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FANTASY FOOTBALL DRAFT KIT

2013 Player Rankings: Top 10 Quarterbacks
Updated: September 4, 2013
Top 10's:        
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Tier One
Drew Brees - NOS YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 1
Keeper: 1
Auction 10: 11%
Auction 12: 12%
2010 NOS 16 448 658 4620 33 22 18 -3  
2011 NOS 16 468 657 5476 46 14 21 86 1
2012 NOS 16 422 670 5177 43 19 15 5 1
Avg   16 446 662 5091 41 18 18 29 1
Proj NOS       5000 40 16   20 1

Brees will be a fantasy legend long after he's stopped playing. At 34, that time is coming but there is hardly any signs of aging for the only quarterback who not only threw for 5000 yards in two successive years, but of the six times any quarterback exceeded 5000 yards - Brees had half of them. And two of the top three of all time. He returns almost the exact same players from last year and HC Sean Payton and all that distraction from last year is over. For seven seasons in New Orleans, Brees has been an elite quarterback every single year.

Aaron Rodgers - GBP YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 2
Keeper: 2
Auction 10: 11%
Auction 12: 12%
2010 GBP 15 312 475 3922 28 11 64 356 4
2011 GBP 15 343 502 4643 45 6 60 257 3
2012 GBP 16 371 552 4295 39 8 54 259 2
Avg   15 342 510 4287 37 8 59 291 3
Proj GBP       4400 36 8   250 4

Rodgers signed a five-year, $110 million extension in the offseason so financial problems are not likely. He started 2012 slowly according to most owners when he only scored three times over the first three games but by the end he ranked #2 in most scoring rules. Rodgers passed for 4295 yards and 39 touchdowns with only eight interceptions. Since becoming a starter in Green Bay, he has been a lock for 4000 yards and 28 passing scores as a baseline with most seasons well exceeding that mark. Last year he only scored twice via the run for his lowest total since becoming a starter. The only difference this year will be the absence of Greg Jennings (who missed most of last year anyway) and the specter of a better ground game. He has always been a difference maker on a fantasy team.

Peyton Manning - DEN YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 3
Keeper: 4
Auction 10: 11%
Auction 12: 12%
2010 IND 16 450 679 4700 33 17 18 18  
2011 IND                  
2012 DEN 16 400 583 4659 37 11 23 6  
Avg   11 283 421 3120 23 9 14 8 0
Proj DEN       5000 38 10   10  

Manning was one of those golden draft picks last year. Naturally a big risk after missing a year from neck surgery and even admitting he had less arm strength, Manning dropped in drafts. All he did was to throw for 4659 yards (career 2nd best) and 37 touchdowns (again - 2nd best in career). Now he gets to add Wes Welker to the arsenal along with a hot rookie running back. And as if the world was not already unfair, Manning receives the easiest passing schedule in the entire league. It is primed for a Super Bowl run and Manning even says his arm strength has returned.

Tier Two
Matt Ryan - ATL YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 4
Keeper: 3
Auction 10: 10%
Auction 12: 10%
2010 ATL 16 357 571 3705 28 9 46 122  
2011 ATL 16 347 566 4177 29 12 37 84 2
2012 ATL 16 422 615 4719 32 14 33 138 1
Avg   16 375 584 4200 30 12 39 115 1
Proj ATL       4700 33 12   100 2

After five seasons in the NFL, Ryan progressively improved and finally ended in the top five for both pass yards (4,719) and touchdowns (32) last year. He returns the exact same set of receivers and while Tony Gonzalez is in his final season, Julio Jones is one year better. The rushing game has been at least slightly upgraded with Steven Jackson electing to join Gonzo by settling down for a swan song. The schedule is about average this year and all the pieces nearly the same. No reason to expect anything different than another top 10 showing with a chance to maybe flirt with a top 5 finish.

07-25-13 Update: Ryan got paid with a $103 million, 5-year contract. No distractions and no problem with the check at the restaurant.

Cam Newton - CAR YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 5
Keeper: 6
Auction 10: 8%
Auction 12: 10%
2010                    
2011 CAR 16 310 517 4051 21 17 126 706 14
2012 CAR 16 280 485 3869 19 12 127 741 8
Avg   16 295 501 3960 20 15 127 724 11
Proj CAR       4000 24 12   600 5

Newton gets a new offensive coordinator but Mike Shula was his QB coach and the move was made to ensure that Newton gets continuity. His second season was far less prolific than his rookie year but it really broke down into halves. The first half was when they overloaded Newton with too much new material and he struggled. Once that was realized by mid- season, they backed off and Newton's play returned. He only threw six scores in the first eight games and then 13 the rest of the way.His role as a runner was down played as would be expected though he still had the odd big rushing effort. Newton's problem is mostly that everything has remained the same. The Panthers acquired no new receivers and Steve Smith is one year older. To his benefit, the Panthers have one of the easier quarterback schedules in the league.

Tom Brady - NEP YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 6
Keeper: 7
Auction 10: 8%
Auction 12: 10%
2010 NEP 16 324 492 3900 36 4 31 30 1
2011 NEP 16 401 611 5235 39 12 43 109 3
2012 NEP 16 401 637 4827 34 8 23 32 4
Avg   16 375 580 4654 36 8 32 57 3
Proj NEP       4560 33 8   60 3

(-Risk) Brady enters his 14th season and at the age of 36 he is definitely playing the back nine. But his level of play has not diminished and he comes off a solid 2012 campaign with 4827 yards and 34 touchdowns with only eight interceptions. He even had a career best four rushing scores. Brady will show his age soon enough but no reason to expect it to show up this season. He has a bad passing schedule but he always does and this one is relatively lighter than most. He will have to make do without Wes Welker. And there are at least potential problems with Rob Gronkowski back and arm needing offseason surgeries. This appears to be the least formidable group of wideouts that Brady has employed in quite a while led by the ever-injured Danny Amedola. But if there is any offense that can make-do with whatever they have on hand it is the Patriots. This season won't be any easier for Brady, but there is no reason to shy away from him either.

