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FANTASY FOOTBALL IN-SEASON FEATURES

Predictions & Projections
David Dorey
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Predictions Summary »  Player Rankings (Projections) »  myHuddle Projections by Team »  Projections Summary by Team »

WEEK 4 SF at STL (THU) CIN at CLE NYG at KC SEA at HOU
PIT at MIN (London) IND at JAC PHI at DEN WAS at OAK
CHI at DET NE at ATL BAL at BUF MIA at NO (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at TB DAL at SD NYJ at TEN On Bye: CAR, GB

Prediction: PHI 23, DEN 41 (Line: DEN by 9.5)

Players of Interest: Brent Celek, Zach Ertz

The Eagles drop to 1-2 on the season apparently unable to beat any visitor or else only able to beat the Redskins (which is quite possible). This is a really bad time to be allowing mediocre teams to average 28 points against you. The Broncos are 3-0 and simply look better than any other team. If the first three weeks mean anything, the Super Bowl will be the Seattle defense against the Denver offense and nothing else matters. The Broncos have not won by fewer than 16 points and that was giving up some freebies at the end of the Raider game.

1 @WAS 33-27 10 @GB -
2 SD 30-33 11 WAS -
3 KC 16-26 12 BYE WEEK
4 @DEN - 13 ARI -
5 @NYG - 14 DET -
6 @TB - 15 @MIN -
7 DAL - 16 CHI -
8 NYG - 17 @DAL -
9 @OAK - ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
vs Rush Catch Pass
RB LeSean McCoy 50 6-80
RB Darren Sproles 20 6-50
WR Riley Cooper 3-40
TE Brent Celek 3-30
TE Zach Ertz 2-20
PK Alex Henery 3 FG 2 XP

Pregame Notes: The vaunted Chip Kelly offense is getting a little worse each week which wouldn't be so bad were it not for the Eagles ranking among the worst in the league and that was after two straight home games (both losses). Now onto a string of three straight road venues and it may take a while to turn his ship around. On the plus side, they are both generating and giving away more fantasy points than most teams.

QUARTERBACKS: Michael Vick injured his foot last week when he was tackled and had his legs twisted awkwardly. After two games with two passing and one rushing touchdown each, the Chiefs defense proved too much and held him to a very pedestrian 13 of 30 for 201 yards and two interceptions. He also lost his second fumble of the year in a very ordinary performance. Vick propped up his fantasy value with 95 rushing yards for a season high.

RUNNING BACKS: The one spot that there are no worries continues to be with LeSean McCoy who ran for 158 yards and one touchdown on the Chiefs. That makes three straight games with over 150 total yards in each and two scores on the season. Bryce Brown hangs around for about three carries to relieve McCoy but so far this is purely all about the starting back. Teams still have no answer for stopping him. When he was held to 53 rushing yards against the Chargers, he merely gained 114 as a receiver on five catches. McCoy is the constant here.

WIDE RECEIVERS: After opening with two huge games, DeSean Jackson was finally held to only 62 yards on three receptions and failed to score for the first time. Jason Avant was quiet in the first weeks but came up with a score on his five catches for 87 yards last Sunday. Riley Cooper remains little used though he too has one touchdown. The offense is little more than McCoy and Jackson so far but Avant's decent game is promising.

TIGHT ENDS: This is inconsistent at best and disappointing. Brent Celek opened the year with 56 yards and a score thanks to a long catch but the rookie Zach Ertz was held to one small catch. Then Celek was blanked in week two while Ertz turned two passes into 58 yards. Finally in week three they both synched up and sadly did nothing together.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The beauty of the Broncos is that there has been so much trash time every week that opponents actually score more than they should. No quarterback has fallen below 281 yards and that includes the rookie Terrelle Pryor. The rushing yards have been very small so far though expect McCoy to just work as a receiver more. The only concern here is that Champ Bailey is likely to return from his foot injury this week and more than likely he'll stick to Jackson as the only Eagle receiver worthy of attention. Vick and McCoy are always must starts and though Jackson could have a down game here, the risk is worth it since he could draw other matchups and at worse just get some production in the fourth quarter when Manning is just standing around mugging for the camera.

