIN 14.9
@BUF 21.6 @WAS 14.3
@CLE 21.5 NE 14.2
BUF 21.5 NYG 14.2
@CIN 21.1 CHI 13.5
TEN 20.8 DEN 13.5
CAR 20.8 @CHI 13.3
NYJ 20.7 SF 13.3
@ATL 20.4 @HOU 13.2
ATL 19.8 @SF 12.9
@STL 19.7 @MIN 12.8
GB 19.6 HOU 12.1
@BAL 19.4 @DEN 11.4
JAC 19.3 @SEA 11.3
TB 18.8 @PIT 9.9

Quarterbacks  |  Running Backs  |  RB w/ PPR  |  Receivers  |  RCV w/ PPR

The Strength of Schedule takes the results from all defensive performances last season and applies the stats allowed against quarterbacks, running backs and receivers to determine who will have the easier schedule. This is determined by taking the best and worst venues for offenses to face and comparing those statistics allowed against the current NFL schedule for each team. Unlike strength of schedules used during the regular season which only considers the 32 defenses, this look back at last year considers the 64 venues that can happen - facing each defense either home or away.

To remove the effects of the really bad or good odd game, defensive performances last year have their best and worst game removed before determining their average fantasy points allowed for each position.

Three different views are given below - Weeks 1 to 6 show what players will face as they start the season. Weeks 1 through 16 are shown for a full season view and weeks 14 to 16 show the most common weeks for fantasy playoffs. Below that is the NFL schedule marked for each team to show when they have good (green) or bad (red) match-ups. Bye weeks are considered a bad matchup since the player is unavailable for your fantasy team that week. This is important especially considering the Dorey Rule - "draft as if the season only lasted the first six weeks".

This analysis considers running backs awarded 0.1 points per rushed or received yard and six point touchdowns.

Best Schedules

Jets - This should be interesting since there is no in-house stud and they may make do with Mike Goodson. Any rookie or other free agent they pick up should be considered in a favorable light because they have a crappy offense and yet a great schedule for running backs.

Patriots - Not quite as favorable as the Jets but with seven good matchups and only two bad ones, Stevan Ridley should be in store for an even easier time rushing this year. But as with all things Patriot, that is subject to the ever-changing whims of Bill Belichick. Shane Vereen could become a superstar. Or maybe never be seen. Worth watching though. Consider too that the Pats get to start with each of their first six games all against the best matchups

49ers - The other team from last year's Super Bowl gets eight very favorable matchups this year though five times they go against bad matchups. Frank Gore is almost certain to share the ball more but that still won't likely make Kendall Hunter or LaMichael James mean much.

Worst Schedules

Eagles - The new offense ushered in by Chip Kelly already presents a learning curve and some unknowns with LeSean McCoy coming off a disappointing, injury-marred season. The stated desire is to run the ball often but it will also involve Bryce Brown. And that all goes against a schedule that offers up just one game that goes against a top 20 venue from last year.

Giants - The backfield is already looking for a bigger committee between David Wilson and Andre Brown that could see them limit each other. And the Giants also only get to face one of the top 20 venues from 2012 for running backs while facing six bad matchups. Brown could serve up a bunch of touchdowns - if the Giants get the chance.

Weeks 1 to 16 (Full Season)
  SOS Good Bad
NYJ 7 8 1
NE 5 7 2
SEA 3 6 3
TB 3 6 3
BUF 3 7 4
SF 3 8 5
CIN 2 6 4
MIA 2 6 4
ARI 2 7 5
JAC 2 7 5
DEN 1 3 2
NO 1 5 4
PIT 1 5 4
TEN 1 6 5
OAK 0 3 3
ATL 0 5 5
HOU 0 5 5
STL 0 5 5
CAR 0 6 6
GB -1 3 4
CLE -1 4 5
KC -1 4 5
MIN -1 4 5
IND -2 4 6
BAL -3 4 7
DAL -4 2 6
WAS -4 2 6
CHI -4 3 7
DET -4 3 7
SD -4 3 7
NYG -5 1 6
PHI -6 1 7
Weeks 1 to 6 (Dorey Rule)
  SOS Good Bad
NE 6 6 0
NYJ 4 4 0
MIA 3 3 0
DEN 1 1 0
TB 1 1 0
ATL 1 2 1
GB 1 2 1
KC 1 2 1
SD 1 2 1
ARI 1 3 2
CIN 1 3 2
JAC 1 3 2
SF 1 3 2
BAL 0 2 2
BUF 0 2 2
CLE 0 2 2
HOU 0 2 2
PIT 0 2 2
SEA 0 2 2
STL 0 2 2
WAS -1 0 1
IND -1 1 2
MIN -1 1 2
NO -1 1 2
OAK -1 1 2
TEN -1 2 3
CAR -2 1 3
DET -2 1 3
PHI -2 1 3
DAL -3 0 3
NYG -3 0 3
CHI -3 1 4
Weeks 14 to 16 (FF Playoffs)
  SOS Good Bad
CAR 3 3 0
MIN 2 2 0
NO 2 2 0
STL 2 2 0
WAS 2 2 0
CHI 1 1 0
GB 1 1 0
NE 1 1 0
OAK 1 1 0
JAC 1 2 1
TB 1 2 1
NYJ 0 0 0
ARI 0 1 1
BUF 0 1 1
CIN 0 1 1
DEN 0 1 1
HOU 0 1 1
KC 0 1 1
TEN 0 1 1
CLE -1 0 1
DET -1 0 1
SEA -1 0 1
DAL -1 1 2
IND -1 1 2
MIA -1 1 2
SF -1 1 2
ATL -2 0 2
BAL -2 0 2
NYG -2 0 2
PHI -2 0 2
PIT -2 0 2
SD -2 0 2