09-26-13 Update: The release of Aaron Hernandez today means that Brady is going to need to completely remake his receiver corps unless Gronkowski gets healthy in time. Brady has excelled at making stars from average players in the past but he'll be challenged with the toughest challenge he'll have in a decade.

Tony Romo - DAL YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 7
Keeper: 12
Auction 10: 5%
Auction 12: 5%
2010 DAL 6 148 213 1605 11 7 6 38  
2011 DAL 16 346 522 4184 31 10 22 46 1
2012 DAL 16 425 648 4903 28 19 30 49 1
Avg   13 306 461 3564 23 12 19 44 1
Proj DAL       4900 32 16   40 1

Romo has been a top ten quarterback in every season that he remains healthy and finally made it through an even-numbered year without some season-ending injury. He was rewarded richly with a $108 million contract in the offseason with $55 million guaranteed. Not bad for an undrafted 33 year-old QB who led the NFL in interceptions last year. In fairness, he did throw for a career best 4903 yards and 28 touchdowns. He returns all the same cast of receivers which includes Dez Bryant who finally caught fire and turned into an inferno in the second half of last year. Romo has also been given influence on the play calling and personnel. He's been empowered and has a very talented cast of receivers. He also will enjoy one of the softest passing schedules in the NFL. The only thing that will keep him from yet another top ten season - and maybe top five - will be another injury.

Andrew Luck - IND YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 8
Keeper: 5
Auction 10: 5%
Auction 12: 5%
2010                    
2011                    
2012 IND 16 339 627 4374 23 18 62 255 5
Avg   16 339 627 4374 23 18 62 255 5
Proj IND       4350 27 13   250 3

(+Upside) He isn't making anyone forget about Peyton Manning so much but Luck came into his rookie season with minimal expectations. The coaching staff was new and then Chuck Pagano missed the year getting treated for Leukemia. The Colts had stripped out most of the skill players other than Reggie Wayne. And yet Luck ended up as a top ten quarterback and his 4374 yards were seventh best in the league - one yard better than a guy named Aaron Rodgers. Luck threw for 23 scores against only 18 interceptions. The Colts went to the playoffs. All in all it was a season that wildly exceeded expectations and primarily so because of Luck. He threw six games with over 300 yards and topped 400 yards once. The offense may change slightly with Bruce Arians gone to Arizona but OC Pep Hamilton is trying to keep the offense as similar as it can be. Consider that playing in the same place, Peyton Manning opened his career with 3739 yards and 26 scores with 29 interceptions and he had Marvin Harrison and Marshall Faulk. Luck threw for 4374 yards and 23 scores with 18 interceptions using just an over-the-hill Reggie Wayne and Donald Brown. Luck also rushed in five scores and the Colts did nothing to upgrade their rushing game.

Robert Griffin III - WAS YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 9
Keeper: 8
Auction 10: 5%
Auction 12: 5%
2010                    
2011                    
2012 WAS 15 258 393 3200 20 5 120 815 7
Avg   15 258 393 3200 20 5 120 815 7
Proj WAS       3800 25 7   480 4

(-Risk) No questions still lingering about the 2012 Rookie of the Year's skill set. RG3 brought the Redskins into the playoffs, he passed for 3200 yards and 20 touchdowns while also rushing for 815 yards and seven more scores. He landed top ten among fantasy quarterbacks no matter what scoring you used. But he also suffered tears in his ACL, LCL and PCL ligaments. His rehabilitation has gone well by all accounts and while some speculate he will be ready to go in week one, even he said he won't play unless he is 100%. HC Mike Shanahan who was crucified for letting him play on a bad knee also said he will wait for RG3 to be completely healthy before he plays. So until the season draws very close and his knee status is definitively known, RG3 is at risk of missing training camp and opening the season on the PUP list. Backup QB Kirk Cousins played very well in relief last year and gives them confidence should they want to go that route. The Redskins did nothing to upgrade his receivers which will depress what he could do with even one above average receiver.

Tier Three
Matthew Stafford - DET YEAR TM GMS CMP ATT PYD PTD INT CAR RYD RTD
Huddle Rank: 10
Keeper: 10
Auction 10: 5%
Auction 12: 5%
2010 DET 3 57 96 535 6 1 4 11 1
2011 DET 16 421 663 5038 41 16 22 78  
2012 DET 16 435 727 4967 20 17 35 126 4
Avg   12 304 495 3513 22 11 20 72 2
Proj DET       4800 24 16   100 1

Stafford tailed off from 2012 - down only 71 passing yards but with 21 fewer touchdowns (41 vs. 20). He also developed an interesting trend. Stafford was great at home where he totaled 2761 yards and 12 scores but only managed 2206 yards and eight scores away from Detroit - and that includes the 329 yards and three scores in MIN. Stafford came up big in yardage in every home game with never under 270 pass yards and four times topping 350 yards. But on the road, he had just two 300 yard games and was stuck at around 250 yards and one score in almost every game. He's facing one of the very worst passing schedules this year which will not help. The same offense and players are there other than Reggie Bush. His monster 2011 year looks more like an exception now.

   
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