PLAYERS TO WATCH: The Eagles need desperately to see someone besides McCoy and Jackson contribute more. Jason Avant and the tight ends in particular have to show up and prevent this from becoming a laugher too soon.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points PHI 2 12 9 23 14 14
Preventing Fantasy Points DEN 17 26 22 30 28 2

 

1 BAL 49-27 10 @SD -
2 @NYG 41-23 11 KC -
3 OAK 37-21 12 @NE -
4 PHI - 13 @KC -
5 @DAL - 14 TEN -
6 JAC - 15 SD -
7 @IND - 16 @HOU -
8 WAS - 17 @OAK -
9 BYE WEEK ----- ----- -----
News | Statistics | Roster
DEN vs PHI Rush Catch Pass
QB Peyton Manning 340,3
RB Montee Ball 30
RB Ronnie Hillman 20 2-10
WR Emmanuel Sanders 5-70
WR Demaryius Thomas 7-100,2
WR Wes Welker 7-60,1
TE Julius Thomas 5-60
PK Matt Prater 2 FG 5 XP

Pregame Notes: On the whole, it is gone pretty well. Peyton Manning now owns the NFL record with 12 passing touchdowns over the first three games. The rushing effort is adequate to good and doesn't even matter anyway, While the phrase " there are only so many balls" can apply to why not everyone can have a big game each week, that apparently does not apply to the Denver receivers. This offense is so scary good that just seems impossible to sustain. And yet...

QUARTERBACKS: if you own Peyton Manning, you are the guy people want to hit up for a loan because you define being in a good mood. Just for giggles, consider that Manning is on a pace for 6096 yards and 64 touchdowns. He still says the right things after every game about this or that needs to be worked on but you have to assume he waits until he is at home, closes to door to his man cave and then just laughs his but off while wearing a King of the World crown.

RUNNING BACKS: The backfield is still a three-headed affair thanks to Ronnie Hillman breaking off a few nice late runs and winning the rock-paper-scissors on the sideline to allow him to score a short touchdown. Knowshon Moreno is not greatly productive but he never loses the ball or misses his blocking assignment. Montee Ball gets to play clean-up each week once the game is far out of hand but fumbles in each of the last two games are likely to see him with a reduced "disciplinary" role for a little while. It was a shame on Monday since Ball looked powerful and better than the other two when he gained 61 tough yards on 11 runs while breaking tackles.

There has been no word of holding Ball out of the game but he's a major risk to expect something from this week.

WIDE RECEIVERS: This is truly a thing of beauty. Wes Welker scores every week with about eight catches most the time. Eric Decker caught a score on Monday night and ended with a team high 133 yards on eight catches. Demaryius Thomas ended with ten catches for 94 yards against the Raiders. It all works here and benefits all three starters. None of them can ever be sat on a fantasy team. Manning has been absolutely deadly picking the open man on pass plays. This not only harkens back to the Greatest Show on Turf but is shaping up to be even better. This is exciting to watch because you everyone gets a big game and the only mildly known question is who scores first this week.

TIGHT ENDS: Julius Thomas cooled off from his 110 yards season opener but he still scores a touchdown every week. In Denver, the endzone is like on of those "Take on - Free!" baskets at a convention.

MATCH TO THE DEFENSE: The Eagles have bottom ten defenses for all the notable categories. Start them all every week. The only reason this doesn't get out of hand is because Manning is a gentleman and he's already redefining what "out of hand" really means.

PLAYERS TO WATCH: Watch them all for you may not witness it again in your lifetime.

RANKS (1-32, 1 = BEST) TEAM QB RB WR TE PK DEF
Gaining Fantasy Points DEN 1 9 1 4 4 5
Preventing Fantasy Points PHI 27 24 31 19 32 30

WEEK 4 SF at STL (THU) CIN at CLE NYG at KC SEA at HOU
PIT at MIN (London) IND at JAC PHI at DEN WAS at OAK
CHI at DET NE at ATL BAL at BUF MIA at NO (MON)
*UPDATED ARI at TB DAL at SD NYJ at TEN On Bye: CAR, GB


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