Week - By - Week

TM 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ARI @STL DET @NO @TB CAR @SF SEA ATL bye HOU @JAC IND @PHI STL @TEN @SEA
ATL @NO STL @MIA NE NYJ bye TB @ARI @CAR SEA @TB NO @BUF @GB WAS @SF
BAL @DEN CLE HOU @BUF @MIA GB @PIT bye @CLE CIN @CHI NYJ PIT MIN @DET NE
BUF NE CAR @NYJ BAL @CLE CIN @MIA @NO KC @PIT NYJ bye ATL @TB @JAC MIA
CAR SEA @BUF NYG bye @ARI @MIN STL @TB ATL @SF NE @MIA TB @NO NYJ NO
CHI CIN MIN @PIT @DET NO NYG @WAS bye @GB DET BAL @STL @MIN DAL @CLE @PHI
CIN @CHI PIT GB @CLE NE @BUF @DET NYJ @MIA @BAL CLE bye @SD IND @PIT MIN
CLE MIA @BAL @MIN CIN BUF DET @GB @KC BAL bye @CIN PIT JAC @NE CHI @NYJ
DAL NYG @KC STL @SD DEN WAS @PHI @DET MIN @NO bye @NYG OAK @CHI GB @WAS
DEN BAL @NYG OAK PHI @DAL JAC @IND WAS bye @SD KC @NE @KC TEN SD @HOU
DET MIN @ARI @WAS CHI @GB @CLE CIN DAL bye @CHI @PIT TB GB @PHI BAL NYG
GB @SF WAS @CIN bye DET @BAL CLE @MIN CHI PHI @NYG MIN @DET ATL @DAL PIT
HOU @SD TEN @BAL SEA @SF STL @KC bye IND @ARI OAK JAC NE @JAC @IND DEN
IND OAK MIA @SF @JAC SEA @SD DEN bye @HOU STL @TEN @ARI TEN @CIN HOU @KC
JAC KC @OAK @SEA IND @STL @DEN SD SF bye @TEN ARI @HOU @CLE HOU BUF TEN
KC @JAC DAL @PHI NYG @TEN OAK HOU CLE @BUF bye @DEN SD DEN @WAS @OAK IND
MIA @CLE @IND ATL @NO BAL bye BUF @NE CIN @TB SD CAR @NYJ @PIT NE @BUF
MIN @DET @CHI CLE PIT bye CAR @NYG GB @DAL WAS @SEA @GB CHI @BAL PHI @CIN
NE @BUF NYJ TB @ATL @CIN NO @NYJ MIA PIT bye @CAR DEN @HOU CLE @MIA @BAL
NO ATL @TB ARI MIA @CHI @NE bye BUF @NYJ DAL SF @ATL @SEA CAR @STL @CAR
NYG @DAL DEN @CAR @KC PHI @CHI MIN @PHI bye OAK GB DAL @WAS @SD SEA @DET
NYJ TB @NE BUF @TEN @ATL PIT NE @CIN NO bye @BUF @BAL MIA OAK @CAR CLE
OAK @IND JAC @DEN WAS SD @KC bye PIT PHI @NYG @HOU TEN @DAL @NYJ KC @SD
PHI @WAS SD KC @DEN @NYG @TB DAL NYG @OAK @GB WAS bye ARI DET @MIN CHI
PIT TEN @CIN CHI @MIN bye @NYJ BAL @OAK @NE BUF DET @CLE @BAL MIA CIN @GB
SD HOU @PHI @TEN DAL @OAK IND @JAC bye @WAS DEN @MIA @KC CIN NYG @DEN OAK
SEA @CAR SF JAC @HOU @IND TEN @ARI @STL TB @ATL MIN bye NO @SF @NYG ARI
SF GB @SEA IND @STL HOU ARI @TEN @JAC bye CAR @NO @WAS STL SEA @TB ATL
STL ARI @ATL @DAL SF JAC @HOU @CAR SEA TEN @IND bye CHI @SF @ARI NO TB
TB @NYJ NO @NE ARI bye PHI @ATL CAR @SEA MIA ATL @DET @CAR BUF SF @STL
TEN @PIT @HOU SD NYJ KC @SEA SF bye @STL JAC IND @OAK @IND @DEN ARI @JAC
WAS PHI @GB DET @OAK bye @DAL CHI @DEN SD @MIN @PHI SF NYG KC @ATL DAL


FREE EMAIL UPDATES
Our FREE email updates are packed with the player news and fantasy analysis you need!

 Email Address
a d v e r t i s e m e n t