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Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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WEEK 3 KC at PHI (THU) CHI at PIT HOU at BAL SD at TEN
BUF at NYJ GB at CIN NYG at CAR STL at DAL
ARI at NO CLE at MIN IND at SF TB at NE
*UPDATED ATL at MIA DET at WAS JAC at SEA OAK at DEN (MON)

Prediction: JAC 0, SEA 27 (Line: SEA by 19.5)

Players of Interest: Robert Turbin, possibly Christine Michael

Update: Maurice Jones-Drew was held out on Wednesday and Thursday but was able to do some limited work on Friday and will be a gametime decision. Considering that he won't be 100% and will be playing in Seattle this is not a recommended start in any case. Marcedes Lewis remains out this week and now shoots for week 4 as his return.

This is like watching NASCAR just to see the crashes. The 2-0 Seahawks just come off dismantling the 49ers on Monday night and look somewhat invincible at home. The Jaguars are 0-2 and have only one touchdown, one field goal and one safety on the season. The Vegas line is something you normally see when a Division III school plays at Alabama. The only fear here is that the Seahawks lose all interest by the second half and don't roll up the score. Every pick 'em contest on the planet will use this game.

1 KC 2-28 10 @TEN -
2 @OAK 9-19 11 ARI -
3 @SEA - 12 @HOU -
4 IND - 13 @CLE -
5 @STL - 14 HOU -
6 @DEN - 15 BUF -
7 SD - 16 TEN -
8 SF - 17 @IND -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
JAC @ SEA Rush Catch Pass
QB Chad Henne 130
WR Ace Sanders 3-30
WR Cecil Shorts 4-40
PK Josh Scobee

Pregame Notes: Two games into the Gus Bradley regime and it could not be worse. Already have lost their starting quarterback and had his star running back knocked out of the game last week. Still have two more weeks before Justin Blackmon can help out and that is assuming there is no forthcoming case of him looking into the rear view mirror and saying "aw crap!" again. And as bad as it has been - and that is really, really bad - it is going to bet worse with three road games in the next four weeks including this week's chance to stick the hand into the garbage disposal and turn it on.

QUARTERBACKS: Since Blaine Gabbert was wise enough to say " uh yeah, my hand is still hurting pretty bad - better let Chad take this one", the Jaguars may have at least a minimal amount of passing yards assuming that Chad Henne lasts the entire game. One passing score on the year and now they go to Seattle.

RUNNING BACKS: There is a chance that Maurice Jones-Drew will play this week, He was diagnosed with a "tendon sprain" and while initially they gave no timetable for him to return, there are reports that he may play this week. He will be limited in practice and is likely to be a game day decision. If he cannot go, it will be Jordan Toddman and Justin Forsett combining for nearly nothing. This might be a good week for MJD to just sit one out and get healthy.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Bringing back Henne as the quarterback helped Cecil Shorts to catch eight passes for 93 yards. Even Ace Sanders turned in five catches for 64 yards. If either are smart, they will call in with the flu this week.

TIGHT ENDS: Marcedes Lewis may return from his calf injury last August and the lone Jaguar touchdown went to Clay Harbor. The offense needs another viable target but it will take lengthy trash time for Lewis to matter if he even plays.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: I am calling it right now. Shut out. The Seahawks look incredible at home and the Jaguars look really bad no matter where they are. No reason to start any Jaguar even if Jones-Drew plays. Frank Gore just ran for 16 yards on nine attempts here last week. A gimpy MJD does not appeal this week.

PLAYERS TO WATCH: The referee who should be looking through the NFL rule book looking for the word "mercy".

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points JAC 30 31 29 18 32 22
Preventing Fantasy Points SEA 2 3 1 11 2 9

 

1 @CAR 12-7 10 @ATL -
2 SF 29-3 11 MIN -
3 JAC - 12 BYE WEEK
4 @HOU - 13 NO -
5 @IND - 14 @SF -
6 TEN - 15 @NYG -
7 @ARI - 16 ARI -
8 @STL - 17 STL -
9 TB - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
SEA vs JAC Rush Catch Pass
QB Russell Wilson 10 170,1
RB Marshawn Lynch 120,1 2-10
RB Robert Turbin 50
WR Doug Baldwin 4-60,1
TE Zach Miller 2-20
PK Steven Hauschka 2 FG 3 XP

Pregame Notes: These Seahawks are scary good. As good as Denver looks on offense, the Seahawks look on defense. Only allowing 5 points per game on average will go really far in this league. The only problem here is if the Seahawks are still stuck in the afterglow of drumming the 49ers and worry about going to Houston the next week and just plain know they can win this game and maybe hardly prepare. This could be a blowout but the motivation may be lacking.

QUARTERBACKS: Russell Wilson is still mostly a game manager because he rarely has to do more to win games. He has just one score per week so far and finally had a little success as a runner when he took off ten times against the 49ers to gain 33 yards. That's all well below the level you want for a fantasy starter but there has been no need for him to do more and certainly won't this week.

RUNNING BACKS: Marshawn Lynch took over the game against the 49ers when he ran 28 times for 98 yards and two touchdowns and then added three catches for 37 yards and one more score. He was the offense. That should happen again this week. In fact the problem may be that the Seahawks get a nice lead early and then let Lynch finish the game on the sideline while Robert Turbin or even Christine Michael takes over in the second half. If you need a running back for week three and your waiver wire is empty, find out if Michael is active and grab him. If not, grab Turbin.

WIDE RECEIVERS: Not much happening here because there simply is no need. The only touchdown caught by a wideout was by Jermaine Kearse. The only marginally consistent player is Doug Baldwin with at least 51 yards per week. Not the place to expect fireworks this week.

TIGHT ENDS: No fantasy value.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: Hard to say if this one gets ugly and how it is that it goes south for the Jaguars. The Seattle defense is a great start this week as is Marshawn Lynch going against a defense that just allowed Darren McFadden 157 total yards. None of the wideouts are attractive starts until the Seahawks get into some games that force them to throw - almost certainly on the road.

PLAYERS TO WATCH: Hopefully Turbin or Michael gets some slop time yards. If they start Michael, you know they are ready to start mailing it in during the second half.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points SEA 23 6 24 28 14 4
Preventing Fantasy Points JAC 7 31 2 4 22 28

WEEK 3 KC at PHI (THU) CHI at PIT HOU at BAL SD at TEN
BUF at NYJ GB at CIN NYG at CAR STL at DAL
ARI at NO CLE at MIN IND at SF TB at NE
*UPDATED ATL at MIA DET at WAS JAC at SEA OAK at DEN (MON)


 
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